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Granite Real Estate (TSE:GRT.UN)
TSX:GRT.UN
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Granite Real Estate (GRT.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRT.UN

Granite Real Estate

(TSX:GRT.UN)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$89.00
â–²(15.72% Upside)
Granite Real Estate's strong financial performance, combined with positive technical indicators and a reasonable valuation, contribute to a solid overall stock score. The company's consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins are significant strengths, while the stable market momentum and attractive dividend yield further enhance its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a stable upward trajectory, reflecting the company's ability to expand its market presence and leverage demand in the logistics sector.
Profitability Margins
High profitability margins demonstrate efficient cost management and strong pricing power, which are critical for sustaining long-term financial health and competitive advantage.
Cash Flow Efficiency
Efficient cash conversion indicates robust cash generation capabilities, providing the company with the flexibility to reinvest in growth opportunities and maintain stable distributions.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth may signal challenges in cash generation, potentially impacting the company's ability to fund new investments or increase distributions.
Low Return on Equity
Low ROE suggests limited efficiency in generating profits from equity, which could hinder the company's ability to deliver strong returns to shareholders over time.
Pressure on Net Profit Margin
A decrease in net profit margin indicates potential pressure on net income, which could affect the company's overall profitability and financial performance if not addressed.

Granite Real Estate (GRT.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Granite Real Estate Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGranite Real Estate Investment Trust (GRT.UN) is a Canadian-based real estate investment trust focused on owning, managing, and developing industrial properties primarily in North America and Europe. The company specializes in warehouse and distribution facilities, with a portfolio that includes both single-tenant and multi-tenant properties. Granite aims to provide stable cash distributions to its unitholders through strategic acquisitions and developments in the growing logistics sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyGranite Real Estate generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to tenants under long-term lease agreements. The company's revenue model is centered around rental income, which is derived from both fixed and variable lease components. Key revenue streams include base rent, as well as additional income from property management services and recoveries of property operating expenses. Granite benefits from strong demand in the logistics and e-commerce sectors, which drives occupancy rates and rental growth. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with logistics firms and developers to enhance its property portfolio and increase its market presence. Overall, Granite's earnings are bolstered by its diversified tenant base and long-term lease agreements, providing stability and predictability in cash flows.

Granite Real Estate Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive performance with strong NOI growth, increased FFO and AFFO, successful leasing and expansions, and significant ESG achievements. However, challenges such as increased G&A expenses, occupancy declines, tenant bankruptcy, and potential economic policy impacts were also highlighted.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong NOI Growth
Granite posted results ahead of Q2 and in line with annual forecast, largely driven by strong NOI growth. Same-property NOI increased 6.2% on a constant currency basis and 8% with foreign currency effects.
Increase in FFO and AFFO
FFO per unit in Q3 was $1.35, a 2.3% increase from Q2 and an 8.9% increase relative to the same quarter last year. AFFO per unit increased by $0.05 relative to Q2 and $0.13 relative to the same quarter last year.
Successful Leasing and Developments
Achieved an average rental rate increase of 55% over expiring rents. Completed expansions in Ajax, Ontario, and the Netherlands with strong leasing spreads.
ESG Achievements
Ranked #1 by GRESB among North American industrial REITs. Solar PV systems capacity reached over 45 megawatts, with 44% of properties achieving green building certification.
Refinancing Success
Completed $800 million of bond offerings, extending the weighted average debt term to maturity to 4.6 years and maintaining a stable interest expense outlook.
Negative Updates
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A for the quarter was $13.2 million, $5.5 million higher than Q2, mainly due to $5.6 million of unfavorable fair value variance in non-cash compensation liabilities.
Occupancy Challenges
Occupancy slightly declined by 20 bps to 94.5% in Q3. Expected year-end occupancy revised to closer to 95%, down from an earlier forecast of 96% to 97%.
Chapter 11 Filing by Tenant
True Value Company, a tenant, filed for Chapter 11 proceedings. Although they remain current on rent, the outcome is uncertain.
Potential Impact from U.S. Economic Policies
Uncertainty surrounding U.S. economic policies, particularly related to tariffs, may affect future demand and tenant decisions.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2024 earnings call for Granite REIT, the company provided guidance indicating a promising financial trajectory with several key metrics highlighted. The Funds from Operations (FFO) per unit for the quarter was reported at $1.35, a 2.3% increase from Q2, and an 8.9% increase from the previous year, aligning with the annual guidance. The Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) per unit increased to $1.22, up $0.05 from Q2 and $0.13 from the same quarter last year. The Net Operating Income (NOI) showed robust growth due to favorable leasing spreads and expansion projects, although slightly offset by new vacancies. Same-property NOI grew by 6.2% on a constant currency basis, with an 8% increase when foreign currency effects were considered. The guidance for 2024 was updated, maintaining the FFO per unit range between $5.30 to $5.40, while the AFFO per unit forecast was revised to $4.65 to $4.75 due to reduced capital expenditure estimates. The company's balance sheet remained strong with total assets of $9.3 million and a weighted average cap rate of 5.3% on in-place NOI. Granite's liquidity was bolstered to approximately $1.4 billion, with no borrowings under its credit facility. Overall, Granite REIT's strategic refinancing and leasing activities underscore a stable outlook with anticipated continued growth in NOI and cash flow for 2024.

