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Mega Uranium Ltd (TSE:MGA)
TSX:MGA

Mega Uranium (MGA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MGA

Mega Uranium

(TSX:MGA)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.72
▲(19.67% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, recurring losses, and ongoing cash burn), partially offset by a relatively solid balance sheet. Technicals are constructive with strong upward trend and positive momentum, but elevated RSI/Stoch suggest the move may be stretched. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A sizable equity base with low debt relative to equity provides a solvency cushion that supports ongoing exploration and investment activity. This balance sheet flexibility gives the company time and optionality to monetize assets or pursue partnerships without immediate distress.
Flexible Monetization Options
The business model emphasizes multiple durable exit routes—asset sales, farm-outs, royalties or project-level development—allowing management to realize value through structural transactions rather than relying on recurring operating cash flow, preserving strategic flexibility over time.
Diversified Investment Exposure
Holding both project stakes and equity positions across multiple uranium companies spreads execution and project risk. This portfolio approach creates multiple potential value drivers and reduces dependence on any single discovery or development outcome over a multi-month horizon.
Negative Factors
No Operating Revenue
Absence of recurring operating revenue means underlying earnings rely on volatile investment gains and asset transactions. That structural lack of revenue reduces earnings visibility, limits self-funding capacity, and makes long-term planning and credit access more uncertain.
Consistent Cash Burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow forces dependence on the balance sheet or external financing to fund activities. Over the medium term this raises dilution and refinancing risks, constrains capital allocation, and can limit the firm's ability to advance projects independently.
Rising Leverage and Negative ROE
An upward trend in leverage paired with negative and inconsistent ROE undermines financial flexibility and signals difficulty converting shareholder capital into returns. This structural weakness increases default or dilution risk and narrows strategic options for funding development initiatives.

Mega Uranium (MGA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Mega Uranium Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMega Uranium Ltd., a mineral exploration and development company, explores for uranium prospective properties primarily in Australia and Canada. Its principal properties include the Ben Lomond and Georgetown (Maureen) projects located in Queensland. The company was formerly known as Maple Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Mega Uranium Ltd. in October 2005. Mega Uranium Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMega Uranium makes money primarily through the exploration and development of uranium mining projects. Its revenue model is based on the successful identification, acquisition, and development of uranium-rich properties, which can then be sold, leased, or developed into operational mines. The company may also earn income through joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies, which help to share the costs and risks associated with exploration and development. Additionally, Mega Uranium may receive royalties or other forms of income from its investments in uranium projects, as well as any potential sales of uranium resources extracted from its properties.

Mega Uranium Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are weak: no revenue, recurring operating losses, and persistently negative operating/free cash flow imply ongoing cash burn and low earnings visibility. The main offset is a comparatively solid balance sheet with a sizable equity base and generally manageable leverage, though debt has been trending up and ROE has turned negative.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the period provided, and profitability is weak with recurring operating losses (EBITDA and EBIT negative every year). Net income is volatile—profits in 2021 and 2023 were followed by losses in 2024 and 2025—suggesting results are driven more by non-operating items than a stable underlying business. Overall, earnings quality and visibility are low.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength, supported by a sizable equity base versus debt (low debt compared with equity). However, leverage has been trending up over time as total debt increased materially from earlier years, and returns on equity are inconsistent and recently negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Liquidity metrics are not provided, but solvency appears generally solid.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is consistently weak, with operating cash flow and free cash flow negative each year, indicating ongoing cash burn. While the latest annual free cash flow improved versus the prior year (positive growth rate), it remains meaningfully negative, and cash flow does not currently provide a self-funding profile. This increases reliance on the balance sheet and/or external financing over time.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-104.00K-104.00K-107.00K-95.00K-64.00K-87.00K
EBITDA-3.27M-3.17M-4.07M-3.51M-3.84M-2.66M
Net Income-4.64M-4.64M-6.12M4.42M-8.39M20.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets270.86M270.86M199.07M184.86M117.89M138.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.73M27.73M27.93M25.63M18.61M19.46M
Total Debt18.22M18.22M15.43M9.04M1.20M119.00K
Total Liabilities29.66M29.66M18.15M10.69M2.45M1.17M
Stockholders Equity241.20M241.20M180.92M174.18M115.44M136.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.60M-2.55M-946.00K-656.00K-2.26M-1.55M
Operating Cash Flow-1.60M-2.55M-946.00K-644.00K-2.21M-1.54M
Investing Cash Flow-1.33M-1.33M305.00K-29.00K-54.00K54.00K
Financing Cash Flow2.82M3.77M719.00K492.00K1.44M2.10M

Mega Uranium Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.60
Price Trends
50DMA
0.52
Positive
100DMA
0.46
Positive
200DMA
0.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
62.05
Neutral
STOCH
57.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MGA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.65, above the 50-day MA of 0.52, and above the 200-day MA of 0.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MGA.

Mega Uranium Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$73.33B139.387.96%0.19%23.88%350.69%
66
Neutral
C$870.24M1,850.000.20%-0.90%-93.94%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
C$11.19B-29.30-30.71%-308.46%
55
Neutral
C$264.75M-54.69-1.98%22.89%
53
Neutral
C$810.79M-10.90-19.80%2.06%13.58%
49
Neutral
$4.83B-24.67-38.86%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MGA
Mega Uranium
0.70
0.38
122.22%
TSE:CCO
Cameco
168.41
99.45
144.23%
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
5.38
2.84
111.81%
TSE:EU
enCore Energy
4.33
-0.27
-5.87%
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
17.10
7.87
85.27%
TSE:URC
Uranium Royalty Corp
6.29
2.92
86.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026