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Ncr Voyix Corporation (VYX)
NYSE:VYX

NCR Voyix (VYX) AI Stock Analysis

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VYX

NCR Voyix

(NYSE:VYX)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(8.59% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—especially significant negative operating and free cash flow and unstable profitability—despite some balance-sheet improvement. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call was constructive with strong adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, recurring revenue/ARR growth, and a major customer win (Chipotle). Technicals add modest support near term, while valuation remains challenged due to losses (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strategic Shift to Software
The shift to a software-led business model can enhance margins and recurring revenue, providing a more stable and scalable growth path.
Partnership with Chipotle
The exclusive agreement with Chipotle strengthens market position and demonstrates trust in NCR Voyix's technology, potentially leading to further partnerships.
Recurring Revenue Growth
Growth in recurring revenue indicates a successful transition to a more predictable revenue model, enhancing financial stability and investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Declining Total Revenue
A decline in total revenue suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term growth and profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow highlights liquidity issues, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt obligations effectively.
Operational Inefficiencies
Low EBIT margin indicates inefficiencies that could hinder profitability improvements, necessitating operational restructuring for better cost management.

NCR Voyix (VYX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NCR Voyix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCR Corporation provides various software and services in the United States, Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through Retail, Hospitality, Digital Banking, Payments & Network, and Self-Service Banking segments. It offers managed services, including ATM-as-a-Service solutions that allow banks to run their end-to-end ATM channels; software, services, and hardware; and digital banking solutions for financial institution's consumer and business customers. The company also provides solutions for banking channel services, transaction processing, imaging, and branch services. In addition, it offers solutions for retail industry comprising comprehensive API-point of sale (POS) retail software platforms and applications, hardware terminals and peripherals, payment processing solutions, and consumer engagement solutions, as well as self-service kiosks, which consists of self-checkout (SCO). Further, the company provides technology solutions to customers in the hospitality industry comprising table-service, quick-service, and fast casual restaurants. It also offers cloud-based and cloud-enabled software applications for point-of-sale, back office, payment processing, kitchen production, restaurant management, eCommerce, and consumer marketing and loyalty; and hospitality-oriented hardware products, such as POS terminals, kitchen display systems, handheld devices, printers, and peripherals. Additionally, the company provides managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients, as well as professional, field, and remote services for network technologies. It also offers solutions for customer account opening and onboarding across digital, branch, and call center channels. NCR Corporation was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCR Voyix generates revenue primarily through the sale of its POS hardware and software solutions, subscription fees for its cloud services, and transaction fees from payment processing services. The company has established significant partnerships with various financial institutions and technology providers, which contribute to its revenue by facilitating seamless payment processing and expanding its market reach. Additionally, NCR Voyix earns recurring revenue from maintenance contracts, software updates, and customer support services, creating a stable income stream while enhancing customer loyalty.

NCR Voyix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant strides in strategic initiatives, including a key partnership with Chipotle and growth in recurring revenue. However, it also highlighted challenges, such as a decline in total revenue and issues with the ODM implementation.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Strategic Shift to Software-Led Business
NCR Voyix has made significant progress in repositioning the company as a software-led business, marking a milestone by outsourcing the hardware business and focusing on high-margin software and services.
Exclusive Agreement with Chipotle
NCR Voyix signed a new 6-year exclusive agreement with Chipotle, marking a notable achievement in deploying their Aloha next-generation point-of-sale across 4,000 restaurants.
Growth in Recurring Revenue
Recurring revenue increased by 5% to $425 million, driven by 7% growth in restaurants and 4% growth in retail.
Enhanced EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 32% with a margin expansion of 490 basis points to 18.3%.
Innovation and AI Integration
Significant advancements in AI-enabled development have been made, accelerating the delivery of applications and enhancing the Voyix Commerce platform.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue declined by 3% to $684 million due to lower hardware sales and onetime software and services revenue.
Reduced Software and Services Revenue
Lower software and services revenue was reported, mainly due to customer adjustments tied to delayed software implementations in the prior year.
Challenges with ODM Implementation
The ODM implementation faced technology challenges, causing a revised schedule for transitioning to Ennoconn.
Company Guidance
During the NCR Voyix Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported a total revenue of $684 million, experiencing a 3% decline due to lower hardware sales and one-time software and services revenue, but recurring revenue increased by 5% to $425 million. Software ARR and total ARR grew by 8% and 5%, respectively. The company's adjusted EBITDA stood at $125 million, reflecting a 32% increase with a margin expansion of 490 basis points to 18.3%. The call emphasized the strategic shift towards becoming a platform-powered software and services provider, with a phased transition of the hardware business to Ennoconn beginning in January 2026. NCR Voyix's focus on expanding its payments presence across various verticals aims to enhance recurring revenue, and the introduction of AI-enabled development is expected to accelerate innovation. The company also announced a significant partnership with Chipotle, extending their longstanding relationship and showcasing the new Aloha next-generation point-of-sale system. Looking forward, NCR Voyix projects its 2025 revenue to range between $2.65 billion and $2.67 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA expectation between $420 million and $435 million.

