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First Capital Realty (TSE:FCR.UN)
TSX:FCR.UN

First Capital Realty (FCR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FCR.UN

First Capital Realty

(TSX:FCR.UN)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$20.50
▲(6.99% Upside)
First Capital Realty's overall score reflects strong financial performance and reasonable valuation, but is tempered by technical indicators suggesting limited momentum. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, though challenges in revenue growth and valuation losses were noted.
Positive Factors
High Occupancy Rate
Maintaining a high occupancy rate reflects strong demand for First Capital Realty's properties, ensuring steady rental income and supporting long-term financial stability.
Record In-Place Net Rental Rate
Achieving record rental rates indicates effective lease management and strong market positioning, contributing to increased revenue potential and profitability.
Positive Strategic Plan Progress
Progress on the strategic plan suggests effective management and operational efficiency, enhancing long-term growth prospects and financial health.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth indicates potential difficulties in expanding market share or increasing sales, which could impact future profitability and competitiveness.
Valuation Losses on Residential Development Properties
Valuation losses on development properties may affect asset values and financial results, posing risks to investment returns and balance sheet strength.
Moderate Leverage
Moderate leverage requires careful management to avoid financial strain, especially in volatile markets, impacting long-term financial flexibility.

First Capital Realty (FCR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

First Capital Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Capital is a leading developer, owner and manager of mixed-use real estate located in Canada's most densely populated cities. First Capital's focus is on creating thriving urban neighbourhoods to generate value for businesses, residents, communities and our investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Capital Realty generates revenue primarily through leasing its retail and mixed-use properties to tenants, which include a diverse mix of national and local retailers. The company earns rental income from long-term lease agreements, typically structured to provide a stable cash flow. Additionally, FCR.UN benefits from ancillary income sources such as parking fees, property management services, and leasing commissions. Significant partnerships with well-known retailers enhance tenant quality and occupancy rates, contributing positively to the company’s earnings. Moreover, the company’s strategic focus on urban centers with high population density and favorable demographics supports its revenue growth by attracting a steady stream of consumers to its properties.

First Capital Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance with robust same-property NOI growth and high occupancy levels. In-place net rental rates reached an all-time high, and successful lease renewals were achieved. Progress on the strategic plan is positive, with several notable property dispositions. However, there were declines in operating FFO and interest income, as well as valuation losses on residential development properties. Some restructuring costs were also noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same-Property NOI Growth
Same-property cash NOI grew by 6.4% in Q3, excluding lease termination fees and bad debt expense. Year-to-date growth is 6%, exceeding initial expectations.
High Occupancy Rate
Occupancy levels remained strong at 97.1%, slightly down from a record high of 97.2% in Q2.
Record In-Place Net Rental Rate
The average in-place net rental rate reached an all-time high of over $24.50 per square foot.
Successful Lease Renewals
Renewed approximately 550,000 square feet at an average year 1 renewal rent increase of over 13%. Overall, 75% of renewed leases included contractual rent escalations.
Positive Strategic Plan Progress
The 3-year strategic plan is on track, with operating FFO per unit CAGR at approximately 5%, and debt-to-EBITDA improved to the low 9s.
Notable Dispositions
Sold several properties, including Place Anjou in Montreal at a 30% premium over IFRS value.
Negative Updates
Decline in Operating FFO
Operating FFO for Q3 was $72 million, down from $73 million in Q2 2025 and $77 million in Q3 2024.
Interest and Other Income Decrease
Interest and other income decreased by $2.5 million year-over-year due to lower interest income on cash balances.
Valuation Losses on Residential Development Properties
There were $75 million in fair value losses, mainly due to lower valuations for residential development properties in the Greater Toronto Area.
Some Restructuring Costs
During the quarter, approximately $2 million of restructuring and advisory costs were recorded, with an expected additional $3 million in Q4 related to internal reorganization.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 conference call for First Capital REIT, the company reported strong financial and operational performance metrics. Same-property cash NOI increased by 6.4% in the third quarter, excluding lease termination fees and bad debt expenses. Occupancy was stable at 97.1%, while average in-place net rental rates reached an all-time high of over $24.50 per square foot. The renewal of approximately 550,000 square feet at a 13% rent increase and new leasing of 150,000 square feet further contributed to growth. The REIT's operating FFO per unit had a CAGR of approximately 5% over the first 21 months of their 3-year strategic plan. Debt to EBITDA improved to the low 9s, with expectations for further improvement. Despite a slight decrease from the previous quarter, Q3 operating FFO was $72 million. The REIT's NAV per unit increased to $22.29, with capital investments totaling $160 million year-to-date. The company expects same-property NOI growth of at least 5% for 2025, indicating robust ongoing performance.

