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Cameco Corp (TSE:CCO)
TSX:CCO

Cameco (CCO) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Cameco

(TSX:CCO)

71Outperform
Cameco's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive industry outlook, supported by robust earnings growth and strategic positioning in the nuclear sector. However, high valuation and potential technical resistance pose risks. The company faces significant geopolitical and operational challenges, which temper the otherwise optimistic earnings guidance.
Positive Factors
Contract Growth
Cameco's long-term U3O8 contract book increased by 7% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for its products.
Financial Performance
Cameco recently reported better than expected 4Q24 results, with adjusted EPS beating consensus estimates.
Nuclear Energy Growth
CCJ is well-placed for nuclear energy growth.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
Long-term contracting has slowed due to macro-economic uncertainty and customers’ focus on securing downstream services.
Uranium Market Challenges
Uranium equities have experienced significant sell-offs due to weak spot prices and uncertainty around government policies affecting the nuclear industry.

Cameco (CCO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cameco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCameco Corporation (CCO) is a leading player in the global uranium industry, primarily engaged in the mining, refining, and production of uranium fuel for nuclear power plants. The company operates in two main segments: uranium and fuel services. Cameco's core products include uranium concentrate and conversion services, which are integral to the nuclear energy sector. With operations in North America and a strong presence in international markets, Cameco is committed to providing reliable and sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCameco makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of uranium, which is used as a fuel in nuclear reactors. The company's revenue streams are largely driven by long-term contracts with utility companies that require a stable supply of uranium for power generation. Additionally, Cameco generates income from its fuel services segment, which involves refining and converting uranium into fuel for nuclear reactors. The company's financial performance is influenced by uranium market prices, production volumes, and its ability to manage operational costs. Partnerships with global utility companies and strategic investments in mining operations also play a significant role in Cameco's earnings.

Cameco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cameco's financial performance is strong, marked by significant revenue growth and robust cash flow management. The company's low leverage and solid equity position enhance financial stability. However, a decrease in net income indicates the need for attention to sustain profitability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Cameco's income statement shows strong revenue growth, with a Revenue Growth Rate of 21.18% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin has improved significantly, and the Net Profit Margin stands at 5.48% for 2024, indicating profitability. However, the Net Income decreased compared to 2023, indicating some volatility. The EBIT and EBITDA Margins of 16.27% and 25.17% respectively highlight operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with an Equity Ratio of 64.23%, indicating financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.20 suggests low leverage, reducing financial risk. Return on Equity (ROE) is moderate at 2.70%, showing room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cameco's cash flow statement reveals robust Free Cash Flow growth of 29.78% from 2023 to 2024, highlighting strong cash management. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is impressive, indicating effective cash conversion from earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio also supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to net earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.14B2.59B1.87B1.47B1.80B
Gross Profit
1.06B561.67M233.29M1.93M106.45M
EBIT
510.11M282.86M130.36M-52.32M-6.75M
EBITDA
789.34M660.85M276.56M138.10M252.67M
Net Income Common Stockholders
171.85M360.85M89.38M-102.65M-53.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
600.46M566.81M2.04B1.10B753.23M
Total Assets
9.91B9.93B8.63B7.52B7.58B
Total Debt
1.30B1.79B997.00M996.25M995.54M
Net Debt
695.55M1.23B92.33M-17.94M267.30M
Total Liabilities
3.54B3.84B2.80B2.67B2.62B
Stockholders Equity
6.36B6.09B5.84B4.85B4.96B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
693.65M534.50M161.16M359.50M-20.57M
Operating Cash Flow
905.29M688.14M304.61M458.29M56.89M
Investing Cash Flow
-206.44M-2.04B-1.29B-80.30M-101.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-688.42M748.81M869.26M-46.77M-97.99M

Cameco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price64.89
Price Trends
50DMA
60.11
Positive
100DMA
66.96
Negative
200DMA
66.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.88
Negative
RSI
63.90
Neutral
STOCH
88.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 64.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.05, above the 50-day MA of 60.11, and below the 200-day MA of 66.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CCO.

