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Fortuna Mining Corp (TSE:FVI)
:FVI

Fortuna Mining Corp (FVI) AI Stock Analysis

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Fortuna Mining Corp

(NYSE:FVI)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$10.50
▲(16.54%Upside)
Fortuna Silver Mines' overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. The technical analysis indicates a stable upward trend, while the reasonable valuation supports the score. Safety concerns and production challenges were noted, but strategic initiatives and shareholder confidence mitigate these risks.
Positive Factors
Operational Performance
Higher than forecasted throughput at Séguéla and Yaramoko offset a slightly weaker quarter at Lindero.
Production Guidance
2025 production guidance was announced at 380-422koz AuEq, ahead of the 373koz forecast.
Share Buybacks
Fortuna continued to repurchase shares, with $4.16M in buybacks during the quarter.
Negative Factors
Cost Guidance
2025 AISC guidance of $1,550-$1,680/oz AuEq is above the $1,437/oz estimate on higher sustaining capex.
Production Estimates
Q4 production of 116.4koz AuEq was slightly below the 121.1koz estimate.

Fortuna Mining Corp (FVI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fortuna Mining Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortuna Silver Mines Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and mining of precious and base metal deposits in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d'Ivoire. It holds interest in the Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine located in southern Peru; the San Jose silver and gold mine situated in southern Mexico; the Lindero gold project located in Argentina; Yaramoko gold mine situated in south western Burkina Faso; and Séguéla gold mine located in south western Côte d'Ivoire. The company was formerly known as Fortuna Ventures Inc. and changed its name to Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. in June 2005. Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortuna Silver Mines generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of precious metals, including silver, gold, and to a lesser extent, base metals such as lead and zinc. The company owns and operates several mines, including the San Jose Mine in Mexico, the Caylloma Mine in Peru, and the Lindero Mine in Argentina. These mining operations involve the exploration, development, and extraction of metal ores, which are then processed and refined into saleable products. Fortuna sells these refined metals to various customers, including metal traders, smelters, and refineries, based on prevailing market prices. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as metal prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Additionally, Fortuna may enter into strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its production capacity or acquire new projects, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Fortuna Mining Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record free cash flow, cost reductions, and increased net income, reflecting effective cost management and high gold prices. However, the call was overshadowed by a tragic safety incident and challenges such as decreased production at Lindero and the closure of high-cost mines.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow from ongoing operations hit a record $111 million, surpassing the previous quarter's $96 million, with a free cash flow margin of 38%.
Cost Reduction Success
Cash cost per ounce decreased to $929 from $1,015 in the previous quarter, while consolidated all-in sustaining costs were reduced to $1,640 from $1,772.
Net Income Increase
Net income from continued operations increased to $61.7 million, or $0.20 per share, up from $11 million, or $0.04 per share in Q4.
Strong Gold Production
Produced 103,000 gold equivalent ounces, keeping within production guidance with Séguéla outperforming expectations by 4,000 ounces.
Improved Financial Position
Net cash position more than doubled to $137 million, and total liquidity rose to $462 million from $381 million.
Negative Updates
Tragic Safety Incident
A subcontractor lost his life at the Séguéla mine, highlighting ongoing safety challenges despite improvements in injury frequency rates.
Lindero Production Decrease
Gold production at Lindero decreased by 24% compared to the previous quarter, primarily due to reduced ore grade and leach kinetics timing.
Closure of High-Cost Mines
Sale of the high-cost San Jose and Yaramoko mines, which were reaching the end of their mine life, indicating a shift in focus away from these assets.
Company Guidance
In the Q1 2025 financial and operational results call, Fortuna Mining Corporation reported another record quarter, significantly driven by strong gold prices and effective cost management. The company achieved a record free cash flow from operations of $111 million, up from $96 million in Q4, resulting in a free cash flow margin of 38%. Sales were $290 million, with 103,000 gold equivalent ounces produced. Notably, Fortuna reduced its cash cost per ounce to $929 from $1,015 in Q4, and the all-in sustaining cost was $1,640, down from $1,772. Net income from continued operations was $61.7 million, or $0.20 per share, a substantial increase from $11 million, or $0.04 per share, in Q4. The company also highlighted its strong liquidity position, with net cash more than doubling to $137 million and total liquidity rising to $462 million. The sale of the San Jose and Yaramoko mines were strategic moves to reallocate approximately $50 million towards more valuable opportunities, aligning with long-term strategic objectives. Additionally, Fortuna reported zero lost time injuries in Q1, despite a tragic incident at Séguéla. The company remains committed to safety and advancing its growth and exploration projects, with a $51 million budget allocated for 2025.

