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NCR Voyix (VYX)
NYSE:VYX

NCR Voyix (VYX) AI Stock Analysis

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VY

NCR Voyix

(NYSE:VYX)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(4.87%Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial instability and valuation concerns. While technical analysis shows positive momentum, it is tempered by overbought signals. Earnings call sentiment is mixed, with cost efficiencies offset by revenue declines and tariff challenges.
Positive Factors
Customer Growth
VYX added 215 new customers in the quarter, grew platform sites 27% Y/Y and payment sites 7% Y/Y.
Financial Performance
VYX posted 1Q results which came in better than expected.
Strategic Partnerships
Expectations for both VCP and the Worldpay partnership to go live later this year should help with cross/upsell opportunities into 2026.
Negative Factors
Hardware Revenue
Hardware revenue continues to decline quite significantly (-29% Y/Y in 1Q), but these declines are expected.
Supply Chain Challenges
The Ennoconn ODM agreement is taking longer than expected to become operational.
Tariff Impact
VYX expects an $8-12 million revenue headwind from China-related tariffs.

NCR Voyix (VYX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NCR Voyix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCR Corporation provides various software and services in the United States, Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through Retail, Hospitality, Digital Banking, Payments & Network, and Self-Service Banking segments. It offers managed services, including ATM-as-a-Service solutions that allow banks to run their end-to-end ATM channels; software, services, and hardware; and digital banking solutions for financial institution's consumer and business customers. The company also provides solutions for banking channel services, transaction processing, imaging, and branch services. In addition, it offers solutions for retail industry comprising comprehensive API-point of sale (POS) retail software platforms and applications, hardware terminals and peripherals, payment processing solutions, and consumer engagement solutions, as well as self-service kiosks, which consists of self-checkout (SCO). Further, the company provides technology solutions to customers in the hospitality industry comprising table-service, quick-service, and fast casual restaurants. It also offers cloud-based and cloud-enabled software applications for point-of-sale, back office, payment processing, kitchen production, restaurant management, eCommerce, and consumer marketing and loyalty; and hospitality-oriented hardware products, such as POS terminals, kitchen display systems, handheld devices, printers, and peripherals. Additionally, the company provides managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients, as well as professional, field, and remote services for network technologies. It also offers solutions for customer account opening and onboarding across digital, branch, and call center channels. NCR Corporation was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCR Voyix generates revenue through a combination of product sales, software licensing, and service contracts. The company sells hardware such as point-of-sale terminals and self-service kiosks directly to businesses in its targeted sectors. Additionally, it earns money from software licensing fees, providing digital banking and payment processing solutions. Service contracts for maintenance, support, and system integration also contribute to its revenue stream. Significant partnerships with banks, retailers, and hospitality enterprises bolster its market presence and facilitate ongoing revenue generation through long-term agreements.

NCR Voyix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 36.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there were significant expansions in platform and payment sites and new customer wins, the company faced revenue declines, tariff-related cost challenges, and a drop in retail segment profitability. The sentiment is balanced by cost efficiency improvements and share repurchase activities.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion of Platform and Payment Sites
Restaurant platform and payment sites increased by 5% and 6%, respectively. Retail platform and payment sites increased by 48% and 14%, respectively.
Significant Customer Wins
Secured multiyear contracts with Ziggi's Coffee and Raising Cane's in the restaurant segment. Renewed and expanded relationships with Morrisons in the retail segment.
Cost Efficiency Improvements
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 19% with a margin expansion of 330 basis points to 12.2%, largely due to cost efficiency initiatives.
Share Repurchase Program
Completed an additional $25 million of share repurchases and increased the total aggregate purchase authority to $200 million.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue declined by 13% due to continued softness in hardware sales and exiting one-time software revenue streams.
Tariff-related Costs
Tariff-related costs are projected to be between $8 million and $12 million for the year, with potential to rise up to $20 million.
Decline in Software ARR
Software ARR and total ARR in the restaurant segment both decreased by 1%, although they saw a modest increase after adjusting for timing.
Challenges in Retail Segment
Retail segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased by 24% primarily due to declines in hardware revenue and an unfavorable product mix.
Company Guidance
During the NCR Voyix first-quarter 2025 earnings call, several metrics and guidance points were discussed. The company reported total revenue of $617 million, a 13% decline primarily due to softness in hardware sales and exiting one-time revenue streams, with recurring revenue increasing by 2% to $407 million, now representing 66% of total revenue. Software ARR and total segment ARR increased by 5% and 2%, respectively, while platform sites grew by 27% to 77,000 sites. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 19% to $75 million, with margins expanding by 330 basis points to 12.2%, driven by efficiency initiatives. For the full year, NCR Voyix maintains its guidance, expecting currency-neutral revenue between $2.575 billion to $2.65 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $420 million to $445 million, and adjusted free cash flow between $170 million to $190 million, excluding restructuring and other strategic expenditures. The company is also focused on mitigating tariff-related costs and advancing its cloud-native platform and payment initiatives, anticipating a launch in the latter half of the year to bolster revenue growth into 2026.

