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Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS)
NASDAQ:XERS
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Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS) AI Stock Analysis

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XERS

Xeris Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:XERS)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-4.34% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's strong revenue growth and positive earnings call, which highlighted significant product demand and an upward revision in revenue guidance. However, financial performance challenges, including high leverage and negative equity, along with valuation concerns, weigh heavily on the score. Technical analysis shows bullish momentum, but caution is advised due to overbought indicators.
Positive Factors
Clinical Advancements
Significant clinical validation following Corcept's positive CATALYST trial readout.
Product Penetration
Stronger-than-expected Recorlev volume growth driven by increased penetration into the difficult-to-control type-2 diabetes market.
Revenue Growth
Xeris delivered strong revenues representing a robust growth, demonstrating management's increased confidence in their outlook and presenting a favorable setup for investors.
Negative Factors
Competition Impact
Keveyis faced a modest revenue decrease due to generic competition, though the addition of new patients helped slow the decline.
Execution Risks
Acknowledgement of execution risks given the nascent recognition of this patient population.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing and commercializing therapies for patient populations in endocrinology, neurology, and gastroenterology. The company markets Gvoke, a ready-to-use liquid glucagon for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia; and Keveyis, a therapy for the treatment of hyperkalemic, hypokalemic, and related variants of primary periodic paralysis; and Recorlev, a cortisol synthesis inhibitor proved for the treatment of endogenous hypercortisolemia in adult patients with Cushing's syndrome. It also has a pipeline of development programs to extend the marketed products into new indications and uses and bring new products using its proprietary formulation technology platforms, XeriSol and XeriJect. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyXeris Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sales of its products, particularly Gvoke, which is marketed for the emergency treatment of severe hypoglycemia in patients with diabetes. The company also earns revenue through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which may include licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties from product sales. Additionally, Xeris may explore opportunities in research and development agreements that can provide further financial support through funding or shared revenues from new therapies developed using its proprietary technology.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance and growth, particularly in revenue and product demand. Key products like Recorlev showed exceptional growth, and the company successfully raised its revenue guidance. However, there were challenges with increased expenses affecting gross margin and SG&A costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Total revenue grew 49% year-over-year to a quarterly record of $71.5 million. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $280 million to $290 million, representing a 40% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.
Exceptional Growth of Recorlev
Recorlev revenue grew 136% year-over-year to $31.4 million, with the average number of patients on therapy increasing by 122%. This performance reinforces Recorlev's position as a key treatment option for Cushing's syndrome.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a positive adjusted EBITDA of $12.5 million, reflecting an improvement of nearly $13 million compared to the previous year.
Successful Analyst and Investor Day
The company's first-ever Analyst and Investor Day outlined the long-term vision and key growth drivers, notably Recorlev and the pipeline asset XP-8121, receiving positive engagement from the investment community.
Gvoke and Keveyis Steady Growth
Gvoke posted a 17% increase in revenue to $23 million, while Keveyis demonstrated its importance with revenue over $11 million, marking a modest increase.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin declined slightly to 82% due to non-routine expenses associated with Gvoke capacity expansion.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by 11% year-over-year due to Recorlev commercial expansion and personnel-related costs.
Company Guidance
During the Xeris Biopharma Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company announced a significant upward revision of its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $280 million to $290 million, reflecting a 40% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Total revenue for the second quarter grew by 49% to $71.5 million, with net product revenue increasing by 46% to $67.7 million. Recorlev led the growth, with revenue surging 136% year-over-year to $31.4 million, driven by a 122% increase in the average number of patients on therapy. Gvoke also contributed with a 17% increase in revenue to $23.5 million, while Keveyis generated over $11 million in revenue. The company reported a gross margin of 82% and an adjusted EBITDA of $12.5 million, demonstrating strong operational efficiency. The positive outlook is supported by increased patient demand across all products and strategic investments in key growth drivers like Recorlev and the pipeline asset XP-8121.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xeris Pharmaceuticals is experiencing revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The high leverage and negative equity position present financial risks. While revenue is increasing, the company needs to address its cost structure and improve cash flow management to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Xeris Pharmaceuticals has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 10.55% in the TTM, indicating a growing top line. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 81.86% in 2024 to 37.11% in the TTM, reflecting increased cost pressures or pricing challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a negative equity position, resulting in a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -13.32 in the TTM. The negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating profits from its equity base, posing a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a significant decline in free cash flow growth by -75.8% in the TTM, indicating cash management challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating that free cash flow is covering net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2023Dec 2023Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue246.03M203.07M163.91M163.91M163.91M163.91M
Gross Profit199.62M166.24M135.27M135.27M135.27M135.27M
EBITDA7.39M-11.30M-23.73M-23.73M-23.73M-23.73M
Net Income-32.00M-54.84M-62.26M-62.26M-62.26M-62.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets334.69M323.06M322.60M322.60M322.60M322.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.28M71.62M72.45M72.45M72.45M72.45M
Total Debt257.22M271.45M229.19M229.19M229.19M229.19M
Total Liabilities353.99M352.68M329.38M329.38M329.38M329.38M
Stockholders Equity-19.30M-29.61M-6.78M-6.78M-6.78M-6.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.64M-37.85M-49.29M-49.29M-49.29M-49.29M
Operating Cash Flow-6.33M-36.98M-47.02M-47.02M-47.02M-47.02M
Investing Cash Flow19.64M4.88M-6.00M-6.00M-6.00M-6.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.88M36.17M-1.61M-1.61M-1.61M-1.61M

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.84
Price Trends
50DMA
6.00
Positive
100DMA
5.28
Positive
200DMA
4.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Positive
RSI
73.55
Negative
STOCH
74.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XERS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.43, above the 50-day MA of 6.00, and above the 200-day MA of 4.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 73.55 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XERS.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Xeris Pharmaceuticals disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xeris Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$1.12B-19.89%95.94%35.69%
55
Neutral
$1.26B222.83%35.62%49.58%
51
Neutral
$7.89B-0.33-41.61%2.23%23.26%-2.03%
47
Neutral
$696.45M-50.67%41.86%10.48%
47
Neutral
$958.42M-60.98%338.45%-19.64%
46
Neutral
$579.86M-29.22%-2.07%22.52%
42
Neutral
$1.25B-15.64%-0.54%-6.28%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XERS
Xeris Pharmaceuticals
7.84
5.20
196.97%
XNCR
Xencor
8.33
-8.30
-49.91%
ZYME
Zymeworks
14.14
2.55
22.00%
NRIX
Nurix Therapeutics
9.46
-15.23
-61.68%
PRAX
Praxis Precision Medicines
46.55
-14.16
-23.32%
ABCL
AbCellera Biologics
3.99
1.47
58.33%

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Xeris Pharmaceuticals Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. Three individuals were elected as Class I directors to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting. Additionally, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The stockholders also approved the compensation of the Company’s Named Executive Officers on a non-binding advisory basis.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Xeris Pharmaceuticals Hosts Analyst and Investor Day
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

Xeris Pharmaceuticals announced its first Analyst and Investor Day scheduled for June 3, 2025, in New York City, where senior management will discuss the company’s growth strategy and financial outlook. The event aims to highlight the potential of products like Recorlev® and XP-8121, emphasizing their expected impact on revenue growth and the treatment landscape for conditions such as hypothyroidism, potentially affecting stakeholders by demonstrating the company’s commitment to long-term value creation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025