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Almonty Industries (TSE:AII)
TSX:AII

Almonty Industries (AII) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AII

Almonty Industries

(TSX:AII)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$20.50
▼(-4.16% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is held back primarily by very weak financial performance, including collapsing margins, large losses, and ongoing cash burn despite improving revenue and lower leverage. Technicals provide partial support via a strong longer-term trend but mixed short-term momentum. Valuation is moderate based on the provided P/E, with no dividend data to add support.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth trend
Consistent TTM revenue growth (~8.1%) indicates expanding sales and underlying demand for Almonty’s tungsten products. Over a 2–6 month horizon growing top-line can support operating leverage, improve utilization at mines, and create a pathway to margin recovery if costs and recoveries stabilize.
Negative Factors
Negative cash flow
Persistent negative operating cash flow and ~-$82.3M TTM free cash flow represent ongoing cash burn that erodes liquidity. Over several months this increases reliance on external funding, constrains reinvestment in mines, and raises execution and refinancing risk for operations and development projects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth trend
Consistent TTM revenue growth (~8.1%) indicates expanding sales and underlying demand for Almonty’s tungsten products. Over a 2–6 month horizon growing top-line can support operating leverage, improve utilization at mines, and create a pathway to margin recovery if costs and recoveries stabilize.
Read all positive factors

Almonty Industries (AII) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Almonty Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping tungsten concentrate. It owns interests in the Los Santos mine located near Salamanca, Spain; the Panasqueira tin and tungsten mine situated in Covilha and Castelo Branco, Portuga...
How the Company Makes Money
Almonty makes money primarily by selling tungsten products produced from its mining operations. Revenue is generated when ore is mined and processed into saleable tungsten concentrates (and/or other tungsten-bearing products, depending on the oper...

Almonty Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (TTM up 8.11%), and leverage has improved materially (debt-to-equity down to ~1.15x from ~4.0x in 2024). However, profitability is severely weak with sharply compressed gross margin (TTM ~1.9% vs ~6.8% in 2024), widened losses, and sustained negative operating and free cash flow (TTM FCF about -$82.3M), keeping financial quality pressured and elevating funding/execution risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.51M28.84M22.51M24.80M20.85M
Gross Profit2.38M1.97M1.08M2.55M2.79M
EBITDA-156.37M-10.24M-3.39M-6.85M-3.32M
Net Income-161.91M-16.30M-8.84M-14.49M-7.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets589.73M256.35M235.33M192.84M165.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments265.95M7.83M22.02M8.44M1.05M
Total Debt162.11M158.02M130.07M89.48M67.71M
Total Liabilities231.92M217.28M186.83M153.09M128.36M
Stockholders Equity357.81M39.07M48.51M39.75M37.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-79.98M-43.73M-29.19M-28.33M-18.44M
Operating Cash Flow-19.14M-7.50M-11.70M-5.57M-8.44M
Investing Cash Flow-62.27M-36.23M-17.49M-22.75M-10.00M
Financing Cash Flow342.00M29.37M43.37M35.22M17.19M

Almonty Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.39
Price Trends
50DMA
21.43
Negative
100DMA
16.11
Positive
200DMA
11.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Positive
RSI
46.91
Neutral
STOCH
35.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AII, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.87, below the 50-day MA of 21.43, and above the 200-day MA of 11.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AII.

Almonty Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$2.93B6.3353.36%0.94%-0.76%2549.18%
73
Outperform
C$1.51B7.3649.14%9.17%34.89%67.31%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$6.00B-15.51-116.13%7.50%-508.68%
48
Neutral
C$2.10B-18.63-113.86%14.32%37.85%
42
Neutral
C$1.95B-8.53-17.37%-465.27%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AII
Almonty Industries
21.39
18.43
622.64%
TSE:AFM
Alphamin Resources
1.18
0.69
138.87%
TSE:ALS
Altius Minerals
52.43
29.54
129.05%
TSE:USA
Americas Gold and Silver
7.68
6.15
403.61%
TSE:LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
5.62
1.88
50.27%

Almonty Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Almonty Narrows Path to Production at Sangdong as Tungsten Surge Lifts Revenue but Accounting Charge Swings 2025 to Deep Loss
Neutral
Mar 20, 2026
Almonty Industries reported higher 2025 revenue of $32.5 million, up 13%, as surging tungsten APT prices supported its mining operations, but the company posted a steep net loss of $161.9 million largely due to a non-cash charge from revaluing emb...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Almonty Taps Veteran Finance Executive as Chief Development Officer Amid Sangdong Ramp-Up
Positive
Jan 14, 2026
Almonty Industries has appointed veteran financial executive Guillaume Wiesenbach de Lamaziere as Chief Development Officer to lead its corporate development strategy as the company ramps up mining operations at its Sangdong Tungsten Mine in South...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026