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Transat AT V & VV (TSE:TRZ)
TSX:TRZ
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Transat AT V & VV (TRZ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TRZ

Transat AT V & VV

(TSX:TRZ)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.50
▲(8.70% Upside)
Transat AT V & VV's stock score is primarily driven by strong technical momentum and positive developments from the earnings call, including revenue growth and debt restructuring. However, weak financial performance and valuation concerns weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth signifies a recovering market position and effective cost management, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Debt Restructuring
The debt restructuring improves financial stability and reduces interest expenses, enhancing the company's long-term strategic growth potential.
Operational Improvements
Operational enhancements, such as improved on-time performance and customer service, strengthen competitive positioning and customer satisfaction.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates financial instability and limits the company's ability to leverage new opportunities, posing long-term risks.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and compete effectively, affecting long-term viability.
Competitive Pressure
Rising competitive pressures could erode market share and margins, challenging the company's ability to maintain its market position.

Transat AT V & VV (TRZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Transat AT V & VV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTransat AT V & VV (TRZ) is a Canadian company operating in the tourism and travel industry. The company specializes in holiday travel with a focus on vacation packages, air transportation, and hotel accommodations, primarily catering to the leisure market. Transat AT serves a diverse customer base, offering travel services to numerous destinations worldwide, with a significant emphasis on sun destinations.
How the Company Makes MoneyTransat AT V & VV (TRZ) generates revenue primarily through the sale of vacation packages, which include flights, hotel stays, and other travel-related services. The company's key revenue streams include its airline operations, hotel partnerships, and tour operator services. Revenue is driven by the sale of travel packages directly to consumers and through travel agents. Additionally, Transat AT benefits from significant partnerships with hotels, airlines, and other service providers, enabling them to offer competitive pricing and comprehensive travel solutions. Seasonal demand, strategic alliances, and effective marketing campaigns also play crucial roles in the company's earnings.

Transat AT V & VV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Transat's Q3 performance shows a mix of positive revenue growth and strategic progress through debt restructuring and network expansion, tempered by challenges such as aircraft grounding and competitive pressures. The Elevation program is progressing well, contributing to improved financial metrics, but the company faces headwinds with slight declines in load factors and increased market competition.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Transat reported a 4.1% increase in revenue to $766 million and adjusted EBITDA of $81 million for Q3 2025, reflecting higher revenues, increased productivity, and a 14% decrease in fuel prices compared to the previous year.
Debt Restructuring Success
Completed restructuring of government debt, resulting in a $345 million gain on long-term debt extinguishment, significantly reducing total debt.
Elevation Program Progress
The Elevation program is on track to achieve $100 million in annual adjusted EBITDA by mid-2026, with benefits starting to materialize.
Network Expansion
New nonstop service announced from Toronto to Istanbul and Rio de Janeiro, along with a partnership with Turkish Airlines, reflecting ongoing efforts to diversify the network.
Customer Satisfaction Recognition
Air Transat was named the world's best leisure airline at the 2025 Skytrax World Airline Awards for the seventh time.
Negative Updates
Load Factor Slight Decline
Load factor stood at 85% compared to 86.2% in 2024, indicating a slight decline in this key metric.
Aircraft Grounding Challenge
Six aircraft remained grounded due to the ongoing Pratt & Whitney GTF engine issue, impacting operational performance.
Softness in Q4 Load Factors
Q4 load factors are down 1.2 percentage points compared to last year, with yields currently trending downward.
Increased Competition in Key Markets
Increased capacity from competitors on key European markets, leading to aggressive pricing and downward yield trends.
Company Guidance
During the Transat third-quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, several key metrics and operational updates were discussed. The company reported a 4.1% increase in revenue to $766 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $81 million. The quarter saw a 2.4% increase in capacity, expressed in available seat miles, with a 4.2% rise in transatlantic routes. Yield improved by 2.6% year-over-year, while the load factor slightly decreased to 85% from 86.2% in 2024. The Elevation program, aiming for $100 million in annual adjusted EBITDA by mid-2026, began yielding benefits. Transat's fleet included 43 aircraft, with six grounded due to Pratt & Whitney engine issues. Recent expansions included new routes to Istanbul and Rio de Janeiro, contributing to a 5% to 7% capacity increase for the upcoming winter. The company reported a net income of $400 million due to a significant gain on long-term debt extinguishment, marking a turnaround from a net loss of $40 million the previous year. Cash and cash equivalents rose to $357 million, while long-term debt decreased significantly following restructuring efforts.

