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Tower Semiconductor (TSEM)
NASDAQ:TSEM

Tower (TSEM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSEM

Tower

(NASDAQ:TSEM)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▼(-3.16% Downside)
Tower Semiconductor's overall stock score reflects strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights, offset by high valuation concerns and cash flow challenges. The company's strategic investments and growth in key areas like RF infrastructure and silicon photonics are significant positives.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Strategic Investments
Strategic investments in high-demand technologies enhance competitive positioning and drive future revenue growth.
New Product Collaboration
Collaborations on new products expand market reach and address emerging technology needs, strengthening long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Eroding profit margins can impact profitability and limit reinvestment capacity, challenging sustainable growth.
Fab Utilization Challenges
Underutilized facilities indicate inefficiencies that can increase costs and reduce operational leverage.
Increased Lease Costs
Higher lease costs elevate operational expenses, potentially squeezing margins and affecting cash flow.

Tower (TSEM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tower Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, manufactures and markets analog intensive mixed-signal semiconductor devices in the United States, Japan, other Asia countries, and Europe. It provides various customizable process technologies, including SiGe, BiCMOS, mixed signal/CMOS, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensor, integrated power management, and MEMS. The company also offers wafer fabrication services and design enablement platform for design cycle, as well as transfer optimization and development process services to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies. It serves various markets, such as consumer electronics, personal computers, communications, automotive, industrial, aerospace, military, and medical device products. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Migdal Haemek, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyTower Semiconductor generates revenue primarily through its foundry services, where it manufactures semiconductor products for third-party customers. The company operates on a business model that includes long-term contracts and agreements with major clients in various industries, which provide a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include fees for manufacturing services, design services, and licensing of its proprietary technologies. Additionally, Tower benefits from strategic partnerships with leading technology companies, which enhance its market reach and capability to innovate, thereby contributing to its earnings. The company also participates in joint ventures and collaborations that enable it to expand its technology portfolio and access new markets.

Tower Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial and operational growth, particularly in RF infrastructure and silicon photonics. However, there are challenges related to fab utilization and increased lease costs. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook is positive with strategic investments and forecasted record revenue for Q4 2025.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Tower Semiconductor reported Q3 2025 revenue of $396 million, a year-over-year increase of 7%, and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 6%. Net profit for the quarter was $54 million, a 15% increase from the previous quarter.
Forecasted Record Q4 Revenue
The company guides its Q4 revenue to be a record $440 million, plus/minus 5%, fulfilling its target of quarter-over-quarter growth throughout the year.
RF Infrastructure and Silicon Photonics Growth
RF infrastructure revenue increased from $67 million (18% of corporate revenue) in Q3 2024 to $107 million (27%) in Q3 2025. Silicon photonics revenue grew approximately 70% year-over-year, reaching $52 million in Q3 2025.
Increased Capacity and Strategic Investments
Tower Semiconductor announced an additional $300 million investment for silicon photonics and silicon germanium capacity expansion, building on a previous $350 million investment.
Negative Updates
Fab Utilization Challenges
Fab 9 operated at 60% utilization, and Fab 2 in Israel operated at about 65% utilization, indicating underutilization in some areas.
Newport Beach Fab Lease Costs
The company extended its Newport Beach fab lease, requiring an upfront lease payment of $105 million and adding $6 million per quarter to COGS, impacting quarterly costs.
Company Guidance
During the Tower Semiconductor earnings call for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company reported a revenue of $396 million, resulting in a net profit of $54 million. The guidance for the fourth quarter projects a revenue record of $440 million, plus or minus 5%, indicating strong quarter-over-quarter growth throughout the year. Key metrics highlighted include a significant increase in RF infrastructure revenues, which rose to $107 million, or 27% of corporate revenue, compared to $67 million in the same quarter last year. Silicon photonics business also saw a notable 70% growth, reaching $52 million. The company is investing $650 million to expand capacity for its high-margin silicon photonics and silicon germanium platforms, with a target of achieving a Q4 '25 annualized revenue run rate exceeding $320 million. Additionally, the gross profit for Q3 was reported at $93 million, reflecting a 16% sequential increase.

