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Andean Precious Metals (TSE:APM)
TSX:APM
Canadian Market

Andean Precious Metals (APM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:APM

Andean Precious Metals

(TSX:APM)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$11.00
▲(21.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (profitability and balance sheet strength) and supportive bullish technical trends. Valuation is only moderate due to the P/E level and no dividend yield data, while the latest earnings call was broadly positive but tempered by production challenges and lower-end production guidance.
Positive Factors
High margins & profitability
Sustained high gross and EBITDA margins indicate structurally efficient mining operations and cost control. Margins near these levels provide buffer through commodity cycles, support reinvestment and debt service, and imply the company converts production into durable operating profit over time.
Solid balance sheet
Low leverage and a strong equity ratio give Andean financial flexibility to fund exploration, absorb production variability, and pursue opportunistic financing. A sound capital structure reduces refinancing risk and supports multi‑year mine development and operating continuity.
Reliable San Bartolome production
High, consistent output from San Bartolome and strong site gross margins underpin predictable midterm metal supply. That operational backbone supports revenue stability, funds exploration to extend mine life, and strengthens the company's long‑term production profile.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow growth
A fall in free cash flow growth constrains internal funding for capex, exploration, and debt reduction. Over several quarters weaker FCF growth reduces optionality, may force external financing at inopportune times, and limits capacity to smooth production cycles.
Golden Queen operational risk
Operational timing and leach-cycle issues at Golden Queen show site-level execution risk that can depress consolidated output. Recurring technical problems lengthen payback periods for investments and can keep consolidated production at the low end of guidance for multiple quarters.
Commodity price exposure
Revenue and margins are inherently tied to silver and gold price cycles. Structural commodity volatility can produce prolonged revenue and cashflow swings, complicating multi‑year planning, capital allocation, and making earnings more sensitive to external market shocks.

Andean Precious Metals (APM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Andean Precious Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAndean Precious Metals Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and processing of mineral resource properties in the United States. The company primarily explores for silver and gold deposits. It holds 100% interest in San Bartolomé project in Bolivia; and the Soledad Mountain mine and heap leach located in Kern County, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Toronto, Canada. Andean Precious Metals Corp. operates as a subsidiary of PMB Partners LP.
How the Company Makes MoneyAndean Precious Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale of precious metals, particularly silver and gold, extracted from its mining operations. The company employs a revenue model that includes direct sales of metals to wholesalers and traders in the precious metals market. Key revenue streams are derived from the production of high-grade ore, which commands a premium price due to its quality. Additionally, APM may engage in strategic partnerships with other mining firms and financial institutions to enhance its operational efficiency and access broader markets. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuating market prices for silver and gold, the efficiency of its mining operations, and cost management strategies that optimize production expenses.

Andean Precious Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant financial achievements with record-breaking revenue, earnings, and cash flow. Strong operational performance at San Bartolome and successful exploration initiatives added to the positive outlook. However, production challenges at Golden Queen and expectations of meeting lower end production guidance tempered the overall sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Andean Precious Metals reported record revenue of $90.4 million, adjusted EBITDA of $36.8 million, and net income of $43.7 million, the highest in the company's history.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Liquid Assets
Generated $11.2 million of free cash flow and increased liquid assets to $121 million, up from $82 million a year ago.
Operational Excellence at San Bartolome
San Bartolome delivered strong performance with 1.4 million silver ounces produced and a gross margin ratio of 43.8%.
Exploration Success and Expansion
Extended Phase 3 exploration program at Golden Queen and secured exploration permits at San Bartolome, aiming to extend mine life and add new resources.
Strong Balance Sheet and Financial Flexibility
Total assets grew to $370.8 million, liabilities decreased to $145.2 million, and a base shelf prospectus was filed for up to $200 million of securities.
Negative Updates
Production Challenges at Golden Queen
Golden Queen faced production impacts due to leach cycle timing, resulting in lower production of 10,100 gold equivalent ounces and inventory build-up.
Production Guidance at Lower End
Consolidated production expected to finish near the lower end of guidance despite strong cost and margin performance.
Company Guidance
During the Andean Precious Metals third-quarter conference call, the company reported record financial performance metrics, including revenue of $90.4 million, adjusted EBITDA of $36.8 million, and net income of $43.7 million, resulting in $0.29 earnings per share. This period also saw free cash flow of $11.2 million and an increase in liquid assets to $121 million, up from $82 million the previous year. Operational highlights included strong silver production at San Bartolome, which contributed to the company meeting the high end of its guidance, despite Golden Queen facing temporary production challenges. The company maintained disciplined cost management, with a total CapEx of $0.6 million in the quarter, and expects year-end CapEx to align with guidance. Additionally, Andean filed a base shelf prospectus qualifying up to $200 million in securities, enhancing its capital market flexibility. The company anticipates finishing the year with consolidated production near the lower end of guidance but with solid cost and margin performance across operations.

