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First Majestic Silver (TSE:AG)
:AG
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First Majestic Silver (AG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AG

First Majestic Silver

(NYSE:AG)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$13.50
▲(9.76% Upside)
First Majestic Silver's strong financial performance and positive corporate events are key strengths, driving the overall score. However, valuation concerns due to negative earnings impact the score negatively. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, further contributing to the positive assessment.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
First Majestic's record financial results and strengthened liquidity position significantly improve its strategic flexibility.
Operational Efficiency
Management increased its production forecast for Los Gatos, Santa Elena, and San Dimas due to higher throughput rates and better recovery rates, indicating improved operational efficiency.
Production Growth
The company produced 7.9M Silver Equivalent Ounces, marking a significant 48% year-over-year growth, largely due to the acquisition of 70% ownership in the Cerro Los Gatos mine.
Negative Factors
Production Decline
Production at Santa Elena decreased 10% year-over-year due to lower grade ores from the Ermitaño mine.
Silver Grade Issues
Lower silver grade at Encantada resulted in silver production of 561koz, which was 26% below the estimate.
Valuation Concerns
First Majestic shares are viewed as appropriately priced given its elevated relative valuation compared with peers, forming the basis of a Market Perform rating.

First Majestic Silver (AG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

First Majestic Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Majestic Silver Corp. is a Canadian mining company focused on silver production in Mexico. Established in 2002, the company operates several silver mines, including well-known properties such as the La Encantada, La Parrilla, San Dimas, and Santa Elena mines. First Majestic Silver is dedicated to sustainable mining practices and aims to increase its silver production while maintaining low costs. The company primarily produces silver but also extracts other metals, such as gold and lead, as by-products of its mining operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Majestic Silver generates revenue primarily through the sale of silver and other precious metals extracted from its mining operations. The company engages in both the direct sale of its mined silver and the sale of by-product metals such as gold, which further diversifies its income. Key revenue streams include the sale of silver bullion, concentrate sales, and the processing of ore from its mines. Additionally, First Majestic may enter into contracts with customers to secure pricing and volume, enhancing revenue stability. The company also benefits from rising silver prices, which can significantly impact profit margins. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and customers can further contribute to its revenue, especially in securing favorable terms for metal sales and resource procurement.

First Majestic Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as record cash flow, strong production numbers, and successful strategic acquisitions. However, challenges like stock performance pressure, currency fluctuation impacts, and exploration delays were noted. The positive aspects, including strong financial performance and strategic plans for 2025, outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cash Flow in Q4
First Majestic Silver reported record cash flow of $68 million in Q4, with significant cash flow improvements and an all-time low in reportable loss and incidents.
Santa Elena Production Milestone
Santa Elena achieved record production, breaking through 10 million ounces of production for the first time ever.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the year with a strong cash balance of $308 million and $364 million in liquidity.
Exploration and Production Guidance
The company plans a large exploration program for 2025, aiming for 270,000 meters of drilling. Production guidance for 2025 is set at 29 million silver equivalent ounces.
Successful Gatos Acquisition
The acquisition of Gatos is expected to significantly contribute to future production and synergies are being identified to lower costs.
Negative Updates
Pressure on Stock Performance
Pressure on First Majestic's stock performance due to liquidity events and shareholder position adjustments following the Gatos acquisition.
Fluctuating Mexican Peso Impact
Currency fluctuations, particularly the Mexican peso, have led to non-cash foreign exchange losses affecting bottom-line earnings.
Exploration Program Delays
The exploration program in 2024 was below target due to delays in permit approvals and contractor performance issues.
Company Guidance
During the First Majestic Silver 2024 Production and Results Financial Results and 2025 Guidance Conference Call, CEO Keith Neumeyer highlighted the company's accomplishments and future projections. In 2024, the company achieved a record cash flow of $68 million and met its guidance with 21.7 million ounces of silver equivalent production at an all-in sustaining cost of $21.11. Notably, the Santa Elena mine hit a record production of over 10 million ounces. The year ended with a robust cash balance of $308 million and total liquidity of $364 million. For 2025, First Majestic Silver is guiding a production midpoint of 29 million silver equivalent ounces, with 53% in silver, 30% in gold, and the remainder in lead and zinc. The company plans a significant exploration program, aiming to drill 270,000 meters, and is focusing on integrating the Gatos acquisition, which increased the workforce from 4,100 to 5,300 employees. A share buyback program is ongoing, and the company aims to maintain strong financial health with plans to increase its treasury.

