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Zedcor Energy Inc (TSE:ZDC)
:ZDC

Zedcor Energy Inc (ZDC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ZDC

Zedcor Energy Inc

(ZDC)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.00
▼(-12.89% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/11/25
Zedcor Energy Inc's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong financial performance, characterized by revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and technical indicators point to neutral to bearish sentiment. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth of 15.4% TTM indicates expanding market traction and recurring demand for rental and services. Over 2-6 months this supports scaling of fixed-cost leverage, deeper client relationships, and a larger base to convert into long-term profitable projects.
High Gross and EBITDA Margins
Elevated gross and EBITDA margins reflect strong service mix, pricing power, and operational efficiency in rentals and modular services. These durable margins provide a buffer against cyclicality, supporting reinvestment capacity and resilience across typical energy sector cycles.
Improved Leverage and Equity Base
Reduced leverage and a strong equity ratio enhance financial flexibility for capex and bidding on multi-year contracts. Over months this lowers refinancing risk and supports disciplined growth investments without materially increasing solvency exposure in a capital-intensive sector.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistently negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow signals heavy capex or working capital drawdown. Over the medium term this can constrain self-funded expansion, force external financing, and reduce strategic optionality for equipment-heavy service offerings.
Declining Net Profit Margin
A falling net margin to ~4% suggests increased cost pressure or lower realizations on projects. Structurally, continued margin erosion would impede retained earnings growth and limit the company’s ability to build reserves or fund strategic initiatives without altering pricing or cost structure.
Modest ROE and Historical Leverage Risk
Low ROE implies limited capital efficiency, and a history of high leverage increases vulnerability to downturns. Over several months this combination can slow shareholder value creation and raise financing costs if sector conditions tighten or capital markets become less accessible.

Zedcor Energy Inc (ZDC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Zedcor Energy Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZedcor Inc. provides technology-based security and surveillance services in Western and Central Canada. The company engages in the provision of rental, service, and remote monitoring of its proprietary MobileyeZ security towers; live and verified remote monitoring of fixed site locations; and security personnel. It also offers fixed site security camera installation and monitoring services; and security guard services. The company serves customers in the pipeline construction, civil and municipal construction, warehouses, auto storage yards, and solar power generation facilities. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of 265 MobileyeZ security towers, including 190 Solar Hybrid MobileyeZ; 54 Electric MobileyeZ; and 21 Diesel MobileyeZ. The company was formerly known as Zedcor Energy Inc. and changed its name to Zedcor Inc. in September 2020. Zedcor Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyZedcor Energy Inc generates revenue primarily through its diverse service offerings and rental agreements within the energy sector. The company earns money by leasing out specialized equipment, including drilling rigs, modular units, and other essential machinery to oil and gas companies. Additionally, Zedcor provides comprehensive energy services that include site preparation, maintenance, and logistics support, which are billed on a project basis. The company may also engage in long-term contracts with major clients, ensuring a steady stream of income. Strategic partnerships with energy firms and participation in large-scale projects further bolster its revenue, allowing Zedcor to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the evolving energy landscape.

Zedcor Energy Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue and growth achievements, strong adjusted EBITDA, and successful market expansion, particularly in the U.S. Key strategic hires and operational efficiencies further contribute to a positive outlook. However, challenges remain in terms of SG&A expenses, production capacity, and pricing discrepancies.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Record revenues of $9.2 million for Q3 2024, exceeding the previous high by $1.8 million and increasing 42% year-over-year.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA
Record adjusted EBITDA of $3.4 million for Q3 2024, a 49% increase year-over-year, with margins over 37%.
Fleet Expansion and High Utilization
Fleet size increased by 52% year-over-year to 1,150 security towers with utilization over 90%.
U.S. Market Expansion
Expansion into key U.S. markets such as Texas, Denver, and Las Vegas with a growing customer base.
Operational Efficiency
Gross margins increased to $5.4 million or 59% of revenues due to operational efficiencies and higher utilization rates.
New Product Line Introduction
Introduction and marketing of 50 Zbox units as a new product line.
Strategic Hires
Hiring of Randy Beck and Keith Aubele to focus on energy and retail customer expansion.
Negative Updates
SG&A Expenses
SG&A expected to increase slightly, driven by stock compensation and back-office functions.
Limited Capacity and Expansion Challenges
Challenges in ramping up tower production capacity due to floor space and supplier limitations.
Pricing Discrepancies
Continued regional pricing discrepancies between Canada and the U.S.
Company Guidance
During the recent earnings call for Zedcor Inc., the company reported record revenues of $9.2 million for Q3 2024, marking a 42% increase year-over-year and surpassing the previous quarter by $1.8 million. The adjusted EBITDA also reached a record high of $3.4 million, representing a 49% increase year-over-year, with EBITDA margins exceeding 37%. The company highlighted that recurring revenue accounted for over 80% of total revenue, and fleet utilization remained above 90%. The fleet expanded with the addition of 148 security towers, bringing the total to 1,296, with 25% of the fleet stationed in the U.S. The company noted that the tower production count grew by approximately 10% during the quarter. Additionally, Zedcor anticipates strong results for Q4 2024 as it continues to expand in the retail and residential construction segments, supported by ongoing negotiations to expand its credit facilities. Cash flow from operations was robust, with adjusted operating cash flow increasing by 54% year-over-year to $3.1 million.

