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N-able (NABL)
NYSE:NABL
US Market

N-able (NABL) AI Stock Analysis

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NABL

N-able

(NYSE:NABL)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(11.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score reflects a tug-of-war between (1) mixed financial performance with strong cash generation and a solid balance sheet but a concerning TTM revenue/profitability deterioration, and (2) a positive earnings outlook with profitable-growth guidance and AI/security momentum. These are offset by (3) weak technicals (clear downtrend) and (4) limited valuation support due to negative P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription model serving MSPs
N-able’s MSP-focused subscription model creates durable, recurring revenue tied to endpoints, users and feature modules. This drives predictable cash flows, high retention potential and scalable billings as MSPs add endpoints or modules, supporting long-term margin and cross-sell opportunities.
Strong operating cash flow and free cash flow
Robust TTM operating and free cash flow despite a reported net loss indicates resilient cash conversion. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment in product, M&A, share repurchases and debt service, giving management flexibility to fund strategic initiatives without dilutive financing.
Adlumin integration and AI-driven security automation
Successful Adlumin integration and AI SOC automation materially strengthen N-able’s security offering, raising differentiation and switching costs for MSPs. This accelerates upsell of higher-margin security modules, supports TAM expansion (DRaaS, workloads) and underpins sustainable product-led growth.
Negative Factors
Sharp TTM revenue decline and net loss
A large TTM revenue decline and move to a net loss signal lost scale or demand disruption, weakening operating leverage. Until revenue stabilizes, margin recovery and return metrics will be challenged, making achievement of mid-cycle profitable-growth targets and stakeholder returns less certain.
Gross margin compression
Year-over-year gross margin erosion reduces the cushion for operating expenses and reinvestment. Persistent compression—driven by mix, pricing or cost increases—would constrain sustainable EBITDA margins and limit the company’s ability to fund R&D, go-to-market expansion and AI product investments.
Higher leverage and cash interest after refinancing
Larger term debt and meaningful cash interest reduce unlevered free cash flow available for growth or M&A. Elevated leverage increases financial rigidity and downside risk if growth or cash conversion lags, making execution on ambitious ARR and cross-sell targets more sensitive to macro and execution variability.

N-able (NABL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

N-able Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionN-able, Inc. provides cloud-based software solutions for managed service providers (MSPs) in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company's solutions enable MSPs to support digital transformation and growth within small and medium-sized enterprises. Its software platform is designed to be an enterprise-grade solution that serves as an operating system for its MSP partners and scales as their businesses grow. The company's platform consists of solution categories including remote monitoring and management; security and data protection solutions through its data protection, patch management, endpoint security, web protection, e-mail security and archiving, and vulnerability assessment solutions; and business management, such as professional services automation, automation and scripting management, password management policies and reporting and analytics. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyN-able generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where MSPs pay recurring fees for access to its software and services. Key revenue streams include monthly or annual subscriptions for its RMM platform, backup solutions, and security products. Additionally, N-able may earn income from professional services, training, and support. Strategic partnerships with other technology providers and integrations with third-party software can also enhance its offerings and contribute to its revenue. The growth in the managed services market and the increasing need for cybersecurity solutions further support its revenue generation.

N-able Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Categorizes revenue based on different streams, such as product sales or services, highlighting the diversity of income sources and potential areas of growth or risk.
Chart InsightsN-able's subscription revenue shows robust growth, driven by strategic focus on cybersecurity and AI integration, which aligns with a 14% increase in ARR. Despite FX challenges and the Adlumin acquisition impacting growth rates, the company maintains strong retention rates and a high adjusted EBITDA margin. The 'Other' revenue category, however, is declining, suggesting a strategic pivot towards subscription services. Management's optimistic guidance for continued revenue growth and profitability underscores confidence in navigating the dynamic AI landscape while expanding market presence, particularly in the U.K.
Data provided by:The Fly

