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Pan American Silver (TSE:PAAS)
TSX:PAAS
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Pan American Silver (PAAS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAAS

Pan American Silver

(TSX:PAAS)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$62.00
▲(25.51% Upside)
Pan American Silver's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to its high score. The company's strategic growth initiatives and robust financial health support a positive outlook. Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, while valuation metrics indicate fair pricing. Despite minor operational challenges, the overall sentiment remains optimistic.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Record revenue growth reflects strong demand and effective operational strategies, indicating a positive trajectory for future earnings.
Cash Generation
Robust cash generation enhances financial flexibility, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns, ensuring long-term stability.
Strategic Acquisition
Acquiring MAG Silver will likely increase production capacity and operational efficiency, strengthening market position and cost competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Gold Production Challenges
Challenges in gold production due to operational issues may impact revenue diversification and highlight potential inefficiencies in gold mining operations.
Operational Issues
Operational challenges at multiple sites could lead to increased costs and production inefficiencies, affecting overall profitability and growth potential.
Regulatory Delays
Regulatory delays at Escobal may hinder production timelines and financial performance, posing risks to operational planning and revenue forecasts.

Pan American Silver (PAAS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pan American Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPan American Silver Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper mines in Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia. It holds interests in the La Colorada, Dolores, Huaron, Morococha, Shahuindo, La Arena, Timmins West, Bell Creek, Manantial Espejo, San Vicente, Joaquin, Cap-Oeste Sur Este, and Navidad mines. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPan American Silver generates revenue primarily through the sale of precious metals, with silver being its core product, supplemented by gold and other by-products. The company employs a traditional mining revenue model, where it extracts ore from its mining operations, processes it to separate valuable metals, and then sells the refined products on the open market. Key revenue streams include direct sales of silver and gold, as well as by-products like zinc and lead from certain operations. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and resource access, contributing positively to its earnings. Factors such as global metal prices, production costs, and operational efficiency play significant roles in influencing the company’s profitability.

Pan American Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Pan American Silver delivered record financial results in Q2 2025, with substantial revenue, earnings, and cash flow achievements. The company is focused on growth through strategic acquisitions and capital investments. Despite some operational challenges affecting gold production and ongoing consultation delays at Escobal, the overall performance and financial health indicate a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Earnings
Pan American Silver reported record top line revenue of $811.9 million and net earnings of $189.6 million or $0.52 per share for Q2 2025.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Cash flow from operations before noncash working capital changes was a record $287.9 million, with free cash flow reaching $233 million and a cash balance of $1.1 billion.
Acquisition of MAG Silver
The proposed acquisition of MAG Silver, expected to close in the second half of 2025, aims to enhance silver production and reduce costs. MAG shareholders have already approved the transaction.
Increased Dividend
Pan American Silver announced a 20% increase in its dividend from $0.10 to $0.12 per common share.
Silver Production and Costs
Silver production in Q2 was 5.1 million ounces with all-in sustaining costs at $19.69 per ounce, at the low end of guidance.
Project Capital Investments
Investments of $73.7 million were made in sustaining and project capital, focusing on La Colorada, Skarn, Huaron, Timmins, and Jacobina mines.
Negative Updates
Gold Production Challenges
Gold production of 178,700 ounces in Q2 was slightly below guidance, affected by lower throughput and grades at Timmins and mine sequencing at El Peñon.
Geotechnical and Reconciliation Issues
Operations at Cerro Moro, El Peñon, Timmins, and Minera Florida faced negative grade reconciliation and geotechnical issues, impacting short-term production.
Escobal Consultation Process Delays
The consultation process with the Xinka Parliament for the Escobal mine continues without a specified completion date.
Company Guidance
During the Pan American Silver Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported a record-setting quarter with top-line revenue of $811.9 million and net earnings of $189.6 million or $0.52 per share. Adjusted earnings were $155.4 million or $0.43 per share. Record cash flow from operations before noncash working capital changes totaled $287.9 million, with free cash flow reaching $233 million, increasing the cash balance to $1.1 billion. A proposed acquisition of MAG Silver is expected to enhance silver production and reduce costs. Silver production was 5.1 million ounces with all-in sustaining costs of $19.69 per ounce, while gold production was 178,700 ounces with costs of $1,611 per ounce. The company maintained its guidance for 2025 silver and gold production and costs, with gold production expected to be more heavily weighted to the fourth quarter. Additionally, a 20% dividend increase was announced, and nearly 0.5 million shares were repurchased. Total available liquidity was approximately $1.9 billion, supporting growth opportunities.