Zedcor Energy Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zedcor Energy Inc demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with robust margins and improved leverage ratios. However, challenges with negative free cash flow and declining net profit margins persist. The balance sheet shows improved financial stability, but historical high leverage remains a concern.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Zedcor Energy Inc has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 15.43% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 62.94% and a net profit margin of 3.98% reflect stable profitability, although the net profit margin has decreased compared to previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 7.86% and 28.77%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management. However, the decline in net profit margin from previous years is a concern.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.48 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and better financial stability. The return on equity is modest at 4.04%, suggesting moderate profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio of 55.71% shows a strong equity base relative to total assets. Despite improvements, the company has had high leverage in the past, which poses a potential risk.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Operating cash flow is strong at $14.85 million, but the free cash flow remains negative at -$35.85 million, indicating cash outflows exceeding inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.64 suggests adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -2.60 highlights cash management challenges. The free cash flow growth rate of 28.24% is a positive sign, but the overall cash flow position needs improvement.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.37M32.99M24.89M22.10M13.55M13.76M
Gross Profit32.76M19.34M12.39M10.77M6.17M4.43M
EBITDA14.53M10.69M9.05M8.41M3.83M3.51M
Net Income1.59M1.63M2.65M6.00M-3.90M-4.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.11M67.45M42.97M32.58M19.80M32.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.50M5.76M1.47M571.00K108.00K761.00K
Total Debt33.40M28.33M27.61M20.68M17.02M26.88M
Total Liabilities46.98M35.46M30.86M24.09M19.40M28.47M
Stockholders Equity59.13M31.99M12.12M8.49M398.00K4.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-35.85M-10.37M-3.58M-2.80M-1.22M939.00K
Operating Cash Flow14.85M11.02M9.89M6.19M4.54M2.72M
Investing Cash Flow-47.53M-20.53M-13.45M-8.61M6.58M841.00K
Financing Cash Flow28.76M13.80M4.47M2.88M-11.77M-2.97M

Zedcor Energy Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.74
Price Trends
50DMA
5.89
Negative
100DMA
6.02
Negative
200DMA
5.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
46.59
Neutral
STOCH
34.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ZDC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.94, below the 50-day MA of 5.89, and above the 200-day MA of 5.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:ZDC.

Zedcor Energy Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$690.17M9.2210.51%2.57%15.58%47.55%
65
Neutral
C$540.06M15.423.20%-8.13%-28.00%
63
Neutral
C$659.82M8.338.81%2.56%8.24%-36.88%
63
Neutral
C$266.92M-20.080.20%6.19%-8.58%-98.92%
56
Neutral
C$665.58M-34.65-3.50%-2.47%-246.73%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
C$607.50M1,049.063.57%80.50%558.33%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ZDC
Zedcor Energy Inc
5.74
2.92
103.55%
TSE:NOA
North American Construction Group
23.09
-0.35
-1.51%
TSE:CFW
Calfrac Well Services
5.37
1.73
47.69%
TSE:ESI
Ensign Energy Services
3.60
1.15
46.94%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
1.81
0.57
46.09%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
18.64
9.70
108.57%

Zedcor Energy Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Zedcor Doubles Mobile Security Fleet and Boosts U.S. Capacity to Sustain 2026 Growth
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Zedcor reported a 108% year-over-year increase in its MobileyeZ tower fleet to 2,783 units by the end of 2025, evenly split between Canada and the United States, and has ramped up weekly production capacity to 50 towers, supported by a new, larger manufacturing facility in Houston. The company is investing in geographic expansion, an enlarged sales force, and a new 15,000-square-foot monitoring center in Houston while advancing enterprise relationships, including a national account with the largest U.S. homebuilder and trials with major retailers, positioning Zedcor for continued growth and deeper penetration into key North American security markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ZDC) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zedcor Energy Inc stock, see the TSE:ZDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Zedcor Inc. Grants 138,500 Restricted Share Units to Employees
Positive
Nov 15, 2025

Zedcor Inc. announced the grant of 138,500 Restricted Share Units (RSUs) to its employees under the company’s RSU/DSU plan, with these units set to vest over three years. This move is part of Zedcor’s strategy to enhance employee engagement and align their interests with the company’s growth, as it continues to expand its innovative security solutions across North America.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ZDC) stock is a Buy with a C$7.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zedcor Energy Inc stock, see the TSE:ZDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Zedcor Energy Inc. Achieves Record Q3 2025 Financial Results with Strong U.S. Expansion
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Zedcor Energy Inc. reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $16.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA at $5.7 million, marking significant year-over-year growth. The company’s strategic expansion in the U.S. market, coupled with strong demand for its MobileyeZ™ security towers and operational efficiencies, has bolstered its market position and driven profitability, reflecting the effectiveness of its business model and customer service excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ZDC) stock is a Buy with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zedcor Energy Inc stock, see the TSE:ZDC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025