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Xenia Hotels & Resorts (XHR)
NYSE:XHR

Xenia Hotels & Resorts (XHR) AI Stock Analysis

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XHXenia Hotels & Resorts
(NYSE:XHR)
54Neutral
Xenia Hotels & Resorts faces a challenging environment with mixed financial performance and weak technical indicators. The company shows resilience with revenue recovery and debt elimination, but ongoing profitability issues and high valuation concerns weigh on the score. Although the recent earnings call highlighted future optimism, the current market sentiment remains bearish. Investors should be cautious, considering both the potential for future growth and the existing risks.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
The Grand Hyatt Scottsdale Resort is anticipated to meaningfully contribute to growth in 2025.
RevPAR Growth
Prior renovation headwinds are now tailwinds with implied YTD RevPAR growth of 7.3% and 2025 guidance of 5.0%.
Negative Factors
Cost Pressures
Expected cost pressures in labor are likely to dampen EBITDA growth potential.
Earnings Shortfall
Xenia’s shortfall relates to incremental renovation-related disruption in Scottsdale, hurricane-related disruption, softer leisure demand, and continued expense pressures.
Guidance Expectations
Management set 2025 EBITDA guidance below expectations.

Xenia Hotels & Resorts (XHR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (XHR) is a self-advised and self-administered real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in top-tier hotels and resorts. The company focuses on acquiring, owning, and selectively developing luxury and upper upscale hotels, with a strategic emphasis on major metropolitan areas and key leisure destinations across the United States. Xenia's portfolio includes a diverse range of hospitality properties, operated under well-known brands and managed by leading hotel management companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyXenia Hotels & Resorts generates revenue primarily through the ownership and operation of its hotel and resort properties. The company's income is largely derived from room occupancy rates, food and beverage sales, and other ancillary services offered at its properties. Xenia's portfolio of luxury and upper upscale hotels is operated under franchise or management agreements with renowned hotel brands, which enhances its market presence and attracts a steady stream of guests. Additionally, the company's strategic focus on prime locations in key markets helps to optimize occupancy rates and revenue per available room (RevPAR), further contributing to its earnings. As a REIT, Xenia also benefits from tax advantages, distributing a significant portion of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends.

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall, Xenia Hotels & Resorts exhibits moderate financial health with stable revenue growth and a solid balance sheet. Despite improvements in net profit margins and cash flow generation, the company faces challenges with declining free cash flow and operational margins. Continued focus on operational efficiency and cash management will be crucial for future growth and stability.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Xenia Hotels & Resorts has shown steady revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $1.03 billion, up from $1.025 billion in 2023, indicating a modest growth trajectory. The gross profit margin stands at 24.52% for TTM, showing a slight decline from previous years but remains stable. Net profit margin improved to 2.37%, suggesting better cost control. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown a slight decrease, indicating room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11 in TTM, indicating a balanced leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) is relatively low at 1.93%, suggesting limited returns for equity holders. The equity ratio is healthy at 43.47%, showcasing a stable capital structure with sufficient equity backing.
Cash Flow
64
Positive
Xenia's cash flow statement reveals a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 7.93, indicating strong cash generation relative to profits. However, the free cash flow has decreased significantly, with a growth rate of -66.66% from the previous year, signaling potential challenges in sustaining cash reserves.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.03B1.03B997.61M616.19M369.78M1.15B
Gross Profit
252.62M268.17M278.15M128.10M-34.74M321.64M
EBIT
85.56M97.61M111.39M-34.37M-241.69M111.48M
EBITDA
217.99M229.42M275.21M95.03M-36.23M266.34M
Net Income Common Stockholders
24.38M19.14M55.92M-146.62M-166.89M55.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
167.25M167.25M305.10M517.38M389.82M110.84M
Total Assets
2.90B2.90B3.08B3.09B3.08B3.26B
Total Debt
1.41B1.41B1.43B1.49B1.37B1.29B
Net Debt
1.25B1.25B1.12B976.85M984.66M1.18B
Total Liabilities
1.58B1.58B1.62B1.65B1.51B1.49B
Stockholders Equity
1.29B1.29B1.44B1.43B1.55B1.74B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
25.71M77.16M116.75M8.94M-146.95M153.53M
Operating Cash Flow
193.26M198.06M187.13M40.76M-77.72M246.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-135.65M-118.75M-265.39M-24.21M254.19M-222.89M
Financing Cash Flow
-109.09M-222.15M-110.06M108.89M57.37M9.66M

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.18
Price Trends
50DMA
14.59
Negative
100DMA
14.81
Negative
200DMA
14.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
30.18
Neutral
STOCH
23.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XHR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.14, below the 50-day MA of 14.59, and below the 200-day MA of 14.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XHR.

