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Aya Gold & Silver (TSE:AYA)
TSX:AYA

Aya Gold & Silver (AYA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AYA

Aya Gold & Silver

(TSX:AYA)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$24.50
â–²(6.20% Upside)
The score is driven by strong growth and a conservative balance sheet, supported by positive operational momentum from the latest earnings call. Offsetting this are weak underlying profitability/cash flow trends and a highly unattractive valuation (very high P/E), while technicals show strength but appear overextended.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained TTM revenue growth of ~46.7% indicates expanding production or sales volumes and stronger market traction. Over 2–6 months this supports scale economies, improves bargaining power with suppliers/offtakers, and provides a larger base to fund sustaining capex and exploration.
Conservative Balance Sheet
Low leverage (D/E ~0.25) and a strong equity ratio give Aya financial flexibility through commodity cycles. This reduces refinancing risk, preserves access to liquidity for growth or downturns, and supports funding exploration and development without forcing dilutive capital raises.
Operational Ramp and Recoveries
Higher processing rates and 92.5% recoveries reflect durable operational improvements and plant reliability. Sustained throughput and recovery gains lower unit costs long-term, increase production predictability, and underpin the company's ability to convert resources into sustained output and cash flow.
Negative Factors
Weak Profitability
Persistent negative EBIT and net margins mean top-line gains are not translating into returns. Over months this undermines retained earnings, depresses ROE, and limits internal funding for capex or exploration; it raises dependence on external financing or equity issuance to sustain growth.
Cash Flow Execution Risk
Negative FCF growth indicates the business struggles to convert accounting profits into free cash. This constrains the firm’s ability to fund sustaining and growth capital, increases financing needs, and raises the likelihood of dilutive raises or debt use if operating cash conversion doesn't improve.
Cost and Grade/Dilution Pressure
Elevated input costs (notably cyanide) and reported open pit/underground grade and dilution issues impair unit economics. If persistent, these structural operational challenges raise sustaining costs, reduce recoverable ounces per tonne, and can erode margins and project NPVs over the medium term.

Aya Gold & Silver (AYA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aya Gold & Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metal properties in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, tungsten, molybdenum, uranium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the Zgounder property located approximately 265 kms east of Agadir in the Proterozoic Siroua Massif of the Anti-Atlas Range, Morocco. Aya Gold & Silver Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAya Gold & Silver generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and silver produced from its mining operations. The company operates several projects that contribute to its output, allowing it to capitalize on the rising prices of these precious metals. Key revenue streams include the direct sales of mined silver and gold, as well as potential future revenues from any joint ventures or partnerships with other mining firms, which may enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. Additionally, the company benefits from investments in exploration activities, which may lead to the discovery of new resources and subsequent increases in production capacity, ultimately contributing to its financial growth.

Aya Gold & Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and operational achievements, including record revenue and improved processing rates. However, challenges in managing production costs and open pit grades present ongoing concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Cash Flow
Aya Gold & Silver reported $54 million in revenue for Q3 2025 and generated $22 million in cash flow from operations, achieving record net income of $12.4 million ($0.09 per share).
Plant Processing Rate Exceeds Expectations
The plant's processing rate increased from 2,700 tonnes per day in Q1 to 4,000 tonnes per day in November 2025, surpassing the initial design capacity.
High Mill Recoveries and Availability
Mill recoveries were at 92.5% with plant availability at 96%, indicating strong operational performance.
Strong Cash Position
Aya Gold & Silver ended Q3 2025 with $129 million in unrestricted cash and an undrawn credit facility of $10 million from EBRD.
Positive Exploration Results
The company drilled 19,659 meters at Zgounder and 109,000 meters at Boumadine, with significant exploration potential in Morocco.
Negative Updates
Higher Production Costs
Production costs were higher than anticipated at $20 per ounce, with the target being $18.50, primarily due to increased cyanide prices.
Open Pit Grade Challenges
The company experienced lower grades in the open pit, which they are working to improve through better dilution management and ore recovery.
Underground Mining Concerns
There were historical issues with grade and dilution in underground mining, though improvements are being made.
Company Guidance
During Aya Gold & Silver's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance across multiple metrics. The company reported a strong production performance, producing 1,347,000 ounces of silver and achieving an impressive mill recovery rate of 92.5%. The mill plant's ramp-up has exceeded expectations, with the processing rate reaching 4,000 tonnes per day, although it's expected to stabilize between 3,700 and 3,800 tonnes. Financially, Aya reported $54 million in revenue and $22 million in operational cash flow for the quarter, finishing with $129 million in unrestricted cash and $16 million in restricted cash. Despite cost challenges primarily due to cyanide prices, the company maintained a strong margin, and they foresee further improvements with silver prices reaching $50. On the exploration front, Aya conducted significant drilling at its Zgounder and Boumadine sites, with Boumadine's PEA post-tax NPV estimated at $1.5 billion. The company also emphasized its commitment to ESG, advancing towards ISO 14001 environmental certification. Overall, Aya's financial health and operational advancements position it strongly for continued growth.