Cameco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCCO
71
Outperform
$28.25B164.202.73%0.24%21.18%-52.58%
56
Neutral
$6.99B3.76-4.38%5.90%-0.24%-48.46%
TSNXE
53
Neutral
$4.18B27.25-7.77%-197.27%
TSURC
50
Neutral
$348.79M253.400.45%-47.81%-83.25%
TSDML
49
Neutral
C$1.80B33.39-4.64%
48
Neutral
C$111.33M-7.72%48.50%
TSEU
42
Neutral
C$410.71M-16.36%-72.21%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CCO
Cameco
64.89
-4.43
-6.39%
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
7.34
-4.41
-37.53%
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
2.01
-0.98
-32.78%
TSE:EU
enCore Energy
2.20
-4.54
-67.36%
TSE:URC
Uranium Royalty Corp
2.61
-0.93
-26.27%
TSE:SASK
Atha Energy Corp.
0.39
-0.35
-47.30%

Cameco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and a positive long-term outlook for the nuclear energy sector. However, there are significant challenges including geopolitical risks, production challenges, and uncertainties in long-term contracting. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic but acknowledges these substantial risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Revenue increased by 24%, gross profit up by 44%, adjusted net earnings increased by 52%, and adjusted EBITDA up by 5%.
Positive Long-Term Industry Outlook
The future picture for nuclear energy is more positive than ever, with global demand for nuclear energy increasing and significant positive industry developments reported.
Westinghouse Acquisition Benefits
Notable improvements in Westinghouse's adjusted EBITDA by 19%, and a strong outlook for the whole year is expected.
China's Nuclear Expansion
China approved 10 new nuclear reactors, marking the fourth consecutive year of such announcements, highlighting strong future demand.
Solid Financial Position
Final repayment of a $600 million term loan for the Westinghouse acquisition achieved, indicating a strong balance sheet.
Negative Updates
Westinghouse Segment Loss
Westinghouse reported a net loss in the first quarter of 2025 due to normal quarterly variations and ongoing amortization, with an expected annual net loss between $20 million and $70 million.
Geopolitical and Tariff Risks
The U.S. threatened tariffs on Canadian energy products, creating ongoing uncertainties about future trade policies affecting uranium imports.
JV Inkai Production Challenges
Following an unexpected suspension of production in January, JV Inkai updated its plans with a 2025 production target of 8.3 million pounds, which comes with risks due to ongoing supply chain challenges.
Uncertainty in Long-Term Contracting
Despite rising uranium prices, the industry is not seeing the level of long-term contracting necessary to support planned expansions.
Company Guidance
During the Cameco Corporation's first quarter 2025 results conference call, the company provided robust guidance highlighting several key financial metrics. Cameco reported a 24% increase in revenue, a 44% rise in gross profit, and a 52% boost in adjusted net earnings, alongside a 5% growth in adjusted EBITDA. The company also noted a significant improvement in its average realized price for uranium, which increased year-over-year despite a 30% decrease in the average uranium spot price. The Westinghouse segment, however, reported a net loss, but showed a 19% improvement in adjusted EBITDA compared to the first quarter of the previous year. Cameco's strong financial position was emphasized, with a focus on maintaining a balance sheet that supports strategic execution, particularly amid ongoing geopolitical challenges and trade uncertainties.

Cameco Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cameco Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results Amid Nuclear Market Momentum
Positive
May 1, 2025

Cameco reported strong financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025, driven by its long-term contracting strategy and robust performance across its uranium, fuel services, and Westinghouse segments. Despite challenges such as geopolitical shifts and economic instability, the company maintained its positive market momentum, benefiting from the growing support for nuclear energy due to its energy, national, and climate security attributes. Cameco’s strategic focus on long-term contracts has allowed it to capture market upside while mitigating risks, positioning the company well in the transitioning nuclear market.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CCO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CCO is a Neutral.

Cameco demonstrates strong financial stability and operational performance, with significant revenue and cash flow growth, and low leverage. However, the stock appears overvalued based on its high P/E ratio. Technical indicators show potential downward pressure, and challenges such as production issues and tariff risks present uncertainties. The company’s commitment to transparency and positive market outlook are supportive factors.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CCO stock, click here.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cameco Files Annual Report and Announces Upcoming Releases
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

Cameco has announced the filing of its annual report on Form 40-F with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, which includes audited financial statements for 2024, management’s discussion and analysis, and its Canadian annual information form. These documents have also been filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities. Additionally, Cameco plans to release its management proxy circular and Modern Slavery Report in compliance with Canadian legislation. This announcement reflects Cameco’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially reinforcing its market position and stakeholder trust.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cameco Reports Strong 2024 Results and Positive Outlook for Nuclear Energy
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Cameco has reported strong financial and operational results for 2024, despite a decrease in net earnings compared to 2023 due to the Westinghouse acquisition. The company expects continued strong performance in 2025, driven by supportive market conditions and strategic investments. Cameco’s strategic focus on long-term contracting and market-related pricing, along with a growing pipeline of uranium business, positions it well to meet future demand in the nuclear sector. The company’s strategy aims to capitalize on the favorable outlook for nuclear energy amidst global geopolitical uncertainties, ensuring long-term availability of nuclear fuel supplies.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.