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Americas Gold and Silver (TSE:USA)
TSX:USA

Americas Gold and Silver (USA) AI Stock Analysis

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Americas Gold and Silver

(TSX:USA)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▲( 20.48% Upside)
Americas Gold and Silver faces significant financial instability, marked by consistent losses and high leverage. While there are positive developments, such as increased production and strategic initiatives, the financial constraints and valuation challenges weigh heavily on the stock score. The company's technical analysis shows some momentum, and recent corporate events offer potential improvements, but these are offset by overall financial concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company's financial performance benefited from higher realized silver pricing throughout the year.
Management and Strategy
New management team starting to set their mark, with expectations to prioritize improving and further optimizing the production profile of the company.
Resource Discovery
The discovery of the 049 vein at the Galena Complex has returned impressive silver and copper grades, indicating potential for increased mineral resources.
Negative Factors
Equity Dilution
The target price for USAS has been decreased due to the equity raise from consolidating the Galena Complex, which has a short-term dilutive effect.
Revenue Decline
The fairly small decline in revenue was driven by a general decline in production and a 38% decrease in the production of silver ounces.

Americas Gold and Silver (USA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Americas Gold and Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmericas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in North America. It explores for silver, lead, zinc, copper, and gold deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Cosalá Operations consisting of 67 mining concessions that covers approximately 19,385 hectares located in the state of Sinaloa, Mexico; and the San Felipe development project in Sonora, Mexico. It also owns a 60% interest in the Galena Complex located in the northern Idaho Silver Valley, Idaho; and a 100% interest in the Relief Canyon mine located in the Pershing County, Nevada, the United States. The company was formerly known as Americas Silver Corporation and changed its name to Americas Gold and Silver Corporation in September 2019. Americas Gold and Silver Corporation was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmericas Gold and Silver makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of precious metals such as gold and silver. The company operates several mining projects across North America where it extracts these metals, processes them, and sells them on the open market. Revenue is generated from selling the mined metals at current market prices, which can be influenced by global commodity markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold and silver from its operating mines. The company's earnings are also affected by production costs, operational efficiency, and metal prices. Additionally, Americas Gold and Silver may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its production capacity and market reach. However, specific details about such partnerships or other potential revenue streams are not available.

Americas Gold and Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Americas Gold and Silver faces significant financial challenges. Persistent losses and operational inefficiencies are evident in the income statement. The balance sheet indicates high leverage and decreasing equity, raising concerns about financial stability. The negative cash flow trends underscore the need for strategic changes to enhance liquidity and profitability.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The company exhibits significant challenges in its income statement, with consistent negative gross and net profit margins indicating ongoing losses. Despite a modest revenue growth trend, the continuous negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet shows a weak financial position with a high level of liabilities relative to equity, as indicated by the increasing debt-to-equity ratio. The declining equity ratio suggests a potential risk of financial instability, though the decrease in net debt is a positive sign.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow growth, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, indicating cash flow issues. However, the company has managed to increase its financing cash flow, providing short-term liquidity support.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
104.25M100.19M89.56M85.02M44.80M27.88M
Gross Profit
-4.03M-6.64M-6.35M-8.42M-55.54M-11.33M
EBIT
-27.44M-26.24M-1.38M-26.51M-82.62M-31.21M
EBITDA
-19.75M-16.74M-11.20M-18.33M-66.82M-22.84M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-49.41M-44.95M-34.96M-45.19M-160.58M-30.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.75M20.00M2.06M1.96M2.90M4.71M
Total Assets
184.29M192.64M180.49M190.82M213.43M284.82M
Total Debt
8.20M20.29M21.91M12.34M19.61M27.88M
Net Debt
-547.00K287.00K19.85M10.38M16.71M23.17M
Total Liabilities
128.87M139.19M108.29M92.23M109.60M103.65M
Stockholders Equity
55.42M53.45M53.42M81.23M93.07M169.67M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-31.86M-21.92M-20.95M-20.78M-63.59M-30.49M
Operating Cash Flow
-10.27M-3.07M-1.01M-1.18M-50.95M-18.92M
Investing Cash Flow
-20.60M-18.85M-18.13M-19.60M-14.08M-70.50M
Financing Cash Flow
33.59M35.12M20.32M17.44M63.42M73.97M

Americas Gold and Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.83
Price Trends
50DMA
0.79
Positive
100DMA
0.75
Positive
200DMA
0.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
53.81
Neutral
STOCH
58.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:USA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.82, above the 50-day MA of 0.79, and above the 200-day MA of 0.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:USA.

