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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:PMZ.UN)
TSX:PMZ.UN
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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PMZ.UN

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:PMZ.UN)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$16.50
▲(11.19% Upside)
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust shows a stable financial performance with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic acquisitions and improved financial metrics, although challenges like occupancy declines and increased interest costs need attention. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend, and while the valuation suggests the stock might be overvalued, the attractive dividend yield provides a compensating factor.
Positive Factors
Analyst Ratings
Analysts have given a buy rating for Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock.
Financial Performance
Achieving financial targets should lead to healthy cash flow growth, with management guiding to same-property NOI growth driven by improvement in occupancy and greater rental rates.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Les Galeries de la Capitale is consistent with management’s strategy to acquire higher quality malls that are dominant in their trade area and achieve above average sales.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
The Q4/24 preview indicates that 2025 guidance is a focal point, suggesting optimism for the company's future performance.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) is a real estate investment trust based in Canada that specializes in owning, managing, and developing retail properties. The company primarily focuses on shopping centers and commercial retail spaces across various regions, aiming to attract a diverse range of tenants from national and international retailers. Primaris is committed to enhancing the value of its properties through strategic leasing, property management, and development initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimaris Real Estate Investment Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing its retail and commercial spaces to a variety of tenants, which include retail stores, restaurants, and service providers. The company's primary revenue stream is rental income, which is derived from long-term lease agreements with tenants. These leases typically include base rent and may also involve additional charges such as percentage rents based on the tenant's sales performance, as well as recoveries for property expenses such as maintenance, utilities, and taxes. Additionally, Primaris may engage in property development and redevelopment projects to increase the value and attractiveness of its portfolio, potentially leading to higher rental income and occupancy rates. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, rental rates, tenant mix, and regional economic conditions. Primaris also benefits from partnerships with other real estate developers and investors to enhance its portfolio and achieve growth objectives.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reveals a primarily positive outlook, characterized by strong tenant sales, strategic acquisitions, and improved financial metrics. However, challenges such as occupancy declines due to HBC lease disclaimers and increased interest costs present some concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Tenant Sales and NOI Growth
Same-property tenant sales per square foot reached an all-time high, 33% higher than 2019 levels at $723 per square foot. NOI growth is expected to be between 15% to 25% over the next few years.
Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Expansion
Primaris acquired $2 billion worth of top-tier Canadian malls since its spin-off, with recent acquisitions including Southgate Centre, Oshawa Centre, and Lime Ridge Mall.
Strong Leasing Activity
Leasing activity was robust with 122 leases renewed at 6.7% spreads and 32 new deals completed, including prominent brands like lululemon and UNIQLO.
Increased Trading Liquidity
The average trading volume of Primaris units increased by over 130% in the past 12 months, enhancing the stock's appeal to institutional investors.
Positive Financial Metrics and Guidance
FFO per unit diluted increased by 5.5% and AFFO per unit diluted by 24.6%. 2025 guidance for cash NOI was raised to $340 million to $345 million.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Challenges
Portfolio in-place occupancy was 88.8%, down 4.2% from the previous year, impacted by disclaimed HBC leases and vacancies at Lime Ridge Mall.
Impact of HBC Lease Disclaimers
Five HBC leases have been disclaimed, affecting occupancy and requiring an estimated total spend of $125 million to $150 million over the next few years for redevelopment.
Increased Interest Costs
Higher interest costs were noted, although offset by strong internal growth and accretive acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Primaris REIT Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, management provided guidance reflecting robust financial and operational performance. They reported strong growth in same-property Net Operating Income (NOI) and Funds from Operations (FFO), with tenant sales per square foot reaching $723, a 33% increase from 2019 levels. The FFO per unit was up 5.5% for the quarter, and Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) per unit rose 24.6%. Primaris has set a target for same-property NOI growth of 3% to 4% and an occupancy cost ratio of approximately 12%, indicating potential for 15% to 25% NOI growth over the next few years. The company has engaged in significant acquisition and disposition activities, with recent acquisitions like Lime Ridge Mall contributing to a 60% portfolio value in top-tier malls. Their low leverage strategy, with debt to EBITDA below 6x and an FFO payout ratio of 50%, positions them well for continued growth. The guidance for 2025 includes expected cash NOI of $340 million to $345 million and FFO per unit between $1.74 and $1.79.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is well-capitalized, though rising debt levels warrant attention. While profitability has faced some pressure in TTM, the company's strong cash flow generation provides a buffer against potential financial challenges. Overall, the financial statements reflect a stable yet cautious outlook.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's revenue has shown a consistent growth trend with a 32% increase from 2023 to 2024 and an 8% rise from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins are strong, consistently above 50%, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margin has declined in TTM, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy but slightly decreasing, suggesting a need to control operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 in TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is consistently above 45%, demonstrating a strong capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels pose a risk if revenue growth slows. Return on equity has decreased in TTM, implying reduced profitability for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, with a healthy free cash flow margin. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, significant investing cash outflows in TTM could impact future liquidity. The company has managed to grow free cash flow despite fluctuations in net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue566.52M504.62M410.97M380.06M253.98M270.23M
Gross Profit329.81M292.04M233.63M211.79M141.59M128.47M
EBITDA169.14M164.61M206.87M187.81M130.92M124.02M
Net Income72.87M79.47M102.27M-12.08M354.57M-574.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.95B4.27B3.90B3.20B3.25B2.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.55M114.77M44.32M10.95M5.64M15.01M
Total Debt2.07B1.71B1.48B1.01B558.42M301.40M
Total Liabilities2.62B2.11B1.80B1.11B1.06B1.13B
Stockholders Equity2.33B2.16B2.10B2.09B2.19B1.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow178.94M151.57M163.35M163.39M-101.04M213.63M
Operating Cash Flow191.76M168.32M166.37M164.31M-76.17M278.85M
Investing Cash Flow-700.12M-369.25M-467.52M-112.61M-46.09M-79.90M
Financing Cash Flow433.14M171.38M334.52M-46.38M112.89M-191.95M

