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NCR Voyix (VYX)
NYSE:VYX
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NCR Voyix (VYX) AI Stock Analysis

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VYX

NCR Voyix

(NYSE:VYX)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(1.43% Upside)
NCR Voyix's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, with declining revenues and cash flow issues. However, the positive sentiment from the earnings call, highlighting growth in recurring revenue and strategic initiatives, provides some optimism. The technical analysis and valuation metrics present additional concerns, with bearish signals and a negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Earnings
VYX posted results which came in better than expected, highlighting strong performance.
SaaS Growth
SaaS ARR grew 6.8% year-over-year and platform sites increased 16%, showing strong customer conversion to its SaaS offering.
Valuation
Valuation at an inexpensive ~6x EV/EBITDA on future estimates makes the risk-reward attractive.
Negative Factors
Hardware Sales
Hardware revenue continues to decline significantly, with a 29% year-over-year decrease, highlighting ongoing challenges in this segment.
Partnership Delays
The Ennoconn ODM agreement is taking longer than expected to become operational, potentially impacting supply chain strategy.
Revenue Decline
Revenue declined approximately 13% year-over-year, impacted by soft hardware sales and the departure of a one-time $20 million software and services benefit.

NCR Voyix (VYX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NCR Voyix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCR Corporation provides various software and services in the United States, Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through Retail, Hospitality, Digital Banking, Payments & Network, and Self-Service Banking segments. It offers managed services, including ATM-as-a-Service solutions that allow banks to run their end-to-end ATM channels; software, services, and hardware; and digital banking solutions for financial institution's consumer and business customers. The company also provides solutions for banking channel services, transaction processing, imaging, and branch services. In addition, it offers solutions for retail industry comprising comprehensive API-point of sale (POS) retail software platforms and applications, hardware terminals and peripherals, payment processing solutions, and consumer engagement solutions, as well as self-service kiosks, which consists of self-checkout (SCO). Further, the company provides technology solutions to customers in the hospitality industry comprising table-service, quick-service, and fast casual restaurants. It also offers cloud-based and cloud-enabled software applications for point-of-sale, back office, payment processing, kitchen production, restaurant management, eCommerce, and consumer marketing and loyalty; and hospitality-oriented hardware products, such as POS terminals, kitchen display systems, handheld devices, printers, and peripherals. Additionally, the company provides managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients, as well as professional, field, and remote services for network technologies. It also offers solutions for customer account opening and onboarding across digital, branch, and call center channels. NCR Corporation was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCR Voyix generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing payment processing services to businesses, which includes transaction fees for each payment processed. Additionally, they offer subscription-based models for their software solutions, allowing businesses to access advanced analytics and customer engagement tools. Revenue is further supplemented through strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers, facilitating integrated solutions that enhance the overall value proposition. Furthermore, NCR Voyix benefits from service contracts and ongoing maintenance agreements, ensuring a steady income flow from existing clients.

NCR Voyix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with significant growth in recurring revenue, connected sites, and adjusted EBITDA. While there are challenges such as declining total revenue due to hardware sales and tariff-related costs, the company's strategic initiatives in expanding its platform and payment solutions demonstrate strong future potential.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Connected Sites
At the end of the quarter, nearly 78,000 sites were connected to the Voyix Commerce Platform, an increase of 16% year-over-year.
Growth in Consumer Transaction Volume
In the first half of 2025, consumer transaction volumes were more than 50% higher than the prior year, with the VCP processing over 500 million transaction API calls in June alone.
Expansion in Retail and Restaurants
The retail business signed nearly 50 software and service customers, while the restaurant business signed over 200 new software and services customers.
Strong Recurring Revenue
Recurring revenue increased 4% to $422 million and represented 63% of total revenue, improving over 700 basis points.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA of $95 million increased 20% in the second quarter, with a margin expansion of 340 basis points to 14.3%.
Positive Outlook on Payment Solutions
Voyix Pay pilot completed in the U.S., with plans to migrate existing SME portfolio and sign new customers by mid-September.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue of $666 million declined 8% due to continued softness in hardware sales.
Hardware Sales Impact on Retail
Total segment revenue for retail declined 12% to $454 million, primarily due to declines in hardware sales.
Tariff-Related Costs
The company continues to estimate tariff-related costs to be between $8 million and $12 million for the year, with potential for change depending on the evolving situation.
Company Guidance
During the NCR Voyix Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance and updates on various metrics. Revenue for the quarter was $666 million, which represented an 8% decline due to continued softness in hardware sales. Recurring revenue, however, increased 4% to $422 million, making up 63% of total revenue, which is an improvement of over 700 basis points. Software ARR grew by 7%, and total segment ARR increased by 5%. Adjusted EBITDA was $95 million, showing a 20% increase with a margin expansion of 340 basis points to 14.3%. The company maintained its full-year guidance with expected revenue ranging from $2.575 billion to $2.65 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $420 million and $445 million. Non-GAAP diluted EPS is projected to be in the range of $0.75 to $0.80, with adjusted free cash flow expected between $170 million and $190 million. The company also reported significant growth in platform sites, with a 16% increase to nearly 78,000 sites, and payment sites grew by 3% to 8,400 sites.

