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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:PMZ.UN)
TSX:PMZ.UN

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PMZ.UN

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:PMZ.UN)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$17.50
â–²(4.73% Upside)
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust is performing well with strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, and the valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The company should monitor leverage and cash flow efficiency closely.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust growth in FFO per unit indicates strong financial performance, driven by strategic acquisitions and increased tenant sales, enhancing long-term revenue potential.
Strategic Acquisitions
These acquisitions enhance portfolio quality and are expected to drive above-sector average NOI growth, strengthening market position and competitive advantage.
Distribution Increase
Consistent distribution increases reflect strong cash flow generation and financial stability, supporting shareholder value and potential inclusion in the Dividend Aristocrats Index.
Negative Factors
Increasing Leverage
The trend of increasing leverage could pose risks to financial flexibility and stability if not managed carefully, impacting long-term strategic initiatives.
Occupancy Challenges
Decreased occupancy rates can affect rental income and cash flow stability, posing challenges to maintaining revenue growth and operational efficiency.
Potential Tenant Bankruptcy
Potential tenant bankruptcies can lead to revenue loss and increased vacancy rates, impacting cash flow and requiring strategic leasing efforts to mitigate.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimaris properties including all of H&R REIT's enclosed malls comprises real estate properties. The assets are located in Canada. Primaris properties including all of H&R REIT's enclosed malls(TSX:PMZ.UN) operates independently of H&R Real Estate Investment Trust as of December 31, 2021.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimaris Real Estate Investment Trust generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its commercial properties to a variety of tenants, including retail chains and service providers. The company's revenue model is anchored in long-term lease agreements, which provide predictable cash flows. Additionally, PMZ.UN earns income from property management services and ancillary revenues associated with its real estate operations. Key revenue streams include rental income from leased spaces and potential profit-sharing agreements with tenants. The Trust's financial performance is also bolstered by its strategic partnerships with local and national retailers, as well as its focus on optimizing property occupancy rates and enhancing tenant relationships to drive overall profitability.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance by Primaris, highlighted by significant FFO growth, strategic acquisitions, and increased tenant sales. However, challenges such as the impact of disclaimed HBC leases and potential tenant bankruptcies were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strategic leasing progress and financial stability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong FFO Growth
Primaris reported almost 6% growth in FFO per unit, indicating robust financial performance driven by the recovery in the Canadian mall sector.
Significant Leasing Progress
Substantial leasing progress was made with the signing of leases for almost 0.5 million square feet of space, including the entire former Sears premises at Lime Ridge Mall.
Strategic Acquisitions
Primaris acquired four top-tier malls in 2025, totaling $1.6 billion, aimed at increasing portfolio quality and achieving above-sector average NOI growth.
Distribution Increase
The company announced a 2.3% increase in distributions, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase, with expectations of being added to the Dividend Aristocrats Index.
Positive Sales Growth
Tenant sales within properties showed positive growth, with total sales productivity growing to $800 per square foot from $715 per square foot a year earlier.
Negative Updates
Impact of HBC Leases
Five disclaimed HBC leases posed a headwind for occupancy and NOI, but Primaris has made significant progress in leasing these spaces.
Occupancy Challenges
Portfolio in-place occupancy was down 1.6% from last year, although it improved from the previous quarter.
Potential Toys "R" Us Bankruptcy
Primaris anticipates a potential failure of Toys "R" Us in the new year, impacting approximately 104,000 square feet of space with average rent well below the portfolio average.
Company Guidance
During the Primaris REIT Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided a robust set of metrics and guidance reflecting strong growth and strategic acquisitions. Primaris reported same-property NOI growth and an almost 6% FFO per unit increase, with acquisitions totaling $1.6 billion, including major malls like Oshawa Center and Lime Ridge Mall. The company achieved a 2.3% distribution increase, marking their fifth consecutive annual raise, and anticipates being added to the Dividend Aristocrats Index. Despite headwinds from disclaimed HBC leases, Primaris demonstrated substantial leasing progress, securing almost 0.5 million square feet of space. The guidance for 2025 remains robust, with expected cash NOI between $352 million and $357 million, and FFO per unit ranging from $1.78 to $1.82. For 2026, Primaris projects cash NOI of $385 million to $395 million, same-property cash NOI growth of 1% to 3%, and FFO per unit of $1.83 to $1.88. The company also highlighted a low leverage position, with an average net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.9x, supporting its strong financial model and strategic ambitions.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong gross and EBIT margins. However, increased leverage and a slight decline in profitability metrics highlight areas for improvement. The company maintains good cash flow management, but the decrease in operating cash flow conversion warrants attention. Overall, the financial health is stable with room for enhancement in profitability and leverage management.
Income Statement
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust shows strong revenue growth with a 5.6% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin is healthy at 58.2%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 12.9% from 15.7% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.89, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity has slightly decreased to 3.3%, showing a modest return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow growth is positive at 10.1%, showing improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating a potential concern in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue607.76M504.62M410.97M380.06M253.98M270.23M
Gross Profit344.87M292.04M233.63M211.79M141.59M128.47M
EBITDA260.69M164.61M206.87M187.81M130.92M124.02M
Net Income144.57M79.47M102.27M-12.08M354.57M-574.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.92B4.27B3.90B3.20B3.25B2.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.56M114.77M44.32M10.95M5.64M15.01M
Total Debt2.05B1.71B1.48B1.01B558.42M301.40M
Total Liabilities2.58B2.11B1.80B1.11B1.06B1.13B
Stockholders Equity2.35B2.16B2.10B2.09B2.19B1.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow187.47M151.57M163.35M163.39M-101.04M213.63M
Operating Cash Flow203.18M168.32M166.37M164.31M-76.17M278.85M
Investing Cash Flow-551.34M-369.25M-467.52M-112.61M-46.09M-79.90M
Financing Cash Flow194.13M171.38M334.52M-46.38M112.89M-191.95M

