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RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:REI.UN)
TSX:REI.UN
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RioCan Real Estate Investment (REI.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:REI.UN

RioCan Real Estate Investment

(TSX:REI.UN)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$19.50
▲(9.06% Upside)
RioCan's strong earnings call performance and attractive valuation are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's stable financial performance and neutral technical indicators also contribute positively, although challenges in profitability and liquidity need addressing.
Positive Factors
Asset Divestment
Divesting residential assets could provide additional capital for the unit buyback, particularly if the unit price remains at current levels.
Condo Sales
FFO per unit growth was driven by a $12.5 million increase in income from condo sales.
Earnings Growth
Solid leasing spreads and residential profits drive 9% growth in FFO per unit.
Negative Factors
Financial Outlook
Reflecting the more modest total return, the rating for RioCan REIT is now a HOLD, down from a previous Buy.
HBC Liquidation Impact
RioCan has significant exposure to Hudson's Bay Co., which is undergoing full liquidation, leading to a negative near-term impact on RioCan's portfolio and cash flow.
Re-tenanting Costs
Re-tenanting large spaces from the HBC sites can be both timely and expensive, leading to substantial costs for redevelopment.

RioCan Real Estate Investment (REI.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

RioCan Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRioCan Real Estate Investment Trust (REI.UN) is one of Canada's largest real estate investment trusts, focused primarily on the ownership, operation, and development of retail and mixed-use properties across major urban markets in Canada. The company invests in a diversified portfolio that includes shopping centers, retail plazas, and residential developments, aiming to create sustainable and vibrant communities. With a commitment to responsible management and growth, RioCan also emphasizes the integration of innovative solutions in its property management and development practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyRioCan generates revenue primarily through rental income from its diverse portfolio of retail and mixed-use properties. The company leases spaces to a variety of tenants, including national and local retailers, service providers, and residential units, which contribute to stable and recurring cash flow. Additionally, RioCan pursues development projects that add value to its existing properties, increasing overall income potential. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various stakeholders in the real estate sector, enhancing its ability to acquire, develop, and manage properties efficiently. Factors such as market demand, property location, and the overall economic environment significantly influence its earnings.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted RioCan's strong leasing performance, operational and financial growth, and effective capital management. However, there were some concerns related to a slight decrease in occupancy, challenges in the HBC joint venture, and uncertainties in the retail environment. Overall, despite some challenges, the company's strong performance and strategic management indicate a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Performance
New leasing spreads reached 51.5%, and blended leasing spreads were 20.6% this quarter, supporting same-property NOI growth of 4%. Approximately 1.3 million square feet of leases were executed, including 1.2 million square feet of renewals.
Operational and Financial Growth
Funds from operation per unit increased to $0.47, up 9.3% year-over-year. The adjusted debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 8.88x, and liquidity position remains strong at $1.3 billion.
Effective Capital Management
Year-to-date closed dispositions totaled $230.4 million, consistent with IFRS values and at a weighted average cap rate of 4.3%. Capital recycling strategy and NCIB program execution led to an acquisition and cancellation of 2.3 million units at a weighted average price of $17.25 per unit.
Tenant and Asset Quality
Committed retail occupancy remained high at 98.2%, and RioCan is the landlord of choice for Canada's leading retailers. Strong tenant relationships and asset quality are emphasized as drivers of growth.
Negative Updates
Slight Decrease in Occupancy
Committed retail occupancy decreased slightly from 98.7% to 98.2% due to the closure of 3 HBC locations.
Challenges in HBC Joint Venture
RioCan has elected not to participate financially in 5 of the 12 HBC joint venture assets. There is a small expected write-down in value.
Uncertain Retail Environment
Concerns over macroeconomic headwinds, such as weak unemployment figures, were noted. Specific tenants like Decathlon and Claire's are experiencing stress, indicating potential challenges in the retail sector.
Company Guidance
During the RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust's Second Quarter 2025 conference call, several key metrics highlighted the company's robust performance and strategic direction. New leasing spreads reached an impressive 51.5%, with blended leasing spreads at 20.6%, reflecting strong tenant relationships and asset quality. The team executed 1.3 million square feet of leases, including 1.2 million square feet of renewals, achieving a 23.5% blended spread on renewals. Same-property NOI growth was 4% after adjustments. The committed retail occupancy rate was high at 98.2%, despite a slight decrease from the previous quarter. Financially, funds from operations per unit increased by 9.3% year-over-year to $0.47. The adjusted debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 8.88x, with RioCan's liquidity standing at $1.3 billion. The call also noted $230.4 million in year-to-date closed dispositions at a weighted average cap rate of 4.3%, contributing to the Trust's capital recycling strategy.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RioCan demonstrates stable revenue growth and a strong operational cash flow. However, it faces challenges with declining net profitability and free cash flow. The balance sheet is solid with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, though high debt levels require careful management.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company demonstrates stable revenue growth, with a 4.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin for TTM is 59.7%, which is consistent with previous periods, reflecting stable cost management. However, the net profit margin for TTM has decreased significantly to 20.0% from 36.6% in 2024, indicating pressure on net profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively strong at 55.4% and 39.7% respectively, but the decline in EBITDA compared to 2024 suggests potential efficiency issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity for TTM is 3.6%, which is a decline from previous years, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio is 47.8%, suggesting a solid financial structure. However, high debt levels could pose a risk if not managed properly, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company shows a decrease in free cash flow for TTM. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, indicating that only a portion of net income is being converted into free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is higher at 1.40, reflecting strong operational cash generation. Nevertheless, the decline in free cash flow growth rate highlights potential challenges in maintaining liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.29B1.16B1.21B1.18B1.14B
Gross Profit794.30M714.41M700.49M689.86M670.09M
EBITDA731.66M237.02M674.08M675.34M652.50M
Net Income473.46M38.80M236.77M598.39M-64.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.47B14.84B15.10B15.18B15.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments190.24M128.44M86.23M77.76M238.46M
Total Debt7.35B6.90B6.78B6.71B6.97B
Total Liabilities7.91B7.40B7.37B7.27B7.53B
Stockholders Equity7.56B7.44B7.73B7.91B7.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.34M-5.48M113.15M26.52M35.95M
Operating Cash Flow378.28M385.52M506.12M490.40M552.58M
Investing Cash Flow-360.77M-200.15M-79.69M94.39M-469.34M
Financing Cash Flow48.49M-147.37M-417.97M-745.49M61.69M

