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First Majestic Silver (TSE:AG)
TSX:AG

First Majestic Silver (AG) AI Stock Analysis

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First Majestic Silver

(TSX:AG)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$12.50
▲(9.55%Upside)
First Majestic Silver's overall score is driven by strong financial growth and positive corporate events, partially offset by valuation concerns and profitability challenges. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, but the stock is nearing overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
First Majestic's record financial results and strengthened liquidity position significantly improve its strategic flexibility.
Growth Initiatives
First Majestic is well-equipped to accelerate a wide array of growth initiatives based on its significant free cash flow generation.
Operational Efficiency
Operational improvements at San Dimas resulted in a strong quarter, with throughput exceeding forecasts by 22%.
Negative Factors
Commodity Price Risk
Risks include commodity price risk, operating and technical risks, political risk, and country-related risk.
Silver Production
Lower silver grade at Encantada resulted in silver production of 561koz, which was 26% below the estimate.
Valuation
First Majestic shares are viewed as appropriately priced given its elevated relative valuation compared with peers, forming the basis of a Market Perform rating.

First Majestic Silver (AG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

First Majestic Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties with a focus on silver and gold production in North America. Its projects include the San Dimas mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, México; and the La Encantada covering an area of approximately 4,076 hectares located in Coahuila State, México. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Majestic Silver generates revenue primarily through the sale of silver and, to a lesser extent, gold that it extracts from its mining operations. The company's key revenue streams come from its operating silver mines, including San Dimas, Santa Elena, and La Encantada, where silver is mined, processed, and then sold to various markets. Additionally, First Majestic benefits from its focus on cost-efficient mining processes and strategic acquisitions that enhance its production capacity. The company may also engage in hedging activities to manage the risks associated with fluctuating metal prices, although its primary income remains closely tied to the market prices of silver and gold.

First Majestic Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 32.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as record cash flow, strong production numbers, and successful strategic acquisitions. However, challenges like stock performance pressure, currency fluctuation impacts, and exploration delays were noted. The positive aspects, including strong financial performance and strategic plans for 2025, outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cash Flow in Q4
First Majestic Silver reported record cash flow of $68 million in Q4, with significant cash flow improvements and an all-time low in reportable loss and incidents.
Santa Elena Production Milestone
Santa Elena achieved record production, breaking through 10 million ounces of production for the first time ever.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the year with a strong cash balance of $308 million and $364 million in liquidity.
Exploration and Production Guidance
The company plans a large exploration program for 2025, aiming for 270,000 meters of drilling. Production guidance for 2025 is set at 29 million silver equivalent ounces.
Successful Gatos Acquisition
The acquisition of Gatos is expected to significantly contribute to future production and synergies are being identified to lower costs.
Negative Updates
Pressure on Stock Performance
Pressure on First Majestic's stock performance due to liquidity events and shareholder position adjustments following the Gatos acquisition.
Fluctuating Mexican Peso Impact
Currency fluctuations, particularly the Mexican peso, have led to non-cash foreign exchange losses affecting bottom-line earnings.
Exploration Program Delays
The exploration program in 2024 was below target due to delays in permit approvals and contractor performance issues.
Company Guidance
During the First Majestic Silver 2024 Production and Results Financial Results and 2025 Guidance Conference Call, CEO Keith Neumeyer highlighted the company's accomplishments and future projections. In 2024, the company achieved a record cash flow of $68 million and met its guidance with 21.7 million ounces of silver equivalent production at an all-in sustaining cost of $21.11. Notably, the Santa Elena mine hit a record production of over 10 million ounces. The year ended with a robust cash balance of $308 million and total liquidity of $364 million. For 2025, First Majestic Silver is guiding a production midpoint of 29 million silver equivalent ounces, with 53% in silver, 30% in gold, and the remainder in lead and zinc. The company plans a significant exploration program, aiming to drill 270,000 meters, and is focusing on integrating the Gatos acquisition, which increased the workforce from 4,100 to 5,300 employees. A share buyback program is ongoing, and the company aims to maintain strong financial health with plans to increase its treasury.

