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Pan American Silver (TSE:PAAS)
TSX:PAAS
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Pan American Silver (PAAS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAAS

Pan American Silver

(TSX:PAAS)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
C$69.00
▲(15.38% Upside)
Pan American Silver's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the overall score. The company's robust growth, profitability, and strategic developments, such as increased silver production guidance and dividend, contribute to a positive outlook. While the technical analysis suggests caution due to potential overbought conditions, and the valuation indicates a relatively high P/E ratio, the overall sentiment remains favorable.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Pan American Silver's consistent revenue growth, surpassing expectations, indicates strong demand for its products and effective market strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Cash Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing Pan American Silver to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively, ensuring long-term operational resilience.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of MAG Silver is poised to strengthen Pan American Silver's production capabilities and cost efficiencies, bolstering its competitive position and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Operational challenges in gold production could impact profitability and growth, highlighting potential risks in meeting production targets and maintaining cost efficiency.
Geotechnical Issues
Geotechnical issues and negative grade reconciliation at key sites may lead to increased costs and production delays, affecting the company's operational efficiency and profitability.
Regulatory Delays
Ongoing regulatory delays at the Escobal mine could hinder production timelines and revenue generation, posing a risk to operational stability and growth.

Pan American Silver (PAAS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pan American Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPan American Silver Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper mines in Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia. It holds interests in the La Colorada, Dolores, Huaron, Morococha, Shahuindo, La Arena, Timmins West, Bell Creek, Manantial Espejo, San Vicente, Joaquin, Cap-Oeste Sur Este, and Navidad mines. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPan American Silver generates revenue primarily through the sale of silver and gold, which are its core products. The company operates a diversified portfolio of mining assets, producing not only silver but also other metals such as copper, zinc, and lead. Revenue is significantly driven by the global market prices of these metals, with silver sales accounting for a substantial portion of total earnings. Additionally, Pan American Silver engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that allow for shared resources and expertise in mining operations. The company also benefits from cost management initiatives, operational efficiencies, and a focus on expanding its resource base through exploration projects, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Pan American Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including record free cash flow and revenue, an increase in dividend, and increased silver production guidance. However, challenges such as technical issues affecting gold production and lower silver grades at Huaron were noted. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a strong performance and positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Attributable Free Cash Flow
Pan American Silver achieved a record attributable free cash flow of $251.7 million in Q3 2025.
Record Attributable Revenue
Attributable revenue in Q3 2025 was a record $884.4 million.
Increase in Dividend
The Board approved an increase to the dividend to $0.14 per common share for Q3 2025.
Silver Production Guidance Increased
Raised attributable silver production guidance to 22 million to 22.5 million ounces for 2025.
La Colorada Exploration Success
Added 52.7 million ounces of silver to inferred mineral resource at La Colorada.
Strong Financial Position
Total available liquidity stands at $1.7 billion, with cash and short-term investments at $910.8 million.
Negative Updates
Technical Issues Affecting Gold Production
Technical issues at Cerro Moro, El Peñon, Timmins, and Minera Florida reduced gold production in Q3.
Silver Production Impacted by Lower Grades
Lower silver production at Huaron due to lower silver grades and increased development.
Geotechnical Challenges at Timmins
Geotechnical issues at the Bell Creek operation in Timmins involved squeezing of production drill holes.
Challenges in Escobal Consultation Process
No timeline provided by the Guatemalan Ministry for the completion of the ILO 169 consultation.
Company Guidance
During the Pan American Silver's third-quarter 2025 results conference call, substantial guidance was provided, highlighting key financial metrics and strategic developments. The company reported record attributable free cash flow of $251.7 million and attributable revenue reaching an unprecedented $884.4 million. Net earnings stood at $169.2 million, translating to $0.45 basic earnings per share, and adjusted earnings were $181 million or $0.48 per share. The acquisition of a 44% interest in the Juanicipio mine positively impacted cost reductions and margin improvements, contributing $16.3 million in income. With a robust cash position of $910.8 million, despite significant spending on acquisitions, Pan American increased its quarterly dividend to $0.14 per share. Operationally, attributable silver production was 5.5 million ounces, with the Juanicipio mine contributing to a revised silver production guidance of 22 to 22.5 million ounces, while lowering the all-in sustaining costs to $14.50 to $16 per ounce. Additionally, the company is advancing a phased development approach at La Colorada Skarn, with plans to release a PEA in Q2 2026 and is engaged in advanced partnership discussions to further enhance project value.

