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Almonty Industries (TSE:AII)
TSX:AII
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Almonty Industries (AII) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AII

Almonty Industries

(TSX:AII)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$24.50
▼(-23.60% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak profitability and ongoing cash burn despite improved revenue growth and gross margin. Technicals are mixed (near-term weakness but longer-term trend support), while valuation is constrained by loss-making earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Asset-backed tungsten mining model
Almonty operates producing tungsten mines and sells tungsten concentrates to industrial users, giving it an asset-backed, cash‑generating core business. Ownership of physical mines and processing capability creates durable revenue levers via production volumes and recovery improvements, supporting medium-term operational stability and value creation if commodity and operations remain steady.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows mean the business consumes significant cash to run and invest. Over a multi-month horizon, this necessitates external financing or asset sales, increasing dilution and refinancing risk. Persistent cash burn constrains reinvestment capacity and heightens the probability of operational scaling delays or capital structure stress.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Asset-backed tungsten mining model
Almonty operates producing tungsten mines and sells tungsten concentrates to industrial users, giving it an asset-backed, cash‑generating core business. Ownership of physical mines and processing capability creates durable revenue levers via production volumes and recovery improvements, supporting medium-term operational stability and value creation if commodity and operations remain steady.
Read all positive factors

Almonty Industries (AII) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Almonty Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping tungsten concentrate. It owns interests in the Los Santos mine located near Salamanca, Spain; the Panasqueira tin and tungsten mine situated in Covilha and Castelo Branco, Portuga...
How the Company Makes Money
Almonty makes money primarily by selling tungsten products produced from its mining operations. Revenue is generated when ore is mined and processed into saleable tungsten concentrates (and/or other tungsten-bearing products, depending on the oper...

Almonty Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Top-line growth and gross margin improved meaningfully and leverage is much healthier versus 2023–2024, but the overall profile is still dominated by very large losses (deeply negative net margin/ROE) and persistent negative operating and free cash flow, implying elevated execution and funding risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.01M32.51M28.84M22.51M24.80M20.85M
Gross Profit14.63M2.38M1.97M1.08M2.55M2.79M
EBITDA-120.84M-156.37M-10.24M-3.39M-6.85M-3.32M
Net Income-132.55M-161.91M-16.30M-8.84M-14.49M-7.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets605.62M589.73M256.35M235.33M192.84M165.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments259.85M265.95M7.83M22.02M8.44M1.05M
Total Debt165.84M162.11M158.02M130.07M89.48M67.71M
Total Liabilities249.28M231.92M217.28M186.83M153.09M128.36M
Stockholders Equity356.35M357.81M39.07M48.51M39.75M37.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-82.43M-79.98M-43.73M-29.19M-28.33M-18.44M
Operating Cash Flow-6.37M-19.14M-7.50M-11.70M-5.57M-8.44M
Investing Cash Flow-77.48M-62.27M-36.23M-17.49M-22.75M-10.00M
Financing Cash Flow329.36M342.00M29.37M43.37M35.22M17.19M

Almonty Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price32.07
Price Trends
50DMA
26.29
Negative
100DMA
21.61
Positive
200DMA
15.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
41.86
Neutral
STOCH
10.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AII, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 32.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.40, above the 50-day MA of 26.29, and above the 200-day MA of 15.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:AII.

Almonty Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$2.95B245.4032.43%0.94%29.24%188.40%
73
Outperform
C$1.73B2.3339.07%9.17%36.51%80.51%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$2.92B43.13-41.36%58.08%35.45%
47
Neutral
C$2.43B-872.55-8.33%-161.83%
46
Neutral
C$6.73B-267.64-59.18%72.91%-172.72%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AII
Almonty Industries
24.02
20.33
550.95%
TSE:AFM
Alphamin Resources
1.35
0.53
65.04%
TSE:ALS
Altius Minerals
52.84
25.61
94.06%
TSE:USA
Americas Gold and Silver
8.96
6.99
353.67%
TSE:LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
6.91
2.97
75.38%

Almonty Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Almonty Narrows Path to Production at Sangdong as Tungsten Surge Lifts Revenue but Accounting Charge Swings 2025 to Deep Loss
Neutral
Mar 20, 2026
Almonty Industries reported higher 2025 revenue of $32.5 million, up 13%, as surging tungsten APT prices supported its mining operations, but the company posted a steep net loss of $161.9 million largely due to a non-cash charge from revaluing emb...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026