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Bristow Group Inc (VTOL)
NYSE:VTOL

Bristow Group (VTOL) AI Stock Analysis

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VTOL

Bristow Group

(NYSE:VTOL)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(13.25% Upside)
The score is driven by attractive valuation (low P/E) and a positive earnings outlook with raised/tightened EBITDA guidance, supported by strong price trend and positive momentum. The main offset is cash-flow quality (negative free cash flow) plus overbought technical readings that raise near-term volatility risk.
Positive Factors
Improving profitability and margins
Sustained margin expansion signals stronger pricing power and operational efficiency in core helicopter services. Higher gross and net margins provide a structural buffer against cyclical revenue swings in offshore energy, supporting durable earnings and reinvestment capacity over the next 2-6 months.
Strong liquidity position
Material cash and available liquidity increase financial flexibility to fund operations, service debt, and absorb contract transition costs. This liquidity supports execution of strategic initiatives and refinancing, reducing near-term default risk and enabling selective investment over the medium term.
Government services inflection
Rapidly improving government segment profitability diversifies revenue away from cyclical offshore energy. A near-doubling of operating income indicates contract scale and margin uplift, creating a more resilient revenue mix and higher recurring cash flow potential beyond commodity-driven cycles.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
Negative free cash flow despite improving growth highlights a structural conversion issue between reported earnings and cash available for debt reduction or capex. Low OCF-to-net-income reduces ability to self-fund fleet maintenance or VTOL investment without external financing over the next several quarters.
Persistent supply-chain constraints
Aircraft and aftermarket delays limit capacity to capture demand and raise maintenance costs, constraining revenue growth and utilization rates. Ongoing supply disruption can depress serviceable flight hours and increase capital and operating expense variability for multiple quarters.
Regional demand softness and lower utilization
Softer utilization across Europe, Africa and a mature North Sea market weigh on sustainable revenue growth for core offshore services. Structural regional weakness reduces pricing leverage and may prolong recovery timelines, pressuring segment margins and fleet deployment decisions over the medium term.

Bristow Group (VTOL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bristow Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBristow Group Inc. provides aviation services to integrated, national, and independent offshore energy companies in the United States. It also offers commercial search and rescue services; and other helicopter and fixed wing transportation services. As of March 31, 2022, the company had a fleet of 229 aircrafts, of which 213 were helicopters. It also has operations in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, the Dutch Caribbean, Guyana, India, Mexico, the Netherlands, Nigeria, Norway, Spain, Suriname, Trinidad, and the United Kingdom. The company was founded 1948 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBristow Group generates revenue primarily through its helicopter transportation services, which cater to the offshore oil and gas industry, as well as the wind energy sector. The company's revenue model includes contracts for long-term service agreements, flight hour billing, and project-based services. Key revenue streams come from daily operational flights, maintenance services, and training programs for pilots and crew. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major energy companies and government agencies, which secure consistent demand for its services. Additionally, Bristow's investment in VTOL technology positions it to capitalize on new market opportunities, further enhancing its earnings potential.

Bristow Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a mix of strong financial performance and positive growth outlook, particularly in government services and offshore energy sectors, despite facing supply chain challenges and lower utilization in certain regions. The company's strategic focus on growth markets and robust cash position further supports a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q3 2025
Bristow Group reported another quarter of strong financial performance with adjusted EBITDA of $67.1 million, reflecting an increase of $6.4 million on a consolidated sequential basis.
Positive Long-term Outlook for Offshore Energy Services
Bristow has a positive outlook for offshore energy services activity, with deepwater projects favorably positioned and expected to receive an increasing share of upstream capital investment.
Government Services Business Growth
2026 is expected to be an inflection point for Bristow's Government Services business with adjusted operating income nearly doubling year-over-year.
Projected Growth in 2026
Bristow's 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance represents a 27% increase over 2025, indicating robust growth expectations for the business.
Increased Revenues from Government and Other Services Segments
Total revenues increased by $9.9 million, driven by Government Services and Other Services segments.
Positive Outlook for Brazilian and African Markets
Brazil and Africa have the best growth prospects with net aircraft inflows, indicating strong market demand.
Strong Cash Position
Unrestricted cash balance of approximately $246 million and total available liquidity of $313 million.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Challenges
Persistent supply chain issues are impacting aircraft availability, with delayed deliveries and aftermarket support challenges.
Lower Utilization in Europe and Africa
Revenues in Europe and Africa were $6.6 million and $1.5 million lower, respectively, due to lower utilization.
Negative Impact from Transition Costs
Transition costs for new government contracts caused a negative drag on profitability in 2025.
Stable but Lower Activity in North Sea
The North Sea market remains mature with softer activity levels and is more likely to decline over time.
Company Guidance
During the Bristow Group's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided guidance indicating strong financial performance and growth expectations for the company. The Q3 2025 adjusted EBITDA was reported at $67.1 million, while total revenues saw a sequential increase of $9.9 million. Looking forward, Bristow has tightened its 2025 adjusted EBITDA range to $240 million to $250 million, with projected revenues between $1.46 billion and $1.53 billion. For 2026, the company anticipates a substantial 27% increase in adjusted EBITDA, setting the range at $295 million to $325 million, and revenues expected to reach $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion. The company highlighted a positive outlook for offshore energy services and noted that its Government Services business is expected to nearly double its adjusted operating income year-over-year in 2026. Additionally, the company's cash flow remains strong, with year-to-date operating cash flows of approximately $122 million and an unrestricted cash balance of $246 million. Bristow's capital allocation strategy continues to focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and liquidity position.

