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Altius Minerals Corp (TSE:ALS)
TSX:ALS
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Altius Minerals (ALS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ALS

Altius Minerals

(TSX:ALS)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$43.00
▲(7.80% Upside)
Altius Minerals receives a strong overall score driven by its robust financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided additional confidence with strategic growth plans and a strengthened balance sheet. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
High profit margins indicate efficient operations and a strong ability to generate earnings, which supports long-term financial health and reinvestment capacity.
Strengthened Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with substantial liquidity enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against market fluctuations.
Promising Renewable Royalties
Growth in renewable royalties aligns with global energy trends, offering long-term revenue potential as the sector expands and matures.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth can hinder long-term business expansion and market competitiveness, requiring strategic adjustments to drive future sales.
Increased G&A Costs
Rising administrative costs can pressure profit margins, necessitating cost management to maintain operational efficiency and profitability.
Market Challenges in Renewable Sector
Investment freezes in the renewable sector may delay growth opportunities, impacting revenue diversification and long-term strategic goals.

Altius Minerals (ALS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Altius Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAltius Minerals Corporation (ALS) is a Canadian-based mining royalty and exploration company that primarily focuses on the acquisition and management of mineral royalties and streams in the mining sector. The company operates across various sectors, including copper, nickel, and precious metals, leveraging its extensive portfolio of royalty interests in projects located in Canada, the United States, and Brazil. Altius is dedicated to maximizing shareholder value through strategic partnerships and active management of its royalty assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltius Minerals generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements, which provide the company with a percentage of the revenue generated from mining operations on its properties. This model allows Altius to earn income without the direct costs and risks associated with mining, as the company does not engage in the extraction of minerals itself. Key revenue streams include royalties from producing mines, income from mineral exploration partnerships, and payments from companies that utilize its land for mining. Additionally, Altius may enter into joint ventures and strategic alliances with other mining companies to enhance its portfolio and generate further earnings. The company's revenue can also be influenced by the performance of the commodities market, as fluctuations in metal prices can impact the income derived from its royalties.

Altius Minerals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicated strong financial performance with significant net earnings and a strengthened balance sheet, driven by high-profile asset sales and improved commodity prices. However, there were challenges such as increased administrative costs and a freeze in renewable sector investments, although these were generally outweighed by positive developments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Financial Gains
Q3 net earnings were reported at $265 million or $5.72 per share, primarily reflecting a $340 million gain on the sale of the Arthur Gold Royalty and higher royalty revenues.
Strengthened Balance Sheet
The corporation strengthened its balance sheet with liquidity of approximately $540 million, including cash on hand, credit availability, and proceeds from asset sales.
Improved Commodity Prices
The quarter saw improvements in prices for Potash, copper, U.S.-based electricity, gold, and lithium, contributing to higher royalty revenue.
Debt Reduction
Debt repayments of $11 million were made, including voluntary repayments under a revolver and principal repayment on term debt.
Promising Renewable Royalties
The renewable royalty business remains well funded with increased market activity and projections for continued portfolio growth over coming quarters.
U.S. Electricity Royalties Progress
Excellent progress in U.S. electricity royalties with new projects commissioning, bringing the portfolio to 13 operating state royalties and 5 projects under construction.
Negative Updates
Increased G&A Costs
General and administrative costs rose slightly due to one-time retirement payments.
Lower Iron Ore Income
Partial offset of gains due to lower incomes from iron ore.
Market Challenges in Renewable Sector
A freeze in investment activity characterized the renewable electricity sector for most of the year, driven by political and policy uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During Altius Minerals' Q3 2025 conference call, the company provided an optimistic financial outlook and strategic guidance. They reported Q3 net earnings of $265 million, or $5.72 per share, primarily due to a $340 million gain from selling the Arthur Gold Royalty. The sale also strengthened their balance sheet, leaving them with a liquidity of approximately $540 million, including $125 million available under a revolver and $62.5 million potentially available under an accordion feature. The company anticipates receiving the remaining $25 million from the Arthur Royalty sale in Q4, pending any challenges. Growth was driven by increased royalty revenues from Potash and copper streams, while iron ore income saw declines. Altius is exploring potential growth opportunities for new royalty investments and buyback options, with internal M&A and external opportunities being considered. They are also focused on leveraging their existing portfolio, particularly in Potash and copper, to capitalize on favorable market conditions. The renewable royalty business remains well-funded, poised for portfolio growth as market activities and opportunities increase. Altius also highlighted the potential for growth in U.S.-based electricity royalties and ongoing resource expansion at the Arthur and CAMI projects.

