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First Majestic Silver (TSE:AG)
TSX:AG
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First Majestic Silver (AG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AG

First Majestic Silver

(TSX:AG)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$12.50
▼(-1.50% Downside)
First Majestic Silver's strong earnings call performance and financial growth are offset by challenges in profitability and valuation concerns. The technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, while the company's strategic initiatives and exploration efforts provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company has delivered record financial performance during the quarter, highlighted by mine operating earnings of $63.8M.
Operational Efficiency
Management increased its production forecast for Los Gatos, Santa Elena, and San Dimas due to higher throughput rates and better recovery rates, indicating improved operational efficiency.
Revenue Growth
First Majestic reported a 94% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by the acquisition of Gatos Silver.
Negative Factors
Production Challenges
Production at Santa Elena decreased 10% year-over-year due to lower grade ores from the Ermitaño mine.
Valuation Concerns
First Majestic shares are viewed as appropriately priced given its elevated relative valuation compared with peers, forming the basis of a Market Perform rating.

First Majestic Silver (AG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

First Majestic Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Majestic Silver Corp. is a Canadian mining company focused on silver production in Mexico. Established in 2002, the company operates several silver mines, including well-known properties such as the La Encantada, La Parrilla, San Dimas, and Santa Elena mines. First Majestic Silver is dedicated to sustainable mining practices and aims to increase its silver production while maintaining low costs. The company primarily produces silver but also extracts other metals, such as gold and lead, as by-products of its mining operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Majestic Silver generates revenue primarily through the sale of silver and other precious metals extracted from its mining operations. The company engages in both the direct sale of its mined silver and the sale of by-product metals such as gold, which further diversifies its income. Key revenue streams include the sale of silver bullion, concentrate sales, and the processing of ore from its mines. Additionally, First Majestic may enter into contracts with customers to secure pricing and volume, enhancing revenue stability. The company also benefits from rising silver prices, which can significantly impact profit margins. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and customers can further contribute to its revenue, especially in securing favorable terms for metal sales and resource procurement.

First Majestic Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in production, revenue, and cash flow, with successful integration of new operations and strong exploration activities. While there were challenges related to cost inflation and operational disruptions, the overall financial performance and future growth prospects appear robust.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Silver Production
Silver production increased to 3.7 million ounces, up 76% year-over-year.
Record Quarterly Revenue
Quarterly revenue reached $268 million, up 94% year-over-year, indicating strong financial performance.
Record EBITDA and Cash Position
Achieved a record EBITDA of $120 million and a cash position of $510 million, showcasing financial robustness.
Gatos Integration Success
The integration of Cerro Los Gatos was smooth and successful, enhancing operational efficiencies.
Strong Exploration and Development
Record spending on exploration with 255,000 meters expected to be drilled and 20 rigs active, indicating future growth potential.
Negative Updates
Cost Inflation Impact
Inflationary pressures led to increased costs, particularly in the Mexican mining sector, affecting operational expenses.
Energy Disruptions
Experienced energy disruptions and weather events in June, impacting operations at San Dimas.
Misreported Revenue and Loss by Media
Media erroneously reported a 30% revenue miss and a loss, causing confusion in the market.
Company Guidance
During the First Majestic Silver 2025 Q2 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics and achievements. The company reported a record quarterly revenue of $268 million, representing a 94% increase year-over-year, and an EBITDA of $120 million. Silver production reached 3.7 million ounces, marking a 76% increase year-over-year, while silver equivalent production stood at 7.9 million ounces, up 48% year-over-year. First Majestic Silver also noted a strong cash position of $510 million and a growing treasury. The company is on track to achieve its guidance of 30 to 32 million silver equivalent ounces for the year, with significant investments in exploration, including 255,000 meters expected to be drilled this year. Additionally, the integration of Cerro Los Gatos was highlighted as smooth, with synergies being realized across operations. The company emphasized its strong balance sheet, continued dividend payments, and ongoing strategic initiatives to sustain production and improve efficiencies across its mines.

