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Cameco (TSE:CCO)
:CCO
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Cameco (CCO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CCO

Cameco

(NYSE:CCO)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$115.00
▲(7.24% Upside)
Cameco's strong financial performance and strategic positioning in the nuclear market are major strengths, supporting a positive outlook. However, high valuation metrics and production risks present challenges. The technical indicators suggest moderate momentum, while the earnings call provides a balanced view with optimism about future opportunities.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Cameco reported a sizeable earnings beat versus Wall Street expectations.
Financial Outlook
Cameco improved its guidance for realized uranium pricing, indicating potential for increased revenue.
Partnership and Expansion
Cameco’s 49% share in Westinghouse is expected to boost its Q2 results due to Westinghouse’s participation in the construction of two new nuclear reactors.
Negative Factors
Contracting Volumes
The company's contracted volumes fell year-over-year in the first half, leading to concerns about negative growth in its core market.
Market Concerns
There is concern that Cameco's stock might decouple from GEV Vernova as the fundamentals of the uranium space are not as strong as those in the gas turbine market.
Production Challenges
Cameco announced an 8% to 11% reduction in its 2025 consolidated uranium production guidance due to underground mine development challenges at its McArthur River mine.

Cameco (CCO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cameco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCameco Corporation produces and sells uranium. It operates through two segments, Uranium and Fuel Services. The Uranium segment is involved in the exploration for, mining, and milling, as well as purchase and sale of uranium concentrate. The Fuel Services segment engages in the refining, conversion, and fabrication of uranium concentrate, as well as the purchase and sale of conversion services. This segment also produces fuel bundles or reactor components for CANDU reactors. The company sells its uranium and fuel services to nuclear utilities in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Cameco Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCameco generates revenue primarily through the sale of uranium and conversion services. Its key revenue streams include long-term contracts with utilities, spot market sales of uranium, and revenues from its joint ventures and partnerships in uranium mining. The company benefits from long-term supply agreements, which provide stable cash flow and mitigate market volatility. Additionally, Cameco engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its production capabilities and reduce operational risks. Factors contributing to its earnings include global demand for nuclear energy, regulatory frameworks supporting nuclear power, and fluctuations in uranium prices.

Cameco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Cameco's strong financial performance, strategic positioning, and growth prospects in the nuclear market. However, there are significant challenges related to production risks and uncertainties in uranium market demand and transportation. The sentiment is balanced with optimism about future opportunities.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance by Westinghouse
Cameco's 49% share of Westinghouse's adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between USD 525 million and USD 580 million, driven by a USD 170 million increase in Q2 revenue.
Increased Long-term Uranium Prices
Long-term uranium prices are near decade-long highs, indicating strong market conditions and demand for nuclear energy.
Strategic Positioning in the Nuclear Market
Cameco is recognized as a key player in the nuclear fuel supply chain with significant uranium resources and strategic investments, positioning it well for future demand.
Strong Balance Sheet
Cameco reports a strong financial position with $716 million in cash and cash equivalents, $1 billion in total debt, and a $1 billion undrawn revolving credit facility.
Potential Growth Opportunities for Westinghouse
Numerous international projects, including reactors in Poland, Czech Republic, and the U.S., indicate significant growth opportunities for Westinghouse.
Negative Updates
Production Risks at McArthur River
Challenges in new mining areas, labor availability, and equipment commissioning pose risks to meeting the 18 million pounds annual production target.
Uranium Market Demand Delays
Contracting activity has been low, with utilities consuming more uranium than they are contracting, which may result in future supply uncertainties.
Transportation Uncertainty for Inkai Deliveries
Deliveries from JV Inkai in Kazakhstan remain uncertain due to transportation and geopolitical risks, with expected shipments yet to commence.
Company Guidance
During the Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, Cameco Corporation shared guidance highlighting its strong financial performance and strategic positioning within the nuclear industry. The company reported improved expectations for 2025, driven by a rise in market prices and a notable increase in its share of Westinghouse's adjusted EBITDA, projected between USD 525 million and USD 580 million. This improvement was largely attributed to Westinghouse's participation in a Czech Republic nuclear project, contributing an additional USD 170 million to revenue. Despite challenges, Cameco maintained its production guidance, expecting McArthur River/Key Lake and Cigar Lake to each produce 18 million pounds and JV Inkai in Kazakhstan to produce 8.3 million pounds on a 100% basis. The company underscored its disciplined marketing strategy, emphasizing long-term contracting to mitigate market vulnerabilities, while maintaining a strong balance sheet with $716 million in cash and equivalents, $1 billion in debt, and an undrawn $1 billion revolving credit facility.

