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Xunlei Ltd (XNET)
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Xunlei (XNET) AI Stock Analysis

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XNET

Xunlei

(NASDAQ:XNET)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-0.14% Downside)
Xunlei's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and undervaluation, offset by technical analysis indicating bearish trends and financial performance concerns. The company's strategic investments and revenue growth are positive, but operational inefficiencies and cost challenges need addressing.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Xunlei's significant revenue growth across major business segments indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Strategic Investments
The substantial gain from strategic investments enhances Xunlei's financial stability and provides leverage for future business expansion and R&D initiatives.
Cloud Computing Recovery
The recovery in cloud computing revenue highlights a rebound in client demand, strengthening Xunlei's position in a growing market and supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Decreased Gross Profit Margin
The decline in gross profit margin suggests challenges in cost management, which could pressure profitability if not addressed, impacting long-term financial health.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, particularly in sales and marketing, may strain profitability and require strategic adjustments to optimize cost efficiency.
Inconsistent Profitability
Inconsistent profitability and fluctuating margins highlight operational inefficiencies that could hinder Xunlei's ability to sustain long-term growth and financial stability.

Xunlei (XNET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xunlei Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXunlei Limited (XNET) is a leading technology company headquartered in Shenzhen, China, primarily focused on providing cloud-based services and internet infrastructure solutions. The company operates in sectors such as cloud computing, digital content distribution, and blockchain technology. Xunlei's core products include its download accelerator software, Thunder, cloud storage services, and a blockchain-based platform that supports various applications, enhancing user experience and optimizing content delivery.
How the Company Makes MoneyXunlei generates revenue through a diverse array of streams. Primarily, the company earns money from its cloud services, where it provides cloud storage and computing solutions to both individual users and enterprises. This includes subscription fees for premium services and pay-per-use models for larger clients. Additionally, Xunlei monetizes its user base through advertising on its platforms and partnerships with digital content providers. The blockchain technology segment also contributes to revenue, as it allows for new applications and services that can be monetized. Strategic partnerships with other tech firms and content providers further enhance its revenue potential by creating integrated solutions that attract more users and clients.

Xunlei Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong revenue growth and significant gains from strategic investments, with positive momentum across major business segments. However, increased costs and decreased gross profit margins presented challenges. Despite these issues, the company's robust net income and strategic positioning indicate a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Total revenues reached $126.4 million, a 57.7% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations.
Significant Equity Gain
Reported a gain of $545.8 million from the fair value changes in a 7.8% equity stake in Arashi Vision Inc.
Subscription Revenue Milestone
Subscription business generated $40.7 million, a 22.3% increase year-over-year, reaching a record high.
Robust Growth in Live Streaming
Live streaming and other services saw a 127.1% year-over-year growth, reaching $49.1 million, driven by overseas audio streaming.
Cloud Computing Recovery
Cloud computing revenue increased by 44.9% year-over-year to $36.6 million, indicating a recovery in client demand.
Net Income Surge
Net income was $550.1 million, a substantial increase from $4.4 million in the same period of 2024.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin declined to 47.9% from 51.5% in the previous year, due to lower margins in the cloud computing and audio live streaming business.
Increased Costs
Cost of revenues rose to $65.4 million, representing 51.7% of total revenues, primarily due to higher bandwidth costs.
Increased Operating Expenses
Sales and marketing expenses increased significantly to $25.8 million, up from $11.5 million, impacting overall profitability.
Company Guidance
During Xunlei Limited's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for Q4 2025, forecasting total revenues between $131 million and $139 million, implying a quarter-over-quarter increase of approximately 6.8%. The call highlighted a strong performance in Q3 2025, with total revenues reaching $126.4 million, marking a 57.7% year-over-year increase. Revenue growth was driven by a 22.3% rise in subscription revenues, a significant 127.1% surge in live streaming and other services, and a 44.9% increase in cloud computing revenue. The company's net income soared to $550.1 million, largely due to a $545.8 million gain from its equity stake in Arashi Vision Inc. Despite increased revenues, the gross profit margin slightly decreased to 47.9% from 51.5% in 2024, mainly due to the lower margin in the audio live streaming business. Looking forward, Xunlei plans to leverage strategic flexibility gained from investment gains to enhance R&D, industry collaboration, and shareholder returns.