First Capital Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Capital Realty demonstrates a solid financial foundation with strong profit margins and balanced leverage. However, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow stability. While profitability has improved, historical volatility in net income and cash flow metrics suggests the need for strategic improvements to ensure sustainable growth and financial resilience.
Income Statement
72
Positive
First Capital Realty's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a strong gross profit margin consistently above 60%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth rate has been negative in recent periods, with a notable decline in the TTM period. The net profit margin has improved significantly in the TTM period, reflecting better profitability, but the historical volatility in net income, including periods of losses, suggests potential risks.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio around 1, indicating balanced leverage. The return on equity has improved in the TTM period, suggesting better utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio has slightly decreased, which could indicate increased reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with a need for cautious leverage management.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in free cash flow growth, with a significant decline in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, indicating potential issues in converting income to cash. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains reasonable, suggesting some level of cash generation efficiency. The company needs to focus on improving cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue736.91M712.59M752.07M712.20M683.81M676.22M
Gross Profit466.12M446.35M489.34M444.61M420.86M402.36M
EBITDA414.80M389.88M441.68M404.62M373.37M380.58M
Net Income246.59M204.93M-134.06M-160.00M460.13M2.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.17B9.18B9.19B9.58B10.11B10.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.62M153.54M90.22M36.03M74.06M104.16M
Total Debt3.99B4.05B4.09B4.14B4.43B4.79B
Total Liabilities5.08B5.17B5.19B5.25B5.44B5.78B
Stockholders Equity4.02B3.95B3.93B4.28B4.62B4.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow114.32M110.02M84.71M126.21M96.09M14.47M
Operating Cash Flow219.41M233.79M227.73M251.22M249.61M219.50M
Investing Cash Flow-7.87M33.38M83.69M133.98M154.89M10.23M
Financing Cash Flow-249.20M-204.30M-256.70M-387.21M-470.25M-154.79M

First Capital Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.16
Price Trends
50DMA
19.07
Positive
100DMA
19.03
Positive
200DMA
17.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
54.12
Neutral
STOCH
78.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FCR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.04, above the 50-day MA of 19.07, and above the 200-day MA of 17.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FCR.UN.

First Capital Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$3.91B8.3911.49%5.73%4.11%35.99%
76
Outperform
C$1.85B13.086.52%5.49%26.88%77.26%
68
Neutral
C$4.37B17.475.03%7.22%0.48%96.32%
68
Neutral
C$4.07B16.506.18%4.63%-0.83%-28.93%
67
Neutral
C$2.90B1,035.330.14%5.75%6.32%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
C$5.47B84.760.92%6.19%22.22%-71.38%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
19.16
3.05
18.93%
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
18.58
1.45
8.48%
TSE:CRR.UN
Crombie Real Estate ate
15.53
2.90
22.96%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
16.34
2.74
20.15%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.61
2.64
11.49%
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
15.66
0.91
6.17%

First Capital Realty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Capital REIT Announces Debenture Offering and Redemption Plan
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

First Capital REIT has announced a C$250 million offering of Series G senior unsecured debentures, with the proceeds intended to partially fund the redemption of C$300 million in Series T senior unsecured debentures. This strategic financial move aims to optimize First Capital’s debt structure, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and market positioning within the Canadian real estate sector.

Business Operations and Strategy
First Capital REIT Completes Internal Reorganization
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

First Capital REIT has completed an internal reorganization by eliminating First Capital Realty Inc. as its wholly-owned subsidiary, simplifying its organizational structure. This reorganization does not alter the company’s strategy, portfolio, or operations, maintaining its focus on grocery-anchored shopping centers in Canada.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Capital REIT Secures Unitholder Approval for Reorganization
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

First Capital REIT has received overwhelming unitholder approval for its internal reorganization plan, with 99.58% of votes cast in favor during a special meeting. This reorganization, subject to court approval, is expected to be effective by the end of November 2025 and aims to streamline the company’s operations, potentially enhancing its market positioning and providing benefits to stakeholders.

