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H&R Real Estate ate Staple (TSE:HR.UN)
TSX:HR.UN

H&R Real Estate ate Staple (HR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HR.UN

H&R Real Estate ate Staple

(TSX:HR.UN)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$11.00
▲(0.64% Upside)
H&R Real Estate Staple's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with profitability challenges, bearish technical indicators, and a high dividend yield. The earnings call highlighted both strengths in certain segments and significant challenges, particularly in asset sales and fair value adjustments. The stock's valuation is attractive for income-focused investors but is tempered by ongoing profitability concerns.
Positive Factors
Distribution Sustainability (FFO/AFFO)
A 50% FFO payout and 61.3% AFFO payout indicate distributions are covered by cash flow, supporting durable income for unitholders. This conservative payout provides room to absorb cyclical property cash flow swings while funding maintenance and selective growth over months ahead.
Improving Cash Generation
Very strong free cash flow growth signals improving cash conversion and internal funding capacity. Over the next several months this enhances ability to service debt, fund capex, and execute strategic dispositions without relying solely on external capital markets.
Portfolio Mix and U.S. Focus
A diversified mix (residential 50%, industrial/office/retail balance) and a 71% U.S. footprint align the REIT with stronger U.S. rent and occupancy dynamics. This structural geographic tilt improves growth optionality and reduces single-market concentration risk over months ahead.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability Metrics
A persistent negative net margin and weak EBIT margin point to sustained profitability issues and operational inefficiencies. Over the coming months these deficits can erode retained earnings, limit reinvestment, and constrain recovery unless margins structurally improve.
Large Fair Value Write-downs
Material fair value impairments indicate significant mark-to-market pressure on assets, reducing NAV and potentially limiting borrowing capacity. Such large adjustments reflect structural valuation risk in property types and can persistently weigh on balance sheet strength and investor confidence.
Reliance on Asset Sales to Delever
A heavy dependence on $2.6B of asset dispositions to meet deleveraging targets creates execution and timing risk. If sales are delayed or realizations are lower, leverage and liquidity metrics could deteriorate, pressuring credit metrics and strategic flexibility over the next several months.

H&R Real Estate ate Staple (HR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

H&R Real Estate ate Staple Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionH&R REIT is one of Canada's largest real estate investment trusts with total assets of approximately $13.3 billion at September 30, 2020. H&R REIT has ownership interests in a North American portfolio of high quality office, retail, industrial and residential properties comprising over 40 million square feet.
How the Company Makes MoneyH&R Real Estate generates revenue primarily through rental income from its diverse portfolio of properties, including retail, office, industrial, and residential assets. The company leases space to various tenants, receiving consistent rental payments that contribute to its cash flow. Additionally, H&R may engage in property development, which can create further income through leasing newly developed spaces or selling properties at a profit. The trust also benefits from long-term leases with tenants, providing stability in its revenue streams. Partnerships with property management firms and real estate brokers enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, contributing to its overall earnings.

H&R Real Estate ate Staple Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with significant challenges in the residential and industrial segments, along with large fair value write-downs and uncertainty in asset sales. However, strong performance in the office and retail segments, healthy financial ratios, and technological innovation in the residential segment were positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Office and Retail Segment Performance
Office segment same-property net operating income on a cash basis increased 0.5% for Q3 versus Q3 last year and was up 1.5% for the 9 months 2025 versus the same period last year. Retail segment same-property net operating income cash basis increased 5.3% for Q3 2025 versus Q3 last year and was up 7.3% for the 9 months 2025 versus the same period last year.
Healthy Financial Ratios
FFO payout ratio was a healthy 50% for the 9 months ended September 30, 2025, and the AFFO payout ratio was also healthy at 61.3%. Debt to total assets at the REIT's proportionate share at September 30, 2025, was 47.3%.
Technological Innovation in Residential Segment
AI-driven leasing platform ensures 100% coverage of calls, e-mails, and texts, reducing days between application and lease signing and reducing bad debt by half post-centralization.
Negative Updates
Residential Segment Challenges
Residential same-property net operating income on a cash basis decreased 4.6% for the 3 months ending September 30, 2025, due to reduced rental income in sunbelt properties, higher concessions, and increased operating expenses.
Industrial Segment Decline
Industrial segment same-property net operating income decreased 7.5% for Q3 2025 versus Q3 last year and was down 1.9% for the 9 months 2025 versus the same period last year. Industrial occupancy decreased from 98.9% at December 31, 2024, to 89.9% at September 30, 2025.
Significant Fair Value Adjustments
Fair value adjustments of $830 million in the first 9 months of 2025, with $482 million in Q3 alone, primarily affecting office properties.
Asset Sales Uncertainty
Ongoing negotiations for $2.6 billion in asset sales, with no confirmed timeline or detailed strategy provided, creating uncertainty about future portfolio composition.
Company Guidance
During the H&R Real Estate Investment Trust's 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call, the management provided extensive guidance on the company's performance and strategic direction. As of September 30, 2025, H&R's real estate assets were valued with a distribution of 50% in residential, 19% in industrial, 16% in office, and 15% in retail, with 71% of the assets located in the United States. The company reported a 2.1% increase in same-property net operating income (NOI) on a cash basis for the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, even as they faced challenges such as multifamily supply concerns and a weak office market. Funds from operations (FFO) remained steady at $0.90 per unit for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025, and the payout ratios were described as healthy, with FFO at 50% and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) at 61.3%. Debt to total assets was 47.3%, and debt-to-EBITDA was 9.3x. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on U.S. residential and industrial properties, with plans for $2.6 billion in asset sales to deleverage and optimize its portfolio. The management conveyed confidence in the sustainability of the current distribution, assured by a robust balance sheet and strategic asset dispositions.