Fortuna Mining Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fortuna Silver Mines exhibits strong financial health across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow. The company shows robust profitability, efficient operations, and a solid financial position with low leverage. Additionally, the firm demonstrates effective cash management and growth in free cash flow, positioning it well for future growth and stability in the volatile silver industry.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Fortuna Silver Mines shows strong performance in its income statement for the TTM period. The gross profit margin is robust at 34.56%, and the net profit margin is solid at 14.28%. The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth from 2024 to the TTM period, with a growth rate of 6.13%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 24.20% and 46.60% respectively, indicating efficient operations and strong earnings before interest and taxes. These metrics highlight the company's profitability and positive growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.14, suggesting conservative leverage and a strong equity position. Return on equity is 11.03%, reflecting an effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 66.78%, indicating a solid proportion of assets financed by stockholders' equity. Overall, Fortuna Silver Mines maintains a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels and a good return on equity.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive trends for Fortuna Silver Mines. The free cash flow growth rate is an impressive 48.92%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.75, suggesting strong operating cash flow relative to net income. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.50, highlighting efficient conversion of income into free cash. These metrics underscore the company's ability to generate and manage cash effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.13B1.06B842.43M681.49M599.85M278.97M
Gross Profit389.57M343.61M190.03M146.80M205.48M110.22M
EBITDA525.36M471.21M233.78M59.05M242.05M106.62M
Net Income160.99M128.74M-50.84M-135.91M57.88M21.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.19B2.12B1.97B1.88B2.02B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments309.40M231.33M128.15M80.57M107.51M132.96M
Total Debt197.88M194.01M264.25M240.52M186.89M178.11M
Total Liabilities657.84M649.46M679.74M587.53M592.35M329.57M
Stockholders Equity1.46B1.40B1.24B1.24B1.38B725.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow241.11M161.90M79.59M-56.99M-5.15M-20.94M
Operating Cash Flow443.11M365.68M296.91M194.25M147.14M93.39M
Investing Cash Flow-195.43M-194.44M-216.88M-255.33M-118.50M-113.65M
Financing Cash Flow-27.94M-66.14M-32.72M38.47M-51.42M68.91M

Fortuna Mining Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.01
Price Trends
50DMA
8.62
Positive
100DMA
8.19
Positive
200DMA
7.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
51.46
Neutral
STOCH
31.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FVI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.26, above the 50-day MA of 8.62, and above the 200-day MA of 7.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FVI.

Fortuna Mining Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSFVI
78
Outperform
C$2.77B12.3812.07%30.33%
TSSVM
76
Outperform
$1.38B15.969.62%0.73%31.23%110.49%
TSAG
64
Neutral
C$5.60B-4.57%0.28%38.49%-77.99%
TSAYA
58
Neutral
C$1.74B152.08-4.59%88.60%-684.16%
TSMAG
57
Neutral
$2.99B23.3916.27%11.54%61.66%
TSDSV
48
Neutral
C$2.38B-24.80%-26.88%
44
Neutral
C$976.20M-6.71-13.35%2.69%17.20%-32.62%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
9.01
1.92
27.08%
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
11.55
3.05
35.88%
TSE:MAG
MAG Silver
29.08
12.62
76.64%
TSE:SVM
Silvercorp Metals
6.33
1.57
33.04%
TSE:DSV
Discovery Silver
2.97
2.02
212.63%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
12.21
-1.99
-14.01%