Altius Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Altius Minerals demonstrates strong profitability with high margins and a solid balance sheet, indicating efficient operations and conservative leverage. However, recent revenue growth challenges and declines in free cash flow growth suggest areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Altius Minerals shows strong profitability with high gross and net profit margins, particularly in the TTM period. However, revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating potential challenges in top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, suggesting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is solid, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, showing a strong asset base relative to liabilities.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow metrics are generally positive, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. However, recent declines in free cash flow growth suggest potential cash flow management challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, indicating good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.19M37.27M68.96M102.05M81.68M60.06M
Gross Profit35.71M24.99M47.65M71.88M52.79M37.06M
EBITDA109.90M119.42M40.58M83.17M74.91M7.10M
Net Income99.15M100.77M9.54M37.49M40.02M-26.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets716.68M713.99M773.54M780.58M721.40M589.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.12M15.91M130.42M82.39M100.02M21.80M
Total Debt93.17M99.38M112.17M120.87M115.17M132.97M
Total Liabilities136.13M142.86M161.00M171.78M192.42M205.78M
Stockholders Equity570.72M561.18M488.73M486.19M433.49M362.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.25M25.37M35.05M71.92M46.64M34.38M
Operating Cash Flow22.08M27.95M36.51M74.26M47.77M37.12M
Investing Cash Flow-86.49M-103.37M55.07M-85.75M-26.55M-50.19M
Financing Cash Flow-35.66M-44.41M-38.93M-10.75M56.99M12.74M

Altius Minerals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.89
Price Trends
50DMA
36.06
Positive
100DMA
32.53
Positive
200DMA
29.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Positive
RSI
57.32
Neutral
STOCH
29.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.25, above the 50-day MA of 36.06, and above the 200-day MA of 29.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ALS.

Altius Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$1.33B7.9733.87%10.48%34.89%67.31%
75
Outperform
C$1.74B17.5053.36%0.93%-0.76%2549.18%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
$1.66B-35.25%-11.65%34.89%
52
Neutral
C$2.65B-14.48-131.76%44.04%
49
Neutral
$2.24B-42.69%-465.27%
46
Neutral
C$2.01B-164.32-2.00%-103.83%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ALS
Altius Minerals
39.89
13.85
53.19%
TSE:AFM
Alphamin Resources
1.05
0.02
1.94%
TSE:FOM
Foran Mining
4.18
0.08
1.95%
TSE:SKE
Skeena Resources
27.46
14.25
107.87%
TSE:SGML
Sigma Lithium
14.89
-4.10
-21.59%
TSE:LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
7.44
1.83
32.62%

Altius Minerals Corporate Events

Altius Minerals Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Optimistic Outlook
Nov 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Altius Minerals reflected a strong financial performance, marked by significant net earnings and a bolstered balance sheet. This positive sentiment was largely driven by high-profile asset sales and improved commodity prices. Despite facing challenges such as increased administrative costs and a slowdown in renewable sector investments, the overall outlook remained optimistic, with positive developments outweighing the negatives.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Altius Minerals Sees Strong Q3 2025 Growth Driven by Strategic Royalty Sales
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Altius Minerals Corporation reported a significant increase in its Q3 2025 financial performance, with attributable royalty revenue rising to $21.4 million from $14.7 million in the previous year. This growth was driven by higher potash volumes and copper stream deliveries, alongside increased interest and investment income. The company also recorded a substantial gain from the sale of a portion of its royalty interest in the Arthur Gold project, contributing to net earnings of $264.9 million for the quarter. These developments reflect Altius’s strategic focus on optimizing its royalty portfolio and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALS) stock is a Buy with a C$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altius Minerals stock, see the TSE:ALS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Altius Minerals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Altius Minerals Corporation reported an expected Q3 2025 attributable royalty revenue of approximately $21.2 million, a significant increase from previous quarters. This growth is driven by higher realized prices and increased volumes in base and battery metals, potash, and renewable energy sectors. The company also benefited from interest income following strategic asset sales. The announcement highlights Altius’s strong positioning in the market and its alignment with global sustainability trends, potentially impacting stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALS) stock is a Buy with a C$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altius Minerals stock, see the TSE:ALS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Altius Minerals Reports Q3 2025 Project Generation Update
Neutral
Oct 8, 2025

Altius Minerals Corporation reported a significant update in its Project Generation business activities for the third quarter of 2025. The company saw a decrease in the market value of its equities portfolio from $87.3 million to $44.0 million. However, Altius received gross cash proceeds of $67.6 million from a transaction involving Orogen Royalties Inc. and Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., along with new Orogen shares valued at $25 million. This transaction, along with other investments and project developments, highlights Altius’s strategic focus on expanding its royalty interests and equity investments across various mineral projects, particularly in gold-rich regions like Nevada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALS) stock is a Hold with a C$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altius Minerals stock, see the TSE:ALS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Altius Minerals Announces Leadership Changes Amid Strategic Growth Focus
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

Altius Minerals Corporation announced significant changes in its senior management and board, with the retirement of Ben Lewis, CFO, and Chad Wells, VP of Corporate Development, who will continue in advisory roles. Stephanie Hussey has been appointed as the new CFO, while John Baker steps down as Executive Chairman to become President, and Fred Mifflin takes over as independent Chair of the Board. These changes are part of Altius’s strategic efforts to ensure smooth transitions and continued growth, reflecting confidence in the new leadership to uphold the company’s strategic goals and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALS) stock is a Hold with a C$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altius Minerals stock, see the TSE:ALS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 22, 2025