Cameco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cameco demonstrates strong financial health with robust growth and profitability in its income statement, a stable balance sheet with low leverage, and excellent cash generation capabilities. The company is well-positioned for continued growth and stability in the uranium industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cameco's income statement shows strong revenue growth with an 8.46% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 29.47%. The net profit margin improved significantly to 14.94%, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 22.75% and 31.39% respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the company demonstrates strong growth and profitability trends.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is moderate at 8.27%, showing decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 70.36%, highlighting a strong equity base. The company maintains a healthy financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cameco's cash flow statement shows a significant free cash flow growth of 33.36% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 1.90, suggesting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.78 further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.57B3.14B2.59B1.87B1.47B1.80B
Gross Profit1.05B1.06B561.67M233.29M1.93M106.45M
EBITDA1.12B789.34M660.85M276.56M138.10M252.67M
Net Income533.55M171.85M360.85M89.38M-102.65M-53.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.58B9.91B9.93B8.63B7.52B7.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments716.29M600.46M566.81M2.04B1.10B753.23M
Total Debt995.97M1.30B1.79B997.00M996.25M995.54M
Total Liabilities2.84B3.54B3.84B2.80B2.67B2.62B
Stockholders Equity6.74B6.36B6.09B5.84B4.85B4.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow901.33M693.65M534.50M161.16M359.50M-20.57M
Operating Cash Flow1.16B905.29M688.14M304.61M458.29M56.89M
Investing Cash Flow-257.92M-206.44M-2.04B-1.29B-80.30M-101.03M
Financing Cash Flow-556.89M-688.42M748.81M869.26M-46.77M-97.99M

Cameco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price107.24
Price Trends
50DMA
104.11
Positive
100DMA
90.63
Positive
200DMA
80.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.86
Negative
RSI
55.59
Neutral
STOCH
38.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 107.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.65, above the 50-day MA of 104.11, and above the 200-day MA of 80.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CCO.

Cameco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$46.44B87.038.09%0.15%34.68%106.82%
65
Neutral
$14.98B7.444.09%5.34%4.10%-61.67%
$2.13B31.01-14.63%
41
Neutral
C$608.06M-22.78%29.59%-86.53%
$4.53B23.27-17.01%
$431.12M312.20-1.95%
48
Neutral
C$151.29M-4.56%72.48%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CCO
Cameco
107.24
53.02
97.79%
DNN
Denison Mines
2.39
0.80
50.31%
TSE:EU
enCore Energy
3.20
-1.80
-36.00%
NXE
NexGen Energy
7.85
2.17
38.20%
UROY
Uranium Royalty Corp
3.21
1.00
45.25%
TSE:SASK
Atha Energy Corp.
0.55
0.02
3.77%

Cameco Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cameco Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results, Boosted by Westinghouse Investment
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Cameco reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with significant earnings growth driven by its uranium, fuel services, and Westinghouse segments. The company’s long-term contracting strategy and investment in Westinghouse, particularly in the Czech Republic’s Dukovany power plant project, have improved its 2025 outlook. Cameco’s integrated strategy and market positioning are expected to capitalize on the growing global support for nuclear energy, enhancing its operational plans and future growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cameco Unveils 2024 Sustainability Report, Showcasing Key Achievements
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

Cameco has released its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting its commitment to sustainability through various initiatives and metrics. Key achievements include completing climate risk assessments at U.S. operations, launching a training program for northern Saskatchewan residents, and publishing Scope 3 emissions data. The report underscores Cameco’s dedication to transparency and accountability, integrating SASB and TCFD standards, and achieving third-party assurance on selected performance indicators. These efforts aim to enhance Cameco’s sustainability strategy and strengthen its industry positioning by addressing environmental and community impacts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cameco Projects $170 Million Boost in 2025 EBITDA from Westinghouse Partnership
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

Cameco anticipates a significant increase in its share of Westinghouse Electric Company’s 2025 adjusted EBITDA, amounting to approximately $170 million (US). This increase is attributed to Westinghouse’s involvement in constructing two nuclear reactors at the Dukovany power plant in the Czech Republic. The expected financial benefits from this project, including the provision of fuel fabrication services, are poised to enhance Westinghouse’s financial performance and growth outlook. This development underscores Cameco’s strategic positioning in the nuclear energy sector and its potential positive impact on stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cameco Perseveres Amid Saskatchewan Wildfires, Maintains Production Targets
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

Cameco continues operations at its northern Saskatchewan sites despite wildfires affecting parts of the province. Although there are no fires near its operations, the company faces temporary disruptions in power and communication services, along with road closures impacting deliveries. Cameco prioritizes employee safety, accommodating requests from staff needing to assist families in affected communities. Despite these challenges, the company maintains its annual production target, underscoring its resilience and commitment to operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 24, 2025