Aya Gold & Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth (46.67%) and a solid balance sheet with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25), but overall profitability remains weak (negative EBIT and net margins) and cash flow execution is a concern (negative free cash flow growth).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Aya Gold & Silver has shown a significant revenue growth rate of 46.67% in the TTM, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company struggles with profitability, as reflected by a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin. The gross profit margin has improved over the years, but the negative EBIT and net profit margins suggest challenges in managing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in the TTM, indicating a conservative leverage position. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders despite the low leverage.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a negative free cash flow growth rate and a high free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash from operations, but overall cash flow management remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue136.12M39.12M42.85M38.24M34.30M13.82M
Gross Profit38.81M5.38M15.81M10.28M16.01M4.04M
EBITDA25.77M-21.28M11.73M11.17M8.54M1.50M
Net Income2.47M-21.62M5.50M466.00K-307.00K-2.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets585.04M400.11M333.06M156.80M161.26M72.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments129.18M30.94M49.83M39.36M81.67M30.53M
Total Debt84.62M101.33M58.79M287.00K425.88K316.33K
Total Liabilities188.27M153.63M107.92M26.50M21.26M10.15M
Stockholders Equity396.92M246.48M220.72M125.72M132.95M61.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-31.43M-101.61M-106.25M-33.67M-2.74M-2.66M
Operating Cash Flow40.46M-8.62M21.19M9.65M17.54M1.28M
Investing Cash Flow-68.92M-94.01M-145.44M-48.46M-23.59M-6.48M
Financing Cash Flow104.68M88.48M133.35M440.60K57.91M18.29M

Aya Gold & Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price23.07
Price Trends
50DMA
21.08
Positive
100DMA
18.28
Positive
200DMA
15.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Positive
RSI
50.11
Neutral
STOCH
20.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AYA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 23.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.04, above the 50-day MA of 21.08, and above the 200-day MA of 15.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:AYA.

Aya Gold & Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.38B12.8642.17%―33.21%47.22%
76
Outperform
C$4.44B13.2615.63%―7.61%915.74%
73
Outperform
C$1.56B14.2747.13%―21.03%-48.39%
69
Neutral
C$3.20B91.153.54%0.29%37.50%-60.92%
62
Neutral
C$3.28B1,373.210.71%―241.04%-80.07%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$590.70M-19.33-26.19%――-5.25%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
23.07
11.00
91.14%
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
14.47
6.87
90.39%
TSE:SVM
Silvercorp Metals
14.54
9.82
208.18%
TSE:DV
Dolly Varden Silver
6.43
2.11
48.84%
TSE:SCZ
Santacruz Silver Mining
17.10
15.58
1025.00%
TSE:APM
Andean Precious Metals
9.29
7.67
473.46%

Aya Gold & Silver Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Aya Gold & Silver Sets 2026 Production Targets and Accelerates Boumadine Development
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

Aya Gold & Silver has issued its 2026 outlook, targeting total production of 6.2 to 6.8 million silver-equivalent ounces, largely driven by 5.2 to 5.8 million ounces from the Zgounder mine at an average cost of $21.50 per ounce, complemented by the commercialization of Boumadine pyrite stockpiles at a lower cash cost. The company plans to invest about $36 million in sustaining and growth capital at Zgounder, evaluate further plant capacity increases, accelerate feasibility and resource work at Boumadine, and execute an extensive 230,000‑metre drilling program, while also pursuing a U.S. listing in the first half of 2026 to broaden its investor base and support long-term growth and value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aya Gold & Silver Posts Strong 2025 Drilling Results, Expands Resources at Moroccan Projects
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

