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Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS)
NASDAQ:XERS
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Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS) AI Stock Analysis

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XERS

Xeris Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:XERS)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(9.89% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/10/26
Score is driven by the fundamental turnaround (positive earnings and strong free cash flow) and a supportive earnings call with raised revenue guidance. Offsetting these are balance-sheet thinness (limited equity cushion) and a demanding valuation (very high P/E), while technicals are improving but still mixed versus longer-term trend levels.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow (~$48M FCF TTM) signals durable internal funding for operations, commercial expansion and Phase III work without immediate reliance on external capital. This materially improves financial flexibility versus prior multi-year cash burn, supporting multi-quarter execution.
Negative Factors
Thin equity and elevated leverage
A small equity cushion and historically negative equity leave limited balance-sheet shock absorption. Elevated leverage relative to tiny shareholder equity increases vulnerability to any earnings or cash-flow reversal, constraining strategic optionality and raising refinancing or covenant risks if profitability deteriorates.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow (~$48M FCF TTM) signals durable internal funding for operations, commercial expansion and Phase III work without immediate reliance on external capital. This materially improves financial flexibility versus prior multi-year cash burn, supporting multi-quarter execution.
Read all positive factors

Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing and commercializing therapies for patient populations in endocrinology, neurology, and gastroenterology. The company markets Gvoke, a ready-to-use liquid glucagon f...
How the Company Makes Money
Xeris makes money primarily by selling its prescription products in the United States through commercial channels (e.g., wholesalers/distributors and specialty pharmacies) and recording net product revenue after customary deductions (such as rebat...

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong execution: substantial top-line growth (38% total revenue, 43% net product revenue), a near-doubling of Recorlev revenue (95% YoY), improved margins and profitability, and on-track pipeline progress with XP-8121 Phase III planned. Near-term headwinds were limited mainly to Gvoke (flat revenue) due to Medicare resets and increased near-term operating spend tied to deliberate commercial and R&D investments. Overall, positives (robust revenue growth, margin expansion, profitability, guidance raise and pipeline advancement) outweigh the operational and timing headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total revenue of $83.1M in Q1'26, up 38% year-over-year; net product revenue of $82.5M, up 43% YoY, driven by Recorlev momentum.
Negative Updates
Gvoke Headwinds and Flat Revenue
Gvoke net revenue of $20.8M was flat YoY and slightly below internal expectations due to Medicare policy/plan changes (higher deductibles/out-of-pocket costs) that reduced prescription fills and total prescription volume in Q1.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total revenue of $83.1M in Q1'26, up 38% year-over-year; net product revenue of $82.5M, up 43% YoY, driven by Recorlev momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Xeris raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $380–$390 million (up from $375–$390M), implying more than 30% growth, driven by a strong Q1 that produced $83.1M total revenue (38% YoY), $82.5M net product revenue (43% YoY) including Recorlev $49.8M (95% YoY), Gvoke $20.8M (flat) and Keveyis $11.9M (4%); Q1 gross margin was 87% (+2%). Management expects R&D to increase by roughly $25M year‑over‑year (to fund XP‑8121 Phase III later this year) and SG&A to rise about $45M (reflecting the full‑year cost of a commercial expansion that now includes ~80 reps and ~12,000 targets), and reiterated a commitment to deliver positive adjusted EBITDA for 2026 that grows in absolute dollars versus 2025, with incremental benefit from the Recorlev expansion expected to materialize in the second half.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround is real: TTM shows ~$315M revenue, ~82% gross margin, positive EBIT (~10% margin), positive net income (~$12M), and strong positive free cash flow (~$47M). The main offset is balance-sheet fragility (thin equity and historically negative equity), making sustained profitability and cash generation critical.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue314.85M291.85M203.07M163.91M110.25M49.59M
Gross Profit256.88M238.43M166.24M135.27M87.61M36.27M
EBITDA44.92M12.71M-13.99M-23.73M-69.31M-113.67M
Net Income12.01M554.00K-54.84M-62.26M-94.66M-122.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets392.01M383.53M323.06M322.60M344.52M304.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.75M111.04M71.62M72.45M121.97M102.43M
Total Debt37.33M37.76M271.45M229.19M198.06M88.07M
Total Liabilities379.00M369.84M352.68M329.38M299.33M209.13M
Stockholders Equity13.01M13.69M-29.61M-6.78M45.19M95.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.23M27.93M-37.85M-49.29M-103.42M-103.42M
Operating Cash Flow48.53M28.63M-36.98M-47.02M-102.89M-102.89M
Investing Cash Flow-1.01M-696.00K4.88M-6.00M34.46M34.46M
Financing Cash Flow5.69M11.39M36.17M-1.61M127.47M27.25M

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.37
Price Trends
50DMA
6.11
Positive
100DMA
6.68
Negative
200DMA
7.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
60.90
Neutral
STOCH
86.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XERS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.83, above the 50-day MA of 6.11, and below the 200-day MA of 7.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XERS.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Xeris Pharmaceuticals disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xeris Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.08B110.68735.00%41.47%
60
Neutral
$1.78B-18.61-24.79%-18.14%
55
Neutral
$3.13B-5.29-68.97%67.38%24.05%
52
Neutral
$1.76B-10.58-107.52%-12.98%8.99%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.81B-11.85-256.66%397.28%27.68%
49
Neutral
$2.02B-10.27-48.84%-83.20%-439.48%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XERS
Xeris Pharmaceuticals
6.26
1.36
27.76%
SNDX
Syndax Pharmaceuticals
20.41
10.22
100.29%
ZYME
Zymeworks
23.90
12.29
105.86%
RCUS
Arcus Biosciences
24.90
16.23
187.20%
STOK
Stoke Therapeutics
32.49
23.56
263.83%
RAPP
Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.
37.24
27.25
272.77%

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Xeris Biopharma Announces Board Transition as Director Retires
Neutral
Apr 21, 2026
On April 20, 2026, Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. announced that Dr. Jeffrey Sherman, a director since 2021 and member of both the Compensation Committee and the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, notified the company of his decision t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 10, 2026