Americas Gold and Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.07-21.34%3.71%2.03%-30.65%
TSUSA
49
Neutral
$541.46M-95.94%23.63%22.43%
$332.40M
TMTMQ
$205.09M-6.43%
WRWRN
$249.79M-3.62%
TSFVL
43
Neutral
C$513.10M-1.08%66.34%
$176.25M7.3426.39%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:USA
Americas Gold and Silver
0.83
0.38
86.52%
ERLFF
Entree Gold
1.60
0.51
46.79%
TMQ
Trilogy Metals
1.26
0.76
152.00%
WRN
Western Copper
1.23
-0.18
-12.77%
TSE:FVL
Freegold Ventures
1.02
0.61
148.78%
SMTSF
Sierra Metals
0.82
0.10
13.89%

Americas Gold and Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in terms of production increases, financial growth, and strategic advancements such as index inclusion. However, these positives were offset by challenges like increased net loss and high production costs, leading to a balanced assessment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Production Increase
Silver production increased by 80,000 ounces compared to the last quarter, totaling 446,000 silver ounces for Q1 2025.
Financial Stability and Growth
Revenue increased by 12% to $23.5 million compared to Q1 2024, driven by higher realized metal prices.
Galena Complex Achievements
Galena team won first place and two second places at the 2025 Enforcement Mine Rescue Competition. Significant progress on infrastructure projects supports new haul trucks and ventilation upgrades.
Exploration Success
Discovery of high-grade silver-copper 034 vein with intercepts including 983 grams per tonne silver over 3.44 meters. Estimated 1.2 to 1.5 million silver ounces and 750,000 to 800,000 pounds of copper.
Inclusion in Key Index
Americas Gold and Silver was included in the Solactive Global Miners Silver Total Return Index (SIL), resulting in the acquisition of 11.2 million shares by the ETF.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
Net loss of $19 million in Q1 2025, an increase from the $16 million net loss in Q1 2024, due to higher corporate G&A expenses and the impact of metal prices on liabilities.
High Costs
Cost of sales per silver equivalent ounce produced was $25.23, with cash costs just over $25 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs at $35.67 per ounce.
Lower Silver Production at Cosalá
Silver production at Cosalá was lower compared to the same period last year due to sourcing from lower-grade silver areas.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Americas Gold and Silver reported a promising trajectory for growth, bolstered by a $50 million financing deal and a significant increase in silver production to 446,000 ounces, up by 80,000 ounces from the previous quarter. The company made notable strides at its Galena Complex, achieving a production of 314,000 silver ounces and uncovering a high-grade 034 vein with potential for 1.2 to 1.5 million silver ounces and 750,000 to 800,000 pounds of copper. Financially, the company saw a revenue increase of 12% to $23.5 million, driven by higher metal prices, despite recording a net loss of $19 million. The company also reduced liabilities by $34 million, showing a strong focus on operational efficiencies and strategic growth initiatives. Future plans include ramping up the EC120 project in Mexico and targeting high-grade silver-copper veins at Galena to capitalize on strong silver market conditions.

Americas Gold and Silver Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Americas Gold and Silver Eyes Antimony Production Breakthrough
Positive
May 15, 2025

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation has announced successful metallurgical test results at its Galena Complex, demonstrating over 90% recovery of antimony, a critical mineral in the U.S. This breakthrough positions the company to potentially become the only antimony producer in the U.S., creating a new revenue stream from a by-product previously considered a penalty element. The results could enhance the company’s value and market position, as it seeks to capitalize on the strategic importance of antimony, which is largely imported into the U.S. from countries like China and Russia.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:USA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Americas Gold and Silver stock, see the TSE:USA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Americas Gold and Silver Reports Q1 2025 Results and Strategic Initiatives
Neutral
May 9, 2025

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation reported its Q1 2025 financial results, highlighting its inclusion in the Solactive Global Silver Miners Index, which enhances its market position. The company is in the early stages of executing a strategy to scale production and reduce costs, with initiatives at the Galena Complex and Cosalá operation expected to increase silver production and improve efficiency. Despite a net loss of $18.9 million, the company has increased its revenue due to higher silver prices and is focusing on infrastructure projects to support higher mining rates.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Americas Gold and Silver Joins Solactive Global Silver Miners Index
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation announced its inclusion in the Solactive Global Silver Miners Index, effective May 1, 2025. This inclusion is seen as a validation of the company’s growth and success in the silver mining industry, potentially attracting additional institutional investment and increasing liquidity, which could enhance its market position.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Americas Gold and Silver Unveils Promising Exploration Results and Board Appointment
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation has announced promising exploration results at its Galena Complex, particularly with the discovery of the high-grade 034 Vein, which shows potential for near-term mining and could enhance the company’s production capabilities. Additionally, the company has appointed Tara Hassan to its Board of Directors, bringing valuable industry experience to support its strategic goals of scaling production and reducing costs.

Business Operations and Strategy
Americas Gold and Silver Advances Galena Complex Operations
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation has made significant progress at its Galena Complex following a recent consolidation and recapitalization transaction. The company is undertaking a series of operational improvements, including upgrades to the #3 Shaft hoist, acquisition of new underground equipment, and metallurgical testing to optimize by-product recovery. Additionally, new drilling results have identified promising silver-copper veins, which could enhance production capabilities. These initiatives underscore the company’s commitment to operational efficiency and production growth, potentially strengthening its position in the mining industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
Americas Gold and Silver Advances Galena Complex Operations
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation has announced significant progress in optimizing its Galena Complex operations following a recent consolidation and recapitalization transaction. The company is addressing operational bottlenecks by upgrading hoisting capacity, acquiring new underground equipment, and conducting metallurgical tests to improve by-product recovery. Additionally, new drilling results have identified high-grade silver-copper veins, supporting continued mining and resource development, which could enhance the company’s production capabilities and market positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.