H&R Real Estate ate Staple Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as reflected in negative net income and revenue growth. While the balance sheet shows manageable leverage, the negative return on equity indicates profitability issues. Cash flow generation is a concern, with declining free cash flow growth, but cash conversion remains efficient. The company needs to address revenue growth and profitability to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -9.4% TTM. The company has a negative net profit margin of -11.97% TTM, indicating losses. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively healthy at 60.02% TTM, suggesting efficient cost management. The EBIT margin is positive at 10.80% TTM, but the EBITDA margin is low at 4.33% TTM, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -1.93% TTM, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure, but the negative ROE highlights the need for improved earnings.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth at -9.48% TTM, indicating potential liquidity concerns. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12 TTM, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 82.16% TTM, indicating efficient cash conversion despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue813.73M816.99M903.63M834.64M1.07B1.10B
Gross Profit489.71M499.34M603.09M534.95M661.58M663.67M
EBITDA-334.55M-35.07M627.04M506.68M820.29M651.82M
Net Income-410.37M-119.71M61.69M844.82M597.91M-624.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.61B10.62B10.78B11.41B10.50B13.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.12M100.35M64.11M76.89M124.14M62.86M
Total Debt3.49B3.54B3.72B3.95B3.92B6.40B
Total Liabilities5.15B5.34B5.59B5.93B5.73B7.28B
Stockholders Equity4.46B5.28B5.19B5.49B4.77B6.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow198.82M234.48M253.46M219.47M405.02M373.95M
Operating Cash Flow244.12M274.07M294.63M255.05M452.11M426.93M
Investing Cash Flow-6.83M173.15M112.86M225.95M1.50B-183.24M
Financing Cash Flow-248.60M-410.98M-420.26M-528.26M-1.89B-229.47M

H&R Real Estate ate Staple Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.93
Price Trends
50DMA
10.44
Positive
100DMA
11.02
Negative
200DMA
10.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
64.30
Neutral
STOCH
70.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.59, above the 50-day MA of 10.44, and above the 200-day MA of 10.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:HR.UN.

H&R Real Estate ate Staple Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$372.49M8.898.60%7.37%0.92%92.93%
73
Outperform
C$950.93M15.846.49%7.95%1.80%46.83%
72
Outperform
C$3.83B15.615.27%5.56%7.31%74.70%
71
Outperform
C$2.14B3.9418.10%4.42%6.19%79.98%
70
Outperform
C$2.96B1,058.000.14%5.82%6.32%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
52
Neutral
C$2.86B-7.00-8.74%7.05%-0.83%-56.21%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
10.93
2.13
24.20%
TSE:BTB.UN
BTB REIT
4.24
1.14
36.77%
TSE:CRR.UN
Crombie Real Estate ate
16.07
3.43
27.14%
TSE:DIR.UN
Dream Industrl REIT
13.52
2.34
20.93%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
17.75
1.48
9.10%
TSE:SGR.UN
Slate Grocery REIT
15.95
3.71
30.31%

H&R Real Estate ate Staple Corporate Events

Dividends
H&R REIT Announces January 2026 Monthly Distribution
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

H&R Real Estate Investment Trust has declared a monthly cash distribution of $0.05 per unit for January 2026, equivalent to an annualized rate of $0.60 per unit, with a record date of January 30, 2026 and a distribution date of February 17, 2026. The announcement underscores the REIT’s continued commitment to regular unitholder payouts, signaling income stability for investors supported by its large, diversified portfolio of income-producing properties across Canada and the United States.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H&R Real Estate ate Staple stock, see the TSE:HR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
H&R REIT Sells $1.5 Billion in Retail and Office Properties to Focus on Residential and Industrial Assets
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

H&R REIT announced the sale of $1.5 billion worth of retail and office properties in Canada and the U.S., aligning with its strategy to simplify its portfolio and focus on residential and industrial assets. The proceeds will be used to strengthen the balance sheet and reduce leverage, with net proceeds of approximately $1.1 billion earmarked for debt repayment. This move will increase the proportion of residential and industrial assets in H&R’s portfolio from 69% to 83%, enhancing long-term value for unitholders. The sales are expected to close by early 2026, subject to customary conditions, and will result in a more streamlined and focused asset base for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H&R Real Estate ate Staple stock, see the TSE:HR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
H&R REIT Updates Strategic Review and Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 14, 2025

H&R REIT announced an update on its strategic review process and third-quarter 2025 financial results. The strategic review, initiated in response to acquisition interest, led to negotiations for asset sales worth approximately $2.6 billion, although no en bloc offers were received. The Special Committee overseeing the review has been dissolved, with the Board now managing potential transactions. Financially, the REIT reported a net loss for the quarter, with decreased net operating income and fair value adjustments on real estate assets impacting results.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H&R Real Estate ate Staple stock, see the TSE:HR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
H&R Real Estate Investment Trust Sets Date for Q3 2025 Earnings Release and Declares October Distribution
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

H&R Real Estate Investment Trust announced the release date for its third-quarter 2025 financial results, scheduled for November 13, 2025, with a subsequent conference call on November 14, 2025. The company also declared a monthly distribution for October 2025, reflecting its ongoing commitment to delivering value to its stakeholders. This announcement underscores H&R’s strategic focus on residential and industrial properties, aligning with its broader goal of simplifying its business model to enhance long-term growth and sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H&R Real Estate ate Staple stock, see the TSE:HR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025