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Transat AT V & VV (TSE:TRZ)
TSX:TRZ
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Transat AT V & VV (TRZ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TRZ

Transat AT V & VV

(TSX:TRZ)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▲(4.53% Upside)
Transat AT V & VV's overall score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights, including revenue growth and debt restructuring. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, such as ongoing losses and negative equity, weigh down the score. The stock's upward momentum is a positive sign, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.

Transat AT V & VV (TRZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Transat AT V & VV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTransat AT V & VV (TRZ) is a Canadian company operating in the tourism and travel industry. The company specializes in holiday travel with a focus on vacation packages, air transportation, and hotel accommodations, primarily catering to the leisure market. Transat AT serves a diverse customer base, offering travel services to numerous destinations worldwide, with a significant emphasis on sun destinations.
How the Company Makes MoneyTransat AT V & VV (TRZ) generates revenue primarily through the sale of vacation packages, which include flights, hotel stays, and other travel-related services. The company's key revenue streams include its airline operations, hotel partnerships, and tour operator services. Revenue is driven by the sale of travel packages directly to consumers and through travel agents. Additionally, Transat AT benefits from significant partnerships with hotels, airlines, and other service providers, enabling them to offer competitive pricing and comprehensive travel solutions. Seasonal demand, strategic alliances, and effective marketing campaigns also play crucial roles in the company's earnings.

Transat AT V & VV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as revenue growth, debt restructuring, and operational improvements, which were tempered by challenges related to aircraft grounding, competitive pressures, and softening bookings for future quarters.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 5.9% to over $1 billion, driven by favorable yields, lower fuel costs, and tight control of operating expenses.
EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA reached $98.4 million, a significant increase from the previous year, reflecting revenue growth and cost control.
Debt Restructuring Agreement
Transat reached an agreement to restructure its debt, reducing debt from $773 million to $334 million and extending maturity to 2035.
Elevation Program Progress
Initiatives from the elevation program are expected to generate annualized adjusted EBITDA of $67 million, with a target of $100 million by mid-2026.
Operational Performance
On-time performance improved year-over-year, and customer service at call centers further improved due to AI tool deployment.
Fleet and Network Expansion
Transat maintained a stable fleet of 43 aircraft and announced new routes to the Caribbean, Mexico, and Europe to increase revenue.
Negative Updates
Load Factor Decline
Load factor decreased slightly to 84.6%, indicating a slight decline in capacity utilization compared to last year.
Grounded Aircraft Due to Pratt & Whitney Issues
Transat expects to have 6 or 7 aircraft grounded for the remainder of the year due to the Pratt & Whitney engine situation.
Softening Bookings for Q4
There is observed softness in bookings for the fourth quarter, particularly in European markets, amid economic uncertainty.
Competitive Pressure
Increased competition in the South destinations and downward pressure on European routes affected pricing.
Company Guidance
During the Transat second quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, several metrics highlighted the company's performance and strategic initiatives. The quarter ended with a revenue increase of 5.9% to over $1 billion, and an adjusted EBITDA of $98.4 million, driven by favorable yields, lower fuel costs, and a $20 million noncash compensation from Pratt & Whitney. Customer traffic, measured as revenue passenger miles, rose by 1.6%, with a yield improvement of 2% year-over-year despite a slight decline in load factor to 84.6%. Capacity, expressed in available seat miles, increased by 2.6%. Transat also reached a refinancing agreement, reducing its debt with CEEFC from $773 million to $334 million, and announced a debt restructuring plan with a significant interest expense reduction, positioning the company for long-term strategic growth. Additionally, the elevation program initiatives are projected to generate an annualized adjusted EBITDA of $67 million, showing progress towards a $100 million target by mid-2026.

Transat AT V & VV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transat AT V & VV shows signs of recovery with revenue growth, but profitability remains weak with continuous net losses and a concerning balance sheet. Positive cash flow management offers some optimism.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Transat AT V & VV shows a positive trajectory in revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 3.1%, indicating a recovering business environment. However, profitability remains a challenge, with a negative net profit margin of -4.3% and gross profit margin of 12.3%. The EBIT margin of 1.2% and EBITDA margin of 7.4% suggest potential for operational improvements, but net losses continue to weigh heavily on overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet is concerning, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$1.03 billion, reflecting accumulated losses. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, indicating high financial leverage and risk. Despite this, the equity ratio is effectively negative, and the return on equity cannot be calculated. Liquidity is somewhat supported by cash reserves, but the high level of debt poses significant financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Transat AT V & VV's cash flow statement reflects some positive trends. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates better cash generation than accounting profits suggest, with a positive operating cash flow of $177 million. Free cash flow is also positive, demonstrating improved cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate is volatile, reflecting fluctuations in capital expenditures and operational performance.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.28B3.05B1.64B124.82M1.30B
Gross Profit347.67M415.68M-92.26M-138.79M51.49M
EBITDA251.42M288.97M-191.23M-148.91M-235.64M
Net Income-114.03M-25.29M-445.32M-389.44M-496.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.75B2.57B2.27B1.90B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments260.34M435.65M322.54M433.19M426.43M
Total Debt2.15B1.89B1.75B1.42B903.89M
Total Liabilities3.64B3.35B3.02B2.21B1.95B
Stockholders Equity-889.08M-779.04M-750.18M-315.11M66.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-43.90M264.18M-210.38M-524.04M-107.56M
Operating Cash Flow94.67M321.75M-177.85M-518.44M-46.14M
Investing Cash Flow-31.45M-7.93M-33.78M4.54M-60.41M
Financing Cash Flow-240.29M-203.02M99.69M522.07M-33.37M