Pan American Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pan American Silver exhibits solid financial performance with strong revenue growth, improved profitability, and robust cash flow generation. The company has effectively managed its cost structure and maintained a strong equity position with low leverage. Despite past challenges reflected in negative net income, the recent financial trajectory is positive, indicating stability and growth potential in the silver industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Pan American Silver has shown a strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Total Revenue of approximately $2.99 billion, up from $2.82 billion in the previous year, indicating a positive trend. The Gross Profit Margin improved significantly to 23.72% in TTM from 19.45% in the previous year, suggesting better cost management. Net Profit Margin also increased to 10.42% in TTM compared to 3.95% in the previous year. However, the company experienced negative net income in earlier years, highlighting past profitability challenges. The EBIT Margin improved to 23.67% in TTM, indicating enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with Stockholders' Equity at $4.82 billion. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio remains low at 0.17, indicating prudent debt management. The Equity Ratio stands at 66.84%, reflecting a strong equity base compared to total assets. However, fluctuations in total assets and liabilities over the years suggest some instability in financial structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with low leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Pan American Silver's cash flow performance is robust, with a TTM Operating Cash Flow of $837 million and Free Cash Flow of $533 million, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is notable at 33%, indicating improved discretionary cash availability. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.69 in TTM, showcasing efficient cash conversion from earnings. The company has managed capital expenditures effectively, supporting growth and liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.12B2.82B2.32B1.49B1.63B1.34B
Gross Profit877.30M548.50M214.60M48.36M367.94M360.18M
EBITDA1.41B1.05B476.80M-7.18M554.87M554.20M
Net Income522.66M111.50M-103.70M-340.06M97.43M177.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.36B7.20B7.21B3.25B3.52B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B887.30M440.90M142.34M335.27M279.06M
Total Debt820.70M803.30M801.60M226.84M45.86M33.56M
Total Liabilities2.39B2.49B2.44B1.05B882.58M828.04M
Stockholders Equity4.96B4.70B4.76B2.20B2.63B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow680.23M400.80M71.20M-242.78M148.63M283.76M
Operating Cash Flow969.44M724.10M450.20M31.91M392.11M462.31M
Investing Cash Flow5.68M-32.60M397.90M-255.40M-186.66M-83.92M
Financing Cash Flow-230.50M-225.20M-551.80M52.97M-85.91M-329.59M

Pan American Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price49.40
Price Trends
50DMA
50.79
Negative
100DMA
45.47
Positive
200DMA
40.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.65
Positive
RSI
43.36
Neutral
STOCH
30.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAAS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 49.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.86, below the 50-day MA of 50.79, and above the 200-day MA of 40.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:PAAS.

Pan American Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$20.85B24.4610.91%1.20%24.68%
$3.56B15.3211.63%13.55%5720.77%
$8.76B0.76%0.16%66.45%92.96%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
73.65%
C$2.43B152.08-3.11%130.83%-208.57%
$4.28B-3.52%-16.28%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAAS
Pan American Silver
49.40
18.33
59.02%
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
17.93
8.23
84.86%
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
11.59
4.91
73.50%
TSE:MAG
MAG Silver
34.38
12.18
54.83%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
14.92
-2.71
-15.37%
TSE:DSV
Discovery Silver
5.86
4.96
551.11%