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.71
Price Trends
50DMA
15.34
Positive
100DMA
15.18
Positive
200DMA
14.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
81.53
Negative
STOCH
92.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PMZ.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.66, above the 50-day MA of 15.34, and above the 200-day MA of 14.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.53 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PMZ.UN.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$4.00B8.6811.49%5.74%4.11%35.99%
76
Outperform
C$1.98B14.026.52%5.52%26.88%77.26%
68
Neutral
C$4.56B18.255.03%7.22%0.48%96.32%
67
Neutral
C$472.66M12.217.14%6.56%4.53%197.86%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
C$5.72B89.420.92%6.21%22.22%-71.38%
52
Neutral
C$2.87B-7.00-8.74%7.05%-0.83%-56.21%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
16.71
2.90
21.00%
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
19.42
2.15
12.43%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
16.70
3.30
24.63%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
10.94
2.17
24.74%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
4.28
0.99
30.09%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
26.50
3.82
16.84%

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

Dividends
Primaris REIT Declares January 2026 Monthly Distribution
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has declared a cash distribution of $0.07333 per unit for January 2026, equivalent to $0.88 per unit on an annualized basis, payable on February 17, 2026 to unitholders of record as of January 30, 2026. The announcement underscores the REIT’s ongoing income return to investors, reflecting its confidence in the stability of cash flows from its sizable portfolio of enclosed Canadian shopping centres and its strong capital position in a changing retail real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Sets February Date for 2025 Year-End Results and Investor Call
Neutral
Jan 5, 2026

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced it will release its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, after markets close on February 11, 2026, followed by a conference call and webcast with senior leadership on February 12. The scheduled disclosure and investor event underscore Primaris’s efforts to maintain transparency with unitholders and analysts as it positions its enclosed shopping centre portfolio to benefit from evolving conditions in the Canadian retail real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Primaris REIT Sells Calgary Retail Complex for $154 Million and Tightens Financing Terms
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

