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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:PMZ.UN)
:PMZ.UN
Canadian Market

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:PMZ.UN)

74Outperform
Primaris REIT's stock is well-positioned due to strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The attractive dividend yield and positive earnings call sentiment bolster the stock's appeal. However, caution is advised due to technical indicators and valuation concerns. The company's ability to manage rising debt levels and tenant challenges will be crucial for sustained performance.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst recommends Primaris as a BUY, raising the target price due to a higher NAV estimate and greater confidence in continued occupancy improvement.
Financial Structure
Primaris differentiates itself with a more conservative financial structure with both lower leverage and payout ratio.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Les Galeries de la Capitale is consistent with management’s strategy to acquire higher quality malls that are dominant in their trade area and achieve above average sales.
Negative Factors
Market Valuation
Primaris currently trades at an 8.9% implied cap rate, or a 29.1% discount to NAV estimate, offering a potential value opportunity.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) is a prominent Canadian real estate investment trust specializing in owning, managing, and developing retail properties across Canada. The company focuses primarily on shopping centers, providing diverse retail spaces for various tenants, including national and international brands, local businesses, and service providers. With a strategic emphasis on high-quality properties in prime locations, Primaris aims to offer compelling shopping experiences while optimizing asset value for its investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimaris Real Estate Investment Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing retail spaces in its shopping centers to a wide range of tenants. Rental income is the core revenue stream, consisting of base rent and additional charges such as property taxes, insurance, and maintenance fees passed on to tenants. The company benefits from long-term lease agreements, providing stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, Primaris may enhance earnings through property management fees and strategic property development or redevelopment projects that increase the value and appeal of its retail assets. Partnerships with key retailers and a diversified tenant mix contribute significantly to its revenue stability and growth potential.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is well-capitalized, though rising debt levels warrant attention. While profitability has faced some pressure in TTM, the company's strong cash flow generation provides a buffer against potential financial challenges. Overall, the financial statements reflect a stable yet cautious outlook.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's revenue has shown a consistent growth trend with a 32% increase from 2023 to 2024 and an 8% rise from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins are strong, consistently above 50%, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margin has declined in TTM, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy but slightly decreasing, suggesting a need to control operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 in TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is consistently above 45%, demonstrating a strong capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels pose a risk if revenue growth slows. Return on equity has decreased in TTM, implying reduced profitability for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, with a healthy free cash flow margin. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, significant investing cash outflows in TTM could impact future liquidity. The company has managed to grow free cash flow despite fluctuations in net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
536.47M504.62M410.97M380.06M253.98M270.23M
Gross Profit
309.59M292.04M233.63M211.79M141.59M128.47M
EBIT
215.05M253.70M203.51M185.95M130.92M124.02M
EBITDA
162.99M164.61M206.87M187.81M130.92M124.02M
Net Income Common Stockholders
64.74M79.47M102.27M-12.08M354.57M-574.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
44.32M114.77M44.32M10.95M5.64M15.01M
Total Assets
3.90B4.27B3.90B3.20B3.25B2.13B
Total Debt
1.48B1.71B1.48B1.01B558.42M301.40M
Net Debt
1.44B1.70B1.44B996.56M552.78M286.39M
Total Liabilities
1.80B2.11B1.80B1.11B1.06B1.13B
Stockholders Equity
2.10B2.16B2.10B2.09B2.19B1.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
162.56M151.57M163.35M163.39M-101.04M213.63M
Operating Cash Flow
182.28M168.32M166.37M164.31M-76.17M278.85M
Investing Cash Flow
-458.97M-369.25M-467.52M-112.61M-46.09M-79.90M
Financing Cash Flow
261.83M171.38M334.52M-46.38M112.89M-191.95M

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.83
Price Trends
50DMA
14.57
Positive
100DMA
14.70
Positive
200DMA
14.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
60.98
Neutral
STOCH
82.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PMZ.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.38, above the 50-day MA of 14.57, and above the 200-day MA of 14.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PMZ.UN.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$3.60B8.1111.23%6.06%4.54%68.32%
77
Outperform
C$4.33B18.404.75%7.28%10.06%-19.26%
75
Outperform
C$417.41M16.914.57%7.41%6.36%13.91%
74
Outperform
C$1.50B26.172.99%5.71%22.60%-48.92%
68
Neutral
$5.14B20.003.61%6.49%13.66%426.86%
60
Neutral
$2.77B10.470.42%8531.49%6.23%-16.09%
58
Neutral
C$2.66B-3.89%5.92%-6.43%-35204.55%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
15.02
2.27
17.80%
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
17.49
0.88
5.29%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.68
4.37
20.51%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
3.80
0.40
11.76%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
10.11
1.07
11.84%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
15.29
2.35
18.16%