N-able Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong execution and profitable growth: ARR and revenue growth, a stable 30% adjusted EBITDA margin, successful Adlumin integration and clear AI-driven product progress (including a jump to 90% automated threat handling) are major positives. Headwinds include gross margin compression, FX/seasonality effects, modest net revenue retention relative to high-growth benchmarks, and elevated net leverage following refinancing. Management provided a confident, profitable-growth outlook for 2026 but with reliance on continued cross-sell, VAR expansion and AI monetization to hit higher-end targets.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
ARR Growth and Scale
Exited 2025 with $540 million ARR, representing 12% year-over-year growth on a reported basis and 8% year-over-year growth on a constant currency basis.
Revenue Performance
Fourth quarter revenue of $130 million was approximately 12% year-over-year on a reported basis and 9% on a constant currency basis; full year 2025 revenue was $511 million, up ~10% reported / ~9% constant currency.
Profitability and Margins
Delivered fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of $39 million (30% adjusted EBITDA margin) and full year adjusted EBITDA of $153 million (30% margin); non-GAAP EPS was $0.06 in Q4 and $0.39 for the full year.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Actions
Unlevered free cash flow was $28 million in Q4 and $101 million for the full year; executed $30 million of share repurchases in 2025 and refinanced credit facility to $400 million to increase flexibility.
Adlumin Acquisition and AI SOC Momentum
Adlumin integration successful with cross-sell to MSP customers ahead of plan; security operations solution now automatically handles 90% of identified threats (up from 70% a year ago), accelerating AI-driven security value.
Data Protection Traction and TAM Expansion
Crossed $200 million of ARR in data protection; announced planned DRaaS and Google Workspace workload coverage to expand addressable market and add billable capabilities for ~14,000 data protection customers.
Upmarket and Customer Mix Improvements
2,671 customers contributed $50,000+ ARR (up ~14% year-over-year); customers with >$50k ARR now represent ~61% of total ARR (up from ~57% a year ago), showing consistent upmarket momentum and higher-quality revenue mix.
Product & Brand Recognition
Launched AI-infused capabilities including N-zo (AI workflow assistant in limited preview), received placement in the 2026 Gartner Magic Quadrant for endpoint management, and recognized by Omdia as a cybersecurity titan.
2026 Guide – Continued Profitable Growth
Guidance for FY2026: total revenue $554M–$559M (7%–8% constant currency growth), ARR $581M–$586M (8%–9% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $167M–$171M (30%–31% margin) and unlevered free cash flow $114M–$118M (up to +17% at high end).
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin declined to 80% in Q4 2025 from 82% in Q4 2024 and to 81% for full year 2025 from 84% in 2024, indicating some margin pressure year-over-year.
Currency and Seasonality Impact
Reported growth rates exceed constant currency rates (e.g., Q4 ARR growth 12% reported vs 8% constant), and management expects Q1 2026 constant currency growth of only 6%–7% (below full-year guidance), reflecting FX headwinds and seasonal variability.
Leverage and Interest Costs
Ended 2025 with approximately $112 million cash and $400 million outstanding loan principal (net leverage ~1.9x); expect cash interest payments of ~ $27 million for 2026 assuming current rates.
One-Time Charges and EPS Impact
Non-GAAP EPS was negatively impacted by approximately $0.02 in both Q4 and full year results due to one-time fees related to the new debt facility.
Modest Net Revenue Retention
Dollar-based net revenue retention was approximately 103% on a reported basis and 102% on a constant currency basis—positive but relatively moderate expansion compared with higher-growth peers.
Concentration of Growth Assumptions
Full-year 2026 ARR guidance at the high end implies ~20% more net new ARR dollars on a constant currency basis than 2025, which assumes successful execution of cross-sell, VAR expansion and new AI/product monetization — execution risk if adoption lags.
Company Guidance
N‑able guided Q1 2026 revenue of $131–132M (≈11–12% YoY reported; 6–7% constant currency) and full‑year revenue of $554–559M (≈8–9% YoY reported; 7–8% constant currency), with ARR expected to reach $581–586M (8–9% YoY). They forecast Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $35.5–36.5M (27–28% margin) and full‑year adjusted EBITDA of $167–171M (30–31% margin), CapEx ~5% of revenue, unlevered free cash flow of $114–118M, cash interest of ~ $27M, and a non‑GAAP tax rate of 24–27%; weighted average diluted shares are expected to be 188–189M in Q1 and 188–191M for the year. Guidance assumes FX of €/$1.17 and £/$1.34 and notes the high‑end ARR target implies roughly 20% more net new ARR dollars on a constant‑currency basis than in 2025.