Aya Gold & Silver reported strong 2025 exploration results from its Zgounder and Boumadine projects in Morocco, underpinned by more than 175,000 metres of drilling and the addition of 16 new exploration permits that materially expand its land position. At Zgounder, drilling confirmed significant high-grade silver mineralization at depth and along strike, supporting an extension of the open pit and contributing to net growth in proven and probable reserves to 73 million ounces of silver and an increase in measured and indicated resources to 100 million ounces, both net of depletion. At Boumadine, the company delivered several high-grade polymetallic intercepts along the main trend, extended the Tizi zone to 2.2 kilometres, and published an updated mineral resource estimate showing a 19% increase in indicated resources, with substantial inferred resources and further upside given that most 2025 drilling is not yet incorporated, signalling continued potential to add ounces and enhance project scale.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aya Gold & Silver Lifts Moroccan Reserves and Resources on Back of Aggressive 2025 Drilling
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

Aya Gold & Silver reported a strong 2025 exploration campaign at its Zgounder and Boumadine properties in Morocco, where over 175,000 metres of drilling delivered multiple high-grade silver and silver-equivalent intercepts and supported both reserve and resource growth. At Zgounder, the company exceeded its drilling targets, confirmed significant mineralization at depth and along strike, and increased proven and probable silver reserves to 73 million ounces and measured and indicated resources to 100 million ounces, while expanding its exploration footprint through six additional permits. At Boumadine, Aya completed more than 150,000 metres of drilling, reported standout polymetallic intercepts across the main trend and the Tizi zone, delivered an updated mineral resource estimate showing a 19% increase in indicated resources, and added 10 new permits, underscoring substantial growth potential that is not yet fully captured in current resource figures and reinforcing the company’s position as a leading silver explorer in Morocco.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Aya Gold & Silver Secures Financial Completion for Zgounder Mine Expansion
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Aya Gold & Silver has achieved financial completion under its US$100 million project loan with the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development for the expansion of its Zgounder silver mine in Morocco, following a detailed technical and financial review that confirms the mine’s successful move to commercial production and compliance with financial and environmental-social commitments. The milestone reduces the company’s security guarantees and restricted cash requirements, underscores lender confidence in Zgounder’s performance above design capacity, and is expected to strengthen Aya’s free cash flow profile and support the next phase of growth for its Moroccan-focused precious metals portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aya Gold & Silver Announces Board Changes and Insider Share Sales
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