Transat AT V & VV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.87
Price Trends
50DMA
2.65
Positive
100DMA
2.11
Positive
200DMA
1.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
65.71
Neutral
STOCH
94.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TRZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.62, above the 50-day MA of 2.65, and above the 200-day MA of 1.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TRZ.

Transat AT V & VV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$53.15B43.81138.71%0.20%9.20%18.11%
74
Outperform
$4.38B20.863.61%1.43%-2.60%-64.22%
64
Neutral
$256.64M10.866.01%6.20%-3.50%-22.76%
62
Neutral
$695.12M5.65-4.10%2.09%-8.84%-148.15%
61
Neutral
C$113.97M12.83%3.55%-159.59%
57
Neutral
$5.71B19.6626.57%1.06%-22.34%-110.04%
57
Neutral
HK$25.63B4.89-2.69%5.48%-0.60%-50.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TRZ
Transat AT V & VV
2.87
0.93
47.94%
TSE:DOL
Dollarama
196.92
62.64
46.65%
TSE:LNR
Linamar
72.85
11.07
17.91%
TSE:DOO
BRP
80.11
-12.66
-13.65%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
9.59
-1.07
-10.06%
TSE:XTC
Exco Technologies
6.77
-0.63
-8.46%

Transat AT V & VV Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Transat A.T. Inc. Reduces Debt and Adjusts Equity Structure
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has announced the redemption of Series 4 Preferred Shares and partial repayment of its LEEFF debt, using $30 million from a recent engine sale and leaseback transaction. This financial maneuver reduces Transat’s debt obligations and adjusts its equity structure, impacting its financial positioning and potentially influencing stakeholder interests, while maintaining its existing credit facility with CEEFC.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Air Transat Boosts Liquidity with $45 Million Engine Sale-Leaseback
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Air Transat has completed a US$45 million engine sale and leaseback agreement with Rolls-Royce & Partners Finance for two Pratt & Whitney spare engines. This transaction aims to enhance the airline’s liquidity, allowing it to repay debt, redeem preferred shares, and fund operations, thereby strengthening its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Air Transat Boosts Liquidity with Engine Sale-Leaseback Deal
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Air Transat has completed a sale and leaseback agreement for two Pratt & Whitney GTF spare engines with Rolls-Royce & Partners Finance, valued at US$45 million. This transaction will enhance the airline’s liquidity, enabling it to repay debt, redeem preferred shares, and fund operations, thereby strengthening its financial position and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Transat A.T. Inc. Restructures LEEFF Debt, Reducing Financial Burden
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has successfully restructured its debt under the Large Enterprise Emergency Funding Facility (LEEFF), reducing its outstanding debt with the Canada Enterprise Emergency Funding Corporation (CEEFC) from $772 million to $334 million. The restructuring includes a cash repayment, consolidation of credit facilities, and issuance of debentures and convertible preferred shares, which could impact Transat’s financial stability and CEEFC’s stake in the company, potentially influencing future market dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingLegal Proceedings
Transat A.T. Faces Legal Challenge Over Debt Restructuring Deal
Neutral
Jun 28, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has been served with an injunction application by Financière Outremont Inc. to prevent the closing of a debt restructuring transaction with Canada Enterprise Emergency Funding Corporation (CEEFC) unless shareholder approval is obtained. The transaction, which aims to significantly reduce Transat’s debt and strengthen its financial position, has led to a 72% increase in the company’s share price. Transat intends to contest the injunction, asserting that the transaction does not require shareholder approval and emphasizes that it was unanimously approved by the Board of Directors after a thorough review process.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Transat A.T. Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Revenue Growth and Debt Restructuring
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. reported a strong second quarter for fiscal 2025, with revenues increasing by 5.9% to $1,031.1 million, driven by improved yield and passenger traffic. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $98.4 million, reflecting enhanced productivity and lower fuel costs. A significant development was the agreement for debt restructuring, which strengthens the balance sheet and supports the company’s strategic growth plans. The Elevation Program is expected to deliver substantial cost savings and revenue growth, positioning Transat for long-term profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$2.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Transat A.T. Inc. Restructures LEEFF Debt to Strengthen Financial Position
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has reached an agreement with the Canada Enterprise Emergency Funding Corporation (CEEFC) to restructure its debt incurred under the Large Enterprise Emergency Funding Facility (LEEFF) program during the COVID-19 pandemic. This agreement will reduce Transat’s outstanding debt from $772 million to $334 million by March 31, 2025, significantly deleveraging its balance sheet. The restructuring includes a cash repayment, issuance of preferred shares, and a new credit facility, providing Transat with the flexibility to implement its long-term strategic plan and maintain its competitive position in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$2.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025