Pan American Silver Corporate Events

Pan American Silver to Release Q3 2025 Results on November 12
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Pan American Silver Corp. announced that it will release its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025 after market close on November 12, 2025. A conference call and webcast are scheduled for November 13, 2025, to discuss these results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational progress, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pan American Silver Reports Updated Mineral Reserves and Resources
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. announced its estimated mineral reserves and resources as of June 30, 2025, reporting significant quantities of silver and gold. The company’s exploration program at La Colorada has successfully replaced production and added new high-grade silver zones, enhancing the life of its operations. The recent acquisition of MAG Silver Corp. has not been included in this report, but it adds substantial interests in the Juanicipio silver mine and other projects, potentially impacting future resource estimates.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pan American Silver Unveils High-Grade Discoveries at La Colorada Mine
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. has announced the discovery of multiple high-grade silver zones at its La Colorada mine in Zacatecas, Mexico, as part of its ongoing exploration efforts. The new drill results indicate potential for significant expansion of silver mineral resources, which could extend the mine’s life and improve its economic viability. The discoveries, particularly in the San Geronimo and Cristina zones, highlight opportunities for further resource expansion and underscore the company’s strong positioning in the silver mining industry. This development is expected to have positive implications for the company’s operations and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Hold with a C$45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Pan American Silver Completes Acquisition of MAG Silver, Strengthening Market Position
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. has completed its acquisition of MAG Silver Corp., enhancing its position as a top silver producer. This transaction adds a 44% joint venture interest in the high-grade Juanicipio silver mine in Mexico and full ownership of the Larder and Deer Trail exploration projects. The acquisition is expected to significantly boost Pan American’s silver reserves, production, and cash flow, while also welcoming MAG shareholders to a larger, diversified silver and gold producer. The MAG shares will be delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange and NYSE American, and Pan American is applying for MAG to cease being a reporting issuer under Canadian securities laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

COFECE Approves Pan American Silver’s Acquisition of MAG Silver
Aug 26, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Pan American Silver Corp. announced that the Mexican Federal Economic Competition Commission (COFECE) approved its acquisition of all issued and outstanding shares of MAG Silver Corp. The arrangement is expected to be completed by September 4, 2025, with MAG shareholders having until August 27, 2025, to choose between cash or a combination of cash and Pan American shares. This acquisition is significant for Pan American as it strengthens its position in the precious metals market, particularly in the Americas, and offers potential growth opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pan American Silver’s Acquisition of MAG Silver Approved by Mexican Authorities
Positive
Aug 25, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. has received approval from the Mexican Federal Economic Competition Commission for its acquisition of MAG Silver Corp., with the arrangement expected to be completed by September 4, 2025. This acquisition involves Pan American acquiring all outstanding common shares of MAG Silver, with shareholders having the option to receive cash or a combination of cash and Pan American shares. This strategic move is likely to enhance Pan American’s market position in the silver mining industry, while offering MAG shareholders a lucrative exit or investment opportunity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Pan American Silver Reports Record Earnings and Dividend Boost
Aug 8, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp., a leading producer of silver and gold, operates mines across the Americas and is known for its sustainable practices and operational excellence. The company recently reported record net earnings of $189.6 million for the second quarter of 2025, alongside a 20% increase in dividends. Key financial highlights include a revenue of $811.9 million, silver production of 5.1 million ounces, and gold production of 178.7 thousand ounces. The company also reported a record free cash flow of $233.0 million and a cash balance of $1.1 billion. Strategic announcements include the acquisition of MAG Silver Corp., expected to significantly boost silver production and reduce costs. Looking ahead, Pan American Silver maintains a positive outlook for 2025, reaffirming its production and cost guidance, with expectations of increased gold production in the latter part of the year.

Pan American Silver Shines in Earnings Call
Aug 8, 2025

Pan American Silver’s recent earnings call revealed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting strong financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company celebrated record revenue and free cash flow, bolstered by the acquisition of MAG Silver and an increase in dividends. However, challenges in gold production and delays in the Escobal consultation process were noted as operational hurdles.

Pan American Silver Announces Record Q2 2025 Earnings and Dividend Increase
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Pan American Silver Corp. reported its unaudited second-quarter results for 2025, highlighting record net earnings of $189.6 million and a 20% increase in dividends. This financial performance underscores the company’s strong operational efficiency and strategic positioning within the mining sector, potentially benefiting stakeholders through increased returns and market confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Pan American Silver Appoints Pablo Marcet to Board of Directors
Aug 6, 2025

Pan American Silver Corp. announced the appointment of Pablo Marcet to its Board of Directors on August 6, 2025. Marcet brings over 35 years of international mining experience, particularly in Latin America, and his appointment aligns with the company’s Board renewal strategy. His expertise in geology, environmental stewardship, and mine operations is expected to enhance Pan American’s governance and operational excellence, supporting its disciplined growth and long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAAS) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan American Silver stock, see the TSE:PAAS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 13, 2025