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Dream Industrl REIT (TSE:DIR.UN)
TSX:DIR.UN
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Dream Industrl REIT (DIR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DIR.UN

Dream Industrl REIT

(TSX:DIR.UN)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$13.50
▲(11.29% Upside)
Dream Industrial REIT's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to the score. Technical analysis and valuation also support a favorable outlook, with stable momentum and an attractive dividend yield. The company's strategic acquisitions and robust balance sheet further enhance its growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Asset Acquisition
Dream Industrial acquired a property in Richmond Hill for $59.9 million, a region that is benefitting from strong industrial demand.
Earnings
Dream Industrial reported a solid quarter with same-property NOI up 5% and FFO per unit up 4%.
Negative Factors
Interest Expense
Greater interest expense from refinancing debt at market rates partially offset the solid operating performance.
Occupancy Levels
Softening fundamentals lead to a drop in occupancy, with occupancy dropping 80 bps quarter-over-quarter to 94.5%.

Dream Industrl REIT (DIR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Dream Industrl REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDream Industrial REIT is an unincorporated, open-ended real estate investment trust. As at September 30, 2020, Dream Industrial REIT owns and operates a portfolio of 266 industrial properties comprising approximately 26.6 million square feet of gross leasable area in key markets across North America and a growing presence in strong European industrial markets. Dream Industrial REIT's objective is to continue to grow and upgrade the quality of its portfolio and to provide attractive overall returns to its unitholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyDream Industrial REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to a diversified tenant base, which includes logistics companies, retailers, manufacturers, and other businesses requiring industrial space. The company's key revenue streams are rental income from long-term lease agreements, often with built-in rent escalations, and ancillary income from property-related services. Dream Industrial REIT also seeks to enhance returns through strategic acquisitions of properties with high growth potential and by optimizing its existing portfolio through redevelopment and repositioning of assets. Additionally, the REIT benefits from strategic partnerships with institutional investors to co-invest in large-scale industrial projects, further driving revenue growth and shareholder value.

Dream Industrl REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial and operational performance, with significant leasing activity, strategic acquisitions, and a robust balance sheet. Although there were some challenges with moderated leasing activity and occupancy pressure, the overall outlook remains positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Growth
Reported 4% year-over-year FFO per unit growth and 5% comparative properties NOI growth, driven by a 9.5% increase of in-place rents.
High Leasing Activity
Signed 3.3 million square feet of leases at an average spread of 20%, increasing occupancy to 96% and achieving approximately 70% tenant retention.
Successful Capital Recycling Strategy
Completed $80 million of acquisitions on the REIT's balance sheet and $59 million through the Dream Summit venture, along with a $90 million non-core asset disposition.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquired assets in the Netherlands and Richmond Hill, with the latter expected to deliver nearly 6% average annual NOI growth over the next 5 years.
Strong Balance Sheet
Maintained leverage in the targeted range with net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 8.2x and over $900 million in total available liquidity.
Positive Outlook
Expect strong pace of FFO per unit growth into 2026, supported by leasing commitments and market conditions.
Negative Updates
Moderated Leasing Activity
Leasing activity moderated between February and April amid trade disruption headwinds.
Occupancy Pressure
Reported lower weighted average occupancy over the past 9 quarters, offsetting some growth despite achieving healthy organic growth.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Dream Industrial REIT showcased robust operating and financial outcomes, highlighted by a 4% year-over-year growth in Funds From Operations (FFO) per unit and a 5% increase in Comparative Properties Net Operating Income (CP NOI), bolstered by a notable 9.5% rise in in-place rents. The REIT achieved an occupancy rate of 96%, a 60 basis point increase from the previous quarter, and retained approximately 70% of its tenants. Over 3.3 million square feet of leases were signed at an average spread of 20%. The REIT engaged in strategic capital recycling, with $80 million in acquisitions on its balance sheet and an additional $59 million through the Dream Summit venture, complemented by a $90 million non-core asset disposition. Looking forward, Dream Industrial anticipates continued FFO growth into 2026, driven by strong leasing momentum and a solid pipeline of development projects, while maintaining a conservative leverage profile with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 8.2x and over $900 million in total available liquidity.