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Primaris REIT reported strong growth in sales per square foot and FFO per unit, alongside successful acquisitions and strategic capital recycling. However, challenges such as the HBC closure and Comark's credit protection filing present headwinds. Despite these challenges, the company's solid financial performance and strategic initiatives suggest a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Growth in Sales Per Square Foot
Tenant sales per square foot increased nearly 60% from $482 to $768, marking an all-time high.
CRU Sales Growth
Aggregate CRU sales grew from $800 million to $3 billion, and average CRU sales per mall more than doubled from $58 million to $124 million.
Successful Acquisitions and Capital Recycling
Completed a $585 million acquisition of Oshawa Center and a 50% interest in Southgate Centre. Also sold $170 million of non-core shopping centers.
Strong Financial Performance
FFO per unit increased by 13.3% from $0.388 to $0.439 compared to last year, with same-property cash NOI up 9.4% for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Hudson's Bay Company (HBC) Closure
HBC, Primaris' 14th largest tenant, is liquidating all operations, affecting nine locations and resulting in the need for significant redevelopment.
Comark Credit Protection
Comark filed for credit protection, with 36 stores in Primaris' portfolio impacted, although some locations are expected to be retained.
Company Guidance
During the call, Primaris REIT provided guidance on several key metrics, highlighting their strategic progress and future plans. The company reported a significant increase in tenant sales per square foot, rising from $482 to $768, and aggregate CRU sales growing from $800 million to $3 billion. The average aggregate CRU sales per mall also more than doubled, from $58 million to $124 million. Additionally, their 90-day average daily trading volume increased from $3 million to $6 million. Primaris completed a $585 million acquisition of Oshawa Center and a 50% interest in Southgate Centre, while also selling $170 million of non-core shopping centers. Their financial guidance for 2025, including same-property cash NOI growth of 3% to 4% and FFO per unit diluted in the range of $1.70 to $1.75, remains largely unchanged despite potential impacts from HBC store closures. The company has capacity for over $2 billion in acquisitions without financing conditions, maintaining a conservative financial model with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 5.7x, and continues to execute its NCIB program, buying back units at a significant discount to NAV.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Declares May 2025 Distribution
Positive
May 15, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for May 2025, payable on June 16, 2025, to unitholders of record on May 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Primaris’ continued commitment to providing value to its investors, leveraging its strong capitalization and strategic positioning in the Canadian retail property market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PMZ.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:PMZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT’s overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive outlook from recent earnings calls. The company’s strategic acquisitions and robust cash flow provide resilience against potential challenges. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and rising debt levels need monitoring. Its attractive dividend yield enhances its appeal to income-focused investors.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Declares May 2025 Distribution
Positive
May 7, 2025

Primaris REIT has declared a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for May 2025, equating to $0.86 annually, payable on June 16, 2025. This announcement reflects Primaris’ strategic positioning and financial health, highlighting its ability to provide consistent returns to unitholders amid the dynamic retail property market in Canada.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives. Despite technical caution and tenant challenges, its valuation and strategic actions support a favorable outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Reports Strong Trustee Election and Resolution Approvals at 2025 AGM
Positive
May 1, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced the successful election of all trustee nominees at its 2025 Annual General Meeting, with high approval ratings for each candidate. Additionally, key resolutions including executive compensation, auditor reappointment, and amendments to the Incentive Unit Plan received overwhelming support, indicating strong stakeholder confidence in the Trust’s governance and strategic direction.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT’s strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, supports the stock’s overall score. Valuation metrics and strategic positioning through acquisitions enhance its attractiveness. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and challenges like high interest rates and tenant issues moderate the outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Reaffirms Guidance
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with significant growth in rental revenue and net operating income. The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance despite the anticipated departure of a major tenant, Hudson’s Bay. Primaris continues to enhance its portfolio by acquiring interests in key shopping centers and disposing of non-core assets. The company maintains a strong financial position with substantial liquidity and unencumbered assets, positioning itself as a credible player in the real estate market.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT’s strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, underpins the stock’s overall score. The positive outlook from the recent earnings call, alongside strategic acquisitions and an attractive valuation, further bolsters the stock’s position. However, some caution is warranted due to technical indicators suggesting potential downward momentum and the challenges of high interest rates.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

Dividends
Primaris REIT Declares April 2025 Distribution
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for April 2025, equating to $0.86 annually, payable on May 15, 2025. This announcement underscores Primaris’ stable financial operations and commitment to delivering consistent returns to its unitholders, reinforcing its strong position in the Canadian retail property market.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT’s robust revenue growth and operational efficiency are key strengths, supported by strategic acquisitions and a positive earnings outlook. However, challenges such as high interest rates and the need to enhance profitability and free cash flow moderate the overall score. The stock’s valuation and dividend yield make it attractive for income-focused investors, while recent corporate events signal strong strategic positioning.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Sets Date for Q1 2025 Financial Results and AGM
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has announced the release date for its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, which will be available on April 30, 2025, after market close. The company will host a conference call and webcast on May 1, 2025, followed by its Annual General Meeting. These events are significant as they provide insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Advances Disposition Strategy and Prepares for HBC Departure
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Primaris REIT announced the sale of St. Albert Centre for $60 million and Sherwood Park Mall for $107 million, as part of its capital recycling strategy. These strategic dispositions are aimed at enhancing the appeal of its shopping center portfolio, with proceeds allocated for future acquisitions and other financial strategies. The company is also preparing for the departure of Hudson’s Bay Company (HBC) as a tenant, which is expected to cease operations by June 30, 2025. Primaris views this as an opportunity for future value creation and has plans for re-tenanting and redevelopment. Additionally, Primaris secured a $100 million financing facility to support its ongoing operations and strategic initiatives.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Updates on Hudson’s Bay Exposure Amid CCAA Proceedings
Neutral
Mar 10, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced its exposure to the Hudson’s Bay Company, which has initiated proceedings under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act. Primaris has been preparing for this scenario for years and has plans in place for the 10 HBC locations within its portfolio, which represent a small portion of its total rental revenue. The company anticipates potential short-term impacts on its financial metrics but is ready to implement its strategies if any locations are disclaimed.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Secures $200 Million Through Debenture Offering
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a successful private placement of $200 million in senior unsecured debentures maturing in 2031. The debentures, bearing a fixed annual interest rate of 4.468%, are intended to repay existing debts and support general trust purposes, indicating a strategic financial maneuver to strengthen the company’s position in the market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.