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Plaza Retail REIT Un (TSE:PLZ.UN)
TSX:PLZ.UN
Canadian Market

Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Plaza Retail REIT

(TSX:PLZ.UN)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$4.50
▲( 19.05% Upside)
Plaza Retail REIT earns a score of 75, driven by stable financial performance and positive earnings call insights. Strong technical indicators and attractive valuation support its position as a solid investment. The high dividend yield enhances its appeal, though investors should monitor operational challenges like seasonal costs.
Positive Factors
Leasing and Occupancy
Plaza renewed a significant amount of leases at favorable leasing spreads and improved portfolio occupancy to 97.6%.
Redevelopment Projects
Completing redevelopment projects should boost cash flow significantly, with significant developments underway.
Valuation
Plaza Retail REIT trades at a significant discount to its net asset value (NAV) compared to its Canadian retail REIT peers, suggesting potential investment value.
Negative Factors
Interest Rates
Greater interest expense due to the rise in interest rates negatively impacts Plaza Retail REIT's financial performance.
Operating Costs
FFO per unit drops 1% due to higher operating costs from a tougher winter and temporary dilution from asset sales.

Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Plaza Retail REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlaza is an open-ended real estate investment trust and is a leading retail property owner and developer, focused on Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic Canada. Plaza's portfolio at September 30, 2020 includes interests in 272 properties totaling approximately 8.6 million square feet across Canada and additional lands held for development. Plaza's portfolio largely consists of open-air centres and stand-alone small box retail outlets and is predominantly occupied by national tenants.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlaza Retail REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing retail space to tenants, which include a mix of national, regional, and local retailers. The company collects rent from these tenants based on long-term lease agreements, which often include base rent and additional charges for common area maintenance and property taxes. Plaza Retail REIT's revenue is further supported by strategic property acquisitions, developments, and redevelopments that enhance the value of its portfolio. The REIT's earnings are also influenced by its ability to maintain high occupancy rates, negotiate favorable lease terms, and manage operational costs efficiently. By focusing on properties in well-located markets with strong demographics, Plaza Retail REIT aims to provide consistent returns to its investors.

Plaza Retail REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plaza Retail REIT demonstrates stable financial health with consistent revenue growth and improved net income. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage typical of REITs, and cash flow management is effective despite a decline in operating cash flow. Overall, financials reflect a balanced growth and risk approach suitable for its industry.
Income Statement
68
Positive
The income statement shows a moderate growth trend in revenue from 2023 to 2024 (6.34%). Gross profit margin is stable at around 61.3%. However, the absence of EBIT in 2024 is a concern, potentially impacting profitability analysis. The net profit margin improved slightly to 20.65% from 17.69% in 2023, indicating better cost management or revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.22, indicating moderate leverage for a REIT. The equity ratio is 43.61%, reflecting a balanced asset structure. Return on equity increased to 4.63% in 2024, showing improved profitability relative to shareholder's equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in operating cash flow from 2023 to 2024 by 5.74%, which may indicate operational challenges. However, free cash flow remains stable, showing effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.59, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
123.72M121.28M114.06M111.25M110.63M106.90M
Gross Profit
75.68M74.36M70.35M70.58M71.78M68.75M
EBIT
66.74M65.60M65.35M55.07M35.64M35.51M
EBITDA
47.60M57.32M64.63M81.34M70.51M64.48M
Net Income Common Stockholders
24.94M25.05M20.19M53.89M99.61M-14.94M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.54M8.87M10.87M7.26M8.06M8.27M
Total Assets
1.06B1.24B1.26B1.27B1.21B1.14B
Total Debt
578.82M657.22M672.47M708.14M679.24M681.13M
Net Debt
570.29M648.35M661.60M700.88M671.18M672.85M
Total Liabilities
609.02M696.37M714.49M747.71M716.94M712.23M
Stockholders Equity
450.07M540.82M546.49M518.90M493.52M422.41M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
39.27M39.86M42.29M80.69M69.39M60.87M
Operating Cash Flow
39.27M39.86M42.29M38.47M48.21M31.72M
Investing Cash Flow
10.39M5.34M-10.00M-44.90M-21.95M-27.77M
Financing Cash Flow
-27.84M-23.29M-40.23M1.15M-26.33M-20.64M

Plaza Retail REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.78
Price Trends
50DMA
3.72
Positive
100DMA
3.63
Positive
200DMA
3.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
53.85
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PLZ.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.76, above the 50-day MA of 3.72, and above the 200-day MA of 3.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PLZ.UN.

Plaza Retail REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$421.83M17.084.57%7.33%6.36%13.91%
60
Neutral
$2.76B10.330.49%8508.28%5.95%-17.56%
$3.67B19.413.61%6.51%
84
Outperform
C$869.96M15.485.85%8.31%3.90%8.72%
82
Outperform
C$3.68B8.3011.23%5.98%4.54%68.32%
78
Outperform
C$4.31B18.324.75%7.31%10.06%-19.26%
76
Outperform
C$3.64B16.965.40%5.08%3.11%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
3.78
0.44
13.17%
RIOCF
RioCan Real Estate Investment
12.48
0.41
3.40%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
15.44
2.70
21.19%
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
17.15
2.63
18.11%
TSE:SGR.UN
Slate Grocery REIT
14.54
4.36
42.83%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.35
4.34
20.66%

