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Troilus Gold Corp (TSE:TLG)
TSX:TLG

Troilus Gold Corp (TLG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TLG

Troilus Gold Corp

(TSX:TLG)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(27.39% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, large losses, heavy cash burn) and rising balance-sheet leverage with declining equity. Technicals provide partial offset due to a strong trend above key moving averages, but overbought momentum readings increase short-term risk; valuation offers limited support due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Project Asset and Resource Potential
Owning the Troilus gold-copper-silver deposit provides structural optionality: a sizable, long-lived mineral asset in a mining-friendly jurisdiction. This underpins long-term value creation via eventual development, sale, or partnership if exploration and studies advance successfully.
Meaningful Asset Base
A tangible asset base (~$40.1M TTM) supports the company’s development work and provides a measurable balance-sheet underpinning for the project. For a pre-revenue developer, material assets improve options for financing, collateralized lending, or value capture in a sale/partnering outcome.
Clear Development Business Model
A focused strategy—advancing exploration, technical studies, and permitting toward a construction decision or partnership—creates a durable roadmap to value. This structured development pathway reduces execution ambiguity and increases attractiveness to potential offtake partners or acquirers over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn
Sustained, large negative operating and free cash flows mean the company must continually access external capital. Over months this dilutes shareholders, shortens runway, and raises execution risk for exploration and permitting—a fundamental constraint on progressing the project independently.
Elevated Leverage and Weak Equity
A sharp rise in debt and a weakened equity base materially increases financial risk. High leverage limits flexibility to raise non-dilutive capital, raises financing costs, and constrains strategic options like staged development or partnering, creating enduring balance-sheet pressure.
Pre-revenue with Worsening Losses
Operating without revenue and with growing net losses depletes capital and prevents internal funding of development. Over the medium term, consistent deficits increase dependency on markets for financing, heighten dilution risk, and can delay or derail project milestones if funding tightens.

Troilus Gold Corp (TLG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Troilus Gold Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTroilus Gold Corp. operates as an advanced stage exploration and early-development company in Canada. The company focuses on the mineral expansion and potential mine re-start of the former gold and copper Troilus mine. It holds 100% interest in the Troilus project consists of a single mining lease and 2,585 mineral claims covering an area of approximately 1,420 square kilometers located Frotêt-Evans Greenstone Belt in Quebec. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTroilus Gold Corp generates revenue through the exploration and potential development of mineral resources, specifically gold and copper. The company's primary source of potential future income is the successful advancement of its Troilus Gold Project, which involves various stages of exploration, feasibility studies, and eventually, mining operations. Revenue is expected to be generated through the sale of extracted minerals. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships, joint ventures, or royalty agreements to monetize its assets and fund its operations. Until the mine becomes operational, the company may rely on equity financings or other forms of investment to support its exploration activities and corporate expenses.

Troilus Gold Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are highly speculative: the company is pre-revenue with persistently large and worsening net losses (TTM -$49.5M) and heavy cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -$45.5M; free cash flow -$46.6M). Balance sheet risk increased materially as debt jumped to $22.8M TTM while equity fell to $7.2M, lifting debt-to-equity to 3.18x.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across all periods provided, while continuing to generate sizable operating and net losses. Profitability is deeply negative, with net income worsening from 2023 (-$5.6M) to 2024 (-$34.3M) and remaining elevated in 2025 annual (-$39.4M) and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (-$49.5M). The main positive is that losses are consistent with an early-stage profile, but the lack of revenue and persistently large deficits keep the income statement quality weak.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
The balance sheet has weakened materially due to a sharp increase in leverage. Total debt rose from roughly $1.0–$1.3M (2022–2024) to $21.4M in 2025 annual and $22.8M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), while equity declined to $12.3M (2025 annual) and $7.2M (TTM). As a result, debt relative to equity moved from very low levels historically to 1.74x (2025 annual) and 3.18x (TTM), increasing financial risk. Total assets remain meaningful ($40.1M TTM), but negative returns on equity reflect ongoing losses and pressure on the capital base.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash generation remains a key concern, with operating cash flow and free cash flow consistently negative every year. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), operating cash flow is -$45.5M and free cash flow is -$46.6M, indicating ongoing cash burn. While free cash flow showed a positive growth rate in TTM (improvement versus the prior period), the company is still materially consuming cash, and cash outflows remain broadly in line with reported losses rather than showing clear self-funding progress.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-1.35M-1.51M-1.53M-305.00K-221.13K
EBITDA-36.22M-32.66M-33.74M-34.71M-73.61M
Net Income-39.36M-34.27M-5.58M-36.21M-81.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.46M24.93M36.83M30.72M66.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.07M7.50M17.90M9.99M53.59M
Total Debt21.44M1.02M1.07M1.26M1.23M
Total Liabilities32.16M9.34M6.94M12.79M19.21M
Stockholders Equity12.30M15.59M29.88M17.93M46.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-34.65M-20.18M-31.70M-43.30M-50.49M
Operating Cash Flow-33.60M-19.79M-31.11M-42.43M-49.85M
Investing Cash Flow-1.13M5.49M15.95M-1.09M1.16M
Financing Cash Flow53.00M17.27M9.56M-445.28K72.27M

Troilus Gold Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.57
Price Trends
50DMA
1.62
Positive
100DMA
1.45
Positive
200DMA
1.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
67.65
Neutral
STOCH
84.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TLG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.81, below the 50-day MA of 1.62, and above the 200-day MA of 1.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TLG.

