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Denison Mines (TSE:DML)
TSX:DML

Denison Mines (DML) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DML

Denison Mines

(TSX:DML)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▼(-13.42% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—deep losses, persistent cash burn, and increased leverage—despite modest revenue growth. Technicals are a notable positive with a clear uptrend and constructive momentum, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The Nuhenene benefit agreement with local First Nations enhances community relations and supports the development of key projects, which is crucial for long-term operational success and regulatory compliance.
Project Expansion
Acquiring interests in the Russell Lake Uranium Project expands Denison's resource base and strengthens its strategic position in the Athabasca Basin, potentially boosting long-term production capacity.
Regulatory Approval
Advancing through the Federal approval process for the Wheeler River Project indicates progress towards operational readiness, which is vital for future revenue generation and market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent negative cash flows highlight operational inefficiencies and may limit Denison's ability to fund new projects or manage financial obligations, impacting long-term sustainability.
Profitability Issues
Continued profitability challenges suggest difficulties in cost management and revenue generation, which can hinder investment in growth initiatives and affect shareholder returns.
Volatile Revenue Trends
Fluctuating revenue trends can lead to financial instability and complicate strategic planning, potentially affecting the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in future growth.

Denison Mines (DML) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Denison Mines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDenison Mines Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, selling of, and investing in uranium properties in Canada. Its flagship project is the 95% interest owned Wheeler River uranium project located in the Athabasca Basin region in northern Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as International Uranium Corporation and changed its name to Denison Mines Corp. in December 2006. Denison Mines Corp. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDenison Mines primarily generates revenue through the exploration and eventual development of its uranium assets, with a specific focus on the Wheeler River project, which is expected to yield significant uranium production once operational. The company makes money by selling extracted uranium to utilities and other buyers in the nuclear energy sector, which are in need of fuel for their reactors. Additionally, Denison may also engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies, which can provide capital and resources for exploration and development, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company’s strategic positioning in the uranium market, particularly during periods of rising demand for nuclear energy, contributes to its earnings, along with potential revenue from strategic asset sales or equity investments in related projects.

Denison Mines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Denison Mines is facing challenges with profitability and cash generation. Despite a strong equity position and low leverage, the company struggles with negative margins and cash flows, indicating operational inefficiencies and revenue instability.
Income Statement
Denison Mines has experienced volatile revenue trends, with significant fluctuations year-over-year. The gross profit margin is negative, indicating cost issues relative to revenue. Net profit margin is also negative, highlighting ongoing losses. Despite some revenue growth in the latest year, profitability remains a challenge with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, suggesting a stable financial foundation. The company has no significant debt, reflected in a zero debt-to-equity ratio, reducing leverage risk. However, the negative return on equity indicates the company is not efficiently generating returns on its equity base.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating difficulty in generating cash from core operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, as is the operating cash flow to net income ratio, signaling inefficiencies in cash generation relative to earnings. Despite this, the company has maintained liquidity with cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.87M4.02M1.85M8.97M20.00M14.42M
Gross Profit-150.00K-792.00K-2.04M3.62M7.10M3.83M
EBITDA-182.34M-81.81M97.27M18.81M21.68M-6.82M
Net Income-195.50M-91.12M90.38M14.35M18.98M-16.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B663.61M726.60M515.80M510.28M320.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments482.80M114.81M141.45M58.94M78.44M41.65M
Total Debt294.83M2.41M417.00K576.00K508.00K639.00K
Total Liabilities704.27M99.29M84.82M79.78M113.59M93.41M
Stockholders Equity402.90M564.32M641.78M436.02M396.69M227.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-89.32M-48.07M-33.90M-35.01M-22.48M-13.76M
Operating Cash Flow-67.73M-40.38M-30.67M-28.14M-21.25M-13.48M
Investing Cash Flow-43.80M426.00K-719.00K-6.76M-99.00M305.00K
Financing Cash Flow473.64M15.15M111.18M20.96M159.82M30.51M

Denison Mines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.62
Price Trends
50DMA
3.77
Positive
100DMA
3.67
Positive
200DMA
2.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
72.74
Negative
STOCH
97.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.87, above the 50-day MA of 3.77, and above the 200-day MA of 2.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.74 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DML.