NCR Voyix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Results are pressured by weak TTM profitability (near break-even EBIT and negative net income) and especially poor cash generation (deeply negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow). Leverage has improved versus 2023 but remains elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.6x), increasing risk until cash flow stabilizes.
Income Statement
34
Negative
In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), revenue is down about 1% versus the prior period and profitability is weak: operating profit is near break-even (low EBIT margin) and net income is negative. Gross margin has held in the low-20% range, but EBITDA margin has trended down versus 2022–2023 levels, indicating reduced operating leverage. Prior-year net income was unusually strong (2024 annual) but has not carried into TTM, highlighting earnings volatility.
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Leverage remains elevated, with debt running above equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.6x), which increases sensitivity to operating setbacks. The balance sheet has improved materially versus 2023 (when leverage was extremely high), and total debt has come down sharply from 2021–2022 levels, but the company still carries meaningful debt relative to its earnings power. Equity is positive and sizeable, yet returns to shareholders are unstable given the swing between strong and negative profitability across periods.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash generation is a key weak spot: operating cash flow is deeply negative and free cash flow is also negative, deteriorating from 2023 when both were solidly positive. This implies that reported results are not translating into cash and/or working-capital and investment needs are consuming liquidity. While free cash flow relative to net income can look optically favorable due to negative net income, the absolute cash burn is the central concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.65B2.83B3.18B3.17B3.69B6.21B
Gross Profit605.00M579.00M669.00M684.00M925.00M1.52B
EBITDA255.00M232.00M308.00M578.00M488.00M523.00M
Net Income-47.00M958.00M-423.00M60.00M97.00M-79.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.00B4.45B4.99B11.51B11.64B8.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments288.00M724.00M259.00M221.00M447.00M338.00M
Total Debt1.33B1.35B2.83B5.94B5.95B3.60B
Total Liabilities2.88B3.25B4.69B9.75B10.11B7.09B
Stockholders Equity1.12B1.21B301.00M1.75B1.53B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-532.00M-349.00M317.00M50.00M661.00M378.00M
Operating Cash Flow-440.00M-132.00M694.00M427.00M1.01B641.00M
Investing Cash Flow62.00M2.19B-290.00M-387.00M-2.83B-277.00M
Financing Cash Flow-154.00M-1.56B-839.00M1.00M2.18B-514.00M

NCR Voyix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.13
Price Trends
50DMA
10.24
Negative
100DMA
11.07
Negative
200DMA
11.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
45.48
Neutral
STOCH
23.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VYX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.45, below the 50-day MA of 10.24, and below the 200-day MA of 11.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VYX.

NCR Voyix Risk Analysis

NCR Voyix disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NCR Voyix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NCR Voyix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.77B56.8946.40%73.57%56.21%
69
Neutral
$1.54B-449.29-0.29%22.71%-111.24%
62
Neutral
$976.51M12.7015.40%19.88%51.03%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.13B-174.20-0.83%8.65%-117.14%
55
Neutral
$1.37B-31.22-3.73%-22.36%94.85%
46
Neutral
$2.20B-3.36-111.83%-6.95%-53.69%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VYX
NCR Voyix
10.13
-1.96
-16.21%
INOD
Innodata
55.18
18.44
50.19%
BBAI
BigBearai Holdings
4.78
0.55
13.00%
FLYW
Flywire
12.58
-7.37
-36.94%
TASK
TaskUs
11.11
-5.02
-31.12%
NABL
N-able
6.01
-3.74
-38.36%

NCR Voyix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCR Voyix Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, NCR Voyix reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a revenue of $684 million, a decrease from the previous year, but an improved net loss of $17 million compared to $29 million previously. The company also reported an adjusted EBITDA of $125 million, up from $95 million, and a non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.31. The company announced partnerships with WEX and Corpay in October 2025 to enhance its payment acceptance capabilities, aiming to expand its cloud-native point-of-sale and fuel solutions in 2026. NCR Voyix remains focused on accelerating growth and solidifying its leadership in unified commerce as it looks towards 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (VYX) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCR Voyix stock, see the VYX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026