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Weatherford International (WFRD)
NASDAQ:WFRD

Weatherford International (WFRD) AI Stock Analysis

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WFRD

Weatherford International

(NASDAQ:WFRD)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$95.00
â–²(9.45% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (steady profitability, positive free cash flow, and deleveraging), supported by strong technical trend signals. It is held back by signs of softening operating momentum (TTM revenue decline/margin compression), overbought technical readings, and near-term risks highlighted on the earnings call (Mexico/working capital and softer 2026 activity outlook).
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently positive and improving free cash flow provides durable funding for capex, debt reduction, dividends and buybacks. Reliable cash generation increases resilience through oilfield cycles, supports reinvestment in tools/technology, and underpins ongoing deleveraging and shareholder returns.
Balance-Sheet Repair / Liquidity
Material deleveraging and large liquidity buffers materially reduce refinancing and interest-rate risk in a cyclical industry. A stronger balance sheet increases strategic optionality for capital allocation, supports countercyclical investment, and lowers long-term financial vulnerability to activity swings.
Margin Resilience & Productivity
High and improved EBITDA margins plus structural cost and productivity programs (headcount reductions, shared services, digital/AI) and disciplined capex sustain profitability beyond short cycles. This enhances cash conversion potential and makes the business more competitive on price/volume downturns.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline Trend
A persistent decline in trailing revenue reduces operational leverage and limits the scalability of fixed-cost recovery. Lower top-line trends compress long-term margin sustainability, restrain reinvestment capacity, and make operational improvements less effective unless revenue growth stabilizes or reverses.
Mexico Exposure & Working Capital
A large country-specific revenue collapse coupled with payment uncertainty elevates receivable risk and drives elevated net working capital (NWC rose to ~28.9% of revenue). This weakens cash conversion durability and increases the chance of shortfalls or higher financing needs during prolonged collection disruptions.
Near-Term Activity Headwinds & Regional Variability
Structural exposure to regional and seasonal activity cycles (muted Saudi, EMEA softness, Q1 seasonality) means recovery timing is uncertain. Prolonged regional weakness can pressure fleet utilization and pricing, limiting margin and cash-flow upside despite internal cost measures.

Weatherford International (WFRD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Weatherford International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWeatherford International plc, an energy services company, provides equipment and services for the drilling, evaluation, completion, production, and intervention of oil, geothermal, and natural gas wells worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Western Hemisphere and Eastern Hemisphere. It offers artificial lift systems, including reciprocating rod, progressing cavity pumping, gas, hydraulic, plunger, and hybrid lift systems, as well as related automation and control systems; pressure pumping and reservoir stimulation services, such as acidizing, fracturing, cementing, and coiled-tubing intervention; and drill stem test tools, surface well testing, and multiphase flow measurement services. The company also provides safety, downhole reservoir monitoring, flow control, and multistage fracturing systems, as well as sand-control technologies, and production and isolation packers; liner hangers to suspend a casing string in high-temperature and high-pressure wells; cementing products, including plugs, float and stage equipment, and torque-and-drag reduction technology for zonal isolation; and pre-job planning and installation services. In addition, it offers directional drilling services, and logging and measurement services while drilling; services related to rotary-steerable systems, high-temperature and high-pressure sensors, drilling reamers, and circulation subs; rotating control devices and advanced automated control systems, as well as closed-loop drilling, air drilling, managed-pressure drilling, and underbalanced drilling services; open hole and cased-hole logging services; and intervention and remediation services. Further, the company provides tubular handling, management, and connection services; and re-entry, fishing, wellbore cleaning, and well abandonment services, as well as patented bottom hole, tubularhandling equipment, pressure-control equipment, and drill pipe and collars. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyWeatherford primarily makes money by selling oilfield services and equipment to oil and gas operators, generating revenue when customers contract for field execution, rent or purchase tools, and buy related consumables and replacement parts used in well operations. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) service revenue from delivering on-site operations such as drilling-related services, well completions support, production optimization, and well intervention/repair work; these are generally billed based on contracted day rates, job-based pricing, footage/volume-based metrics, or other performance and scope-based pricing depending on the service line and customer contract. (2) product and equipment revenue from selling or renting specialized downhole tools, completion and production hardware, and associated components; this can include one-time sales plus recurring demand for spares, maintenance, and refurbishment over the installed base lifecycle. (3) aftermarket and support revenue tied to maintaining, repairing, and replacing equipment deployed in the field, which can provide recurring cash flows as tools require periodic servicing. Weatherford’s earnings are influenced by upstream capital spending cycles, commodity prices (which affect customer activity levels), international and offshore/onshore activity mix, utilization of its tool fleet, pricing discipline in competitive service markets, and its ability to deploy differentiated technologies that command higher margins. Specific material partnerships contributing to earnings: null.