Andean Precious Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and margins (TTM net margin 15.15%, EBITDA margin 32.03%) and a solid balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.29, equity ratio 60.84%) support the score. The main offset is weaker cash flow momentum, with TTM free cash flow growth down 10.32%.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Andean Precious Metals shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 7.97%. The company has improved its profitability significantly, with a gross profit margin of 41.06% and a net profit margin of 15.15% in the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 25.43% and 32.03%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, past volatility in revenue growth and profitability should be monitored.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 in the TTM, showing a decrease from previous years. Return on equity is strong at 26.07%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 60.84%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the company should continue to manage its debt levels carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 10.32% in the TTM, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.91, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The company should focus on improving free cash flow growth to enhance financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue298.94M254.00M125.32M108.05M144.21M166.27M
Gross Profit112.98M68.56M14.20M9.70M38.81M74.69M
EBITDA119.43M54.64M52.16M-2.68M30.72M50.43M
Net Income77.47M19.22M41.94M-10.09M4.27M58.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets370.82M315.09M269.89M133.86M140.29M147.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.37M100.98M70.07M86.07M91.45M52.20M
Total Debt52.67M70.32M47.46M0.000.0012.72K
Total Liabilities145.18M164.06M134.52M39.43M37.73M52.86M
Stockholders Equity225.64M151.04M135.37M94.43M102.56M94.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.65M32.87M3.34M-4.80M29.72M-32.51K
Operating Cash Flow65.03M53.92M9.46M-2.66M33.05M-32.51K
Investing Cash Flow-24.96M-57.39M-20.48M-3.61M-3.85M0.00
Financing Cash Flow-27.50M6.39M-9.47M702.45K19.08M0.00

Andean Precious Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.02
Price Trends
50DMA
9.85
Negative
100DMA
8.79
Positive
200DMA
6.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
47.89
Neutral
STOCH
49.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:APM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.42, below the 50-day MA of 9.85, and above the 200-day MA of 6.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:APM.

Andean Precious Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.48B5.0842.17%33.21%47.22%
76
Outperform
C$35.62B11.9316.72%0.88%25.04%
74
Outperform
C$19.04B47.668.02%0.12%88.70%
73
Outperform
C$5.15B9.9519.10%7.61%915.74%
73
Outperform
C$1.37B10.9147.13%21.03%-48.39%
71
Outperform
C$3.71B-29.08-2.37%0.29%37.50%-60.92%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:APM
Andean Precious Metals
9.53
7.94
499.37%
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
39.06
30.73
368.74%
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
16.88
10.47
163.34%
TSE:PAAS
Pan American Silver
84.42
49.17
139.50%
TSE:SVM
Silvercorp Metals
17.28
11.78
213.95%
TSE:SCZ
Santacruz Silver Mining
14.09
12.41
738.69%

Andean Precious Metals Corporate Events

Other
Andean Precious Metals’ Major Shareholder Sells C$95.6 Million in Secondary Share Offering
Neutral
Jan 28, 2026

Andean Precious Metals has closed a C$95.6 million bought secondary offering of 9.1 million common shares sold by major shareholder PMB Partners LP at C$10.50 per share, an initiative aimed at boosting the company’s free float and enhancing liquidity in its stock. The sale reduces PMB Partners’ ownership from about 53.2% to 47.2% of Andean’s outstanding shares, marking a modest step toward a more diversified shareholder base, while the company itself receives no proceeds from the transaction; PMB Partners and its affiliate retain flexibility to adjust their holdings further, including via capped call option transactions with a financial institution counterparty.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:APM) stock is a Buy with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Andean Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:APM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Andean Precious Metals CEO Launches C$83.1 Million Secondary Share Offering to Boost Liquidity
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

Andean Precious Metals’ founder, executive chairman and CEO Alberto Morales, through his entity PMB Partners LP, has launched a C$83.1 million bought public secondary offering of 7,915,000 common shares at C$10.50 per share, with National Bank Financial leading a syndicate of underwriters. The company itself will not receive any proceeds, as all funds go to the selling shareholder, but the transaction is designed to increase Andean’s public float, attract more institutional investors and improve trading liquidity, while Morales remains the largest shareholder with just under half of the outstanding shares and both he and the company committing to a 90‑day lock-up on further share sales or issuances.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:APM) stock is a Buy with a C$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Andean Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:APM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Andean Precious Metals Secures $40 Million Credit Facility to Enhance Financial Flexibility
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Andean Precious Metals has secured a new $40 million revolving credit facility from the National Bank of Canada, enhancing its financial flexibility and capital structure. This move allows Andean to streamline its capital structure by retiring existing credit facilities, thereby reducing costs and aligning with its growth plans, which is expected to support its strategic objectives and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:APM) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Andean Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:APM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Andean Precious Metals Achieves Record Financial Results in Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Andean Precious Metals reported a strong third quarter in 2025, achieving record revenues, EBITDA, and earnings per share, driven by higher metal prices and effective cost management. The company maintained robust operating margins despite production variances, with Golden Queen and San Bartolome mines performing well. The financial results have strengthened Andean’s balance sheet, providing flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities, while maintaining a strong financial position with significant liquid assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:APM) stock is a Buy with a C$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Andean Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:APM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026