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Risk Analysis

Xenia Hotels & Resorts disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xenia Hotels & Resorts reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HSHST
74
Outperform
$11.28B16.2910.55%4.96%7.02%-4.78%
71
Outperform
$3.48B16.346.55%6.59%6.52%14.45%
PKPK
68
Neutral
$2.48B12.165.82%8.33%-3.67%122.68%
61
Neutral
$4.91B18.99-3.12%7.77%6.71%-19.69%
PEPEB
61
Neutral
$1.42B-0.16%0.33%2.35%57.81%
RLRLJ
58
Neutral
$1.41B33.831.88%5.32%3.31%-15.16%
XHXHR
54
Neutral
$1.34B85.531.30%3.58%1.33%-10.65%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.18
-1.96
-12.95%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
15.85
-4.07
-20.43%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
11.84
-4.33
-26.78%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
9.33
-2.20
-19.08%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
14.50
-0.88
-5.72%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
11.75
-4.02
-25.49%

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.52% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented both positive and negative aspects. Highlights included the successful completion of the Grand Hyatt Scottsdale renovation, strong fourth-quarter performance, and positive group demand and bookings for 2025. However, the company also faced challenges, such as a net loss in Q4, declining EBITDA margins, and softening leisure demand. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook for 2025 remains optimistic.
Highlights
Successful Completion of Grand Hyatt Scottsdale Renovation
The transformative renovation and upbranding of Grand Hyatt Scottsdale was substantially completed, with the expanded Arizona ballroom finished on schedule. This project is expected to drive significantly higher cash flow and returns.
Strong Fourth Quarter Performance
Same property RevPAR increased by 5.1% in Q4 2024 compared to the previous year, with double-digit growth in markets like Nashville, Santa Barbara, and Phoenix.
Positive Full Year 2024 Metrics
For the full year, adjusted EBITDAre was $237.1 million, and net income was $16.1 million. Same property portfolio achieved a RevPAR increase of 1.6%.
Strong Group Demand and Bookings for 2025
Group room revenue excluding Scottsdale increased by 5% in 2024 compared to 2023, with a strong group bookings pace for 2025.
Improved Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation
Addressed all near-term debt maturities, increased liquidity to $650 million, and repurchased 1.1 million shares in 2024 at an average price of $14 per share.
Lowlights
Net Loss and Decline in EBITDA Margin
Reported a net loss of $638,000 in Q4 2024, with hotel EBITDA margin decreasing by 120 basis points compared to 2023.
Leisure Demand Softening
Leisure demand moderated in 2024, with declines in leisure-focused markets like Savannah, Phoenix, and Napa.
Lower Full Year EBITDA Margins
2024 hotel EBITDA was 5.5% below 2023 levels, and margins were 189 basis points lower compared to 2023.
Challenges in West Coast Markets
RevPAR declines in properties like Andaz San Diego and Hyatt Regency Grand Cypress due to difficult market conditions.
Company Guidance
During the call, the company provided guidance for 2025 with several key metrics. They projected a 3.5% to 6.5% increase in same property RevPAR, or 5% at the midpoint, and anticipated adjusted EBITDAre growth of 7%, reaching a midpoint of $254 million. The guidance also included an adjusted FFO per share increase of 3.5%. The company highlighted that the Grand Hyatt Scottsdale would significantly contribute to RevPAR growth, adding approximately 300 basis points. For 2025, they expect hotel-level expenses to increase about 4% per occupied room, with wages and benefits rising slightly higher. The company also noted that group room revenue booking pace was up 17% as of year-end 2024, driven by a mix of demand and rate growth. The guidance reflects the expectation of continued improvement in business transient demand and strong group booking momentum, with Scottsdale driving over half of the projected RevPAR growth for the year.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.