N-able Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Strengths include solid operating cash flow and free cash flow despite a reported net loss, plus a conservatively positioned balance sheet with modest reported debt. The key concern is the sharp TTM reset (large revenue decline and swing to losses) and weaker returns, which tempers the otherwise strong margin/cash profile.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Profitability weakened meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): revenue fell sharply (down ~63%) and the company swung to a net loss (about -1% net margin) versus a solid profit in 2024 (~6.6% net margin). While gross margins remain high (~79% TTM), operating profitability compressed (EBIT margin down to ~8.7% from ~18.1% in 2024), indicating higher cost pressure and/or lower scale benefits. Longer-term (2021–2024) showed steady revenue growth and improving earnings, but the recent TTM reset is a clear near-term concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned with sizable equity (~$805M TTM) against modest reported debt (~$40M TTM), resulting in low leverage and good financial flexibility. However, returns deteriorated with the move to losses (negative return on equity in TTM), and the sharp drop in reported debt versus prior years introduces some comparability noise. Overall, capitalization appears strong, but profitability needs to stabilize to improve shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: TTM operating cash flow (~$93M) and free cash flow (~$72M) are solid, with strong TTM free-cash-flow growth. Cash flow also remains positive despite the reported net loss in TTM, suggesting earnings quality is supported by cash conversion. The main watch-out is that cash flow has not consistently covered accounting earnings in every period (coverage below 1.0 in 2024 and TTM), but absolute cash generation remains healthy.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue511.43M466.15M421.88M371.77M346.46M
Gross Profit394.38M385.47M353.67M313.16M294.02M
EBITDA101.72M110.03M94.65M72.55M65.09M
Net Income-17.03M30.96M23.41M16.71M113.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.34B1.16B1.08B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.84M85.20M153.05M98.85M66.74M
Total Debt459.64M369.19M374.52M375.87M381.53M
Total Liabilities605.25M579.56M451.43M436.79M437.34M
Stockholders Equity804.65M759.29M711.36M642.07M618.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow75.06M55.71M67.75M50.40M10.51M
Operating Cash Flow93.20M79.44M90.09M71.41M45.34M
Investing Cash Flow-28.96M-122.42M-22.34M-30.21M-34.83M
Financing Cash Flow-40.63M-22.59M-15.17M-10.40M-42.32M

N-able Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.47
Price Trends
50DMA
6.59
Negative
100DMA
7.13
Negative
200DMA
7.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Positive
RSI
23.35
Positive
STOCH
13.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NABL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.62, below the 50-day MA of 6.59, and below the 200-day MA of 7.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.35 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NABL.

N-able Risk Analysis

N-able disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. N-able reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

N-able Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.36B-401.07-0.29%22.71%-111.24%
62
Neutral
$941.25M11.8615.40%19.88%51.03%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$991.27M-137.39-2.18%8.65%-117.14%
55
Neutral
$1.35B-29.15-3.73%-22.36%94.85%
47
Neutral
$1.49B-3.78-46.77%1.84%-27.74%
46
Neutral
$1.79B-2.95-111.83%-6.95%-53.69%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NABL
N-able
4.47
-5.78
-56.39%
VYX
NCR Voyix
8.76
-3.16
-26.51%
AI
C3ai
9.79
-17.09
-63.58%
BBAI
BigBearai Holdings
3.71
-2.23
-37.54%
FLYW
Flywire
10.64
-6.69
-38.60%
TASK
TaskUs
10.31
-4.31
-29.48%

N-able Corporate Events

Stock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
N-able Amends Credit Agreement to Boost Term Loan
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, N-able International Holdings II, LLC, a subsidiary of N-able, Inc., amended its Credit Agreement to increase its term loan facility from $336 million to $400 million and extend its maturity to 2032. This amendment also extended the maturity of its revolving credit facility to 2030 and reduced the interest rate on borrowings, positioning the company to use these funds for corporate purposes, including acquisitions and share repurchases.

The most recent analyst rating on (NABL) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on N-able stock, see the NABL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026