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Tethys Petroleum Limited. (TSE:TPL)
:TPL

Tethys Petroleum (TPL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TPL

Tethys Petroleum

(TPL)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(42.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong recent cash flow and a zero-debt balance sheet are offset by current losses and volatile profitability. Technicals are supportive but look overbought, and valuation is helped by an exceptionally high yield while negative earnings limit confidence in earnings-based valuation.

Tethys Petroleum (TPL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tethys Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tethys Petroleum Limited acquires, explores for, and develops crude oil and natural gas fields in Kazakhstan. It holds 100% working interest in the Kyzyloi production contract covering 449 square kilometers; Akkulka exploration licence and contrac...
How the Company Makes Money
Tethys Petroleum makes money through the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas extracted from its fields. These sales are typically cond...

Tethys Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Revenue is improving and cash generation is strong (TTM operating cash flow ~$13.8M; free cash flow ~$7.5M) with a conservative balance sheet (no debt). However, profitability is weak with a TTM net loss (~$8.9M) and a swing from profits in 2022–2023 to losses in 2024–TTM, indicating high earnings volatility and negative returns.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.32M15.20M36.48M65.49M15.91M13.04M
Gross Profit9.43M6.72M26.13M50.84M9.38M6.63M
EBITDA-12.62M-16.65M23.47M50.29M8.06M-35.62M
Net Income-8.89M-12.39M9.74M12.30M-3.99M-38.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.47M56.23M85.33M87.27M73.94M53.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.11M5.96M7.22M14.54M9.28M1.75M
Total Debt0.000.000.002.51M6.58M5.55M
Total Liabilities31.84M33.08M43.14M52.15M51.59M28.90M
Stockholders Equity23.63M23.15M42.19M35.12M22.36M24.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.50M-803.00K-1.71M22.21M-577.00K8.42M
Operating Cash Flow13.79M6.91M10.11M34.08M14.91M17.49M
Investing Cash Flow-7.45M-7.65M-11.55M-22.50M-8.73M-5.49M
Financing Cash Flow-1.15M0.00-5.88M-5.16M1.40M-10.74M

Tethys Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.40
Price Trends
50DMA
1.67
Negative
100DMA
1.55
Positive
200DMA
1.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
52.39
Neutral
STOCH
46.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.57, below the 50-day MA of 1.67, and above the 200-day MA of 1.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TPL.

Tethys Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$94.63M0.8218.65%2.08%10.08%322.40%
71
Outperform
C$249.38M8.877.78%12.17%6.99%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
C$158.85M14.68-37.75%0.66%12.23%-424.88%
56
Neutral
C$345.84M43.82-4.77%86.19%
55
Neutral
C$226.15M-9.66-3.24%-9.55%-154.04%
47
Neutral
C$119.98M-1.69-10.07%19.15%43.88%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TPL
Tethys Petroleum
1.50
-0.10
-6.25%
TSE:KEI
Kolibri Global Energy
6.97
-2.58
-27.02%
TSE:QEC
Questerre
0.29
0.05
20.76%
TSE:BNE
Bonterra Energy
6.31
3.67
139.02%
TSE:EOG
Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas
1.00
0.86
614.29%
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
3.30
2.17
192.29%

Tethys Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Tethys Petroleum Secures Long-Term Kul-Bas Production Approval and Streamlines Kazakhstan Listing
Positive
Dec 26, 2025
Tethys Petroleum has secured approval from Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Energy to move the Kul-Bas oil field into a long-term Production Period through July 2048, safeguarding continuity of oil output beyond the current preparatory phase and und...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tethys Petroleum Advances Operations and Explores Acquisition
Positive
Dec 5, 2025
Tethys Petroleum has announced updates on its operations in Kazakhstan, highlighting ongoing oil production and infrastructure developments. The company is enhancing its oil processing and storage capacity and progressing with the construction of ...
Legal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Tethys Petroleum Advances Legal Victory and Acquisition Proposal
Positive
Nov 20, 2025
Tethys Petroleum has successfully enforced a court ruling in Kazakhstan, which rejected challenges from DSFK and Olisol Petroleum Limited, confirming an arbitration award in favor of Tethys. Additionally, Fincraft Group LLP has increased its offer...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Tethys Petroleum Reports Increased Sales and Profit Amid Operational and Legal Developments
Positive
Nov 14, 2025
Tethys Petroleum reported a 33% increase in oil and gas sales for the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased oil production, resulting in a profit of $1.4 million compared to a loss in the previous year. The company is enhancing its oil and ga...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026