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.84
Price Trends
50DMA
14.89
Negative
100DMA
14.62
Positive
200DMA
14.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.84
Neutral
STOCH
60.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PMZ.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.85, below the 50-day MA of 14.89, and above the 200-day MA of 14.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PMZ.UN.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$3.75B8.4711.08%6.10%4.26%72.02%
78
Outperform
C$4.41B20.044.42%7.15%7.01%-15.80%
72
Outperform
C$458.29M13.176.45%6.75%5.14%209.83%
71
Outperform
$5.21B18.623.81%6.41%17.42%377.43%
69
Neutral
C$1.59B25.503.26%5.75%23.01%-50.29%
63
Neutral
$6.82B13.05-0.66%7.37%3.70%-24.53%
59
Neutral
C$3.05B-3.89%6.40%-6.43%-35204.55%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
14.84
1.79
13.72%
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
17.68
1.22
7.43%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.88
3.61
16.21%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
4.15
0.68
19.60%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
11.60
2.65
29.61%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
15.71
2.18
16.11%

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Declares August 2025 Distribution
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has declared a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for August 2025, translating to $0.86 annually, payable on September 15, 2025. This announcement reflects Primaris’s strategic positioning and financial stability, reinforcing its commitment to delivering value to unitholders amid the dynamic retail property market in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Reports Strong Q2 2025 and Raises Guidance
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with significant growth in rental revenue and net operating income. The company increased its guidance for 2025, reflecting confidence in its financial outlook. Key strategic moves included the acquisition of Lime Ridge Mall and the sale of Lansdowne Industrial, enhancing its portfolio quality. Additionally, Primaris introduced a Green Finance Framework, allowing for the issuance of green bonds and loans, and issued $200 million in senior unsecured debentures to finance eligible green projects. These developments underscore Primaris’s focus on sustainable growth and robust financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Primaris REIT Declares July 2025 Distribution
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for July 2025, payable on August 15, 2025. This distribution reflects the company’s strong financial positioning and its ability to capitalize on market opportunities within the evolving Canadian retail property landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results and Host Conference Call
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced it will release its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, on July 30, 2025. The company will host a conference call and webcast on July 31, 2025, to discuss these results. This announcement highlights Primaris’ proactive communication with stakeholders and its strategic positioning to leverage market opportunities in the Canadian retail property sector.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Secures $200 Million in Green Debenture Offering
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a successful $200 million unsecured green debenture offering, with the debentures maturing in 2033 and bearing a fixed annual interest rate of 4.835%. The proceeds are intended to fund eligible green projects as per the Trust’s Green Finance Framework, highlighting Primaris’ commitment to sustainable development and potentially enhancing its market positioning in the Canadian retail property landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Unveils Green Finance Framework to Boost Sustainability
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has launched its inaugural Green Finance Framework, allowing the issuance of green bonds, loans, and other financial instruments to support environmental projects. This initiative aligns with Primaris’ sustainability strategy, focusing on emissions reduction and sustainable management, and has received a positive review from Moody’s Ratings, confirming its adherence to international green finance principles.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Completes $124.3 Million Secondary Equity Offering
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has successfully closed a $124.3 million secondary equity offering, selling 8,457,944 trust units at $14.70 each through a syndicate of underwriters led by RBC Capital Markets and TD Securities Inc. The offering involved the sale of units held by a selling unitholder, managed by Cadillac Fairview, and did not generate proceeds for Primaris. This transaction is part of Primaris’ strategic management of its assets, reflecting its robust market positioning and capitalization, which allows it to capitalize on opportunities within the Canadian retail property sector.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Acquires Lime Ridge Mall for $416 Million
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has announced the acquisition of Lime Ridge Mall in Hamilton, Ontario, for $416 million, marking a significant step in its growth strategy. This acquisition, which includes a mix of cash and equity, is expected to enhance Primaris’ portfolio quality and financial metrics, with implications for increased sales productivity and trading liquidity, benefiting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Declares June 2025 Distribution
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has declared a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for June 2025, equating to $0.86 per unit annually, payable on July 15, 2025. This announcement underscores Primaris’ strong financial position and strategic focus on enclosed shopping centres, highlighting its capability to leverage market opportunities and deliver value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Gains Control of Former HBC Locations for Redevelopment
Positive
May 26, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced it has gained control over five former Hudson’s Bay Company locations, which were disclaimed due to lack of bids. This transition allows Primaris to repurpose these sites, potentially enhancing property value and stakeholder benefits. The company plans to invest $50 to $60 million in redevelopment, aiming for increased rental income and operational efficiency. The move is expected to relieve Primaris of certain obligations and open opportunities for property intensification, including retail and high-density developments.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Declares May 2025 Distribution
Positive
May 15, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for May 2025, payable on June 16, 2025, to unitholders of record on May 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Primaris’ continued commitment to providing value to its investors, leveraging its strong capitalization and strategic positioning in the Canadian retail property market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025