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NCR Voyix (VYX)
NYSE:VYX
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NCR Voyix (VYX) AI Stock Analysis

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VYX

NCR Voyix

(NYSE:VYX)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(0.00% Upside)
NCR Voyix's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in revenue decline and cash flow issues, which are the most impactful factors. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with short-term bearish momentum but longer-term bullish trends. Valuation concerns further weigh down the score, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. Despite positive strategic developments highlighted in the earnings call, these are not enough to offset the financial and valuation challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
VYX posted quarterly results which came in better than expected.
SaaS Growth
SaaS ARR grew 6.8% year-over-year and platform sites jumped 16% as VYX continues to sign and convert customers to its SaaS offering.
Negative Factors
Hardware Sales
Hardware revenue continues to decline quite significantly, but these declines are expected.
Revenue Decline
Revenue declined approximately 13% year-over-year, impacted by soft hardware sales and the exit of a one-time $20 million software and services benefit.

NCR Voyix (VYX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NCR Voyix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCR Voyix (VYX) is a technology company specializing in advanced payment solutions and digital commerce services. Operating primarily in the financial technology sector, NCR Voyix offers a suite of products designed to enhance customer interactions, streamline transaction processes, and optimize point-of-sale experiences across various industries including retail, hospitality, and banking. Their core services include payment processing, mobile wallet integrations, and data analytics solutions that empower businesses to improve operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCR Voyix generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing payment processing services to businesses, which includes transaction fees for each payment processed. Additionally, they offer subscription-based models for their software solutions, allowing businesses to access advanced analytics and customer engagement tools. Revenue is further supplemented through strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers, facilitating integrated solutions that enhance the overall value proposition. Furthermore, NCR Voyix benefits from service contracts and ongoing maintenance agreements, ensuring a steady income flow from existing clients.

NCR Voyix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of the company's performance, with strong growth in the Voyix Commerce Platform and strategic partnerships, offset by challenges in hardware sales and tariff-related costs. The company is making strategic investments and expanding its service offerings, which bodes well for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Voyix Commerce Platform Growth
The Voyix Commerce Platform had nearly 78,000 sites connected, increasing 16% year-over-year. Consumer transaction volume flowing through the VCP was more than 50% higher than the previous year.
Strong Performance in the Retail Segment
Retail platform sites increased 25%, and payment sites increased 13%. Software ARR increased 9%, and total ARR increased 6% in the quarter.
Strategic Partnerships and Expansions
NCR Voyix signed multiple strategic agreements, including with a national grocery chain in Japan and a large drugstore chain. They also expanded services with a large global coffee chain and fast-food chain.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA of $95 million increased 20% in the second quarter, with margin expanding by 340 basis points to 14.3%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Hardware Sales
Total revenue declined 8% due to continued softness in hardware sales. Retail segment revenue declined 12% as a result.
Tariff-Related Costs
Tariff-related costs continue to impact the business, estimated to be between $8 million and $12 million for the year.
Company Guidance
During the NCR Voyix Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and forward-looking statements. Throughout the quarter, NCR Voyix reported total revenue of $666 million, representing an 8% decline, attributed to softness in hardware sales. However, recurring revenue increased by 4% to $422 million, making up 63% of the total revenue. Software ARR and total segment ARR saw growth of 7% and 5%, respectively. The company also reported an adjusted EBITDA of $95 million, a 20% increase, with a margin expansion of 340 basis points to 14.3%. As for operations, the company noted nearly 78,000 sites connected to the Voyix Commerce Platform, marking a 16% increase year-over-year, and a notable increase in consumer transaction volumes, which were over 50% higher in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year. The outlook remains positive with expected revenue between $2.575 billion and $2.65 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $420 million and $445 million, and non-GAAP diluted EPS projected between $0.75 and $0.80. Additionally, adjusted free cash flow is anticipated to range from $170 million to $190 million.

NCR Voyix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VYX's financial performance is concerning due to volatile revenue, operational inefficiencies, and high leverage. Despite a strong ROE, cash flow issues and low equity ratios suggest financial instability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
VYX's revenue growth has been volatile, with a noticeable decline from $7.84 billion in 2022 to $2.89 billion TTM. The gross profit margin is moderate at 22.6% TTM, and the net profit margin is unusually high at 34.0% due to a one-time gain or accounting change. EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak at 1.5% and 9.9%, respectively, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt burden with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56 TTM, indicating potential leverage risks. The equity ratio is concerning at 19.8%, reflecting low equity compared to total assets. ROE is strong at 114.5% TTM, but this is skewed by the high net income in TTM, which may not be sustainable.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow of -$139 million TTM, suggesting cash management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating poor conversion of income to cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.68B2.83B3.83B3.17B3.69B6.21B
Gross Profit611.00M579.00M962.00M919.00M957.00M1.52B
EBITDA271.00M232.00M530.00M783.00M1.07B528.00M
Net Income977.00M958.00M-423.00M60.00M97.00M-79.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.98B4.45B4.99B11.51B11.64B8.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments276.00M724.00M262.00M221.00M447.00M338.00M
Total Debt1.34B1.35B2.89B6.02B6.08B3.73B
Total Liabilities2.84B3.25B4.69B9.75B10.11B7.09B
Stockholders Equity1.14B1.21B301.00M1.75B1.53B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-565.00M-349.00M317.00M70.00M729.00M378.00M
Operating Cash Flow-443.00M-132.00M694.00M447.00M1.08B641.00M
Investing Cash Flow2.19B2.19B-290.00M-387.00M-2.83B-277.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.66B-1.56B-839.00M1.00M2.18B-514.00M

NCR Voyix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.50
Price Trends
50DMA
12.81
Negative
100DMA
11.19
Positive
200DMA
12.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
41.14
Neutral
STOCH
45.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VYX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.37, below the 50-day MA of 12.81, and above the 200-day MA of 12.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VYX.

NCR Voyix Risk Analysis

NCR Voyix disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NCR Voyix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NCR Voyix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.87B23.0112.47%1.60%6.22%24.91%
71
Outperform
$1.49B295.620.86%22.20%
70
Outperform
$1.55B25.6312.49%19.04%24.49%
61
Neutral
$36.30B7.26-7.27%1.97%7.74%-7.92%
61
Neutral
$1.43B499.350.37%7.40%-90.72%
58
Neutral
$818.80M39.11-5.88%0.47%-292.02%
45
Neutral
$1.75B-8.85%-43.28%15.29%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VYX
NCR Voyix
12.50
-0.59
-4.51%
FORTY
Formula Systems
122.18
47.02
62.56%
PSFE
Paysafe
13.70
-7.39
-35.04%
FLYW
Flywire
12.37
-4.82
-28.04%
TASK
TaskUs
17.29
3.61
26.39%
NABL
N-able
7.64
-5.14
-40.22%

NCR Voyix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCR Voyix Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, NCR Voyix reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, ending June 30. The company saw a decrease in revenue to $666 million from $722 million in the previous year, but net income improved to $1 million from a $90 million loss. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $95 million, and the company maintained its full-year 2025 outlook. NCR Voyix continues to focus on strategic initiatives, including product innovation and expanding payment capabilities, which are expected to drive value for customers and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (VYX) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCR Voyix stock, see the VYX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NCR Voyix Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 6, 2025, NCR Voyix Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. During the meeting, nine directors were elected, executive compensation was approved on a non-binding advisory basis, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s commitment to maintaining strong leadership and financial integrity, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (VYX) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCR Voyix stock, see the VYX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025