Transat AT V & VV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transat AT V & VV shows signs of recovery with revenue growth, but profitability remains weak with continuous net losses and a concerning balance sheet. Positive cash flow management offers some optimism.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Transat AT V & VV shows a positive trajectory in revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 3.1%, indicating a recovering business environment. However, profitability remains a challenge, with a negative net profit margin of -4.3% and gross profit margin of 12.3%. The EBIT margin of 1.2% and EBITDA margin of 7.4% suggest potential for operational improvements, but net losses continue to weigh heavily on overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet is concerning, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$1.03 billion, reflecting accumulated losses. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, indicating high financial leverage and risk. Despite this, the equity ratio is effectively negative, and the return on equity cannot be calculated. Liquidity is somewhat supported by cash reserves, but the high level of debt poses significant financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Transat AT V & VV's cash flow statement reflects some positive trends. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates better cash generation than accounting profits suggest, with a positive operating cash flow of $177 million. Free cash flow is also positive, demonstrating improved cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate is volatile, reflecting fluctuations in capital expenditures and operational performance.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.28B3.05B1.64B124.82M1.30B
Gross Profit347.67M415.68M-92.26M-138.79M51.49M
EBITDA251.42M288.97M-191.23M-148.91M-235.64M
Net Income-114.03M-25.29M-445.32M-389.44M-496.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.75B2.57B2.27B1.90B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments260.34M435.65M322.54M433.19M426.43M
Total Debt2.15B1.89B1.75B1.42B903.89M
Total Liabilities3.64B3.35B3.02B2.21B1.95B
Stockholders Equity-889.08M-779.04M-750.18M-315.11M66.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-43.90M264.18M-210.38M-524.04M-107.56M
Operating Cash Flow94.67M321.75M-177.85M-518.44M-46.14M
Investing Cash Flow-31.45M-7.93M-33.78M4.54M-60.41M
Financing Cash Flow-240.29M-203.02M99.69M522.07M-33.37M

Transat AT V & VV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.22
Price Trends
50DMA
2.73
Positive
100DMA
2.32
Positive
200DMA
2.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
75.91
Negative
STOCH
97.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TRZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.82, above the 50-day MA of 2.73, and above the 200-day MA of 2.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.91 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TRZ.

Transat AT V & VV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
C$129.42M12.83%3.55%-159.59%
61
Neutral
$17.83B12.89-1.60%3.03%1.39%-14.45%
$185.17M10.956.01%6.14%
$3.32B22.093.61%1.39%
$572.66M5.32-4.10%1.82%
$4.70B18.6238.70%0.95%
$37.87B42.2694.57%0.21%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TRZ
Transat AT V & VV
3.22
1.41
77.90%
EXCOF
Exco Technologies
4.86
-0.78
-13.83%
LIMAF
Linamar
55.51
12.21
28.20%
MRETF
Martinrea International
7.86
-0.10
-1.26%
DOOO
BRP
64.27
2.79
4.54%
DLMAF
Dollarama
137.08
37.98
38.32%

Transat AT V & VV Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Transat A.T. Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. reported a significant improvement in its third-quarter financial performance for fiscal 2025, with revenues increasing by 4.1% to $766.3 million and adjusted EBITDA rising to $81.2 million. The company’s strategic initiatives, including the Elevation Program and debt restructuring, have strengthened its financial position, allowing for continued growth and diversification in its travel offerings. Despite economic uncertainties and challenges in the industry, Transat remains focused on disciplined cost management and network expansion to enhance its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transat A.T. Inc. Reduces Debt and Adjusts Equity Structure
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has announced the redemption of Series 4 Preferred Shares and partial repayment of its LEEFF debt, using $30 million from a recent engine sale and leaseback transaction. This financial maneuver reduces Transat’s debt obligations and adjusts its equity structure, impacting its financial positioning and potentially influencing stakeholder interests, while maintaining its existing credit facility with CEEFC.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Air Transat Boosts Liquidity with $45 Million Engine Sale-Leaseback
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Air Transat has completed a US$45 million engine sale and leaseback agreement with Rolls-Royce & Partners Finance for two Pratt & Whitney spare engines. This transaction aims to enhance the airline’s liquidity, allowing it to repay debt, redeem preferred shares, and fund operations, thereby strengthening its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Air Transat Boosts Liquidity with Engine Sale-Leaseback Deal
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Air Transat has completed a sale and leaseback agreement for two Pratt & Whitney GTF spare engines with Rolls-Royce & Partners Finance, valued at US$45 million. This transaction will enhance the airline’s liquidity, enabling it to repay debt, redeem preferred shares, and fund operations, thereby strengthening its financial position and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transat A.T. Inc. Restructures LEEFF Debt, Reducing Financial Burden
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has successfully restructured its debt under the Large Enterprise Emergency Funding Facility (LEEFF), reducing its outstanding debt with the Canada Enterprise Emergency Funding Corporation (CEEFC) from $772 million to $334 million. The restructuring includes a cash repayment, consolidation of credit facilities, and issuance of debentures and convertible preferred shares, which could impact Transat’s financial stability and CEEFC’s stake in the company, potentially influencing future market dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Transat A.T. Faces Legal Challenge Over Debt Restructuring Deal
Neutral
Jun 28, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has been served with an injunction application by Financière Outremont Inc. to prevent the closing of a debt restructuring transaction with Canada Enterprise Emergency Funding Corporation (CEEFC) unless shareholder approval is obtained. The transaction, which aims to significantly reduce Transat’s debt and strengthen its financial position, has led to a 72% increase in the company’s share price. Transat intends to contest the injunction, asserting that the transaction does not require shareholder approval and emphasizes that it was unanimously approved by the Board of Directors after a thorough review process.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRZ) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transat AT V & VV stock, see the TSE:TRZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025