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Uranium Royalty Corp (TSE:URC)
TSX:URC

Uranium Royalty Corp (URC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:URC

Uranium Royalty Corp

(TSX:URC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.50
▲(5.86% Upside)
The score is supported primarily by a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet and solid TTM cash generation, but is held back by extremely expensive valuation (very high P/E) and only neutral-to-mixed technical momentum alongside uneven revenue/profitability.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / strong balance sheet
Near-zero leverage and negligible debt give URC durable financial flexibility. Over 2–6 months this lowers solvency risk, enables opportunistic royalty acquisitions or support for partners, and preserves the ability to fund distributions or strategic M&A without urgent refinancing.
Royalties/streaming business model
A royalty/streaming model delivers recurring, asset-backed cash flows without mine-level capex and operational risk. Structurally this supports margin resilience, lower capital intensity, and scalable exposure to uranium demand cycles, favorable for predictable long-term cash generation.
Strong trailing‑12M free cash flow
Material TTM operating and free cash flow indicate the company can convert underlying royalty receipts into deployable capital. Sustained FCF supports reinvestment into new streams, balance-sheet strengthening, or shareholder returns, improving strategic optionality over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Meaningful revenue decline and profit volatility
Declining revenue and year-to-year swings in profitability reduce confidence in recurring earnings. For a royalty business, variable production or contract timing can swing income, complicating forecasting, capital allocation, and the ability to sustain distributions or fund growth consistently.
Inconsistent cash flow quality / prior cash burn
Although TTM FCF is strong, earlier annual cash burns reveal episodic volatility. Inconsistent cash conversion increases refinancing or dilution risk if negative years recur, and it weakens the predictability of funding for acquisitions or shareholder returns over the medium term.
Low return on equity / capital efficiency
A very large equity base coupled with weak TTM ROE signals low capital efficiency. With limited leverage, returns rely on high-quality asset selection; persistently low ROE would constrain long-term shareholder value creation unless management secures higher‑yield royalties or materially improves operating margins.

Uranium Royalty Corp (URC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Uranium Royalty Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company. It acquires, accumulates, and manages a portfolio of geographically diversified uranium interests. The company has royalty interests in the McArthur River, Cigar Lake / Waterbury Lake, Roughrider, Russell Lake, Russell Lake south, and Dawn Lake projects in Saskatchewan, Canada; Anderson and San Rafael projects in Arizona; Lance and Reno Creek projects in Wyoming; Church Rock and Roca Honda projects in New Mexico; Dewey-Burdock project in South Dakota; Slick Rock project in Colorado; Langer Heinrich project in Namibia; and Michelin project in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada; Energy Queen and Whirlwind project in Utah; and Workman Creek projects in Arizona. Uranium Royalty Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyUranium Royalty Corp generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements with uranium mining companies. By investing in these agreements, URC receives a percentage of the revenue or a fixed amount per pound of uranium produced from the projects in which it holds interests. This business model allows URC to earn income without the high capital expenditures and operational costs associated with traditional mining. Additionally, the company may realize gains from the appreciation of its investments in uranium royalties and streams as market prices for uranium fluctuate. Strategic partnerships with key mining operators further bolster URC's revenue potential, as they provide access to high-quality assets and production forecasts.

Uranium Royalty Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial risk is low due to an exceptionally strong, near-zero-leverage balance sheet, and TTM operating/free cash flow is strong relative to net income. Offsetting this, revenue is down meaningfully and profitability has been volatile with a slightly negative operating result, reducing confidence in earnings consistency.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows modest profitability (net income of ~0.5M on ~37.9M revenue) and positive EBITDA, but operating profit remains slightly negative. Revenue is down meaningfully versus the prior period (about -22%), and annual results have been volatile—strong profitability in 2024 followed by a large loss in 2025—highlighting an uneven earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is exceptionally conservatively financed: total debt is negligible relative to equity (debt-to-equity near zero), with a large equity base supporting total assets. The main weakness is low return on equity in the TTM period, indicating the company is not currently generating much profit from its capital base despite very low financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash generation is strong, with operating cash flow (~30.0M) and free cash flow (~29.0M) well above reported net income, and free cash flow growth near +98%. However, prior annual periods show significant cash burn (notably 2024 and 2025 annual), so cash flow quality appears inconsistent across years and may be influenced by timing or non-recurring factors.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.60M42.71M13.85M0.000.00
Gross Profit1.56M12.95M895.00K-2.00K0.00
EBITDA-4.75M7.79M-4.20M-5.72M-1.85M
Net Income-5.65M9.78M-5.84M-4.26M-1.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets296.07M278.70M185.79M178.17M76.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.19M30.35M52.76M56.87M37.93M
Total Debt209.00K193.00K9.83M13.03M40.00K
Total Liabilities1.18M2.91M10.42M13.54M546.94K
Stockholders Equity294.89M275.79M175.37M164.64M75.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.49M-104.92M-14.91M-83.10M-13.65M
Operating Cash Flow-21.49M-104.84M-12.74M-69.35M-13.65M
Investing Cash Flow-11.93M45.23M12.12M-19.13M3.95M
Financing Cash Flow24.82M66.60M10.54M85.65M5.42M

Uranium Royalty Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.14
Price Trends
50DMA
5.26
Positive
100DMA
5.35
Positive
200DMA
4.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
67.94
Neutral
STOCH
85.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:URC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.38, above the 50-day MA of 5.26, and above the 200-day MA of 4.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:URC.

Uranium Royalty Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$70.56B134.127.97%0.19%23.88%350.69%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$10.83B-28.34-30.71%-308.46%
61
Neutral
C$849.49M1,805.880.20%-0.90%-93.94%
55
Neutral
C$242.06M-50.00-1.98%22.89%
53
Neutral
C$4.61B-23.57-38.86%
46
Neutral
C$808.92M-10.88-19.80%2.06%13.58%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:URC
Uranium Royalty Corp
6.14
2.74
80.59%
TSE:CCO
Cameco
162.06
87.91
118.57%
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
5.14
2.39
86.91%
TSE:EU
enCore Energy
4.32
-0.47
-9.81%
TSE:MGA
Mega Uranium
0.64
0.30
88.24%
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
16.54
6.63
66.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026