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Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF)
NASDAQ:WOOF
US Market

Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) AI Stock Analysis

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Petco Health and Wellness Company

(NASDAQ:WOOF)

54Neutral
Petco's stock score of 54 reflects a mix of challenges and opportunities. Financial performance is hindered by negative net income and high leverage, though positive operating cash flows provide a glimmer of hope. Technical indicators show short-term optimism, but long-term caution remains. Valuation concerns due to negative earnings further weigh on the score. Earnings call insights into strategic initiatives are positive, but execution risks persist.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Petco's 3Q results were slightly ahead of expectations, indicating positive performance.
Management and Strategy
A fresh management team is moving with speed to optimize the business and realize efficiencies.
Market Opportunity
The Pet category is vibrant with significant growth potential for both product and services, suggesting a strong market opportunity.
Negative Factors
Competitive Environment
The category is intensely competitive, and consumers tend to be sticky, making it challenging for the company to reshape its brand.
Debt and Financial Risks
The debt burden remains an overhang, and will likely continue to weigh on shares.
Turnaround Challenges
There is a risk of a stalled turnaround and inability to reinvigorate comparable sales, which could lower the company's valuation.

Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Petco Health and Wellness Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) is a leading retailer in the pet care industry, providing a comprehensive range of products and services designed to enhance the health and wellness of pets. The company operates across various sectors, including pet food, supplies, and services such as grooming, training, and veterinary care. Petco is committed to fostering healthier relationships between pets and their owners through high-quality products and a focus on animal well-being.
How the Company Makes MoneyPetco Health and Wellness Company generates revenue through multiple streams. A significant portion of its income comes from the sale of pet food, supplies, and accessories in its retail stores and through e-commerce platforms. Additionally, Petco offers a variety of pet services, including grooming, training, and veterinary care, which contribute to its revenue. The company also benefits from partnerships with pet product manufacturers and exclusive brand offerings. Petco's earnings are further supported by its loyalty program, which drives repeat business and customer retention.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Petco Health and Wellness Company is facing financial challenges. The income statement indicates declining net income, with a significant loss in the trailing twelve months. The balance sheet reflects high leverage and diminishing equity, posing financial risks. Although there is some strength in operational cash flow, the company's overall financial health is under pressure due to high debt levels and profitability challenges.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging trajectory with a declining net income, moving from a profit in 2023 to a significant loss in TTM. Gross profit margin is positive but has slightly decreased over the period, indicating pressure on cost management. Revenue growth is modest over the years, but recent figures suggest stagnation or decline.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage that poses financial risk. Stockholders' equity has been decreasing, reflecting the impact of losses. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability. The decrease in total assets and stockholders' equity over recent periods is concerning.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some strength in operating cash flow, which remains positive. Free cash flow has fluctuated, but recent growth is a positive sign. The cash flow metrics indicate some operational resilience despite profitability challenges, but reliance on debt financing remains a concern.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.24B6.26B6.04B5.81B4.92B4.43B
Gross Profit
2.34B2.35B2.43B2.43B2.11B1.91B
EBIT
13.60M-1.18B225.56M266.07M194.40M110.60M
EBITDA
193.01M-971.83M407.75M464.20M383.76M316.84M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-110.55M-1.28B90.80M164.42M-38.30M-106.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
178.20M125.43M201.90M211.60M111.40M148.78M
Total Assets
1.65B5.36B6.61B6.50B6.08B6.16B
Total Debt
534.28M3.03B3.11B3.02B2.99B4.69B
Net Debt
356.08M2.90B2.91B2.81B2.88B4.54B
Total Liabilities
751.22M4.18B4.23B4.24B4.02B5.59B
Stockholders Equity
909.95M1.18B2.38B2.27B2.07B569.39M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
92.78M-9.88M67.98M119.11M109.06M-47.02M
Operating Cash Flow
232.88M215.72M346.00M358.21M268.62M110.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-140.80M-207.44M-320.32M-237.08M-157.19M-139.04M
Financing Cash Flow
-113.30M-85.35M-33.84M-18.78M-146.61M-3.07M

Petco Health and Wellness Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.09
Price Trends
50DMA
2.84
Positive
100DMA
3.46
Negative
200DMA
3.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
53.69
Neutral
STOCH
61.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOOF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.97, above the 50-day MA of 2.84, and below the 200-day MA of 3.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WOOF.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Risk Analysis

