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Labrador Iron Ore (TSE:LIF)
TSX:LIF

Labrador Iron Ore (LIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:LIF

Labrador Iron Ore

(TSX:LIF)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
C$35.00
▲(17.06% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (debt-free balance sheet and robust profitability/cash conversion), partially offset by softer recent fundamentals versus 2024. Technicals are supportive but not strongly bullish, while valuation is helped by the high dividend yield but moderated by a mid-teens P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Health
Labrador Iron Ore's zero debt and strong equity backing provide financial stability and flexibility, supporting long-term operational resilience and strategic initiatives.
Efficient Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow growth and management indicate efficient operations, enabling the company to sustain dividends and invest in future growth, enhancing shareholder value.
Stable Production Outlook
Stable production at IOC ensures consistent royalty income for Labrador Iron Ore, supporting predictable revenue streams and financial planning.
Negative Factors
Decline in Profitability
A decline in net profit margin indicates reduced profitability, which may impact future earnings and limit the company's ability to invest in growth or increase shareholder returns.
Market Challenges
Global market challenges, particularly in China, could pressure iron ore prices and demand, impacting Labrador Iron Ore's revenue and profitability in the medium term.
Revenue Growth Decline
Slower revenue growth may signal challenges in expanding market share or increasing sales, potentially affecting long-term financial performance and strategic positioning.

Labrador Iron Ore (LIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Labrador Iron Ore Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLabrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation, through its subsidiary, Hollinger-Hanna Limited, holds a 15.10% equity interest in Iron Ore Company of Canada (IOC) that produces and processes iron ores at Labrador City, Newfoundland and Labrador. The company's primary products include standard and low silica acid, flux, direct reduction pellets, and iron ore concentrate, as well as seaborne iron ore pellets. The company was formerly known as Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Income Fund and changed its name to Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation in July 2010. Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyLabrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation makes money through two main revenue streams: royalties and equity dividends. Firstly, LIF earns royalty revenue from the Iron Ore Company of Canada, as it holds a royalty on iron ore sales generated by IOC. This royalty is a function of the volume of iron ore produced and sold, as well as the prevailing market prices for iron ore products. Secondly, LIF receives dividends from its 15.10% equity interest in IOC. These dividends are contingent on IOC's profitability and its board's decision to distribute profits. LIF's financial performance is thus closely tied to IOC's operational success, global iron ore prices, and demand for iron ore products. Significant factors contributing to LIF's earnings include IOC's production efficiency, market demand for iron ore, and the global economic climate impacting commodity prices.

Labrador Iron Ore Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are strong overall, led by an exceptionally strong profitability profile and an excellent balance sheet with zero debt and substantial equity. The main offset is weakening momentum: TTM revenue, net income, and free cash flow are down versus 2024, indicating a normalization/cyclical cooling from prior peak levels.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Profitability is exceptionally strong for the Steel industry, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin ~96.5% and net margin ~60.3%, supported by very high operating profitability (EBIT margin ~75.1%). However, growth and momentum have softened: revenue is down versus 2024 (TTM revenue ~$182.9M vs. ~$207.5M) despite a positive TTM growth rate shown, and net income has declined meaningfully from 2024 ($110.3M TTM vs. $175.0M). Results also look volatile across years, with outsized margins in prior periods that may not be fully repeatable.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Balance sheet strength is excellent: the company reports zero debt across periods, with a 0.0 debt-to-equity ratio, providing high financial flexibility and low solvency risk. Equity is substantial and stable (~$645M TTM) against total assets (~$812M TTM). The main watch item is profitability normalization—returns on equity remain solid in TTM (~17.2%) but are well below peak levels seen in earlier years, suggesting earnings power can swing with the cycle.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is solid and high quality: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is ~$122.0M and free cash flow matches it, with cash flow fully covering net income (free cash flow to net income = 1.0). Operating cash flow also appears strong relative to reported earnings (coverage ~3.53). The key weakness is the recent decline in cash flow—TTM free cash flow is down about 7.7% year over year and is materially lower than 2024 ($201.9M), reflecting a cooling earnings/cash backdrop.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue182.93M207.51M200.17M232.32M279.47M201.93M
Gross Profit176.55M201.25M194.15M225.90M273.30M195.74M
EBITDA77.51M225.41M243.22M337.73M450.75M285.17M
Net Income110.31M175.04M186.31M265.45M379.77M227.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets812.28M836.13M837.04M825.76M789.31M823.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.31M42.30M13.19M39.90M82.91M106.09M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities167.46M193.19M177.71M188.31M225.25M256.85M
Stockholders Equity644.81M642.93M659.33M637.46M564.06M566.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow122.03M201.91M152.49M184.19M402.42M175.43M
Operating Cash Flow122.03M201.91M152.49M184.19M402.42M175.43M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-144.00M-172.80M-179.20M-227.20M-425.60M-147.20M

Labrador Iron Ore Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.90
Price Trends
50DMA
30.37
Negative
100DMA
29.38
Positive
200DMA
28.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
41.57
Neutral
STOCH
30.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LIF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.52, below the 50-day MA of 30.37, and above the 200-day MA of 28.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:LIF.

Labrador Iron Ore Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$1.91B17.3516.92%6.37%-10.99%-43.30%
81
Outperform
C$2.03B5.6253.36%0.94%-0.76%2549.18%
73
Outperform
C$1.84B16.6914.30%4.73%10.20%-11.22%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$1.55B-12.44-25.39%29.47%1.53%
52
Neutral
$1.86B-4.24-42.69%-465.27%
51
Neutral
C$660.03M-0.93-59.32%4.87%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LIF
Labrador Iron Ore
29.90
0.69
2.36%
TSE:ALS
Altius Minerals
43.83
16.63
61.17%
TSE:CHE.UN
Chemtrade Logistics
16.13
6.64
69.95%
TSE:RBX
Robex Resources
6.16
3.81
162.13%
TSE:ASTL
Algoma Steel Group
5.92
-6.14
-50.89%
TSE:LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
6.05
1.68
38.44%

Labrador Iron Ore Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Labrador Iron Ore Faces Mixed Q3 Results Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation reported its third-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a mixed financial performance. While the company benefited from higher iron ore prices and increased pellet sales volumes, it faced challenges due to lower concentrate sales tonnages and declining pellet premiums. The royalty revenue saw a slight increase compared to the previous year, but net income per share decreased by 11% from the same period in 2024. The global steel demand remained weak, particularly in China, impacting the overall market dynamics. Despite these challenges, the company navigated through a robust supply environment, with major producers like Vale increasing production.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LIF) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Labrador Iron Ore stock, see the TSE:LIF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Labrador Iron Ore Announces CFO Transition
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation announced a change in its Chief Financial Officer position, with Alan R. Thomas stepping down and Stephen D. Pearce assuming the role. This transition is expected to be smooth due to Pearce’s long history with the company, ensuring continued financial stability and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LIF) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Labrador Iron Ore stock, see the TSE:LIF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025