Private Placements and Financing
First Capital REIT Completes C$250 Million Debenture Offering
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

First Capital REIT has successfully completed a C$250 million offering of Series F senior unsecured debentures, which were issued at a price of $99.982 per $100.00 principal amount and carry an interest rate of 4.461% per annum, maturing on February 15, 2034. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay existing debt and for general business purposes, potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and operational flexibility.

Private Placements and Financing
First Capital REIT Launches C$250 Million Debenture Offering
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

First Capital REIT announced a C$250 million offering of Series F senior unsecured debentures, set to mature in 2034 with an interest rate of 4.461% per annum. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and for general business purposes, potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and market presence.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Capital REIT Seeks Unitholder Approval for Structural Simplification
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

First Capital REIT is urging unitholders to vote in favor of a proposed arrangement to streamline its organizational structure by eliminating its subsidiary, First Capital Realty Inc., and holding its property portfolio through subsidiary partnerships and trusts. This move is expected to reduce the complexity and costs associated with accounting, legal reporting, and tax compliance without affecting the company’s business strategy. Additionally, the REIT has amended its Declaration of Trust to align with corporate governance best practices, allowing unitholders more flexibility in legal proceedings and ensuring that future unit changes require unitholder approval.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Capital REIT Proposes Structural Simplification and Governance Enhancements
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

First Capital REIT has announced a proposed plan of arrangement to simplify its organizational structure by eliminating its wholly-owned subsidiary, First Capital Realty Inc., which currently owns all of the REIT’s real property portfolio. This restructuring is expected to reduce the complexity and costs associated with accounting, legal reporting, and tax compliance, without affecting the company’s business strategy. The board has unanimously approved the arrangement and is urging unitholders to vote in favor at the upcoming meeting. Additionally, the board has amended the Declaration of Trust to align with corporate governance best practices, allowing unitholders more flexibility in legal matters and ensuring that any subdivisions or consolidations of units require unitholder approval.

Dividends
First Capital REIT Declares November 2025 Distribution
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

First Capital REIT announced a cash distribution of $0.074167 per REIT unit for November, equating to $0.89 annually. This distribution, payable on December 15, 2025, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its unitholders, reinforcing its position in the Canadian real estate market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Capital REIT Reports Robust Third Quarter 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

First Capital REIT reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighted by a 6.4% growth in same-property net operating income and a 13.5% lease renewal lift. The company achieved a total portfolio occupancy of 97.1%, reflecting successful execution of its strategy and solid market positioning, which is expected to support continued stability and growth.

Legal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
First Capital REIT Receives Court Approval for Reorganization Plan
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

First Capital REIT has received an interim court order for its internal reorganization plan, which will be implemented through a plan of arrangement. This reorganization will not alter the company’s strategy, portfolio, or operations, and unitholders will maintain their current holdings. The arrangement requires approval from unitholders and regulatory bodies, with a special meeting scheduled for November 24, 2025. If approved, the changes will take effect around November 30, 2025.

Dividends
First Capital REIT Declares October 2025 Cash Distribution
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

First Capital REIT announced a cash distribution of $0.074167 per REIT unit for October, equating to $0.89 annually. This distribution, payable on November 17, 2025, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its unitholders and reinforces its stable financial positioning in the retail real estate market.

Financial Disclosures
First Capital REIT Schedules Q3 2025 Financial Results Conference Call
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

First Capital REIT has announced a live conference call scheduled for November 5, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Capital REIT Plans Structural Reorganization for Simplification
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

First Capital REIT has announced a proposed internal reorganization to simplify its structure by eliminating its subsidiary, First Capital Realty Inc., and holding its real property portfolio through subsidiary partnerships and trusts. This reorganization aims to reduce the complexity of accounting, legal reporting, and tax compliance without altering the company’s overall strategy, portfolio, or operations. The plan requires approval from unitholders and various regulatory bodies, with the expectation of completion by the end of the year.

Dividends
First Capital REIT Declares September 2025 Distribution
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

First Capital REIT announced a cash distribution of $0.074167 per REIT unit for September, equating to $0.89 annually. This distribution, payable on October 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of September 30, 2025, underscores the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its stable position in the real estate market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025