Primaris REIT has completed the $154 million sale of Northland Village and Northland Professional Centre in Calgary to a Canadian institutional investor, capping a year in which it executed $400.1 million of non-core asset dispositions. The Northland assets, sold at IFRS fair value and previously unencumbered, form part of a capital recycling strategy aimed at maintaining a strong balance sheet while focusing on market-leading Canadian malls. Proceeds are being directed toward debt repayment, unit repurchases under its normal course issuer bid and general purposes, and the trust has reaffirmed its 2025 and 2026 guidance, signalling that the transaction was fully anticipated. Primaris also reported that it used part of the Northland proceeds to repay a $100 million unsecured bilateral term facility and unwind a related $50 million hedge, while extending the term of its $600 million unsecured revolving credit facility by one year to January 2029 and securing a 0.15 percentage-point reduction in the facility’s variable interest rate, collectively enhancing its financial flexibility and lowering borrowing costs.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Primaris REIT Advances ESG Strategy With Third Sustainability Report and $450 Million Green Bond Allocation
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has published its third annual Sustainability Report alongside a Green Bond Allocation Report, detailing an updated sustainability plan, progress on environmental, social and governance targets, and performance metrics through the end of 2025. The REIT highlighted issuance of $450 million in senior unsecured green debentures under its Green Finance Framework to fund green building acquisitions, achievement of a 3-star GRESB rating with Sector Leader status for retail in the Americas, full green building certification across its shopping centres, reductions in like-for-like greenhouse gas emissions, and an 83.3% share of new leases classified as green. On the social front, Primaris reported an 83% tenant satisfaction score, more than $1 million in charitable donations, over 200 community events, and substantial food donations, while meeting or being on track for key targets such as board gender diversity, employee engagement, and GHG reduction. The reports underscore Primaris’ bid to entrench its sustainability leadership in Canadian retail real estate, align its financing strategy with environmental objectives, and reinforce its governance and community engagement credentials for investors, tenants and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Advances Redevelopment of Former Department Store Spaces
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has announced significant progress in leasing and redevelopment of former anchor spaces previously occupied by Hudson’s Bay Company and Sears. With full control over these spaces, Primaris is executing a strategy to lease to single and multi-tenant configurations and repurpose areas for large format tenants and high-value commercial retail units. The company expects to invest $125 million to $150 million in repositioning costs for HBC spaces and $20 million to $30 million for Sears spaces, with anticipated yields of 7% to 12%. Additionally, Primaris has unlocked 70.8 acres of land for development, valued between $150 million and $250 million, which will enhance the company’s income and asset value.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Primaris REIT Declares December 2025 Distribution
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

Primaris REIT announced a distribution of $0.07333 per unit for December 2025, equating to $0.88 annually, payable on January 15, 2026. This announcement underscores Primaris’ strong capital position and strategic focus on enclosed shopping centres, highlighting its ability to leverage market opportunities and potentially benefit stakeholders through consistent returns.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Reports Strong Q3 Results and Announces 2026 Guidance
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Primaris REIT reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with a notable increase in rental revenue and leasing progress, particularly with HBC locations. The company announced a distribution increase and introduced its 2026 guidance, reflecting anticipated growth in cash net operating income and occupancy rates. Recent acquisitions, including Promenades St-Bruno, and strategic leasing agreements are expected to drive future growth and enhance portfolio quality. The company’s focus on sustainability and disciplined capital allocation supports its robust financial performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Primaris REIT Completes Over-Allotment Option, Strengthens Financial Position
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced the closing of an over-allotment option, resulting in the issuance of an additional 1,448,599 trust units and gross proceeds of approximately $21.4 million. This increases the total gross proceeds from their recent public offering to approximately $168.9 million. The net proceeds are intended to pay down debt from the acquisition of Promenades St-Bruno, enhancing Primaris’ financial position and operational capacity in the Canadian retail property market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025