Xunlei Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xunlei demonstrates a stable financial position with strong equity and manageable debt levels. However, profitability remains a concern with fluctuating margins and inconsistent revenue growth. The company shows potential in cash flow management, but needs to address operational inefficiencies to enhance profitability and sustain growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Xunlei has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated, with recent periods showing a decline in profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline in the most recent year. The company struggles with negative EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges, though EBITDA margins show some improvement, suggesting better cash flow management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a favorable equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity has been volatile, reflecting inconsistent profitability. Overall, the company maintains a solid asset base with manageable liabilities.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in operating cash flow, indicating improved cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has shown growth, but the free cash flow to net income ratio highlights some inefficiencies in converting earnings to cash. The company has managed capital expenditures prudently, supporting free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue401.92M323.14M363.72M341.50M238.78M186.37M
Gross Profit199.44M167.57M163.07M141.44M120.18M93.73M
EBITDA1.26B5.30M25.99M29.32M10.46M1.59M
Net Income1.27B1.22M14.22M21.46M1.19M-13.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B473.90M468.69M463.32M440.72M415.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments284.10M287.54M271.88M262.32M239.01M255.07M
Total Debt70.54M29.63M22.95M32.36M20.19M21.91M
Total Liabilities234.06M156.12M145.21M154.90M138.95M125.23M
Stockholders Equity1.60B318.06M324.86M309.89M303.65M292.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0022.63M21.23M36.13M6.19M-27.52M
Operating Cash Flow0.0030.98M25.72M51.11M19.48M-13.91M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-21.91M-23.90M11.76M-32.62M-20.76M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-925.00K-13.52M6.64M-223.00K2.68M

Xunlei Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.01
Price Trends
50DMA
8.42
Negative
100DMA
7.37
Negative
200DMA
5.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Negative
RSI
41.99
Neutral
STOCH
72.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XNET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.30, below the 50-day MA of 8.42, and above the 200-day MA of 5.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XNET.

Xunlei Risk Analysis

Xunlei disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xunlei reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xunlei Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$940.21M11.4512.96%5.74%-0.94%47.48%
66
Neutral
$450.22M0.36131.32%26.91%8746.89%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$70.07M3.1415.20%-27.98%
39
Underperform
$400.91M-1.19-29.47%-7.12%-7.75%
31
Underperform
$5.26M-1.41-194.72%-11.51%74.52%
25
Underperform
$6.32M-113.86%2482.80%-169.59%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XNET
Xunlei
7.17
4.98
227.40%
YDKG
Yueda Digital
1.14
-46.30
-97.60%
DLX
Deluxe
20.89
-1.49
-6.66%
WIMI
WiMi Hologram Cloud
3.13
-5.45
-63.52%
ADV
Advantage Solutions
0.86
-2.58
-75.00%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
0.11
-0.99
-90.00%

Xunlei Corporate Events

Xunlei Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Significant Revenue Growth
Nov 13, 2025

Xunlei Limited announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, showcasing a significant year-over-year revenue increase of 57.7% to US$126.4 million. The growth was driven by strong performances across its subscription, live-streaming, and cloud computing services. The company’s net income soared to US$550.1 million, largely due to unrealized pre-tax gains from its investment in Arashi Vision Inc. This financial boost is expected to enhance Xunlei’s balance sheet, providing strategic leverage for future business expansion and collaborations. The company remains committed to operational discipline and strategic investments to ensure long-term growth and shareholder value.

Xunlei Extends Loan Maturity to Chizz (HK) Limited
Sep 12, 2025

On September 12, 2025, Xunlei Limited announced a further extension of the maturity date for a $20 million loan to Chizz (HK) Limited, a company controlled by its largest shareholder, Itui International Inc. Initially approved in September 2021, the loan’s maturity was first extended in 2023, with the interest rate increased to 5.1%. This recent extension maintains the same interest rate for an additional two years, reflecting Xunlei’s ongoing financial relationship with its key stakeholder.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025