First Majestic Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Majestic Silver shows strong revenue growth and cash flow management, but ongoing net losses and negative ROE indicate profitability challenges. A solid equity base and reduced leverage suggest financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows mixed results with strengths in revenue growth and gross profit margin. Total revenue increased from $563.6M to $703.1M TTM, indicating a solid growth trajectory. Gross profit margin improved to 22.2% in TTM from 16.3% in 2024. However, the company has been struggling with net losses over the past years, with a net loss of $82.1M in TTM, indicating challenges in cost management or market conditions. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 7.3% and 29.3% respectively in TTM suggest operational efficiency improvements, but negative net profit margin needs addressing.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.10 in TTM from 0.17 in 2024, indicating a decrease in leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) remains negative due to ongoing net losses, pointing to challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 60.0% in TTM suggests a solid asset base supported by equity, providing financial stability. The company appears well-positioned to meet its obligations with a cash reserve of $417.4M in TTM.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with operating cash flow rising to $195.0M in TTM from $152.0M in 2024, indicating improved cash generation. Free cash flow grew substantially by 33.3% to $49.1M in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting effective cash management despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is impacted by negative net income. Overall, the company demonstrates robust cash flow management, enhancing financial flexibility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
703.06M563.63M576.38M626.85M587.23M366.68M
Gross Profit
156.03M91.90M25.64M16.75M101.42M105.05M
EBIT
51.00M-3.75M-178.78M-50.54M49.20M40.36M
EBITDA
206.31M114.47M-54.50M88.95M165.56M105.02M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-82.08M-101.89M-135.11M-114.28M-4.92M23.09M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
187.96M251.96M187.96M185.97M264.41M274.90M
Total Assets
1.98B1.98B1.98B2.11B2.12B1.24B
Total Debt
256.51M236.62M256.51M247.94M221.09M173.28M
Net Debt
130.93M34.44M130.93M96.51M-16.83M-65.30M
Total Liabilities
618.24M628.72M618.24M698.71M714.02M387.28M
Stockholders Equity
1.36B1.35B1.36B1.41B1.41B850.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
49.08M36.85M-90.37M-198.69M-120.24M-34.78M
Operating Cash Flow
195.03M151.97M55.61M18.99M68.72M79.71M
Investing Cash Flow
9.99M-114.16M-154.00M-213.80M-180.75M-127.11M
Financing Cash Flow
47.78M42.41M64.65M113.89M111.82M116.57M

First Majestic Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.41
Price Trends
50DMA
8.79
Positive
100DMA
8.68
Positive
200DMA
8.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.74
Negative
RSI
77.32
Negative
STOCH
89.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.08, above the 50-day MA of 8.79, and above the 200-day MA of 8.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.32 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AG.

First Majestic Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAG
64
Neutral
$5.55B-4.57%0.24%38.49%-77.99%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.15-21.37%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
FSFSM
$2.18B13.3512.07%
MAMAG
$2.19B23.8716.27%0.94%
$10.36B33.406.56%1.37%
TSAYA
66
Neutral
C$1.90B152.08-4.59%88.60%-684.16%
$1.98B-24.80%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
11.46
2.99
35.30%
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp
6.87
1.86
37.13%
MAG
MAG Silver
21.19
8.74
70.20%
PAAS
Pan American Silver
28.49
8.57
43.02%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
14.52
0.49
3.49%
DSVSF
Discovery Silver
2.43
1.71
237.50%

First Majestic Silver Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Silver Unveils New Gold-Silver Discoveries at Santa Elena
Positive
May 28, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has announced a second significant discovery of gold-silver mineralization at the Santa Elena property in Sonora, Mexico, with the identification of the Santo Niño vein. This discovery, along with expanded drilling results from the Navidad discovery, highlights the growing potential of the Santa Elena district. The new findings are expected to extend the mine life and add value to First Majestic’s portfolio, reinforcing the district’s status as a prolific area for precious metal deposits.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
First Majestic Announces AGM Results and New Board Appointment
Neutral
May 21, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where shareholders voted in favor of all matters except the non-binding Say on Pay Advisory Vote. Ayesha Hira, a seasoned mining executive, was appointed to the Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in the mining sector and capital markets. This appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s strategic growth and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
First Majestic Silver Announces 2025 AGM and Urges Shareholder Participation
Neutral
May 14, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 20, 2025, in Vancouver, British Columbia. The company encourages shareholders to vote on the resolutions presented, with the Board of Directors recommending a ‘FOR’ vote on all resolutions. The meeting is significant for stakeholders as it involves decisions that could impact the company’s future operations and strategic direction. Shareholders are urged to participate either in person or through proxy voting, with assistance available from Kingsdale Advisors to facilitate the voting process.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AG) stock is a Hold with a C$11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Majestic Silver stock, see the TSE:AG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Majestic Silver Reports Record Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. reported record financial results for Q1 2025, highlighting a historic cash position of $462.6 million and a significant increase in silver production by 88% year-over-year. The company achieved record quarterly revenue of $243.9 million, driven by strong silver sales, and improved its liquidity position to $544.4 million. These results underscore First Majestic’s robust operational performance and strategic positioning in the precious metals market, reflecting a positive outlook for stakeholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Silver Achieves Record Mineral Reserves and Resources in 2024
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced significant increases in its 2024 Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates, marking a record milestone for the company. The strategic acquisition of Gatos Silver and a successful exploration program led to a 45% increase in Proven and Probable Reserves and a 25% increase in Measured and Indicated Resources. These developments enhance the company’s operational capacity and strengthen its position in the silver and gold mining industry.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Silver Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has appointed Daniel Muñiz Quintanilla to its Board of Directors, bringing his extensive experience in international law, mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, and finance in the mining and infrastructure industries. This strategic move is expected to enhance First Majestic’s operations and relationships in Mexico, supporting its vision of becoming the leading primary silver company globally.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.