Plaza Retail REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a predominantly positive outlook with strong operational performance, strategic acquisitions, and development initiatives, despite facing some seasonal cost challenges and temporary impacts on AFFO. The company's solid liquidity and improved financial metrics further support a positive sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Ownership in Key Assets
Plaza Retail REIT successfully increased its ownership interest in Tacoma Plaza from 50% to 100% and plans to increase ownership in three Shoppers Drug Mart locations in Ontario from 25% to 100%, with an IFRS property value of approximately $23 million at full ownership.
Strong Same Property Performance
Same property NOI increased by 1.5% year-over-year, driven by solid leasing activity and disciplined expense management. Leasing spreads were robust at 15.4% over the renewal term.
Development and Conversion Initiatives
Plaza initiated the conversion of 40,000 square feet of space into grocery use, expected to generate $1 million of incremental NOI. Additionally, a new grocery store project is underway, expected to contribute $700,000 of NOI upon completion.
Improvement in AFFO and Debt Metrics
AFFO per unit increased by 12% versus last year, and the debt-to-assets ratio improved by 30 bps to 50.5%. Net debt-to-EBITDA decreased to 8x, down 60 bps from last year.
Healthy Liquidity Position
Plaza maintains a healthy liquidity position with $64 million available, including cash, operating line, and debt facilities, enabling the pursuit of upcoming opportunities.
Negative Updates
Higher Winter Costs
A tougher winter resulted in higher snow removal costs, impacting same-asset NOI despite the increase.
Short-term Impact on AFFO
Capital-intensive space conversions are impacting AFFO in the short term, although anticipated to yield positive return on costs in the long run.
Company Guidance
During the Plaza Retail REIT Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and updates. Same property Net Operating Income (NOI) increased by 1.5% year-over-year, driven by strong leasing activity and disciplined expense management despite higher snow removal costs due to a challenging winter. Blended leasing spreads over the renewal term were 15.4%, and occupancy rates remained at all-time high levels. The REIT's debt-to-assets ratio was 50.5%, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 8x. They reported a 12% increase in Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per unit, and liquidity stood at $64 million. Significant portfolio moves included increasing ownership in Tacoma Plaza to 100% and impending closure on increasing ownership in three Shoppers Drug Mart locations. The REIT continues to focus on intensification and optimization initiatives, with projects expected to generate substantial incremental NOI, including the conversion of 40,000 square feet into grocery use and the development of a new grocery store.

Plaza Retail REIT Corporate Events

Dividends
Plaza Retail REIT Declares May 2025 Distribution
Positive
May 15, 2025

Plaza Retail REIT announced its May 2025 monthly distribution of $0.02333 per unit, payable on June 16, 2025, to unitholders of record as of May 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Plaza’s ongoing commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its stable position in the retail property market across Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:PLZ.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plaza Retail REIT stock, see the TSE:PLZ.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plaza Retail REIT Reports Strategic Growth in Q1 2025
Positive
May 7, 2025

Plaza Retail REIT reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a strategic increase in ownership of Tacoma Plaza and ongoing conversion of space into grocery retail, which is expected to significantly boost net operating income. Despite a slight decrease in profit compared to the previous year, the company experienced a positive shift in the fair value of investment properties and an increase in adjusted funds from operations, indicating a strong operational performance and strategic growth initiatives.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plaza Retail REIT Strengthens Portfolio with Tacoma Plaza Acquisition
Neutral
May 7, 2025

Plaza Retail REIT reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a strategic move to fully acquire Tacoma Plaza, a grocery and pharmacy-anchored strip, and the conversion of 40,000 square feet into grocery retail, expected to generate significant incremental NOI. The company’s financial performance showed a slight increase in net operating income due to higher revenues from leasing and rent escalations, despite increased operating expenses. The REIT’s profit was slightly down compared to the previous year, impacted by non-cash fair value adjustments and higher operating expenses. However, the AFFO saw a notable increase, reflecting lower leasing costs and maintenance capital expenditures.

Financial Disclosures
Plaza Retail REIT to Discuss Q1 2025 Financial Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

Plaza Retail REIT has announced a conference call scheduled for May 8, 2025, to discuss its first quarter financial results for 2025. The financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis will be available prior to the call on Plaza’s website and SEDAR+. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plaza Retail REIT Declares April 2025 Distribution
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Plaza Retail REIT announced its April 2025 monthly distribution of $0.02333 per unit, which annualizes to $0.28. This distribution will be payable on May 15, 2025, to unitholders recorded by April 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Plaza’s ongoing commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its stable position within the retail real estate market. The focus on essential needs and value-oriented retail properties positions Plaza favorably in the current economic climate, potentially benefiting stakeholders through sustained occupancy and rental income.

Dividends
Plaza Retail REIT Declares March 2025 Distribution
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Plaza Retail REIT announced its March 2025 monthly distribution of $0.02333 per unit, payable on April 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of March 31, 2025. This announcement reflects Plaza’s ongoing commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its strong position in the retail property sector across Canada.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plaza Retail REIT Reports Robust 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Plaza Retail REIT reported strong financial results for 2024, showcasing record growth in same-asset net operating income (NOI) and lease renewal spreads, alongside high occupancy rates. The company’s strategic portfolio improvements, including development projects and the sale of non-core assets, have enhanced its resilience against macroeconomic challenges. The financial performance was bolstered by increased leasing revenue and rent escalations, although impacted by administrative costs related to reorganization and development project write-offs. Overall, Plaza’s robust results reflect its well-positioned portfolio in the retail real estate market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.