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Atha Energy Corp. (TSE:SASK)
:SASK

Atha Energy Corp. (SASK) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SASK

Atha Energy Corp.

(SASK)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▲(38.89% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by very weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and significant cash burn), despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are a clear positive with a strong uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation remains pressured by the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low debt gives Atha structural financial flexibility and a longer runway to fund exploration cycles without high interest burdens. This durable balance-sheet strength reduces bankruptcy risk and preserves optionality for project development and strategic transactions over months.
Confirmed near-term financing
An upsized $25M convertible debenture financing materially extends funding for Angilak exploration and general corporate needs. Durable impact: reduces immediate cash stress and funds value-creating exploration stages, improving the probability of project advancement over the next several months.
High-quality project jurisdiction
Concentrating activity in the Athabasca Basin and advancing Angilak situates Atha in a structurally advantaged, high-grade uranium region. This geographic and asset focus supports long-term resource potential and strategic relevance as global uranium demand evolves over years.
Negative Factors
Zero revenue / persistent net losses
No recurring revenue and sustained net losses indicate the company remains pre-commercial and dependent on exploration outcomes. Over months this limits ability to self-fund operations, constrains reinvestment capacity, and raises execution risk for advancing projects to revenue generation.
Material cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow create structural funding needs and signal the company cannot sustain operations from internal cash generation. Until operating cash flow turns positive, Atha’s strategy depends on external capital, increasing execution and financing risk over the medium term.
Dilution and capital-structure risk from convertibles
Reliance on unsecured convertible debentures with an option for more creates structural dilution and potential governance pressure if converted. Over months this can change equity ownership, compress future per-share returns and shift incentives, affecting long-term shareholder value.

Atha Energy Corp. (SASK) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Atha Energy Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtha Energy Corp. operates as a mineral exploration company. It focuses on the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties. Atha Energy Corp. was formerly known as Inglenook Ventures Ltd. and changed its name to Atha Energy Corp. in May 2022. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtha Energy Corp. generates revenue through the exploration and extraction of energy resources, primarily focusing on oil and natural gas. The company monetizes these resources by selling them to various markets, including industrial, commercial, and residential sectors. Additionally, Atha Energy Corp. may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize resource development and share operational risks, thus enhancing profitability. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global energy prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies.

Atha Energy Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is very weak (TTM revenue of zero, sizable net loss) and cash flow is materially negative (negative operating and deeply negative free cash flow), indicating ongoing funding dependence. This is partially offset by a balance-sheet strength: very low leverage and strong flexibility due to minimal debt.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Profitability is weak and trending poorly. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the company generated no revenue and reported a sizable net loss (about -$10.6M), following another net loss in 2024 (about -$11.4M). The lack of revenue consistency (revenue present in 2023 but zero in 2024 and TTM) and persistently negative operating results indicate an early-stage/transition profile with limited visibility into near-term earnings power.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength due to very low leverage. Total debt is minimal versus equity in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and 2024 (debt-to-equity near zero), suggesting ample balance-sheet flexibility. The key weakness is continued losses driving negative returns on equity (roughly -5% in TTM and 2024), meaning the capital base is not currently generating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is weak with persistent cash burn. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is negative (about -$3.9M) and free cash flow is deeply negative (about -$27.1M), and 2024 showed even larger outflows (operating cash flow about -$10.3M; free cash flow about -$41.5M). While the year-over-year free cash flow burn improved versus 2024, the business remains reliant on external funding until operating cash flow turns sustainably positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.001.16M0.000.00
Gross Profit-327.25K-227.13K1.13M-13.60K0.00
EBITDA-10.01M-7.67M-13.95M-1.02M0.00
Net Income-10.64M-11.41M-13.98M-1.03M-210.71K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets230.15M214.17M99.16M42.03M23.56K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.30M8.26M34.01M40.70M18.34K
Total Debt395.51K621.25K0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities10.30M5.83M11.39M34.08M109.18K
Stockholders Equity219.86M208.34M87.77M7.96M-85.62K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.07M-41.51M-22.53M-363.01K-6.66K
Operating Cash Flow-3.86M-10.35M-4.21M-220.10K-6.66K
Investing Cash Flow-20.92M-18.10M-18.32M-1.19M0.00
Financing Cash Flow19.69M-608.26K19.03M42.09M25.00K

Atha Energy Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.72
Price Trends
50DMA
0.71
Positive
100DMA
0.70
Positive
200DMA
0.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
76.36
Negative
STOCH
81.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SASK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.83, above the 50-day MA of 0.71, and above the 200-day MA of 0.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.36 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SASK.