First Majestic Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Majestic Silver shows strong revenue growth and cash flow improvements, with a solid balance sheet and low leverage. However, profitability remains a challenge, with a negative net profit margin and return on equity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
First Majestic Silver's income statement shows a positive trajectory with a significant revenue growth rate of 18.2% TTM, indicating strong sales performance. The gross profit margin improved to 22.2% TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -11.7% TTM, suggesting challenges in achieving profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved to 6.3% and 29.3% TTM, respectively, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of First Majestic Silver is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.097 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a strong capital base. However, the return on equity is negative at -5.0% TTM, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement shows robust growth in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 103.3% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.06 TTM, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.25 TTM, indicating room for improvement in translating profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue831.05M563.63M576.38M626.85M587.23M366.68M
Gross Profit189.91M91.90M25.64M16.75M205.98M105.05M
EBITDA304.22M114.47M-54.50M88.95M156.09M98.08M
Net Income22.75M-101.89M-135.11M-114.28M-4.92M23.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.09B1.98B1.98B2.11B2.12B1.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments466.58M251.96M187.96M185.97M264.41M274.90M
Total Debt234.19M236.62M256.51M247.94M221.09M173.28M
Total Liabilities1.19B628.72M618.24M698.71M714.02M387.28M
Stockholders Equity2.50B1.35B1.36B1.41B1.41B850.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow99.77M36.85M-90.37M-198.69M-120.24M-34.78M
Operating Cash Flow268.29M151.97M55.61M18.99M68.72M79.71M
Investing Cash Flow-8.93M-114.16M-154.00M-213.80M-180.75M-127.11M
Financing Cash Flow-27.17M42.41M64.65M113.89M111.82M116.57M

First Majestic Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.69
Price Trends
50DMA
11.91
Positive
100DMA
10.61
Positive
200DMA
9.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
56.85
Neutral
STOCH
50.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.34, above the 50-day MA of 11.91, and above the 200-day MA of 9.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AG.

First Majestic Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$6.13B0.76%0.22%66.45%92.96%
62
Neutral
$10.28B6.210.76%2.84%3.10%-36.03%
$2.34B14.1611.63%
$2.50B24.4517.75%1.62%
$12.18B23.6210.91%1.21%
51
Neutral
C$2.07B152.08-3.11%130.83%-208.57%
$2.49B-3.52%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
12.69
6.42
102.39%
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp
7.67
3.47
82.62%
MAG
MAG Silver
24.47
12.85
110.59%
PAAS
Pan American Silver
34.60
16.11
87.13%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
14.95
1.95
15.00%
DSVSF
Discovery Silver
3.25
2.85
712.50%

First Majestic Silver Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Majestic Silver Achieves Record Financial Results in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. reported record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a 48% increase in silver equivalent production and a 94% rise in quarterly revenue compared to the previous year. The company’s robust performance was driven by higher mine operating earnings, record EBITDA, and significant cash flow generation, highlighting its strong market positioning and operational efficiency. The integration of the Los Gatos Silver Mine is expected to bring further synergies and cost reductions, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Majestic Silver to Discuss Q2 2025 Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced it will host a conference call and webcast to discuss its second quarter 2025 production and earnings results, along with updated guidance. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s operational performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Majestic Silver Reports Strong Q2 2025 Production and Positive Outlook
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. reported a significant increase in production for Q2 2025, with 7.9 million silver equivalent ounces produced, marking a 48% year-over-year growth. This increase was driven by a 76% rise in silver production and a 17% increase at San Dimas, despite weather-related disruptions. The company has revised its 2025 guidance positively, reflecting improved production and cost targets, and has announced a new high-grade gold and silver discovery at the Santa Elena property. The integration of the Los Gatos mine is progressing well, contributing to the company’s strong operational performance and positioning it favorably in the current metal price environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Silver Unveils New Gold-Silver Discoveries at Santa Elena
Positive
May 28, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has announced a second significant discovery of gold-silver mineralization at the Santa Elena property in Sonora, Mexico, with the identification of the Santo Niño vein. This discovery, along with expanded drilling results from the Navidad discovery, highlights the growing potential of the Santa Elena district. The new findings are expected to extend the mine life and add value to First Majestic’s portfolio, reinforcing the district’s status as a prolific area for precious metal deposits.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
First Majestic Announces AGM Results and New Board Appointment
Neutral
May 21, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where shareholders voted in favor of all matters except the non-binding Say on Pay Advisory Vote. Ayesha Hira, a seasoned mining executive, was appointed to the Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in the mining sector and capital markets. This appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s strategic growth and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
First Majestic Silver Announces 2025 AGM and Urges Shareholder Participation
Neutral
May 14, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 20, 2025, in Vancouver, British Columbia. The company encourages shareholders to vote on the resolutions presented, with the Board of Directors recommending a ‘FOR’ vote on all resolutions. The meeting is significant for stakeholders as it involves decisions that could impact the company’s future operations and strategic direction. Shareholders are urged to participate either in person or through proxy voting, with assistance available from Kingsdale Advisors to facilitate the voting process.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025