First Majestic Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows strong revenue growth and cash flow management, but persistent net losses and negative ROE are significant concerns. The balance sheet is stable with reduced leverage.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows mixed results with strengths in revenue growth and gross profit margin. Total revenue increased from $563.6M to $703.1M TTM, indicating a solid growth trajectory. Gross profit margin improved to 22.2% in TTM from 16.3% in 2024. However, the company has been struggling with net losses over the past years, with a net loss of $82.1M in TTM, indicating challenges in cost management or market conditions. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 7.3% and 29.3% respectively in TTM suggest operational efficiency improvements, but negative net profit margin needs addressing.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.10 in TTM from 0.17 in 2024, indicating a decrease in leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) remains negative due to ongoing net losses, pointing to challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 60.0% in TTM suggests a solid asset base supported by equity, providing financial stability. The company appears well-positioned to meet its obligations with a cash reserve of $417.4M in TTM.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with operating cash flow rising to $195.0M in TTM from $152.0M in 2024, indicating improved cash generation. Free cash flow grew substantially by 33.3% to $49.1M in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting effective cash management despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is impacted by negative net income. Overall, the company demonstrates robust cash flow management, enhancing financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue703.06M563.63M576.38M626.85M587.23M366.68M
Gross Profit156.03M91.90M25.64M16.75M205.98M105.05M
EBITDA206.31M114.47M-54.50M88.95M156.09M98.08M
Net Income-82.08M-101.89M-135.11M-114.28M-4.92M23.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.03B1.98B1.98B2.11B2.12B1.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments417.38M251.96M187.96M185.97M264.41M274.90M
Total Debt234.37M236.62M256.51M247.94M221.09M173.28M
Total Liabilities1.20B628.72M618.24M698.71M714.02M387.28M
Stockholders Equity2.42B1.35B1.36B1.41B1.41B850.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.08M36.85M-90.37M-198.69M-120.24M-34.78M
Operating Cash Flow195.03M151.97M55.61M18.99M68.72M79.71M
Investing Cash Flow9.99M-114.16M-154.00M-213.80M-180.75M-127.11M
Financing Cash Flow47.78M42.41M64.65M113.89M111.82M116.57M

First Majestic Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.30
Price Trends
50DMA
11.51
Positive
100DMA
10.09
Positive
200DMA
9.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
59.97
Neutral
STOCH
94.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.70, above the 50-day MA of 11.51, and above the 200-day MA of 9.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AG.

First Majestic Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$2.97B13.1411.63%13.55%5720.77%
75
Outperform
$15.97B21.8310.91%1.29%24.68%
70
Outperform
C$5.98B-4.57%0.22%38.49%-77.99%
61
Neutral
$10.08B5.950.94%3.00%3.04%-41.02%
57
Neutral
$3.31B22.8917.75%1.70%73.65%
54
Neutral
C$1.69B152.08-4.59%88.60%-684.16%
48
Neutral
$3.13B-3.52%-16.28%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
12.24
4.71
62.46%
TSE:MAG
MAG Silver
31.62
14.27
82.23%
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
10.03
3.84
62.04%
TSE:PAAS
Pan American Silver
43.42
16.28
59.97%
TSE:DSV
Discovery Silver
3.98
3.12
362.79%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
11.91
-2.90
-19.58%

First Majestic Silver Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Majestic Silver Achieves Record Financial Results in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. reported record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a 48% increase in silver equivalent production and a 94% rise in quarterly revenue compared to the previous year. The company’s robust performance was driven by higher mine operating earnings, record EBITDA, and significant cash flow generation, highlighting its strong market positioning and operational efficiency. The integration of the Los Gatos Silver Mine is expected to bring further synergies and cost reductions, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Majestic Silver to Discuss Q2 2025 Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced it will host a conference call and webcast to discuss its second quarter 2025 production and earnings results, along with updated guidance. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s operational performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Majestic Silver Reports Strong Q2 2025 Production and Positive Outlook
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. reported a significant increase in production for Q2 2025, with 7.9 million silver equivalent ounces produced, marking a 48% year-over-year growth. This increase was driven by a 76% rise in silver production and a 17% increase at San Dimas, despite weather-related disruptions. The company has revised its 2025 guidance positively, reflecting improved production and cost targets, and has announced a new high-grade gold and silver discovery at the Santa Elena property. The integration of the Los Gatos mine is progressing well, contributing to the company’s strong operational performance and positioning it favorably in the current metal price environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Silver Unveils New Gold-Silver Discoveries at Santa Elena
Positive
May 28, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has announced a second significant discovery of gold-silver mineralization at the Santa Elena property in Sonora, Mexico, with the identification of the Santo Niño vein. This discovery, along with expanded drilling results from the Navidad discovery, highlights the growing potential of the Santa Elena district. The new findings are expected to extend the mine life and add value to First Majestic’s portfolio, reinforcing the district’s status as a prolific area for precious metal deposits.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
First Majestic Announces AGM Results and New Board Appointment
Neutral
May 21, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where shareholders voted in favor of all matters except the non-binding Say on Pay Advisory Vote. Ayesha Hira, a seasoned mining executive, was appointed to the Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in the mining sector and capital markets. This appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s strategic growth and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
First Majestic Silver Announces 2025 AGM and Urges Shareholder Participation
Neutral
May 14, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 20, 2025, in Vancouver, British Columbia. The company encourages shareholders to vote on the resolutions presented, with the Board of Directors recommending a ‘FOR’ vote on all resolutions. The meeting is significant for stakeholders as it involves decisions that could impact the company’s future operations and strategic direction. Shareholders are urged to participate either in person or through proxy voting, with assistance available from Kingsdale Advisors to facilitate the voting process.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025