NCR Voyix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VYX exhibits severe volatility in revenue and profitability with operational inefficiencies and high leverage presenting risks. Cash flow issues and low equity ratios suggest financial instability, despite a strong ROE driven by non-sustainable factors.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
VYX's revenue growth has been volatile, with a noticeable decline from $7.84 billion in 2022 to $2.89 billion TTM. The gross profit margin is moderate at 22.6% TTM, and the net profit margin is unusually high at 34.0% due to a one-time gain or accounting change. EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak at 1.5% and 9.9%, respectively, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt burden with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56 TTM, indicating potential leverage risks. The equity ratio is concerning at 19.8%, reflecting low equity compared to total assets. ROE is strong at 114.5% TTM, but this is skewed by the high net income in TTM, which may not be sustainable.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow of -$139 million TTM, suggesting cash management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating poor conversion of income to cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting liquidity challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.89B2.83B3.83B7.84B7.16B6.21B
Gross Profit
653.00M579.00M962.00M1.86B1.89B1.52B
EBIT
43.00M-37.00M37.00M489.00M474.00M221.00M
EBITDA
285.00M256.00M530.00M783.00M455.00M528.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
981.00M943.00M-423.00M60.00M97.00M-79.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
573.00M724.00M262.00M505.00M447.00M338.00M
Total Assets
4.34B4.45B4.99B11.51B11.64B8.41B
Total Debt
1.34B1.35B2.89B6.02B5.95B3.60B
Net Debt
767.00M622.00M2.63B5.51B5.50B3.27B
Total Liabilities
3.48B3.25B4.69B9.75B10.11B7.09B
Stockholders Equity
857.00M1.21B301.00M1.75B1.53B1.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-334.00M-349.00M317.00M70.00M729.00M378.00M
Operating Cash Flow
-139.00M-132.00M694.00M447.00M1.08B641.00M
Investing Cash Flow
19.00M2.19B-290.00M-387.00M-2.83B-277.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.71B-1.56B-839.00M1.00M2.18B-514.00M

NCR Voyix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.92
Price Trends
50DMA
9.72
Positive
100DMA
10.56
Positive
200DMA
12.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
67.45
Neutral
STOCH
86.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VYX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.06, above the 50-day MA of 9.72, and below the 200-day MA of 12.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VYX.

NCR Voyix Risk Analysis

NCR Voyix disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NCR Voyix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NCR Voyix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.49B28.0711.35%14.05%17.90%
71
Outperform
$1.67B20.2412.47%1.74%3.51%18.34%
71
Outperform
$1.56B93.572.20%7.98%-40.59%
71
Outperform
$1.26B385.820.63%20.97%
62
Neutral
$11.93B10.60-7.51%3.00%7.40%-8.09%
57
Neutral
$764.81M39.11-0.04%3.50%95.90%
VYVYX
52
Neutral
$1.68B-19.49%-50.48%-15.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VYX
NCR Voyix
11.92
-0.94
-7.31%
FORTY
Formula Systems
108.66
39.38
56.84%
PSFE
Paysafe
12.86
-5.15
-28.60%
FLYW
Flywire
10.88
-5.63
-34.10%
TASK
TaskUs
16.72
4.09
32.38%
NABL
N-able
8.15
-6.10
-42.81%

NCR Voyix Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NCR Voyix Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 6, 2025, NCR Voyix Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. During the meeting, nine directors were elected, executive compensation was approved on a non-binding advisory basis, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s commitment to maintaining strong leadership and financial integrity, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (VYX) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCR Voyix stock, see the VYX Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCR Voyix Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 8, 2025

NCR Voyix reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, showing a revenue of $617 million, a decrease from $710 million in the previous year. Despite a net loss of $20 million, this was an improvement from the $71 million loss in the prior year. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $75 million, up from $63 million, and maintained its full-year 2025 outlook. Key developments included signing new customers, expanding existing relationships, and progressing on payments and hardware agreements. The company also repurchased $62 million in common shares and expanded its share repurchase program to $200 million, now including Series A preferred stock.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.