Dream Industrl REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dream Industrial REIT demonstrates solid financial health characterized by strong revenue growth and efficient cost management. The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base and stable leverage, while cash flows indicate robust operational cash generation. Despite some fluctuations in net income affecting profitability metrics, the overall financial position remains strong, supporting future growth and stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Dream Industrial REIT has shown strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue from $235.9 million in 2020 to $475.6 million in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin consistently remains high, with the latest at 75.7% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations due to variations in net income, influenced by non-operational factors. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base, with stockholders' equity rising to $4.82 billion in TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively stable, reflecting prudent financial leverage management. Return on Equity (ROE) has been volatile due to fluctuating net income but remains decent given the industry standards. The equity ratio stands strong at 59.2% as of TTM, indicating a strong capitalization structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow generation remains strong, supporting the company's ability to fund operations and investments. Free cash flow has been positive, with a growth rate of 4.9% in the most recent period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has been impacted by varying net income levels.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue466.22M443.11M369.57M289.81M235.95M
Gross Profit355.43M339.69M281.59M217.90M168.88M
EBITDA348.53M169.78M290.26M234.02M148.48M
Net Income259.61M104.30M705.88M608.35M200.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.12B7.86B7.28B6.05B3.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.28M49.92M83.80M164.01M254.94M
Total Debt2.98B2.86B2.42B2.06B1.26B
Total Liabilities3.39B3.28B2.83B2.55B1.62B
Stockholders Equity4.73B4.57B4.45B3.50B1.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow151.31M115.84M70.78M128.14M127.95M
Operating Cash Flow295.73M302.39M218.39M174.10M135.08M
Investing Cash Flow-113.74M-689.44M-780.36M-1.76B-644.31M
Financing Cash Flow-151.96M356.52M487.95M1.50B317.16M

Dream Industrl REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.13
Price Trends
50DMA
11.74
Positive
100DMA
11.12
Positive
200DMA
11.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
57.15
Neutral
STOCH
73.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DIR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.91, above the 50-day MA of 11.74, and above the 200-day MA of 11.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DIR.UN.

Dream Industrl REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$3.86B8.7111.08%5.92%4.26%72.02%
78
Outperform
C$4.56B20.704.42%6.97%7.01%-15.80%
76
Outperform
C$4.80B14.746.18%4.28%9.87%48.25%
74
Outperform
C$3.48B16.354.60%5.77%7.23%20.37%
69
Neutral
C$2.80B-0.21%5.93%6.86%92.60%
60
Neutral
kr18.10B20.022.74%2.61%2.27%228.27%
56
Neutral
C$3.11B-1.99%6.28%-5.67%54.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DIR.UN
Dream Industrl REIT
12.13
-0.46
-3.65%
TSE:CRR.UN
Crombie Real Estate ate
15.01
1.86
14.14%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
16.18
2.64
19.50%
TSE:GRT.UN
Granite Real Estate
78.94
10.72
15.71%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
11.82
2.81
31.19%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
26.55
3.90
17.22%

Dream Industrl REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dream Industrial REIT Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with a 4% growth in FFO per unit and a 5% increase in CP NOI. The company achieved a 96% occupancy rate, reflecting a positive leasing momentum. Significant acquisitions totaling over $540 million have expanded their portfolio, while strategic capital allocation and debt management efforts continue to enhance their financial position. Despite a decrease in net income due to fair value losses, the REIT’s overall asset base grew to $8.3 billion, driven by investments in joint ventures and development projects.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Dream Industrial REIT Declares July 2025 Distribution
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced its July 2025 monthly distribution of 5.833 cents per unit, payable on August 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of July 31, 2025. This distribution reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing secure returns to its investors, supported by its high-quality portfolio and investment-grade balance sheet, reinforcing its position in the industrial real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Dream Industrial REIT to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced it will release its Q2 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025, with a conference call scheduled for August 6. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to keep stakeholders informed about its financial performance and strategic positioning in the industrial real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dream Industrial REIT Completes C$200 Million Debenture Offering
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT has successfully completed a private placement of C$200 million in senior unsecured debentures, Series G, with a 4.287% interest rate maturing in 2030. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and for general purposes, with a strategic swap to Euros reducing the effective interest rate to 3.726%. This move is expected to enhance the trust’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position, although the debentures will not be publicly traded.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Dream Industrial REIT Declares June 2025 Distribution
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced its June 2025 monthly distribution of 5.833 cents per unit, payable on July 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of June 30, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to providing secure distributions and enhancing value for its stakeholders, supported by its high-quality portfolio and investment-grade balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dream Industrial REIT Announces C$200 Million Debenture Offering
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced a private placement of C$200 million in senior unsecured debentures, Series G, maturing in 2030, with an interest rate of 4.287%. The proceeds will be swapped to Euros to lower the effective interest rate to 3.726%. The funds will be used to repay existing debt and for general purposes, addressing over 70% of 2025 debt maturities. The debentures are expected to be rated BBB with a Positive Trend by DBRS Limited, enhancing the company’s financial position and strategy to strengthen its balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dream Industrial REIT Confirms Trustee Elections and Auditor Appointment
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced the successful election of all nominees for trustees at its annual unitholders meeting. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was appointed as the auditor for the upcoming year, with trustees authorized to set the auditor’s remuneration. This decision reinforces the company’s commitment to maintaining a high-quality portfolio and investment-grade balance sheet, which supports its objective of delivering strong returns to unitholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dream Industrial REIT Declares May 2025 Distribution
Positive
May 21, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced its May 2025 monthly distribution of 5.833 cents per unit, payable on June 13, 2025, to unitholders of record as of May 30, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to providing secure distributions and highlights its stable financial strategy, which could positively impact stakeholders by ensuring consistent returns.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:DIR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dream Industrl REIT stock, see the TSE:DIR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025