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Voya Financial (VOYA)
NYSE:VOYA

Voya Financial (VOYA) AI Stock Analysis

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VOYA

Voya Financial

(NYSE:VOYA)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(12.90% Upside)
Voya Financial's strong earnings growth and positive technical indicators are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's attractive valuation and robust earnings call performance further support the positive outlook. However, challenges in cash flow management and potential risks in asset management slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
The significant increase in adjusted operating EPS indicates strong profitability across segments, showcasing effective business strategies and potential for sustained earnings growth.
Retirement Segment Performance
The robust performance in the retirement segment, driven by organic net flows, highlights Voya's strong market position and ability to capture growth in retirement solutions.
Wealth Management Expansion
The expansion in wealth management, with significant sales growth, underscores Voya's strategic focus on diversifying revenue streams and enhancing its competitive edge in financial services.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
A significant decline in free cash flow can constrain Voya's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Stop Loss Segment Challenges
Challenges in the Stop Loss segment, due to increased claims, could pressure margins and necessitate strategic adjustments to maintain profitability in this area.
Higher Corporate Expenses
Rising corporate expenses, driven by increased compensation, may reduce net margins and require careful cost management to sustain profitability.

Voya Financial (VOYA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Voya Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVoya Financial, Inc. operates as a retirement, investment, and employee benefits company in the United States. The company's Wealth Solutions segment offers tax-deferred employer-sponsored retirement savings plans and administrative services; and individual retirement accounts, and other retail financial products and services, as well as financial planning and advisory services. This segment serves corporate, education, healthcare, and other non-profit and government entities, as well as institutional and individual customers. Its Investment Management segment provides fixed income, equity, multi-asset, and alternative products and solutions to individual investors and institutional clients through its direct sales force, consultant channel, banks, broker-dealers, and independent financial advisers. The company's Health Solutions segment offers stop loss, group life, voluntary employee-paid, and disability products through consultants, brokers, third-party administrators, enrollment firms, and technology partners to mid-sized and large businesses. The company was formerly known as ING U.S., Inc. and changed its name to Voya Financial, Inc. in April 2014. Voya Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyVoya Financial generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from its Retirement segment, which includes fees from managed retirement accounts and plans. The Investment Management segment contributes through asset management fees charged on mutual funds and institutional investments. Employee Benefits revenue is derived from premiums collected for various insurance products, such as life and disability insurance. Additionally, Voya earns income from Individual Life products and investment income from its general account. Strategic partnerships with employers and financial advisors further enhance their distribution channels, contributing to overall earnings. Market performance and interest rates can significantly impact revenues, particularly in investment management and insurance products.

Voya Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in earnings and revenue across segments, robust performance in investment management, and successful integration of OneAmerica. However, challenges in the Stop Loss segment and increased corporate expenses were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and Revenue Growth
Adjusted operating EPS in the quarter up nearly 30%. Robust free cash flow generation and on track to exceed a $700 million full-year target.
Record Defined Contribution Net Flows
Retirement segment delivered $30 billion in year-to-date organic defined contribution net flows, marking the strongest year since 2020.
Investment Management Success
Investment Management showed strong earnings with positive net flows and exceeded long-term growth targets. 74% of public assets outperformed benchmarks over 5 years and 84% over 10 years.
Wealth Management Expansion
20% year-over-year sales growth in Wealth Management, with client assets reaching $35 billion.
Successful OneAmerica Integration
OneAmerica exceeded expected revenue and earnings contribution, with integration on track to complete in early 2026.
Negative Updates
Stop Loss Challenges
Continued higher frequency of claims related to cancer and cell/gene therapy drugs affecting Stop Loss segment.
Higher Corporate Expenses
Higher incentive compensation accruals due to strong performance led to increased corporate expenses.
Company Guidance
During Voya Financial's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a nearly 30% increase in adjusted operating EPS, demonstrating profitable growth across its diverse business segments. The firm generated robust free cash flow in the quarter, remaining on track to exceed its full-year $700 million target. Retirement earnings rose by 24% year-over-year, supported by $30 billion in year-to-date organic defined contribution net flows. Investment Management also experienced strong commercial momentum, with $62 million in adjusted operating earnings, a 13% year-over-year increase, driven by nearly $4 billion in net flows. Meanwhile, Employee Benefits generated $47 million in adjusted operating earnings, supported by favorable group life claims. Voya's wealth management strategy includes expanding its adviser network, with plans to add over 100 advisers by year-end, and launching WealthPath, an integrated technology platform. The firm expects to use up to $75 million of excess capital on Wealth Management in 2026. Overall, Voya is well-positioned to advance its long-term strategy and deliver on its full-year targets with a focus on capital deployment and expansion in core and adjacent markets like wealth management.