Petco Health and Wellness Company disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Petco Health and Wellness Company reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Petco Health and Wellness Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$14.58B39.19101.78%6.40%891.13%
73
Outperform
$30.88B16.8134.29%1.66%2.79%-23.30%
GPGPC
67
Neutral
$15.99B17.8120.69%3.53%1.71%-30.78%
BBBBY
60
Neutral
$13.10B14.4831.63%6.08%-4.43%-24.58%
60
Neutral
$6.54B11.343.27%4.27%2.37%-20.86%
54
Neutral
$856.97M-8.86%-2.22%92.17%
GMGME
54
Neutral
$11.97B100.834.19%-27.50%1150.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company
3.09
1.53
98.08%
BBY
Best Buy Co
61.97
-9.99
-13.88%
EBAY
eBay
66.26
16.25
32.49%
GME
GameStop
26.78
16.77
167.53%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
114.10
-44.09
-27.87%
CHWY
Chewy
35.24
19.54
124.46%

Petco Health and Wellness Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 26, 2025 | % Change Since: 26.64% | Next Earnings Date: May 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.'s earnings call presents a mixed picture with strong EBITDA performance and strategic leadership changes aimed at long-term growth. However, challenges such as net store closures, SG&A increases, and a modest sales outlook suggest underlying issues that need to be addressed. The sentiment balances positive strategic initiatives and operational improvements against current market challenges.
Highlights
Revenue and EBITDA Performance
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. delivered a revenue of $1.55 billion in Q4, in line with prior outlook, and adjusted EBITDA of $96.1 million, exceeding expectations. The company expects to deliver double-digit growth on adjusted EBITDA year over year in 2025.
Gross Margin Improvement
Q4 gross margin increased by 180 basis points to 38%, driven by lapsing an inventory and impairment charge from the previous year and progress in margin management.
Positive Cash Flow and Cash Balance
In 2024, Petco achieved $50 million of positive free cash flow and improved its cash balance to $182 million.
Leadership and Strategic Vision
Petco restructured its leadership team with new appointments, focusing on retail fundamentals, cost control, and long-term growth to reinvigorate the brand.
Expansion in Pet Services
Petco is leveraging its leadership in services, the fastest-growing area of the pet category, including grooming and vet locations.
Lowlights
Net Store Closures
Petco closed 25 net locations in 2024 and plans to close 20 to 30 more in 2025, reflecting challenges in optimizing its store fleet.
SG&A Increase
Total SG&A increased by approximately 60 basis points to 36.8% of net sales due to consulting fees and incentive compensation related to ongoing transformation efforts.
Flat Comparable Sales
Q4 comparable sales were up only 50 basis points year over year, indicating a challenging sales environment.
Downward Sales Outlook
Petco expects overall net sales to be down low single digits in 2025, excluding any potential tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, key financial metrics were discussed, including a fourth-quarter revenue of $1.55 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $96.1 million, which surpassed expectations. The company emphasized its commitment to improving profitability and outlined a strategic plan consisting of three phases: stabilizing profitability, implementing operational efficiencies, and preparing for long-term growth. For 2025, Petco projects a revenue decline in the low single digits and an adjusted EBITDA between $375 and $390 million. The company also aims to expand gross margin rates each quarter and leverage SG&A to enhance earnings power. Additionally, Petco plans to close 20 to 30 locations in 2025 and targets a debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio below two times.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Petco Reports Decrease in Revenue, Improves Cash Flow
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Petco Health and Wellness Company reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, showing a decrease in net revenue and gross profit compared to the previous year. Despite these declines, the company reduced its GAAP net loss significantly and improved its free cash flow. CEO Joel Anderson expressed confidence in the new leadership team’s ability to drive double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth in 2025, positioning the company for sustainable profitable growth.

Executive/Board Changes
Petco Announces New CFO Sabrina Simmons
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 18, 2025, Petco Health and Wellness Company announced a leadership change with Sabrina Simmons succeeding Brian LaRose as Chief Financial Officer, effective February 17, 2025. Mr. LaRose transitioned to a non-officer role and will remain with the company until April 30, 2025, to assist with the transition. He entered into a transition and separation agreement, receiving a lump sum payment and other benefits as part of his departure package.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Petco Appoints New CFO and Leadership Team
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

On February 17, 2025, Petco Health and Wellness Company appointed Sabrina Simmons as Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Brian LaRose who will remain in an advisory role until April 30, 2025. Petco also announced the appointments of Michael Romanko as Chief Customer and Product Officer, and Jack Stout as Chief Merchandising Officer, effective February 24, 2025. These leadership changes are part of Petco’s strategy to accelerate operational improvements and return to profitable growth, leveraging the extensive retail expertise of the new appointees.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.