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Almonty Industries (TSE:AII)
TSX:AII
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Almonty Industries (AII) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AII

Almonty Industries

(TSX:AII)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
C$33.00
▲(2.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—sharp margin compression, widening losses, and large negative operating/free cash flow—despite improving leverage and growing revenue. Technicals are a major offset with strong price strength above all key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation remains pressured due to loss-making earnings (negative P/E) and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth
TTM revenue growth of ~8% indicates the company is expanding tungsten sales and sustaining demand for its produced concentrates. Over 2-6 months this trend supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs, and underpins longer-term recovery if margins and operations stabilize.
Negative Factors
Negative cash generation
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow (~-$82M TTM) is a core structural weakness that forces reliance on external capital or balance-sheet drains. Over months this increases dilution or refinancing risk and constrains the company's ability to fund capex and complete development projects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth
TTM revenue growth of ~8% indicates the company is expanding tungsten sales and sustaining demand for its produced concentrates. Over 2-6 months this trend supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs, and underpins longer-term recovery if margins and operations stabilize.
Read all positive factors

Almonty Industries (AII) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Almonty Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping tungsten concentrate. It owns interests in the Los Santos mine located near Salamanca, Spain; the Panasqueira tin and tungsten mine situated in Covilha and Castelo Branco, Portuga...
How the Company Makes Money
Almonty makes money primarily by selling tungsten products produced from its mining operations. Revenue is generated when ore is mined and processed into saleable tungsten concentrates (and/or other tungsten-bearing products, depending on the oper...

Almonty Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (TTM up 8.11%), and leverage improved materially (debt-to-equity down to ~1.15x from ~4.0x in 2024). However, profitability has deteriorated sharply (TTM gross margin ~1.9% vs ~6.8% in 2024) with widened losses and deeply negative returns, while operating and free cash flow remain materially negative (TTM FCF about -$82.3M), increasing funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.51M28.84M22.51M24.80M20.85M
Gross Profit2.38M1.97M1.08M2.55M2.79M
EBITDA-156.37M-10.24M-3.39M-6.85M-3.32M
Net Income-161.91M-16.30M-8.84M-14.49M-7.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets589.73M256.35M235.33M192.84M165.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments265.95M7.83M22.02M8.44M1.05M
Total Debt162.11M158.02M130.07M89.48M67.71M
Total Liabilities231.92M217.28M186.83M153.09M128.36M
Stockholders Equity357.81M39.07M48.51M39.75M37.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-79.98M-43.73M-29.19M-28.33M-18.44M
Operating Cash Flow-19.14M-7.50M-11.70M-5.57M-8.44M
Investing Cash Flow-62.27M-36.23M-17.49M-22.75M-10.00M
Financing Cash Flow342.00M29.37M43.37M35.22M17.19M

Almonty Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.07
Price Trends
50DMA
23.62
Positive
100DMA
17.89
Positive
200DMA
12.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.99
Negative
RSI
69.93
Neutral
STOCH
87.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AII, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.03, above the 50-day MA of 23.62, and above the 200-day MA of 12.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AII.

Almonty Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$2.88B6.3341.51%0.94%8.75%196.72%
73
Outperform
C$1.73B7.3639.07%9.17%19.70%49.03%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
C$8.39B-15.51-116.13%12.75%-821.09%
52
Neutral
C$2.21B-8.53-17.37%-205.53%
48
Neutral
C$2.60B-18.63-91.20%21.21%21.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AII
Almonty Industries
29.94
26.31
724.79%
TSE:AFM
Alphamin Resources
1.35
0.47
53.41%
TSE:ALS
Altius Minerals
51.44
24.67
92.19%
TSE:USA
Americas Gold and Silver
7.99
5.79
263.18%
TSE:LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
6.35
2.45
62.82%

Almonty Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Almonty Narrows Path to Production at Sangdong as Tungsten Surge Lifts Revenue but Accounting Charge Swings 2025 to Deep Loss
Neutral
Mar 20, 2026
Almonty Industries reported higher 2025 revenue of $32.5 million, up 13%, as surging tungsten APT prices supported its mining operations, but the company posted a steep net loss of $161.9 million largely due to a non-cash charge from revaluing emb...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 15, 2026