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Tree Island Steel (TSE:TSL)
TSX:TSL
Canadian Market

Tree Island Steel (TSL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TSL

Tree Island Steel

(TSX:TSL)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▼(-19.09% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/15/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance, driven by multi-year revenue declines, recent operating/net losses, and negative operating/free cash flow, partially offset by a comparatively stable balance sheet. Technical indicators are neutral and do not show strong trend support. Valuation is difficult to assess due to losses, though the dividend yield provides modest support.
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage / strong equity cushion
A relatively low and stable debt-to-equity ratio and sizable equity base provide a durable financial cushion through cyclical downturns. This reduces near-term refinancing pressure, preserves liquidity optionality for operational fixes, and supports credibility with lenders over months.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
Sustained revenue contraction erodes scale economics and fixed-cost absorption, pressuring gross and operating margins. If top-line declines persist, recovery will require either market share gains, product mix improvement, or new channels — any of which can take many quarters to execute.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable leverage / strong equity cushion
A relatively low and stable debt-to-equity ratio and sizable equity base provide a durable financial cushion through cyclical downturns. This reduces near-term refinancing pressure, preserves liquidity optionality for operational fixes, and supports credibility with lenders over months.
Read all positive factors

Tree Island Steel (TSL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tree Island Steel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tree Island Steel Ltd. is a leading manufacturer of steel products in North America, specializing in the production of wire and wire products for various sectors, including construction, agriculture, and industrial applications. The company operat...
How the Company Makes Money
Tree Island Steel makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling steel wire and fabricated wire products to customers (e.g., construction-related distributors, industrial users, and agricultural markets). Its core revenue stream is product sal...

Tree Island Steel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue has declined for several years, the company moved from profits to operating and net losses in 2024–2025, and operating/free cash flow turned negative in both years. The balance sheet is a relative support with moderate leverage, but ongoing cash burn and deteriorating profitability drive a low score.
Income Statement
36
Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue170.83M206.99M239.57M359.56M301.85M
Gross Profit9.45M11.79M30.29M65.33M68.63M
EBITDA2.83M4.81M18.34M51.98M121.85M
Net Income-5.33M-3.91M7.55M33.11M87.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets154.88M168.82M171.98M176.33M225.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43M8.70M20.34M14.98M33.25M
Total Debt25.57M26.95M23.80M25.91M41.02M
Total Liabilities46.51M49.95M45.10M48.23M93.19M
Stockholders Equity108.37M118.86M126.88M128.10M132.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.81M-3.24M18.20M41.92M-258.00K
Operating Cash Flow-914.00K-1.43M23.73M43.38M11.87M
Investing Cash Flow-1.89M-1.39M-4.77M-1.32M57.11M
Financing Cash Flow-3.90M-10.15M-13.32M-60.25M-36.99M

Tree Island Steel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.09
Price Trends
50DMA
2.64
Negative
100DMA
2.72
Negative
200DMA
2.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
46.97
Neutral
STOCH
39.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.60, above the 50-day MA of 2.64, and above the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TSL.

Tree Island Steel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$1.90B19.0115.70%6.37%-10.99%-43.30%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
C$94.68M17.52-5.33%16.24%
48
Neutral
C$605.47M-0.62-95.10%4.87%
47
Neutral
C$66.81M-14.38-4.54%2.63%-16.85%-117.65%
47
Neutral
C$109.18M-1.53-12.25%13.25%31.69%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSL
Tree Island Steel
2.58
0.10
4.03%
TSE:FEO
Oceanic Iron Ore
0.85
0.69
431.25%
TSE:LIF
Labrador Iron Ore
29.67
4.01
15.62%
TSE:S
Sherritt International
0.22
0.09
69.23%
TSE:NKL
Nickel 28 Capital Corp
1.09
0.49
81.67%
TSE:ASTL
Algoma Steel Group
5.77
-0.97
-14.33%

Tree Island Steel Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Tree Island Steel Hit by Tariffs as 2025 Revenue Falls and Dividend Suspended
Negative
Mar 13, 2026
Tree Island Steel reported a sharp revenue decline for 2025, with full-year sales falling to $161.8 million from $207.0 million and adjusted EBITDA slipping to $3.0 million from $4.3 million, leading to a net loss of $5.3 million. The downturn was...
Financial Disclosures
Tree Island Steel Sets March 12, 2026 Date for Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
Neutral
Feb 19, 2026
Tree Island Steel Ltd. announced it will release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results for the period ended Dec. 31, 2025, after market close on March 12, 2026. The timing signals an upcoming update on the company’s operati...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 15, 2026