Granite Real Estate Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Granite Real Estate exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects a stable leverage position, though there is room for improvement in return metrics. Cash flow generation remains efficient, despite a recent decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Granite Real Estate has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 1.54%, indicating a stable upward trajectory. The company maintains strong profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 82.47% and a net profit margin of 56.27% in the TTM period. However, the net profit margin has decreased from the previous year, suggesting some pressure on net income. Overall, the income statement reflects a robust financial performance with room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, indicating a balanced leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) is relatively low at 6.01% in the TTM period, suggesting limited efficiency in generating profits from equity. The equity ratio stands at 56.95%, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the company maintains a stable financial structure, there is potential to enhance profitability and return metrics.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Granite Real Estate's cash flow statement reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth by -1.09% in the TTM period, indicating some challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.41, suggesting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, reflecting effective cash management. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains solid cash flow metrics overall.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue593.87M569.14M521.25M455.58M393.49M340.20M
Gross Profit489.75M471.99M435.24M380.36M332.68M293.04M
EBITDA456.33M480.48M203.14M346.73M293.51M260.98M
Net Income334.19M360.61M136.66M155.77M1.31B429.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.47B9.62B9.07B9.28B8.57B6.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.42M126.17M116.13M135.08M402.51M831.28M
Total Debt3.21B3.11B3.10B3.07B2.46B2.21B
Total Liabilities4.07B3.88B3.78B3.80B3.25B2.83B
Stockholders Equity5.39B5.73B5.28B5.48B5.32B3.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow359.52M338.48M312.90M276.69M261.68M179.03M
Operating Cash Flow359.64M338.61M313.18M277.50M262.26M244.32M
Investing Cash Flow-97.25M-65.46M-128.13M-766.56M-1.03B-1.07B
Financing Cash Flow-278.45M-267.50M-203.11M214.56M333.48M1.36B

Granite Real Estate Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.91
Price Trends
50DMA
77.59
Positive
100DMA
74.88
Positive
200DMA
69.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
51.84
Neutral
STOCH
35.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRT.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.15, below the 50-day MA of 77.59, and above the 200-day MA of 69.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GRT.UN.

Granite Real Estate Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$4.66B14.306.18%4.41%9.87%48.25%
75
Outperform
C$3.78B8.1211.49%6.08%4.11%35.99%
72
Outperform
C$4.46B20.284.42%6.98%7.01%-15.80%
71
Outperform
C$3.42B16.005.27%5.61%7.31%74.70%
66
Neutral
C$2.75B-714.49-0.21%6.01%6.86%92.60%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
C$3.93B15.076.18%4.93%-0.83%-28.93%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRT.UN
Granite Real Estate
78.45
8.09
11.50%
TSE:CRR.UN
Crombie Real Estate ate
14.84
0.71
5.02%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
15.85
1.63
11.46%
TSE:DIR.UN
Dream Industrl REIT
12.48
0.27
2.21%
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
19.01
1.87
10.91%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
26.50
3.30
14.22%

Granite Real Estate Corporate Events

Granite REIT Declares October 2025 Distribution
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Granite Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of CDN $0.2833 per unit for October 2025, to be paid on November 14, 2025, to unitholders of record as of October 31, 2025. This announcement reflects Granite’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and indicates stable financial operations, with no portion of the distribution being subject to U.S. federal tax as effectively connected income.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:GRT.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Real Estate stock, see the TSE:GRT.UN Stock Forecast page.

Granite REIT Declares September 2025 Distribution
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Granite Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of CDN $0.2833 per unit for September 2025, to be paid on October 15, 2025, to unitholders recorded by September 29, 2025. The distribution is confirmed to have no portion constituting effectively connected income for U.S. federal tax purposes, and a qualified notice detailing the distribution’s sources will be issued following the record date. This announcement reflects Granite’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and maintaining transparency in its financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:GRT.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Real Estate stock, see the TSE:GRT.UN Stock Forecast page.

Granite REIT Announces August 2025 Distribution
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Granite Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of CDN $0.2833 per unit for August 2025, to be paid on September 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This declaration reflects Granite’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and reinforces its stable financial position within the real estate investment sector.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:GRT.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Real Estate stock, see the TSE:GRT.UN Stock Forecast page.

Granite Real Estate Reports Q2 2025 Results and New Acquisitions
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Granite Real Estate Investment Trust announced its second-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a significant achievement with the closing of $49.5 million in new acquisitions. The company also released its 2024 Global ESG+R Report, emphasizing its commitment to environmental, social, governance, and resilience initiatives. These developments are expected to strengthen Granite’s market position and demonstrate its ongoing dedication to sustainable growth, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by enhancing the company’s portfolio and ESG credentials.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:GRT.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Real Estate stock, see the TSE:GRT.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025