Aya Gold & Silver announced that long-serving board members Robert Taub, the chair and founding shareholder, and lead independent director Dr. Jürgen Hambrecht will retire from the board at the next annual meeting, after playing key roles in the company’s governance, strategic turnaround and value creation. In conjunction with the board transition, Taub and Hambrecht sold a combined 7.5 million shares in a secondary market transaction, while members of management sold about 1.1 million shares, described as ordinary portfolio management and largely tied to option exercises, with management retaining around 7.7 million securities and signaling ongoing confidence in Aya’s growth trajectory; the company plans to announce new board nominees and reaffirmed its commitment to strong independent oversight and alignment with long-term shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aya Gold & Silver Hits Record Q4 and 2025 Output at Moroccan Zgounder Mine
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Aya Gold & Silver reported record fourth-quarter 2025 operational results at its Zgounder mine in Morocco, delivering silver production of 1.37 million ounces, up 2% quarter-on-quarter, and achieving a record December output of 545,491 ounces. The mine ran well above nameplate capacity, with ore processed averaging 3,796 tonnes per day in Q4, mill availability at 99%, sustained silver recoveries above 91%, and a combined underground and open-pit mining rate of 4,187 tonnes per day that significantly increased stockpiled ore. For full-year 2025, silver production at Zgounder rose to 4.83 million ounces, a 193% increase year-on-year, supported by debottlenecking and process optimization, while initial commercialization of historical pyrite stockpiles at Boumadine added 172,129 silver-equivalent ounces, underpinning a step-change in the company’s production profile and positioning it for continued strong output in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$31.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aya Gold & Silver Confirms Strong Economics in Boumadine PEA Filing
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver has filed a NI 43-101-compliant Preliminary Economic Assessment technical report for its Boumadine polymetallic project in Morocco, confirming previously released figures and outlining a district-scale development combining open-pit and underground mining with a flotation plant producing zinc, lead and pyrite concentrates, with revenues largely driven by gold and silver. The assessment indicates robust project economics, including a post-tax net present value of US$1.5 billion and internal rate of return of 47% under base-case metal prices, low initial capex of US$446 million, projected mine life of 11 years with strong gold- and silver-equivalent production and competitive cash costs, suggesting Boumadine could become a major growth driver for Aya and materially strengthen its position in the precious metals sector as it advances toward a targeted feasibility study completion in 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Hold with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aya Gold & Silver Extends Zgounder Mine Life with Updated Technical Report
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver has announced an updated NI 43-101 Technical Report for its Zgounder Silver Mine, highlighting a new Life of Mine plan extending operations to 2036. The report indicates a robust increase in reserves and resources, supported by extensive drilling and a refined geological model, which enhances the reliability of the mine plan. With an average annual silver production of 6 million ounces over the next 11 years, the company is well-positioned for future growth, leveraging a capital-efficient open-pit strategy and a favorable market landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Hold with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aya Gold & Silver Announces High-Grade Silver Discoveries at Zgounder
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. announced significant high-grade silver drill results from its exploration program at the Zgounder Silver Mine in Morocco. The results highlight strong continuity of silver mineralization, with new intersections extending mineralization further west, potentially enhancing the company’s resource model and strengthening its position in the silver mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Hold with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aya Gold & Silver Unveils Record Mineral Intercept and New High-Grade Structure at Boumadine
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. announced its most significant mineralized intercept to date at the Boumadine project in Morocco, highlighting a record metal factor and the discovery of a new high-grade parallel structure. These findings underscore the potential for substantial resource growth and the project’s world-class scale, with the company planning to expand its drilling operations to further explore these promising results.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Aya Gold & Silver Launches Production from Legacy Boumadine Stockpile
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. has initiated commercial production from a historical stockpile of precious metal-rich pyrite concentrate at its Boumadine mining license in Morocco. This initiative aims to reduce the environmental impact of past operations while generating positive cash flow for the Boumadine project. The company has entered an offtake agreement for the stockpile, with plans to produce and ship an estimated 2.5 million silver-equivalent ounces over the next 20 to 24 months. The project capitalizes on favorable market conditions and supports environmental remediation efforts, marking a strategic step in Aya’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Hold with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aya Gold & Silver Achieves Record Q3 Revenue and Production
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver reported record financial and operational results for Q3-2025, driven by significant increases in silver production and sales. The company achieved record revenue of $54.3 million and net income of $12.4 million, supported by the ramp-up of the Zgounder plant and favorable silver prices. The successful ramp-up at Zgounder, coupled with positive economic assessments for the Boumadine project, positions Aya for long-term growth and value creation for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Buy with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aya Gold & Silver Unveils Promising Boumadine Project Assessment
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver has announced the results of its 2025 Preliminary Economic Assessment for the Boumadine Project in Morocco, highlighting a highly attractive and capital-efficient mining project. The assessment reveals robust economics with a post-tax NPV of $1.5 billion at base case prices, increasing to $3.0 billion at spot prices, and a rapid payback period. The project is characterized by low initial capital costs and competitive all-in sustaining costs, positioning it as one of the most attractive undeveloped precious metal projects globally. With an existing mining license and ongoing development, the project is set to significantly enhance Aya’s market positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Hold with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aya Gold & Silver Unveils Promising Boumadine Project PEA Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Aya Gold & Silver has announced the results of its 2025 Preliminary Economic Assessment for the Boumadine Project in Morocco, highlighting a highly attractive and capital-efficient mining operation. The project demonstrates robust economics with a post-tax NPV of $1.5 billion at base case prices and $3.0 billion at spot prices, alongside a rapid payback period and competitive all-in sustaining costs. The Boumadine Project is positioned as one of the most appealing undeveloped precious metal projects globally, with an existing mining license and ongoing development efforts to unlock further potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AYA) stock is a Hold with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aya Gold & Silver stock, see the TSE:AYA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026