Weatherford International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted meaningful financial and operational progress: strong Q4 and full-year free cash flow, improved EBITDA margins (22.6% in Q4), a materially strengthened balance sheet (net leverage ~0.42x), active shareholder returns and targeted cost reductions. These positives were balanced against significant challenges — most notably a >50% YoY revenue decline in Mexico during 2025, elevated net working capital (28.9% of revenue), near-term revenue headwinds with expected mid-to-high single-digit North America declines, seasonality-driven softness in Q1 2026, and regional variability (EMEA/Russia softness and muted Saudi activity). Management expects international recovery in H2 2026 and a stronger 2027, but near-term execution remains dependent on payment cadence (Mexico) and activity recoveries. Overall, the favorable cash generation, margin resilience, deleveraging and strategic investments outweigh the key headwinds, resulting in a constructive outlook but with near-term risks to monitor.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential and Regional Revenue Growth
Q4 2025 revenue grew 5% sequentially, driven by Latin America (+16% sequential, led by Mexico and Brazil) and Middle East, North Africa & Asia (+4% sequential, led by Kuwait, Oman, UAE and Indonesia); North America grew modestly driven by Canada and U.S. offshore.
Strong Margin Expansion
Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin was 22.6%, a sequential improvement of 74 basis points, demonstrating operational focus and margin resilience despite a soft market.
Robust Free Cash Flow Generation
Q4 adjusted free cash flow was $222 million with a 76.3% adjusted free cash flow conversion for the quarter; full year adjusted free cash flow totaled $466 million with a 43.7% conversion, an improvement of 576 basis points versus 2024.
Significant Balance Sheet Strengthening
Net leverage improved to ~0.42x after executing debt restructuring and reducing gross debt by $161 million; cash and restricted cash approximately $1.0 billion and total liquidity $1.6 billion, providing financial flexibility.
Shareholder Returns and Dividend Increase
Returned $173 million in 2025 via $72 million of dividends and $101 million in share repurchases (about 37% of adjusted free cash flow for the year); increased dividend by 10%.
Product-Line and Contract Wins
Notable contract wins and operational milestones: wireline award in Romania, completions wins in Kuwait, 25+ plug-and-play liner installations in Norway, and 70 Modus MPD jobs globally in the first full commercial year.
CapEx Discipline and Reinvestment in Infrastructure
Full year 2025 CapEx was $226 million (4.6% of revenues). 2026 CapEx guidance of $190–$230 million indicates a lower midpoint and a shift toward higher IT/ERP spend while maintaining a 3–5% of revenue target.
Operational Cost Reduction and Productivity Initiatives
Achieved over $150 million of personnel expense reductions in 2025 (~2,000 headcount reduction) and implemented continuous improvement, shared services, digital and AI initiatives to drive productivity and margin gains.
Negative Updates
Mexico Revenue Collapse and Payment Uncertainty (2025)
Mexico revenues declined a little over 50% year-over-year for full year 2025. While collections improved in H2 2025 and some large tranches were received in Q4, payment timing and remaining receivables continue to create working capital uncertainty.
Working Capital Pressure
Net working capital as a percentage of revenue rose to 28.9% in 2025 from 24.5% in 2024 (an increase of ~450 basis points), negatively impacting cash conversion in the year despite sequential improvement of ~70 basis points.
Near-Term Revenue and Activity Headwinds
2026 outlook anticipates slight revenue declines overall with North America spending expected to be down mid- to high-single digits; international activity expected to be flat to slightly down for the year, reflecting geopolitical and commodity volatility.
Q1 2026 Seasonality and Sequential Softness
Q1 2026 guidance implies a sequential top-line decline driven by typical seasonality, some work pulled into Q4 2025 (notably in Brazil and Gulf of America), weather impacts in Texas, and tariff effects; Q1 revenue guidance is $1.125–$1.165 billion and adjusted EBITDA $230–$240 million.
Tariffs, Margin Dilution and Divestiture Effects
Tariff-driven dilution and the Argentina divestiture affect year-over-year comparisons and margins in parts of 2026; management noted these as headwinds despite actions taken to protect margins.
Ongoing Regional Softness
Europe, Sub-Sahara Africa & Russia declined ~2% sequentially and remain soft; Saudi activity remained muted in early 2026, with expected recovery skewed to the second half but timing uncertainty persists.
Company Guidance
Weatherford guided Q1 2026 revenue of $1.125–$1.165 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $230–$240 million and expects slightly positive adjusted free cash flow; for full‑year 2026 management expects revenue of $4.6–$5.05 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $980 million–$1.12 billion, adjusted free‑cash‑flow conversion in the low‑to‑mid‑40% range (against a 50%‑cycle target), CapEx of $190–$230 million (roughly 3–5% of revenue, midpoint down from 2025’s $226 million/4.6%), and an effective tax rate in the low‑to‑mid‑20% range; the Q1 guide reflects typical seasonality, some work pulled into Q4 and impacts from the Argentina divestiture/tariffs, and management reiterated a strong balance sheet (net leverage ~0.42x, ~$1.0 billion cash/restricted cash, $1.6 billion total liquidity) — for context Q4 2025 adjusted FCF was $222 million (76.3% conversion) and FY2025 adjusted FCF was $466 million (43.7% conversion).

