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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:PMZ.UN)
TSX:PMZ.UN
Canadian Market
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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PMZ.UN

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:PMZ.UN)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$16.50
â–²(8.34% Upside)
Primaris REIT's overall score reflects a stable financial performance with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. The positive sentiment from the earnings call, driven by strategic acquisitions and leasing progress, boosts the score. However, the relatively high P/E ratio and increased leverage are areas of concern. The technical indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment, contributing to a balanced overall score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
These acquisitions enhance portfolio quality and are expected to drive above-sector average NOI growth, strengthening market position.
Distribution Increase
Consistent distribution increases reflect strong cash flow management and financial health, potentially attracting income-focused investors.
Leasing Progress
This progress indicates effective asset management and tenant relationship strategies, supporting stable long-term revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to finance future growth.
Occupancy Challenges
Decreased occupancy can pressure revenue and profitability, highlighting challenges in maintaining tenant retention and space utilization.
Potential Tenant Bankruptcy
Potential tenant bankruptcies could lead to revenue loss and increased vacancy, necessitating strategic tenant replacement efforts.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimaris properties including all of H&R REIT's enclosed malls comprises real estate properties. The assets are located in Canada. Primaris properties including all of H&R REIT's enclosed malls(TSX:PMZ.UN) operates independently of H&R Real Estate Investment Trust as of December 31, 2021.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimaris Real Estate Investment Trust generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its commercial properties to a variety of tenants, including retail chains and service providers. The company's revenue model is anchored in long-term lease agreements, which provide predictable cash flows. Additionally, PMZ.UN earns income from property management services and ancillary revenues associated with its real estate operations. Key revenue streams include rental income from leased spaces and potential profit-sharing agreements with tenants. The Trust's financial performance is also bolstered by its strategic partnerships with local and national retailers, as well as its focus on optimizing property occupancy rates and enhancing tenant relationships to drive overall profitability.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance by Primaris, highlighted by significant FFO growth, strategic acquisitions, and increased tenant sales. However, challenges such as the impact of disclaimed HBC leases and potential tenant bankruptcies were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strategic leasing progress and financial stability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong FFO Growth
Primaris reported almost 6% growth in FFO per unit, indicating robust financial performance driven by the recovery in the Canadian mall sector.
Significant Leasing Progress
Substantial leasing progress was made with the signing of leases for almost 0.5 million square feet of space, including the entire former Sears premises at Lime Ridge Mall.
Strategic Acquisitions
Primaris acquired four top-tier malls in 2025, totaling $1.6 billion, aimed at increasing portfolio quality and achieving above-sector average NOI growth.
Distribution Increase
The company announced a 2.3% increase in distributions, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase, with expectations of being added to the Dividend Aristocrats Index.
Positive Sales Growth
Tenant sales within properties showed positive growth, with total sales productivity growing to $800 per square foot from $715 per square foot a year earlier.
Negative Updates
Impact of HBC Leases
Five disclaimed HBC leases posed a headwind for occupancy and NOI, but Primaris has made significant progress in leasing these spaces.
Occupancy Challenges
Portfolio in-place occupancy was down 1.6% from last year, although it improved from the previous quarter.
Potential Toys "R" Us Bankruptcy
Primaris anticipates a potential failure of Toys "R" Us in the new year, impacting approximately 104,000 square feet of space with average rent well below the portfolio average.
Company Guidance
During the Primaris REIT Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided a robust set of metrics and guidance reflecting strong growth and strategic acquisitions. Primaris reported same-property NOI growth and an almost 6% FFO per unit increase, with acquisitions totaling $1.6 billion, including major malls like Oshawa Center and Lime Ridge Mall. The company achieved a 2.3% distribution increase, marking their fifth consecutive annual raise, and anticipates being added to the Dividend Aristocrats Index. Despite headwinds from disclaimed HBC leases, Primaris demonstrated substantial leasing progress, securing almost 0.5 million square feet of space. The guidance for 2025 remains robust, with expected cash NOI between $352 million and $357 million, and FFO per unit ranging from $1.78 to $1.82. For 2026, Primaris projects cash NOI of $385 million to $395 million, same-property cash NOI growth of 1% to 3%, and FFO per unit of $1.83 to $1.88. The company also highlighted a low leverage position, with an average net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.9x, supporting its strong financial model and strategic ambitions.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primaris REIT shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with solid gross and EBIT margins. However, increased leverage and a slight decline in profitability metrics highlight areas for improvement. The company maintains good cash flow management, but the decrease in operating cash flow conversion warrants attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust shows strong revenue growth with a 5.6% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin is healthy at 58.2%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 12.9% from 15.7% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.89, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity has slightly decreased to 3.3%, showing a modest return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 10.1%, showing improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating a potential concern in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue566.52M504.62M410.97M380.06M253.98M270.23M
Gross Profit329.81M292.04M233.63M211.79M141.59M128.47M
EBITDA169.14M164.61M206.87M187.81M130.92M124.02M
Net Income72.87M79.47M102.27M-12.08M354.57M-574.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.95B4.27B3.90B3.20B3.25B2.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.55M114.77M44.32M10.95M5.64M15.01M
Total Debt2.07B1.71B1.48B1.01B558.42M301.40M
Total Liabilities2.62B2.11B1.80B1.11B1.06B1.13B
Stockholders Equity2.33B2.16B2.10B2.09B2.19B1.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow178.94M151.57M163.35M163.39M-101.04M213.63M
Operating Cash Flow191.76M168.32M166.37M164.31M-76.17M278.85M
Investing Cash Flow-700.12M-369.25M-467.52M-112.61M-46.09M-79.90M
Financing Cash Flow433.14M171.38M334.52M-46.38M112.89M-191.95M

