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United States Lime & Minerals (USLM)
NASDAQ:USLM

United States Lime & Minerals (USLM) AI Stock Analysis

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USLM

United States Lime & Minerals

(NASDAQ:USLM)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$143.00
▲(18.06% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by excellent financial performance (strong growth, very high margins, and a near debt-free balance sheet), partially offset by a weaker technical trend (below key longer-term moving averages and negative MACD) and a valuation that looks only moderate given the P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year revenue growth (from $161M to $373M) indicates expanding market share and stronger customer adoption across industrial, environmental and construction end markets. That scale enhances pricing leverage, plant utilization and supports a more durable revenue base beyond short-term cycles.
High and Improving Margins
Material margin expansion to ~49% gross and ~36% net reflects sustainable pricing power, product mix benefits and operating leverage in quarrying/processing. Elevated margins support long-term cash generation and resilience to moderate volume slowdowns in cyclical end markets.
Near-Zero Leverage & Strong ROE
An exceptionally conservative balance sheet with effectively no debt and strong ROE (≈19–22%) provides significant financial flexibility and low solvency risk. This durability reduces default risk, supports capital allocation optionality and preserves ability to invest or return capital through cycles.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile free cash flow and a decline in FCF coverage (62% of net income in 2025) point to uneven cash conversion driven by capex or working-capital swings. That reduces predictability for dividends, buybacks or opportunistic investments and can constrain strategic flexibility in weak periods.
Cyclicality & Step-Up Year Reliance
Revenue strength appears to hinge on a step-up year in 2025 and exposure to cyclical end-markets (steel, construction, water treatment). Such cyclicality increases medium-term uncertainty because strong single-year gains are harder to replicate and make forecasting and capacity planning more difficult.
Conservative Capital Structure Limits Upside
While near-zero debt reduces risk, the absence of modest financial leverage can cap return amplification during favorable cycles. That conservative stance may leave potential ROE upside and capital-deployment efficiency underexploited when attractive growth or M&A opportunities arise.

United States Lime & Minerals (USLM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

United States Lime & Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc. manufactures and supplies lime and limestone products in the United States. It extracts limestone from open-pit quarries and an underground mine, and processes it as pulverized limestone, quicklime, hydrated lime, and lime slurry. The company supplies its products primarily to the construction customers, including highway, road, and building contractors; industrial customers, such as paper and glass manufacturers; environmental customers comprising municipal sanitation and water treatment facilities, and flue gas treatment processes; steel producers; oil and gas services companies; roof shingle manufacturers; and poultry and cattle feed producers. It also has various royalty interests and non-operating working interests with respect to oil and gas rights in natural gas wells located in Johnson County, Texas in the Barnett Shale Formation. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyUSLM primarily makes money by selling lime and limestone products that it produces from its quarries and processing plants. Its core revenue stream is product sales: (1) Lime products (including quicklime and hydrated lime, and related lime-based products) sold to industrial and environmental customers, where lime is used as a chemical reagent in processes such as steelmaking/metal refining, water and wastewater treatment (pH control and impurities removal), and air-pollution control (e.g., flue-gas treatment). (2) Limestone products (including crushed limestone/aggregates and related stone products) sold largely into construction and infrastructure uses as well as industrial applications. Revenue is typically driven by contracted and spot sales volumes and realized pricing, which can vary by end-market demand (e.g., industrial production levels, municipal water treatment needs, construction activity) and by product mix (lime vs. limestone and specific grades). Additional earnings drivers can include freight and logistics arrangements (when the company delivers product or sells on delivered terms), plant utilization/operating efficiency, and access to reserves and production capacity that support long-term supply relationships. Specific significant partnerships or customer concentration details are null.

United States Lime & Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements are very strong overall: rapid multi-year revenue expansion and standout profitability with materially higher gross and net margins. The balance sheet is exceptionally conservative with effectively no debt and strong ROE, reducing financial risk. Cash generation is solid and growing, but free cash flow has shown some volatility and weaker coverage versus net income in 2025 versus 2024.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Revenue has expanded strongly from $161M (2020) to $373M (2025), with 2025 revenue growth accelerating versus 2024. Profitability is a standout: gross margin improved to ~49% in 2025 (from ~30% in 2020) and net margin rose to ~36% (from ~18%), indicating meaningful pricing/operating leverage and cost control. The main watch-out is that growth appears increasingly reliant on a step-up year in 2025, which can be harder to repeat in cyclical construction materials.
Balance Sheet
95
Very Positive
The balance sheet is exceptionally conservative, with effectively no debt (total debt falls to $0 in 2025 after being minimal in prior years) and a near-zero debt-to-equity profile throughout the period. Equity and assets have compounded significantly (equity rising from $243M in 2020 to $631M in 2025), while returns on equity remain strong (~19%–22% in 2023–2025), reflecting efficient capital use without financial leverage. A potential downside is that the very low leverage can modestly limit return enhancement during peak cycles, but it materially reduces financial risk.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is solid and scaling: operating cash flow increased to $165M in 2025 (from $59M in 2020) and free cash flow reached $102M in 2025. Operating cash flow is consistently well above net income (coverage ~4x–7x), supporting earnings quality. The key weakness is volatility in free cash flow growth (down in 2021 and again in 2025), and free cash flow covers a lower share of net income in 2025 (~62%) than in 2024 (~78%), suggesting higher reinvestment/capex needs or working-capital swings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue372.73M317.72M281.33M236.15M189.25M
Gross Profit182.40M143.98M102.87M70.34M59.26M
EBITDA171.02M149.09M109.25M76.98M67.31M
Net Income134.28M108.84M74.55M45.43M37.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets682.55M543.16M440.60M367.77M316.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments371.12M278.03M187.96M133.38M105.36M
Total Debt4.01M5.04M5.50M5.54M3.21M
Total Liabilities51.79M45.42M47.50M46.68M37.99M
Stockholders Equity630.76M497.74M393.10M321.09M278.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow102.27M98.61M58.01M37.55M25.77M
Operating Cash Flow164.97M126.02M92.26M64.36M55.69M
Investing Cash Flow-62.48M-26.86M-31.96M-31.15M-29.63M
Financing Cash Flow-9.39M-9.10M-5.71M-5.18M-4.27M

United States Lime & Minerals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price121.12
Price Trends
50DMA
119.45
Positive
100DMA
120.90
Negative
200DMA
117.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.46
Negative
RSI
51.60
Neutral
STOCH
61.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USLM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 121.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.69, above the 50-day MA of 119.45, and above the 200-day MA of 117.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for USLM.

United States Lime & Minerals Risk Analysis

United States Lime & Minerals disclosed 12 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. United States Lime & Minerals reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

United States Lime & Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.43B28.0623.07%0.19%20.27%31.94%
75
Outperform
$33.67B34.8112.79%0.67%6.54%32.48%
72
Outperform
$34.25B33.0211.90%0.51%1.99%-41.08%
70
Outperform
$5.77B16.1928.78%0.47%1.50%-4.44%
69
Neutral
$2.76B16.290.94%0.28%-1.57%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
$1.25B79.745.06%-33.99%-61.41%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USLM
United States Lime & Minerals
119.65
24.03
25.13%
EXP
Eagle Materials
183.55
-33.54
-15.45%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
567.92
80.34
16.48%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
257.86
18.45
7.71%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
10.24
-1.02
-9.06%
TTAM
Titan America SA
14.97
2.09
16.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026