Weatherford International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals reflect a sustained turnaround with solid TTM profitability and consistently positive free cash flow, supported by ongoing deleveraging and equity rebuild. Offsetting this, TTM revenue declined versus the prior year and margins have come off 2024 highs, suggesting softening momentum and potential cycle pressure.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability has improved materially versus 2020–2022, with sustained positive earnings since 2022 and solid TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) margins (about 19% EBITDA margin and ~8% net margin). However, momentum softened in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) as revenue declined versus the prior year, and margins are down from 2024 highs, suggesting some late-cycle or pricing/volume pressure.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Leverage has been trending in the right direction: total debt has stepped down meaningfully since 2020 and debt-to-equity has improved sharply from very elevated levels (over 5x in 2021 to ~1.1x in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)). Equity has also expanded, supporting balance-sheet repair. That said, leverage remains noticeable for the sector, and returns on equity are high in recent periods, which can reflect both improved profitability and still-moderate equity levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is solid, with strong TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow, and a notable TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free-cash-flow increase versus 2024. Free cash flow remains consistently positive across the period shown. The main weakness is that cash conversion from earnings is not especially strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (free cash flow is well below net income), and operating cash flow has eased from 2023–2024 levels.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.92B5.51B5.13B4.33B3.65B
Gross Profit1.07B1.91B1.74B1.31B929.00M
EBITDA970.00M1.24B1.01B697.00M357.00M
Net Income431.00M506.00M417.00M26.00M-450.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.20B5.16B5.07B4.72B4.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B916.00M958.00M910.00M951.00M
Total Debt1.75B1.79B2.06B2.41B2.62B
Total Liabilities3.50B3.88B4.15B4.17B4.28B
Stockholders Equity1.70B1.28B924.00M535.00M472.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow450.00M493.00M623.00M217.00M237.00M
Operating Cash Flow676.00M792.00M832.00M349.00M322.00M
Investing Cash Flow-145.00M-293.00M-289.00M-54.00M-83.00M
Financing Cash Flow-474.00M-511.00M-514.00M-248.00M-403.00M

Weatherford International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price86.80
Price Trends
50DMA
94.55
Negative
100DMA
84.57
Positive
200DMA
70.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.53
Positive
RSI
33.99
Neutral
STOCH
10.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFRD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 86.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.04, below the 50-day MA of 94.55, and above the 200-day MA of 70.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WFRD.

Weatherford International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$25.49B19.3729.62%0.44%11.73%45.70%
69
Neutral
$6.23B13.1128.18%1.25%-10.19%-23.74%
69
Neutral
$67.23B16.8514.64%2.98%-2.13%-16.76%
68
Neutral
$54.54B17.3914.43%2.04%1.51%30.09%
66
Neutral
$28.61B18.4812.36%2.41%-4.06%-47.41%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$6.56B40.102.26%3.24%-1.43%-63.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WFRD
Weatherford International
86.80
32.27
59.16%
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
55.19
12.18
28.32%
FTI
TechnipFMC
63.72
35.62
126.75%
HAL
Halliburton
34.16
9.61
39.16%
NOV
NOV
18.19
4.14
29.47%
SLB
Schlumberger
44.96
4.76
11.84%

Weatherford International Corporate Events

Dividends
Weatherford International Raises Quarterly Dividend, Signals Confidence
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Weatherford International plc announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.275 per ordinary share, a 10% increase from the previous quarterly payout, signaling confidence in the company’s financial position and cash-generation capabilities. The dividend will be paid on March 5, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 6, 2026, underscoring Weatherford’s continued emphasis on shareholder returns and potentially enhancing its appeal to income-focused investors within the oilfield services sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (WFRD) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weatherford International stock, see the WFRD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026