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Trinseo (TSEOF)
OTHER OTC:TSEOF
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Trinseo (TSEOF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSEOF

Trinseo

(OTC:TSEOF)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.13
▲(21.82% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
The score is primarily constrained by very weak financial fundamentals (revenue decline, large losses, negative equity, and renewed cash burn) and negative corporate events tied to defaults and a planned Chapter 11 restructuring. Technicals provide only limited offset with modest near-term stabilization but a still-dominant longer-term downtrend, while valuation signals are unreliable due to losses and an unusually high dividend yield that reflects elevated risk.
Positive Factors
Planned debt reduction via pre‑pack Chapter 11
A pre‑packaged Chapter 11 that targets ~$2.0B of debt and ~$140M in annual interest is a structural step to materially de‑leverage the balance sheet. If executed, it can restore financial flexibility, reduce interest drag on margins, and reorient free‑cash‑flow toward operations and investment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and very high leverage
Negative equity and outsized net debt materially constrain strategic options and increase creditor control risk. High leverage elevates refinancing and covenant pressure, limits capital allocation to R&D or capacity, and can force asset sales or equity dilution, impairing durable competitive investments until capital structure is resolved.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Planned debt reduction via pre‑pack Chapter 11
A pre‑packaged Chapter 11 that targets ~$2.0B of debt and ~$140M in annual interest is a structural step to materially de‑leverage the balance sheet. If executed, it can restore financial flexibility, reduce interest drag on margins, and reorient free‑cash‑flow toward operations and investment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Trinseo (TSEOF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trinseo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Trinseo PLC provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Polymer Solutions, and Americas Styrenics. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Trinseo primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling polymer and chemical products to business customers under supply agreements and purchase orders. Its revenue is largely derived from (1) sales of polymer resins and plastics (e.g., styreni...

Trinseo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows multi-year revenue contraction and persistent losses (TTM net loss about -$582.5M with ~-20% net margin) with weak gross margins (~5–8% since 2022). Balance sheet risk is severe with negative equity (~-$1.22B TTM) and high debt (~$2.83B), elevating refinancing/covenant risk. Cash flow is negative again (TTM OCF -$225M; TTM FCF -$289M), indicating ongoing liquidity pressure.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
9
Very Negative
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.91B2.97B3.51B3.68B4.97B4.83B
Gross Profit163.80M165.90M265.60M142.30M272.30M698.90M
EBITDA-153.30M-251.10M159.70M-223.30M-119.80M597.40M
Net Income-582.50M-545.60M-348.50M-701.30M-430.90M440.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.31B2.28B2.64B3.03B3.76B4.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments110.60M146.70M209.80M259.10M211.70M573.00M
Total Debt2.83B272.40M2.48B2.37B2.39B2.41B
Total Liabilities3.53B3.38B3.26B3.30B3.34B3.70B
Stockholders Equity-1.22B-1.10B-619.90M-268.00M420.30M1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-288.75M-153.40M-86.10M55.60M-104.70M335.00M
Operating Cash Flow-225.35M-102.40M-22.80M125.30M43.50M452.70M
Investing Cash Flow-50.51M-41.00M-55.10M-31.70M-164.00M-1.54B
Financing Cash Flow260.29M73.50M35.00M-42.60M-233.70M1.08B

Trinseo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.11
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Positive
100DMA
0.28
Negative
200DMA
1.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
61.70
Neutral
STOCH
57.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSEOF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, below the 50-day MA of 0.12, and below the 200-day MA of 1.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSEOF.

Trinseo Risk Analysis

Trinseo disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trinseo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trinseo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$4.85B20.6912.14%1.70%5.80%12.24%
62
Neutral
$3.25B38.5615.95%0.50%11.21%-3.13%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$5.45B12.88-16.43%22.99%-245.44%
54
Neutral
$3.45B-28.55-164.40%4.37%0.34%-1414.08%
53
Neutral
$791.57M-39.35-17.00%4.39%-0.99%-239.09%
42
Neutral
$5.48M>-0.0156.63%8.42%-14.12%-62.81%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSEOF
Trinseo
0.15
-2.55
-94.44%
HWKN
Hawkins
152.96
27.06
21.49%
KRO
Kronos Worldwide
6.71
0.02
0.31%
SXT
Sensient Technologies
114.10
20.86
22.38%
CC
Chemours Company
21.75
10.82
98.98%
PRM
Perimeter Solutions
33.74
21.91
185.21%

Trinseo Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Trinseo Extends Securitization Waiver Amid Balance Sheet Restructuring
Negative
May 15, 2026
Trinseo disclosed that, under its July 18, 2024 Credit and Security Agreement governing the company&#8217;s accounts receivable securitization facility, counterparties have confirmed an extension of the existing waiver&#8217;s expiration date to M...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Trinseo Announces Chapter 11 Restructuring to Reduce Debt
Negative
May 14, 2026
On May 13, 2026, Trinseo announced it had entered into a binding Restructuring Support Agreement with creditors holding a majority of its debt, aiming to cut approximately $2.0 billion in obligations and about $140 million in annual interest expen...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Trinseo Extends Key Credit Facility Waivers to 2026
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
On January 17, 2025, Trinseo secured an extension of the waiver under its super-priority revolving credit facility, with the counterparties pushing the waiver&#8217;s expiration to May 13, 2026, and also obtained similar extensions for waivers tie...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trinseo Skips Interest Payments Amid Ongoing Debt Talks
Negative
Apr 15, 2026
On April 14, 2026, Trinseo and certain subsidiaries chose not to make scheduled interest payments, including about $38 million due under a 2023 credit agreement, as part of ongoing talks with financial stakeholders over its capital structure. Once...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Trinseo Obtains Waivers Amid Growing Debt Default Pressures
Negative
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Trinseo and several financing subsidiaries obtained amendments and limited waivers from lenders under their super-priority revolver, senior and refinance credit agreements, and accounts receivable securitization facility. These ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026