Tower Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tower demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet. However, declining profit margins and negative free cash flow growth highlight areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Tower's income statement shows a strong performance with a consistent revenue growth trend, particularly in the TTM period with a 1.69% increase. The company maintains healthy margins, with a TTM gross profit margin of 22.39% and a net profit margin of 13.20%. However, there has been a decline in margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures or pricing challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is moderate at 7.29%, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, supporting the company's stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns, particularly with the negative free cash flow growth rate of -3795.43% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.65, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests challenges in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.51B1.44B1.42B1.68B1.51B1.27B
Gross Profit333.10M339.44M353.52M466.31M329.12M233.32M
EBITDA504.39M451.32M847.31M590.30M433.12M335.97M
Net Income195.48M207.86M518.49M264.57M150.01M82.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.25B3.08B2.92B2.55B2.23B2.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.22B1.22B1.24B1.01B763.87M710.10M
Total Debt164.09M180.81M231.56M272.34M314.84M390.28M
Total Liabilities420.02M440.31M491.48M659.07M615.85M639.25M
Stockholders Equity2.83B2.65B2.43B1.89B1.62B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.28M12.53M232.06M163.42M107.48M-37.09M
Operating Cash Flow456.76M448.68M676.56M529.82M421.29M276.56M
Investing Cash Flow-426.84M-400.24M-720.85M-329.45M-338.94M-363.61M
Financing Cash Flow-25.85M-32.45M-30.41M-66.65M-76.86M-61.19M

Tower Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price116.69
Price Trends
50DMA
95.17
Positive
100DMA
77.70
Positive
200DMA
58.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.78
Positive
RSI
59.22
Neutral
STOCH
20.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSEM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 116.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.17, above the 50-day MA of 95.17, and above the 200-day MA of 58.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSEM.

Tower Risk Analysis

Tower disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tower reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tower Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$9.19B41.0623.58%39.37%40.87%
76
Outperform
$12.58B67.637.19%8.03%-6.03%
69
Neutral
$9.61B31.327.27%0.85%0.13%-16.17%
69
Neutral
$6.21B233.4313.39%20.60%
66
Neutral
$5.48B24.8213.30%1.56%-0.58%-6.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$9.29B-121.10-7.88%59.04%28.50%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSEM
Tower
116.69
66.14
130.84%
AMKR
Amkor
39.30
14.52
58.60%
NVMI
Nova
312.78
117.90
60.50%
SMTC
Semtech
71.01
7.43
11.69%
OLED
Universal Display
115.21
-33.42
-22.49%
SITM
SiTime Corporation
358.73
142.64
66.01%

Tower Corporate Events

Tower Semiconductor to Participate in Barclays Global Technology Conference
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Tower Semiconductor announced its participation in the Barclays 23rd Annual Global Technology Conference, scheduled for December 10, 2025, at the Palace Hotel in San Francisco. This event will provide an opportunity for investors to engage directly with company representatives, potentially impacting Tower Semiconductor’s visibility and investor relations. The conference is a significant platform for the company to highlight its industry positioning and foster relationships with stakeholders.

Tower Semiconductor and Switch Semiconductor Unveil High-Efficiency Power Solution
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Tower Semiconductor announced a collaboration with Switch Semiconductor to introduce the SW2001, a high-efficiency buck regulator designed on Tower’s 65nm BCD platform. This product targets applications in servers, AI systems, and telecom infrastructure, promising up to 87% efficiency and reduced emissions. The collaboration marks a significant step in addressing the growing demands of next-generation computing and automation, with sampling set to begin in Q1 2026 and volume production later in the year.

Tower Semiconductor Expands 3D-IC Technology with New CPO Foundry
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Tower Semiconductor announced the expansion of its 300mm wafer bonding technology to support heterogeneous 3D-IC integration across its Silicon Photonics (SiPho) and SiGe BiCMOS processes. This advancement, supported by Cadence design tools, addresses the demand for compact, high-performance systems in data centers, enabling the integration of application-specific functions into a single high-density chip. The collaboration with Cadence enhances design capabilities, allowing for co-simulation and co-verification of multiple process technologies, thus reinforcing Tower’s leadership in 3D-IC and heterogeneous integration.

Tower Semiconductor Projects Record Q4 Revenue Amid Strategic Investments
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Tower Semiconductor announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue of $396 million, a 6% increase from the previous quarter. The company also projected a record revenue of $440 million for the fourth quarter, driven by growth in its core technologies and investments in SiPho and SiGe capacity. Tower Semiconductor is investing an additional $300 million to expand its capabilities and extend its Newport Beach site lease, positioning itself for continued growth amid rising demand in the data center sector.

Tower Semiconductor to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Tower Semiconductor announced that it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, followed by a conference call to discuss these results and provide guidance for the fourth quarter. The call will be webcast and available on the company’s Investor Relations website, with a replay accessible for 90 days. This announcement highlights Tower Semiconductor’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025