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.23
Price Trends
50DMA
15.13
Positive
100DMA
14.89
Positive
200DMA
14.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
49.71
Neutral
STOCH
21.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PMZ.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.19, above the 50-day MA of 15.13, and above the 200-day MA of 14.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PMZ.UN.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$4.00B9.0111.08%5.96%4.26%72.02%
74
Outperform
$5.49B19.633.81%6.15%17.42%377.43%
72
Outperform
C$453.89M12.986.45%6.80%5.14%209.83%
72
Outperform
C$4.52B20.534.42%7.01%7.01%-15.80%
69
Neutral
C$1.77B26.006.52%5.64%26.88%77.26%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
52
Neutral
C$3.08B-31.73-1.99%6.63%-5.67%54.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
15.23
0.23
1.53%
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
18.64
0.97
5.51%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
15.80
1.58
11.11%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
11.09
1.26
12.82%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
4.05
0.54
15.38%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
26.40
3.20
13.79%

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Reports Strong Q3 Results and Announces 2026 Guidance
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Primaris REIT reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with a notable increase in rental revenue and leasing progress, particularly with HBC locations. The company announced a distribution increase and introduced its 2026 guidance, reflecting anticipated growth in cash net operating income and occupancy rates. Recent acquisitions, including Promenades St-Bruno, and strategic leasing agreements are expected to drive future growth and enhance portfolio quality. The company’s focus on sustainability and disciplined capital allocation supports its robust financial performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Primaris REIT Completes Over-Allotment Option, Strengthens Financial Position
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced the closing of an over-allotment option, resulting in the issuance of an additional 1,448,599 trust units and gross proceeds of approximately $21.4 million. This increases the total gross proceeds from their recent public offering to approximately $168.9 million. The net proceeds are intended to pay down debt from the acquisition of Promenades St-Bruno, enhancing Primaris’ financial position and operational capacity in the Canadian retail property market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Primaris REIT Completes $565 Million Acquisition of Promenades St-Bruno
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has completed the acquisition of Promenades St-Bruno in Montreal, Quebec, for $565 million. This acquisition aligns with Primaris’ growth strategy, focusing on market-leading shopping centres in expanding Canadian markets, and enhances its position in the retail property sector.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Primaris REIT Completes $147.5 Million Equity Offering for Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has successfully closed a $147.5 million equity offering, issuing 10 million trust units at $14.75 each. The proceeds will be used to fund the acquisition of Promenades St-Bruno in Montreal, Quebec, enhancing Primaris’ portfolio and market positioning in the Canadian retail property sector.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Reschedules Financial Results Announcement
Neutral
Oct 8, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has rescheduled its financial results webcast and conference call for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The results will be released on October 29, 2025, with a conference call and webcast presentation to follow on October 30, 2025. This announcement is part of Primaris’ ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders and leverage its strong market position in the Canadian retail property sector.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Primaris REIT Secures $250 Million in Green Debenture Offering
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has announced a successful $250 million unsecured green debenture offering, maturing in 2030, with a fixed annual interest rate of 3.845%. The proceeds will be used to finance eligible green projects as part of the Trust’s Green Finance Framework, with the potential to initially repay short-term debt or be held in cash. This move highlights Primaris’ commitment to sustainable investments and strengthens its financial positioning, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results Release and October Distribution
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced the release of its financial results for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, scheduled for October 29, 2025, with a conference call and webcast to follow on October 30, 2025. Additionally, the Board of Trustees declared a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for October 2025, payable on November 17, 2025, reflecting an annualized distribution of $0.86 per unit.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Primaris REIT Acquires Promenades St-Bruno for $565 Million
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

Primaris REIT has announced the acquisition of Promenades St-Bruno in Montreal for $565 million, funded through a mix of cash and equity. This acquisition is expected to enhance Primaris’ financial performance by increasing its annualized fully diluted FFO per unit and improving sales productivity. The acquisition aligns with Primaris’ strategy of expanding its portfolio with high-quality assets, and it is expected to increase the company’s public float and trading liquidity, benefiting all unitholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Primaris REIT Declares August 2025 Distribution
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has declared a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for August 2025, translating to $0.86 annually, payable on September 15, 2025. This announcement reflects Primaris’s strategic positioning and financial stability, reinforcing its commitment to delivering value to unitholders amid the dynamic retail property market in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Primaris REIT Earnings Call: Record Sales and Strategic Growth
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call of Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) painted a largely positive picture, underscored by robust tenant sales, strategic acquisitions, and improved financial metrics. Despite these strengths, the company faces challenges such as declining occupancy rates due to HBC lease disclaimers and rising interest costs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025