NCR Voyix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NCR Voyix faces a challenging financial landscape with declining revenues and operational inefficiencies impacting profitability. While leverage has improved, cash flow issues persist, highlighting the need for strategic interventions to stabilize operations and enhance liquidity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
NCR Voyix's income statement reveals a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative revenue growth rate of -7.28%, indicating a contraction in sales. Despite a gross profit margin of 22.83%, the net profit margin is notably high at 36.51% due to a significant net income figure, which may be influenced by non-operational factors. The EBIT margin is low at 0.86%, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement suggests a need for strategic improvements to stabilize revenue and enhance operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of NCR Voyix shows a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.17 in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the return on equity is exceptionally high at 86.88%, likely due to the high net income, which may not be sustainable. The equity ratio stands at 28.69%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. While leverage has improved, the company needs to focus on maintaining sustainable profitability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights significant challenges for NCR Voyix. The operating cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow has deteriorated, with a growth rate of 99.65% indicating a worsening cash position. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow issues despite reported profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.28, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow situation requires urgent attention to improve liquidity and operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.68B2.83B3.83B3.17B3.69B6.21B
Gross Profit611.00M579.00M962.00M919.00M957.00M1.52B
EBITDA271.00M232.00M530.00M783.00M1.07B528.00M
Net Income977.00M958.00M-423.00M60.00M97.00M-79.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.98B4.45B4.99B11.51B11.64B8.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments276.00M724.00M262.00M221.00M447.00M338.00M
Total Debt1.34B1.35B2.89B6.02B6.08B3.73B
Total Liabilities2.84B3.25B4.69B9.75B10.11B7.09B
Stockholders Equity1.14B1.21B301.00M1.75B1.53B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-565.00M-349.00M317.00M70.00M729.00M378.00M
Operating Cash Flow-443.00M-132.00M694.00M447.00M1.08B641.00M
Investing Cash Flow2.19B2.19B-290.00M-387.00M-2.83B-277.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.66B-1.56B-839.00M1.00M2.18B-514.00M

NCR Voyix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.31
Price Trends
50DMA
13.20
Positive
100DMA
11.73
Positive
200DMA
12.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
53.76
Neutral
STOCH
31.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VYX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.90, above the 50-day MA of 13.20, and above the 200-day MA of 12.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VYX.

NCR Voyix Risk Analysis

NCR Voyix disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NCR Voyix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NCR Voyix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.06B26.1911.46%1.43%9.16%16.38%
72
Outperform
$1.60B316.060.86%22.20%
70
Outperform
$1.62B26.9512.49%19.04%24.49%
63
Neutral
$1.47B512.420.37%7.40%-90.72%
61
Neutral
$35.52B8.84-11.06%1.87%8.55%-8.14%
61
Neutral
$798.03M39.11-5.88%0.47%-292.07%
51
Neutral
$1.74B-8.85%-43.28%15.29%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VYX
NCR Voyix
13.31
0.95
7.69%
FORTY
Formula Systems
136.79
63.99
87.90%
PSFE
Paysafe
14.68
-6.77
-31.56%
FLYW
Flywire
12.99
-4.26
-24.70%
TASK
TaskUs
18.18
6.06
50.00%
NABL
N-able
7.90
-4.52
-36.39%

NCR Voyix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCR Voyix Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, NCR Voyix reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, ending June 30. The company saw a decrease in revenue to $666 million from $722 million in the previous year, but net income improved to $1 million from a $90 million loss. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $95 million, and the company maintained its full-year 2025 outlook. NCR Voyix continues to focus on strategic initiatives, including product innovation and expanding payment capabilities, which are expected to drive value for customers and shareholders.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NCR Voyix Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 6, 2025, NCR Voyix Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. During the meeting, nine directors were elected, executive compensation was approved on a non-binding advisory basis, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s commitment to maintaining strong leadership and financial integrity, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025