tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
NexGen Energy (TSE:NXE)
TSX:NXE
Advertisement

NexGen Energy (NXE) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
485 Followers

Top Page

TSE:NXE

NexGen Energy

(TSX:NXE)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
NexGen Energy's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, with zero revenue and consistent losses. The technical analysis shows some positive momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The valuation is constrained by a negative P/E ratio, reflecting the company's current unprofitability. Recent corporate events provide positive long-term prospects, but are already considered in the earnings call.

NexGen Energy (NXE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

NexGen Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexGen Energy Ltd. is a Canadian-based company primarily engaged in the exploration and development of uranium projects. The company operates within the energy sector, focusing on the sustainable and responsible production of uranium, which is a critical component for nuclear power generation. NexGen's flagship project is the Rook I property in the Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan, Canada, which is one of the most prolific uranium-producing regions in the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexGen Energy generates revenue primarily through the development and potential future sale of uranium extracted from its mining projects. While the company is still in the exploration and development phase, its revenue model is based on the successful extraction and commercialization of uranium resources. Key revenue streams are expected to include the sale of uranium to nuclear power plants and other entities requiring uranium for energy production. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the successful development of its Rook I project, the global demand for nuclear energy, and partnerships with industry stakeholders that facilitate the advancement and commercialization of its uranium assets.

NexGen Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive outlook for NexGen Energy, driven by favorable uranium market dynamics, successful financial positioning, and robust support from indigenous nations and the government for the Rook I project. Despite supply disruptions and the dependency on federal approval, the company's strategic initiatives and preparations position it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Uranium Market Dynamics
Spot prices for uranium rose 16% to USD 83.25 per pound in Q3, with a term price rising to USD 86 per pound, its highest level since May 2008, signaling a 'higher for longer' market.
Successful Global Equity Offering
NexGen raised AUD 1 billion, strengthening its financial position to advance the Rook I project upon federal approval.
Indigenous and Governmental Support
All four indigenous nations and the province of Saskatchewan are legally supportive and publicly advocating for the immediate approval of the Rook I project.
Robust Contracting and Negotiations
NexGen has signed four contracts and has six under negotiation, with pricing terms higher than those reported in the market. The company averages 2 million pounds over the first five years of production.
Advanced Preparations for Rook I
Detailed engineering for the first 18 months of construction is complete, and critical path items are secured and ready for deployment immediately following federal approval.
Negative Updates
Supply Disruptions and Production Cuts
The third quarter saw widespread production guidance cuts globally, including at Kazatomprom and Cameco, reflecting late in-life mine challenges.
Dependency on Federal Approval
The final federal approval for the Rook I project is pending, with the first commission hearing scheduled in 13 days from the call date.
Company Guidance
During the NexGen Energy Q3 2025 earnings call, CEO Leigh Curyer provided a robust outlook on the uranium market, highlighting a substantial increase in uranium demand forecasts, which have escalated tenfold compared to three years ago. The spot prices for uranium rose 16% to USD 83.25 per pound in the third quarter, while term prices reached USD 86 per pound, their highest since May 2008. Curyer emphasized the company's strategic positioning with the Rook I project, capable of producing 30 million pounds of uranium annually, which aligns with the global demand-supply deficit projected into 2030. He also announced NexGen's strengthened financial position following a successful AUD 1 billion raise, leaving the company with a cash balance of approximately CAD 1.2 billion to support ongoing development. The call underscored the company's ongoing negotiations with utilities worldwide for long-term supply contracts and marked the upcoming commission hearings for Rook I as pivotal milestones in advancing the project towards production.

NexGen Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NexGen Energy faces significant challenges with zero revenue and consistent losses, which undermine its income statement performance. The balance sheet shows financial resilience with strong equity and liquidity. However, cash flow issues persist despite financing activities, reflecting operational and capital expenditure challenges. The company must focus on revenue generation and improving cash flow management to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
NexGen Energy has reported zero revenue for the Trailing-Twelve-Months, indicating no operational income. The consistent negative EBIT and EBITDA suggest ongoing operational losses. The net profit margin is negative, further reflecting profitability challenges. The company shows no revenue growth, which is concerning for future prospects.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of approximately 71% in the TTM, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Although the debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, reflecting some reliance on debt for financing, the company maintains a substantial cash position, enhancing its liquidity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The operating cash flow is negative, suggesting operational cash burn. Despite significant financing inflows, the free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in covering capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-2.25M-2.25M-1.80M-1.81M-2.13M-2.28M
EBITDA-136.62M-33.47M-83.72M-58.04M-119.71M-97.42M
Net Income-193.76M-77.56M80.82M-56.59M-119.09M-109.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.66B1.01B554.56M546.56M357.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments371.56M476.59M290.74M140.22M211.12M74.02M
Total Debt489.08M456.80M160.42M82.48M75.18M230.88M
Total Liabilities520.34M478.20M187.41M99.14M85.22M238.14M
Stockholders Equity1.03B1.18B820.02M417.88M433.61M94.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-207.34M-154.77M-168.42M-20.53M-63.70M-28.86M
Operating Cash Flow-24.43M-24.09M-52.62M-20.18M-16.79M-10.62M
Investing Cash Flow-142.21M-130.68M-160.14M-68.05M-46.71M-18.24M
Financing Cash Flow-26.93M344.64M368.89M19.86M191.35M51.23M

NexGen Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.85
Price Trends
50DMA
11.98
Negative
100DMA
10.70
Positive
200DMA
9.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
45.97
Neutral
STOCH
26.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NXE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.47, below the 50-day MA of 11.98, and above the 200-day MA of 9.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NXE.

NexGen Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$56.35B107.127.97%0.12%23.88%350.69%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$737.68M-358.44-0.66%14.29%-116.45%
53
Neutral
$7.58B-35.87-30.71%-308.46%
51
Neutral
$3.24B-38.86%
48
Neutral
C$194.11M-19.15-4.56%72.48%
41
Neutral
C$707.26M-7.89-22.78%29.59%-86.53%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
11.85
1.74
17.21%
TSE:CCO
Cameco
129.43
56.89
78.43%
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
3.61
0.76
26.67%
TSE:EU
enCore Energy
3.67
-1.54
-29.56%
TSE:URC
Uranium Royalty Corp
5.28
1.54
41.18%
TSE:SASK
Atha Energy Corp.
0.56
-0.04
-6.67%

NexGen Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NexGen Energy Advances Rook I Project with CNSC Hearing Dates
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

NexGen Energy has announced the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission’s proposed hearing dates for its Rook I Project, marking a significant step in the project’s regulatory process. With provincial and federal approvals in place and local community endorsements, the announcement is pivotal for NexGen’s operations and its positioning in the uranium mining industry, potentially offering long-term benefits to Saskatchewan and beyond.

Business Operations and Strategy
NexGen Energy to Host 2024 Year-End Conference Call with Key Project Updates
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

NexGen Energy announced it will host its 2024 year-end conference call on March 5, 2025, where key executives will provide updates on the Rook I Project, including federal approvals, project development, and market dynamics. This call will offer insights into NexGen’s strategic positioning and operational progress, reflecting its commitment to leading the uranium mining industry with sustainable practices and robust economic performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2025