Troilus Gold Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$1.04B-860.00-0.62%41.18%
53
Neutral
C$1.10B-275.53-1.92%41.98%
53
Neutral
C$566.15M-40.13-24.29%-1422.76%
49
Neutral
C$1.12B-16.09-231.13%-53.49%
49
Neutral
C$822.90M-80.17-31.51%11.83%
37
Underperform
C$695.12M-157.51-6.29%-67.96%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TLG
Troilus Gold Corp
2.05
1.68
454.05%
TSE:WRN
Western Copper
5.18
3.68
245.33%
TSE:ERD
Erdene Resources
8.86
5.32
150.28%
TSE:FVL
Freegold Ventures
1.72
0.78
82.98%
TSE:NCX
NorthIsle Copper and Gold
2.75
2.28
485.11%
TSE:REG
Regulus Resources
5.45
3.22
144.39%

Troilus Gold Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Troilus Mining’s 2025 Exploration Confirms High-Grade Upside at Québec Copper-Gold Project
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Troilus Mining Corp. has completed its 2025 exploration program at the Troilus copper-gold project, reporting record high‑grade intercepts in the Southwest Zone reserve pit area that support the near‑term mine plan and confirm the potential to expand existing mineral resources. The campaign also discovered a new mineralized trend dubbed “Bear Lake” in the footwall of the Southwest Zone and confirmed the Waubimo target as a high‑potential multi‑element soil anomaly, reinforcing management’s confidence in the project’s resource base and underscoring significant upside across the broader property as Troilus advances toward development.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TLG) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Troilus Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:TLG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Troilus Mining Marks Breakthrough Year as Flagship Copper-Gold Project Moves Toward Construction
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Troilus Mining Corp. reported substantial progress in 2025 on its flagship Troilus copper-gold project, including completion of basic engineering and transition to detailed engineering, submission of its Environmental and Social Impact Assessment at federal and provincial levels, and targeted drilling to enhance geological confidence and upgrade resources. The company also bolstered its leadership and operational teams, modernized internal systems to prepare for execution, and saw its share price rise about 432%, while being recognized as a strategic critical-minerals asset through participation in Canadian trade missions and an “Entrepreneur of the Year” award. With key development “gating items” now well advanced, Troilus positions 2026 as a pivotal transition year focused on disciplined execution, advancing permitting, financing and engineering to move toward early construction readiness and further de-risk the project for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TLG) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Troilus Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:TLG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesShareholder Meetings
Troilus Mining Corp. Announces Name Change and Meeting Results
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

Troilus Mining Corp. has announced a name change from Troilus Gold Corp. to better reflect its broader focus on future metals production, including copper, gold, and silver, as it transitions from exploration to development. The name change aligns with the company’s strategic importance to Quebec and Canada and its shares will continue to trade under the ‘TLG’ ticker symbol. Additionally, the company held its Annual and Special Meeting where all director nominees were elected, and Deloitte LLP was appointed as auditors, indicating strong shareholder support.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TLG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Troilus Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:TLG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Troilus Gold Corp. Upsizes Debt Financing to $1 Billion for Troilus Project
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Troilus Gold Corp. has increased its debt financing mandate from US$700 million to US$1 billion to support the development of its copper-gold Troilus Project in Quebec, Canada. This decision reflects strong market conditions, improved project economics, and lender confidence, positioning Troilus as a significant player in North America’s mining sector. The financing, led by major global financial institutions, is expected to finalize by Q1 2026, enabling Troilus to advance towards a fully funded construction package by 2026, highlighting the company’s strategic importance and commitment to delivering value to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TLG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Troilus Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:TLG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Troilus Gold Corp. Secures $172.5 Million in Public Offering to Advance Quebec Mining Project
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

Troilus Gold Corp. has successfully closed a $172.5 million bought deal public offering, which includes the full exercise of the over-allotment option. The proceeds from this offering will be used to fund pre-development activities at the Troilus Copper-Gold project, debt repayment, and general corporate purposes. This financial move strengthens Troilus’s position in the mining industry, particularly in North America, as it continues to develop its cornerstone project in Quebec.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TLG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Troilus Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:TLG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Troilus Gold Corp Secures $150 Million for Project Development
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Troilus Gold Corp has announced a $150 million bought deal public offering to fund its ongoing pre-development activities, debt repayment, and general corporate purposes. This move is part of the company’s broader strategy to transition from feasibility to development of its Troilus Copper-Gold project, with significant progress in project financing, permitting, and engineering, positioning the company for a potential construction decision in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TLG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Troilus Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:TLG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026