tiprankstipranks
Alphamin Resources Corp. (TSE:AFM)
:AFM

Alphamin Resources (AFM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
130 Followers

Top Page

TSE:AFM

Alphamin Resources

(AFM)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-13.79% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong recent financial performance (rapid revenue and profit growth, high margins, improving leverage) and supportive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). This is partially offset by weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages and subdued RSI/MACD), which raises near-term timing risk.
Positive Factors
Strong 2025 revenue growth and high margins
Sharp 2025 top-line growth combined with very healthy gross and operating margins indicates scalable processing and strong operational leverage at Bisie. Sustained high margins support durable cash generation, reinvestment capacity and buffer through commodity cycles if volumes and recoveries hold.
Negative Factors
Historic earnings and cash-flow volatility
Past large swings in profitability and episodes of negative cash flow underline susceptibility to operational disruptions and market swings; this structural volatility can hinder multi-year planning, increase financing costs in downcycles, and challenge consistent shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong 2025 revenue growth and high margins
Sharp 2025 top-line growth combined with very healthy gross and operating margins indicates scalable processing and strong operational leverage at Bisie. Sustained high margins support durable cash generation, reinvestment capacity and buffer through commodity cycles if volumes and recoveries hold.
Read all positive factors

Alphamin Resources (AFM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Alphamin Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Alphamin Resources Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the extraction, production, and sale of tin concentrates in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Its flagship property is the Mpama North Tin project that consists of five explo...
How the Company Makes Money
Alphamin makes money primarily by producing and selling tin concentrate from its Bisie mine. Revenue is generated from sales volumes (tonnes of tin contained in concentrate sold) multiplied by realized tin prices, typically benchmarked to internat...

Alphamin Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and growth in 2024–2025 (2025 revenue +122.1% YoY, high margins, net income up to ~150.5M) with improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.12) and strong ROE (~39.5%). Score is tempered by historical earnings and cash-flow volatility typical of cyclical/commodity-linked businesses (e.g., weaker 2023 cash flow, loss in 2020).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue631.76M527.99M288.50M391.05M352.88M
Gross Profit315.14M247.58M127.46M215.77M188.49M
EBITDA339.47M258.11M134.09M217.89M164.55M
Net Income150.55M100.78M47.22M100.92M48.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets600.59M577.78M516.76M490.10M421.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.99M16.80K7.16M74.70M8.25K
Total Debt44.05M73.80M80.65M9.82M21.23M
Total Liabilities154.26M187.71M151.25M122.70M110.42M
Stockholders Equity380.72M333.54M312.79M320.42M274.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow192.38M135.37M-114.56M133.18M119.68M
Operating Cash Flow209.62M184.46M2.33M186.63M142.19M
Investing Cash Flow-22.60M-49.40M-117.22M-72.76M-25.53M
Financing Cash Flow-160.14M-112.54M2.66M-85.12M-32.58M

Alphamin Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.16
Price Trends
50DMA
1.29
Negative
100DMA
1.21
Negative
200DMA
1.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
39.80
Neutral
STOCH
35.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AFM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.22, below the 50-day MA of 1.29, and above the 200-day MA of 1.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AFM.

Alphamin Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$2.62B6.3353.36%0.94%-0.76%2549.18%
73
Outperform
C$1.38B7.3649.14%9.17%34.89%67.31%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
49
Neutral
C$994.56M-29.25-125.19%-381.19%
44
Neutral
C$672.85M-236.09-1.92%41.98%
44
Neutral
C$2.09B-39.03-113.86%14.32%37.85%
41
Neutral
C$714.44M-14.29-110.60%-53.49%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AFM
Alphamin Resources
1.08
0.64
145.45%
TSE:NDM
Northern Dynasty Minerals
1.80
0.18
11.11%
TSE:WRN
Western Copper
3.33
1.69
103.05%
TSE:ALS
Altius Minerals
46.79
22.32
91.20%
TSE:USA
Americas Gold and Silver
7.62
5.70
295.84%
TSE:TLG
Troilus Gold Corp
1.37
0.92
201.10%

Alphamin Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Alphamin lifts 2025 tin output, EBITDA and dividends as prices surge
Positive
Mar 11, 2026
Alphamin Resources reported a 7% rise in tin output to 18,576 tonnes for 2025 and a 25% jump in EBITDA to US$341m, driven by higher production, a full year of contribution from the Mpama South expansion and a 13% increase in average realized tin p...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Alphamin Sets Record 2025 Tin Output, Lifts EBITDA Guidance and Targets Higher 2026 Production
Positive
Jan 19, 2026
Alphamin Resources reported record tin production for the 2025 financial year, delivering 18,576 tonnes of contained tin, a 7% increase on 2024 and broadly in line with revised guidance, despite a temporary production halt in March 2025 due to sec...
Executive/Board Changes
Alphamin Director Paul Baloyi to Step Down at End of January 2026
Neutral
Jan 5, 2026
Alphamin Resources Corp. announced that director Paul Baloyi will step down from the board effective 31 January 2026, marking the end of his tenure that began in April 2017 as an appointee of the Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026