Pan American Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pan American Silver demonstrates a solid financial position with strong revenue growth, improved profitability, and efficient cash generation. The company has managed to enhance its margins and returns while maintaining a conservative leverage profile. The financial statements reflect a positive outlook with potential for continued growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Pan American Silver has shown strong revenue growth with a 4.21% increase in TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 28.39% in TTM from 19.46% in 2024, indicating better cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 16.77% in TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have strengthened, showcasing operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.17 in TTM, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity improved to 10.94% in TTM, showing better returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a strong equity base. The balance sheet reflects financial stability with manageable debt levels and improved shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow increased significantly, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.52 in TTM, indicating robust cash generation. Free cash flow grew by 27.60% in TTM, enhancing financial flexibility. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 in TTM suggests efficient cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow statement shows strong cash generation and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.25B2.82B2.32B1.49B1.63B1.34B
Gross Profit1.02B548.50M214.60M48.36M367.94M360.18M
EBITDA1.52B1.05B476.80M22.07M554.87M539.07M
Net Income634.10M111.50M-103.70M-340.06M97.43M177.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.15B7.20B7.21B3.25B3.52B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments910.80M887.30M440.90M142.34M335.27M279.06M
Total Debt857.00M803.30M801.60M226.84M45.86M33.56M
Total Liabilities2.52B2.49B2.44B1.05B882.58M828.04M
Stockholders Equity6.62B4.70B4.76B2.20B2.63B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow746.10M400.80M71.20M-242.78M148.63M283.76M
Operating Cash Flow1.05B724.10M450.20M31.91M392.11M462.31M
Investing Cash Flow-380.80M-32.60M397.90M-255.40M-186.66M-83.92M
Financing Cash Flow-238.00M-225.20M-551.80M52.97M-85.91M-329.59M

Pan American Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.80
Price Trends
50DMA
52.28
Positive
100DMA
47.66
Positive
200DMA
41.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.34
Negative
RSI
67.56
Neutral
STOCH
82.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAAS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.89, above the 50-day MA of 52.28, and above the 200-day MA of 41.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PAAS.

Pan American Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$25.24B24.7211.27%1.08%25.04%
74
Outperform
$4.21B12.5715.63%7.61%915.74%
71
Outperform
$9.32B111.133.44%0.15%88.70%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
73.65%
55
Neutral
C$2.01B-130.210.71%241.04%-80.07%
48
Neutral
$5.59B171.5311.03%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAAS
Pan American Silver
59.80
29.47
97.14%
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
18.97
10.33
119.69%
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
13.71
6.96
103.11%
TSE:MAG
MAG Silver
34.38
13.41
63.94%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
16.76
3.73
28.63%
TSE:DSV
Discovery Silver
6.93
6.06
696.55%

Pan American Silver Corporate Events

Pan American Silver Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 12, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. reported its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a significant increase in revenue and mine operating earnings compared to the previous year. The company’s revenue for the quarter was $854.6 million, up from $716.1 million in the same period last year, while mine operating earnings rose to $313 million from $175.7 million. This financial performance reflects the company’s strategic investments and operational efficiencies, positioning it strongly within the mining industry and enhancing its appeal to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Pan American Silver to Release Q3 2025 Results on November 12
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Pan American Silver Corp. announced that it will release its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025 after market close on November 12, 2025. A conference call and webcast are scheduled for November 13, 2025, to discuss these results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational progress, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pan American Silver Reports Updated Mineral Reserves and Resources
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. announced its estimated mineral reserves and resources as of June 30, 2025, reporting significant quantities of silver and gold. The company’s exploration program at La Colorada has successfully replaced production and added new high-grade silver zones, enhancing the life of its operations. The recent acquisition of MAG Silver Corp. has not been included in this report, but it adds substantial interests in the Juanicipio silver mine and other projects, potentially impacting future resource estimates.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pan American Silver Unveils High-Grade Discoveries at La Colorada Mine
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. has announced the discovery of multiple high-grade silver zones at its La Colorada mine in Zacatecas, Mexico, as part of its ongoing exploration efforts. The new drill results indicate potential for significant expansion of silver mineral resources, which could extend the mine’s life and improve its economic viability. The discoveries, particularly in the San Geronimo and Cristina zones, highlight opportunities for further resource expansion and underscore the company’s strong positioning in the silver mining industry. This development is expected to have positive implications for the company’s operations and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Hold with a C$45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Pan American Silver Completes Acquisition of MAG Silver, Strengthening Market Position
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. has completed its acquisition of MAG Silver Corp., enhancing its position as a top silver producer. This transaction adds a 44% joint venture interest in the high-grade Juanicipio silver mine in Mexico and full ownership of the Larder and Deer Trail exploration projects. The acquisition is expected to significantly boost Pan American’s silver reserves, production, and cash flow, while also welcoming MAG shareholders to a larger, diversified silver and gold producer. The MAG shares will be delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange and NYSE American, and Pan American is applying for MAG to cease being a reporting issuer under Canadian securities laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

COFECE Approves Pan American Silver’s Acquisition of MAG Silver
Aug 26, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Pan American Silver Corp. announced that the Mexican Federal Economic Competition Commission (COFECE) approved its acquisition of all issued and outstanding shares of MAG Silver Corp. The arrangement is expected to be completed by September 4, 2025, with MAG shareholders having until August 27, 2025, to choose between cash or a combination of cash and Pan American shares. This acquisition is significant for Pan American as it strengthens its position in the precious metals market, particularly in the Americas, and offers potential growth opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pan American Silver’s Acquisition of MAG Silver Approved by Mexican Authorities
Positive
Aug 25, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. has received approval from the Mexican Federal Economic Competition Commission for its acquisition of MAG Silver Corp., with the arrangement expected to be completed by September 4, 2025. This acquisition involves Pan American acquiring all outstanding common shares of MAG Silver, with shareholders having the option to receive cash or a combination of cash and Pan American shares. This strategic move is likely to enhance Pan American’s market position in the silver mining industry, while offering MAG shareholders a lucrative exit or investment opportunity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025