Voya Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Voya Financial shows solid revenue growth and profitability with strong gross and net profit margins. The balance sheet reflects improved leverage and strong return on equity, though asset management poses a potential risk. Cash flow performance is mixed, with a significant drop in free cash flow growth, but overall cash generation remains robust.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Voya Financial shows a consistent revenue growth trend with a TTM growth rate of 2.17%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 50.68%, and the net profit margin is stable at 7.55%. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.65 in the TTM, reflecting better leverage management. Return on equity is strong at 13.60%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure, but the high total assets indicate potential risks if asset management is not optimized.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow has decreased significantly by 40.49% in the TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 1.38, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.0, showing that the company is maintaining its cash flow relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.09B8.05B7.35B5.93B4.17B7.65B
Gross Profit4.10B3.88B3.69B2.97B5.67B3.01B
EBITDA1.05B1.10B976.00M611.00M3.31B538.00M
Net Income611.00M667.00M625.00M510.00M2.37B-206.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets177.45B163.89B157.09B146.61B171.26B180.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.21B25.70B26.71B28.41B35.37B45.40B
Total Debt3.21B3.60B3.43B3.47B3.48B3.83B
Total Liabilities170.37B157.88B151.03B141.61B161.44B169.34B
Stockholders Equity4.96B4.00B4.19B3.35B8.25B10.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow810.00M911.00M1.14B483.00M22.00M1.36B
Operating Cash Flow810.00M911.00M1.14B483.00M22.00M1.36B
Investing Cash Flow-1.02B-141.00M-818.00M724.00M-327.00M-2.46B
Financing Cash Flow-59.00M-759.00M-320.00M-1.20B-265.00M1.70B

Voya Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price75.29
Price Trends
50DMA
71.93
Positive
100DMA
72.91
Positive
200DMA
69.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.06
Negative
RSI
62.92
Neutral
STOCH
80.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VOYA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.96, above the 50-day MA of 71.93, and above the 200-day MA of 69.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VOYA.

Voya Financial Risk Analysis

Voya Financial disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Voya Financial reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Voya Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.04B11.5921.41%6.11%9.51%29.38%
77
Outperform
$7.16B12.9212.63%2.42%2.91%-7.66%
75
Outperform
$5.39B9.9819.07%7.03%11.60%9.38%
74
Outperform
$7.31B9.8314.32%2.96%8.90%142.83%
73
Outperform
$7.81B12.789.44%0.95%7.76%49.85%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
55
Neutral
$4.63B208.914.81%73.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VOYA
Voya Financial
75.29
9.29
14.08%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
60.18
7.38
13.98%
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
100.64
-11.92
-10.59%
SNV
Synovus
52.64
3.25
6.58%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
68.30
20.14
41.82%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
47.59
-20.41
-30.01%

Voya Financial Corporate Events

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Voya Financial Announces Q4 2025 Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Voya Financial announced its capital deployment plans during the 2025 Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference, revealing a $100 million share repurchase for Q4 2025 and a new $150 million repurchase plan for Q1 2026. Additionally, the company expects alternative investment income for Q4 2025 to be between $42 million and $57 million, indicating a strong annualized return of 9%, which could positively impact its financial performance and investor confidence.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Voya Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Voya Financial announced its third-quarter 2025 results, reporting a net income of $176 million and a significant year-over-year increase in adjusted operating earnings per share by nearly 30%. The company’s strategic investments and strong balance sheet have positioned it for continued growth and capital returns to shareholders. Voya’s retirement, investment management, and employee benefits segments all showed earnings growth, with the retirement segment benefiting from acquired business and positive capital markets. The company also increased its quarterly dividend and extended its share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth strategy.

Financial Disclosures
Voya Financial Reveals Q3 2025 AUM Figures
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

Voya Financial disclosed its Investment Management segment’s assets under management (AUM) for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, ahead of its quarterly earnings release. The preliminary AUM was approximately $366 billion, with a breakdown of asset types and client categories, indicating the company’s robust market presence and diversified asset portfolio.

Financial Disclosures
Voya Financial Projects Q3 2025 Investment Income
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Voya Financial has disclosed its alternative investment income expectations for the third quarter of 2025, estimating a pre-tax income of $55 million to $65 million. These preliminary results, which have not been audited, suggest a quarterly return of 2.6% and an annualized return of 10.6%, but the company cautions that actual results may differ after completing financial closing procedures.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025