Bristow Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid but uneven: income statement strength (improving profitability and ~49% gross margin, ~9.7% net margin) is offset by weaker cash-flow quality (negative free cash flow despite strong growth, and moderate operating cash flow vs. net income). Leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity 0.65) with improved ROE (14.83%).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Bristow Group's income statement shows a strong performance with a consistent increase in revenue, evidenced by a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.46%. The gross profit margin has improved to 49.19% in the TTM, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 9.71%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from the previous year, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65, indicating a manageable level of debt. The return on equity has improved to 14.83%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a comprehensive assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 175.82%, although the free cash flow remains negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.42, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests challenges in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.49B1.42B1.30B1.20B1.19B1.14B
Gross Profit429.76M398.28M330.81M278.88M191.81M287.85M
EBITDA234.01M215.17M141.18M116.67M124.34M159.05M
Net Income142.44M94.80M-6.78M9.21M-15.79M-56.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.27B2.13B1.94B1.81B1.82B1.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments250.71M247.50M180.26M163.68M263.77M228.01M
Total Debt924.61M957.09M838.32M753.64M720.98M789.12M
Total Liabilities1.23B1.23B1.11B1.03B988.91M1.09B
Stockholders Equity1.04B891.71M823.69M787.31M835.82M897.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.84M-77.97M-49.47M-63.70M92.79M82.00M
Operating Cash Flow172.55M177.42M32.04M-14.13M123.85M96.84M
Investing Cash Flow-138.69M-245.95M-47.32M-44.14M-17.37M173.27M
Financing Cash Flow21.88M141.10M22.04M-19.91M-63.48M-245.62M

Bristow Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.15
Price Trends
50DMA
38.41
Positive
100DMA
38.27
Positive
200DMA
35.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.83
Negative
RSI
73.87
Negative
STOCH
85.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTOL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.86, above the 50-day MA of 38.41, and above the 200-day MA of 35.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.87 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTOL.

Bristow Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$22.35B24.7728.72%0.44%11.73%45.70%
74
Outperform
$1.28B9.4214.72%4.78%156.83%
72
Outperform
$6.70B18.365.93%3.24%-1.43%-63.13%
71
Outperform
$1.11B28.052.71%-1.95%530.91%
69
Neutral
$2.96B13.3028.92%8.71%72.09%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTOL
Bristow Group
44.93
10.94
32.19%
FTI
TechnipFMC
55.92
25.50
83.83%
HLX
Helix Energy
7.92
-0.24
-2.94%
NOV
NOV
18.60
4.68
33.65%
OII
Oceaneering International
30.40
5.03
19.83%

Bristow Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Bristow Group completes major refinancing and credit extension
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Bristow Group Inc. completed a private offering of $500 million in 6.750% senior secured notes due 2033, guaranteed by key subsidiaries and secured against helicopters and other assets, while also amending and extending its asset‑based revolving credit facility to 2031 with reduced commitments of $70 million and lower pricing but an option to increase total commitments to $105 million. A portion of the note proceeds was used to redeem in full Bristow’s outstanding 6.875% senior secured notes due 2028, satisfying and discharging the related indenture and releasing associated liens, a refinancing that extends the company’s debt maturity profile, lowers the cost and complexity of its capital structure and supports a stronger liquidity position for its global aviation operations, with remaining proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTOL) stock is a Buy with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bristow Group stock, see the VTOL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Bristow Group Launches $400 Million Senior Secured Notes
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Bristow Group Inc. announced it had launched, subject to market conditions, a private offering of $400 million in senior secured notes due 2033 to eligible institutional and non-U.S. investors under Rule 144A and Regulation S. The notes, secured by first-priority liens on a broad pool of collateral including roughly 70 pledged aircraft and guaranteed by key domestic and foreign subsidiaries, are intended to fund the full redemption and satisfaction of the company’s outstanding 6.875% senior secured notes due 2028, of which about $397 million remained as of September 30, 2025, marking a significant refinancing step that extends Bristow’s debt maturity profile and could strengthen its capital structure for continued operations in its global aviation services markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTOL) stock is a Hold with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bristow Group stock, see the VTOL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bristow Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Bristow Group reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with total revenues of $386.3 million and a net income of $51.5 million, marking a significant increase from the previous quarter. The company anticipates continued growth in 2026, driven by a tight supply of offshore helicopters and a positive outlook for offshore energy services, despite a mid-cycle activity plateau in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTOL) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bristow Group stock, see the VTOL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026