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Tree Island Steel (TSE:TSL)
TSX:TSL
Canadian Market
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Tree Island Steel (TSL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TSL

Tree Island Steel

(TSX:TSL)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▼(-19.09% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance: sustained losses, very thin margins, and inconsistent/free cash flow in TTM. Technicals are mixed with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and neutral momentum signals. Valuation is supported by the dividend yield, but the negative P/E (losses) caps the overall attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Solid balance sheet and low leverage
Modest debt-to-equity (~0.26) and a meaningful equity base (~$107M vs $163M assets) provide a durable financial cushion. Low leverage supports liquidity through cycles, allows modest capex or working-capital needs without urgent refinancing, and preserves strategic optionality over months.
Negative Factors
Sustained losses and thin margins
Very thin gross margins (~5.1%) and negative EBIT/net margins show the business struggles to convert sales into sustainable profits. Margin compression reduces capacity to absorb raw-material cost swings and limits the firm's ability to generate returns on capital, threatening long-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Solid balance sheet and low leverage
Modest debt-to-equity (~0.26) and a meaningful equity base (~$107M vs $163M assets) provide a durable financial cushion. Low leverage supports liquidity through cycles, allows modest capex or working-capital needs without urgent refinancing, and preserves strategic optionality over months.
Read all positive factors

Tree Island Steel (TSL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tree Island Steel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tree Island Steel Ltd. is a leading manufacturer of steel products in North America, specializing in the production of wire and wire products for various sectors, including construction, agriculture, and industrial applications. The company operat...
How the Company Makes Money
TSL makes money primarily by manufacturing steel wire products and selling them to customers through a mix of direct sales and distribution channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) sales of concrete reinforcing products (e.g., welded wire reinfo...

Tree Island Steel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial results have weakened materially: revenue is down (-7.531% TTM) with thin gross margin (~5.1%) and negative operating/net margins (EBIT ~-2.7%, net ~-4.2%), indicating ongoing profitability pressure. The balance sheet is a relative strength with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.26) and meaningful equity, but cash flow remains a concern with low operating cash flow (~$1.4M) and slightly negative free cash flow (~-$0.1M) in TTM.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.22M170.83M206.99M239.57M359.56M301.85M
Gross Profit7.99M9.45M11.79M30.29M65.33M68.63M
EBITDA1.33M2.83M4.81M18.34M51.98M121.85M
Net Income-6.55M-5.33M-3.91M7.55M33.11M87.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets162.55M154.88M168.82M171.98M176.33M225.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55M1.43M8.70M20.34M14.98M33.25M
Total Debt27.54M25.57M26.95M23.80M25.91M41.02M
Total Liabilities55.11M46.51M49.95M45.10M48.23M93.19M
Stockholders Equity107.44M108.37M118.86M126.88M128.10M132.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-147.00K-2.81M-3.24M18.20M41.92M-258.00K
Operating Cash Flow1.40M-914.00K-1.43M23.73M43.38M11.87M
Investing Cash Flow-1.53M-1.89M-1.39M-4.77M-1.32M57.11M
Financing Cash Flow-1.87M-3.90M-10.15M-13.32M-60.25M-36.99M

Tree Island Steel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.09
Price Trends
50DMA
2.55
Negative
100DMA
2.62
Negative
200DMA
2.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
37.62
Neutral
STOCH
28.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.50, above the 50-day MA of 2.55, and above the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TSL.

Tree Island Steel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
C$1.77B35.5514.38%6.37%-11.36%-32.65%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
C$104.23M17.52-5.33%16.24%
49
Neutral
C$63.91M-14.37-4.54%2.63%-24.14%-44.07%
49
Neutral
C$712.50M-6.27-136.54%4.87%-20.89%-483.46%
45
Neutral
C$59.55M-1.69-12.25%11.65%17.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSL
Tree Island Steel
2.42
-0.03
-1.22%
TSE:FEO
Oceanic Iron Ore
0.77
0.57
285.00%
TSE:LIF
Labrador Iron Ore
27.73
0.65
2.39%
TSE:S
Sherritt International
0.12
-0.02
-17.24%
TSE:NKL
Nickel 28 Capital Corp
1.21
0.53
77.94%
TSE:ASTL
Algoma Steel Group
6.51
-0.93
-12.50%

Tree Island Steel Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Tree Island Steel Hit by Tariffs as 2025 Revenue Falls and Dividend Suspended
Negative
Mar 13, 2026
Tree Island Steel reported a sharp revenue decline for 2025, with full-year sales falling to $161.8 million from $207.0 million and adjusted EBITDA slipping to $3.0 million from $4.3 million, leading to a net loss of $5.3 million. The downturn was...
Financial Disclosures
Tree Island Steel Sets March 12, 2026 Date for Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
Neutral
Feb 19, 2026
Tree Island Steel Ltd. announced it will release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results for the period ended Dec. 31, 2025, after market close on March 12, 2026. The timing signals an upcoming update on the company’s operati...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2026