Denison Mines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$63.82B123.847.97%0.19%23.88%350.69%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
C$755.41M1,605.880.20%-0.90%-93.94%
55
Neutral
C$9.78B-25.60-30.71%-308.46%
53
Neutral
C$4.15B-21.18-38.86%
53
Neutral
C$223.15M-45.31-1.98%22.89%
46
Neutral
C$732.15M-9.84-19.80%2.06%13.58%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
4.62
1.85
66.79%
TSE:CCO
Cameco
146.57
76.47
109.08%
TSE:EU
enCore Energy
3.91
-0.94
-19.38%
TSE:MGA
Mega Uranium
0.58
0.25
75.76%
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
14.94
5.31
55.14%
TSE:URC
Uranium Royalty Corp
5.46
2.12
63.47%

Denison Mines Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Denison Mines Signals Construction Readiness for Phoenix ISR Uranium Project
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

Denison Mines says it is ready to make a final investment decision and begin construction of its flagship Phoenix in-situ recovery uranium mine at the Wheeler River property, targeting a two-year build and first production by mid-2028, pending final regulatory approvals expected in early 2026. The company reports substantial progress in 2025 on federal and provincial permitting, detailed engineering and procurement, with key long-lead electrical infrastructure on schedule and most project engineering complete, while updating its initial capital cost estimate and affirming that Phoenix could become Canada’s first new large-scale uranium mine since Cigar Lake, timed to capture rising uranium demand and reinforce its strategic position in the nuclear fuel supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DML) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denison Mines stock, see the TSE:DML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Denison Mines Forms Strategic Uranium Exploration Joint Ventures with Skyharbour
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Denison Mines has successfully completed a transaction with Skyharbour Resources, leading to the establishment of four joint ventures to explore uranium near Denison’s key Wheeler River Project. These joint ventures enhance collaborative opportunities, advance exploration efforts, and allow Denison to increase its operational stake in specific ventures. This move strategically strengthens Denison’s position in the uranium mining sector, emphasizing its commitment to optimizing operations in the Athabasca Basin. The development is expected to bolster the company’s long-term industry competitiveness and value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DML) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denison Mines stock, see the TSE:DML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Denison Mines Secures Key Agreements with Métis Nation for Wheeler River Project
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. has signed an Impact Benefit Agreement and an Exploration Agreement with the Métis Nation–Saskatchewan and its local regions, ensuring their support for the Wheeler River Project. This agreement highlights Denison’s commitment to building a cooperative relationship with the Métis communities, promising economic opportunities and cultural benefits while emphasizing environmental stewardship and respect for Métis interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DML) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denison Mines stock, see the TSE:DML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Denison Mines Secures Community Support with Nuhenéné Benefit Agreement
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. and the Ya’thi Néné Land and Resource Office have signed the Nuhenéné Benefit Agreement with three First Nations and four municipalities in northern Saskatchewan. This agreement marks a significant milestone for Denison, as it secures community consent and support for its uranium projects, including the Wheeler River Project, which is nearing final federal approval. The agreement emphasizes responsible development and offers tangible benefits such as job opportunities, training programs, and environmental monitoring, fostering long-term prosperity and collaboration with the Athabasca communities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DML) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denison Mines stock, see the TSE:DML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Denison Mines Expands Strategic Foothold with Skyharbour Agreement
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. has entered into an agreement with Skyharbour Resources to acquire interests in the Russell Lake Uranium Project, which is adjacent to Denison’s flagship Wheeler River Project. This transaction allows Denison to strengthen its regional presence and explore new opportunities through joint ventures, enhancing its strategic foothold in the Athabasca Basin. The agreement includes options for Denison to increase its ownership in certain joint ventures, supporting its long-term growth and exploration strategy. This move is expected to boost exploration activities and increase the likelihood of discovering valuable uranium deposits, benefiting both Denison and Skyharbour.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DML) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denison Mines stock, see the TSE:DML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Denison Mines Reports Q3 2025 Results and Advances Key Uranium Projects
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. has reported its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting the commencement of production at the McClean North uranium mine using the innovative SABRE mining method. The company has successfully extracted high-grade ore and produced a substantial amount of U3O8, demonstrating cost-effective operations. Additionally, Denison is progressing with the permitting and engineering phases of its Wheeler River project, anticipating regulatory approvals by early 2026. The company has also strengthened its financial position with a US$345 million convertible senior notes offering, ensuring robust capital for future developments. These strategic advancements position Denison to capitalize on the growing global demand for uranium driven by the increasing adoption of nuclear energy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DML) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denison Mines stock, see the TSE:DML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Denison Mines Faces Judicial Review Over Wheeler River Project Approval
Negative
Nov 4, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. is facing a judicial review application filed by the Peter Ballantyne Cree Nation (PBCN) against the Government of Saskatchewan and the company. The application challenges the provincial approval for Denison’s Wheeler River Project, citing insufficient consultation with PBCN. Denison maintains that it has engaged in extensive consultation efforts and plans to defend against the claims, emphasizing its commitment to incorporating Indigenous knowledge into project planning. The Wheeler River Project, hosting high-grade uranium deposits, is positioned as a competitive low-cost operation, with ongoing federal approval processes for its environmental assessment and construction license.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DML) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denison Mines stock, see the TSE:DML Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026