RioCan Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.88
Price Trends
50DMA
17.57
Positive
100DMA
17.16
Positive
200DMA
17.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
57.12
Neutral
STOCH
46.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:REI.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.76, above the 50-day MA of 17.57, and above the 200-day MA of 17.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:REI.UN.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$3.77B8.5111.08%6.02%4.26%72.02%
78
Outperform
C$4.43B20.114.42%7.03%7.01%-15.80%
73
Outperform
C$4.00B15.326.58%4.76%2.53%
72
Outperform
C$460.50M13.236.45%6.67%5.14%209.83%
71
Outperform
$5.22B18.673.81%6.34%17.42%377.43%
69
Neutral
C$1.60B25.553.26%5.74%23.01%-50.29%
62
Neutral
AU$3.04B8.41-1.53%5.05%16.79%54.28%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
17.88
1.24
7.48%
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
19.04
3.37
21.51%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
26.32
3.91
17.45%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
4.20
0.82
24.26%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
15.92
2.18
15.87%
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
14.98
1.90
14.53%

RioCan Real Estate Investment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
RioCan Reports Robust Q2 2025 Results with Strong Leasing Performance
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a notable 9.3% increase in FFO per unit. The company achieved impressive leasing spreads and high tenant retention, underscoring its operational excellence and strategic focus on capital recycling. These results highlight RioCan’s robust portfolio and financial flexibility, reinforcing its market position and ability to drive sustained growth.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:REI.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$20.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RioCan Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:REI.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025