Atha Energy Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$73.33B139.387.96%0.19%23.88%350.69%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$11.19B-29.30-30.71%-308.46%
55
Neutral
C$264.75M-54.69-1.98%22.89%
54
Neutral
C$334.26M-28.42-4.96%52.63%
50
Neutral
C$182.12M-11.56-30.73%-234.49%
49
Neutral
$4.83B-38.86%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SASK
Atha Energy Corp.
1.10
0.57
105.61%
TSE:CCO
Cameco
168.41
99.45
144.23%
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
5.38
2.84
111.81%
TSE:AEC
Anfield Energy Inc
11.47
5.85
104.09%
TSE:MGA
Mega Uranium
0.70
0.38
122.22%
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
17.10
7.87
85.27%

Atha Energy Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ATHA Energy Upsizes Convertible Debenture Financing to US$25 Million with Queen’s Road Capital
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

ATHA Energy Corp. has upsized its previously announced private placement of unsecured convertible debentures with Queen’s Road Capital Investment Ltd. to US$25 million, or approximately C$34.5 million, following strong investor demand. The funding will primarily support exploration and development at the company’s flagship Angilak Uranium Project in Nunavut and general corporate purposes, with the debentures carrying a 12% annual interest rate over five years and a conversion price set at C$0.85 per share. The deal deepens ATHA’s relationship with a prominent resource-sector financier and includes an investor rights agreement, an option for QRC to purchase an additional US$25 million of debentures on similar terms over two years, and customary closing conditions, collectively enhancing ATHA’s financial flexibility for advancing its uranium assets while signaling institutional confidence in its growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SASK) stock is a Hold with a C$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atha Energy Corp. stock, see the TSE:SASK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Atha Energy Secures US$20 Million Convertible Debenture Financing from Queen’s Road Capital
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Atha Energy Corp. has entered into a binding term sheet with Queen’s Road Capital Investment Ltd. for a private placement of US$20 million in unsecured convertible debentures, with QRC also receiving a two-year option to purchase an additional US$20 million of debentures. The funding, structured as five-year debentures bearing 12% annual interest and convertible into Atha shares at C$0.85, will be used primarily to advance exploration and development at the company’s Angilak Uranium Project in Nunavut following five new uranium discoveries and strong drill intercepts in 2025. The investment by QRC, a specialist resource financier with a track record in high-profile uranium names such as NexGen Energy and IsoEnergy, strengthens Atha’s financial position, validates the geological potential of the Angikuni Basin, and could materially support the next phase of work at one of Canada’s more promising uranium exploration districts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SASK) stock is a Hold with a C$0.69 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atha Energy Corp. stock, see the TSE:SASK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
ATHA Energy Grants Stock Options and RSUs Under Equity Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

ATHA Energy Corp. has granted 10,150,000 incentive stock options and 1,300,000 restricted share units to eligible participants, including directors and officers, under its equity incentive plan, with options vesting in thirds over 12 months at an exercise price of $0.61 and RSUs vesting after 12 months. The awards, which fall within the plan’s 10% cap on shares issuable and use exemptions under Canadian related-party and minority protection rules, are designed to align management and insider incentives with shareholders as ATHA advances its uranium exploration and development portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SASK) stock is a Hold with a C$0.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atha Energy Corp. stock, see the TSE:SASK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Atha Energy Corp. Announces Significant Uranium Discoveries at Angilak Project
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Atha Energy Corp. has announced significant high-grade uranium discoveries at its Angilak Project, specifically along the Mineralized RIB Corridor. The latest assays from the RIB East, West, and South discoveries confirm substantial uranium mineralization, enhancing the project’s potential. These findings, combined with previous discoveries, underscore the project’s promise and the company’s strategic positioning in the uranium market. The discoveries are expected to have a positive impact on Atha Energy’s operations, potentially increasing its resource base and strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SASK) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atha Energy Corp. stock, see the TSE:SASK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
ATHA Energy Unveils High-Grade Uranium Discovery at Angilak Project
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

ATHA Energy Corp. has announced a significant discovery at its Angilak Uranium Project with the maiden drillhole at RIB North yielding high-grade uranium mineralization. This discovery, marked by a 34.7-meter composite uranium mineralization, reinforces the potential of the Angikuni Basin as a promising uranium district, aligning with the company’s exploration strategy and the Canadian government’s focus on advancing mineral resource projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SASK) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atha Energy Corp. stock, see the TSE:SASK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
ATHA Energy Unveils Major Uranium Discovery at Angilak Project
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

ATHA Energy Corp. has announced a significant discovery at its Angilak Uranium Project, with assays from its maiden drillhole at the RIB North Discovery revealing 34.7 meters of total composite uranium mineralization. This discovery, which includes high-grade intervals, reinforces the potential of the Angikuni Basin as a promising uranium district, aligning with the company’s exploration strategy and positioning it for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SASK) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atha Energy Corp. stock, see the TSE:SASK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Atha Energy Corp. Reports Major Uranium Discoveries in 2025 Exploration Program
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Atha Energy Corp. announced significant progress in its 2025 Angilak Exploration Program, particularly at Mushroom Lake and the KU Discovery. The company successfully intersected high-grade uranium mineralization and identified new structural corridors using advanced EM Inversion modeling. These discoveries not only expand the mineralization footprint but also position Atha Energy as a key player in supplying uranium for the nuclear energy sector, with potential implications for future exploration and development activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SASK) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atha Energy Corp. stock, see the TSE:SASK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026