Fortuna Mining Corp Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Corp. Announces Positive 2025 AGM Voting Results
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. announced the results of its 2025 annual general meeting, where shareholders voted in favor of all business matters, including the appointment of auditors and election of directors. The meeting saw participation of 61.54% of the issued shares, indicating strong shareholder engagement. This outcome supports Fortuna’s strategic direction and reinforces confidence in its leadership, potentially impacting its market position positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Corp. Strengthens Côte d’Ivoire Exploration with Strategic Investment in Awalé Resources
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has strategically invested in Awalé Resources Limited by acquiring 15,037,593 common shares, representing a 15% stake in the company. This investment is part of Fortuna’s long-term growth strategy to enhance its exploration pipeline in Côte d’Ivoire, particularly at Awalé’s Odienné Project. The acquisition was made through a non-brokered private placement for US$6,000,000, and Fortuna has entered into an investor rights agreement to maintain its interest in Awalé through future equity financings. This move is expected to strengthen Fortuna’s market position and exploration capabilities in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Reports Promising Gold Intercepts at Diamba Sud Project
Positive
May 27, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has announced significant exploration results from its Diamba Sud Gold Project in Senegal, highlighting promising gold intercepts at the Southern Arc prospect. The drilling results, including 8.6 g/t gold over 13.6 meters, suggest strong potential for near-term resource growth, enhancing the project’s value and reinforcing Fortuna’s strategic positioning in the gold mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Silver Mines stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Corp. Releases 2024 Sustainability Report Highlighting ESG Achievements
Positive
May 21, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has released its 2024 Sustainability Report, emphasizing its commitment to sustainability as a strategic imperative. The report details the company’s progress in governance, risk management, and ESG factors, highlighting achievements such as zero fatal incidents, industry-leading greenhouse gas emissions intensity, and significant community contributions. These efforts aim to strengthen relationships with stakeholders and create lasting social and environmental value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Silver Mines stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Silver Mines Streamlines Portfolio with Yaramoko Mine Sale
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Fortuna Silver Mines has completed the divestiture of its Yaramoko Mine in Burkina Faso, selling it to Soleil Resources International Ltd. for $70 million. This move is part of Fortuna’s strategy to streamline its asset portfolio, reallocating capital and management resources to pursue higher-value opportunities. The sale increases the company’s liquidity and allows it to exit a challenging operational and security environment. Following this divestiture, Fortuna has updated its 2025 production and cost guidance, reflecting an 18% reduction in gold equivalent production and a 6% increase in all-in sustaining costs, primarily due to the exclusion of Yaramoko’s contribution.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Silver Mines stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fortuna Silver Mines Achieves Record Cash Flow and Strategic Divestments in Q1 2025
Positive
May 8, 2025

Fortuna Silver Mines reported a record free cash flow of $111.3 million for the first quarter of 2025, marking a 30% increase quarter over quarter. The company achieved a significant improvement in its free cash flow margin, driven by higher gold prices and reduced all-in-sustaining costs. Fortuna’s strategic divestment of high-cost, short-life assets, including the sale of the San Jose Mine and its interest in the Yaramoko Mine, is aimed at reallocating capital towards more profitable ventures, aligning with its long-term growth strategy. Despite a fatal accident at the Séguéla Mine, the company continues to prioritize safety and operational efficiency.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Corp. Renews Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has announced the renewal of its share repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to five percent of its outstanding common shares. This move is aimed at addressing market prices that may not reflect the shares’ underlying value, and it is seen as a strategic use of corporate funds. The program will be conducted through the Toronto Stock Exchange, the New York Stock Exchange, and other Canadian trading systems, with purchases made at market prices. The initiative reflects Fortuna’s commitment to optimizing shareholder value and maintaining financial flexibility.

Financial Disclosures
Fortuna Mining Corp. to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 7, 2025, after market close, followed by a conference call on May 8, 2025, to discuss the financial and operational outcomes. The announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Corp. Sells San Jose Mine to JRC Ingeniería
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has completed the sale of its San Jose Mine in Oaxaca, Mexico, to JRC Ingeniería y Construcción S.A.C. for a total consideration of up to approximately $16 million, including future conditional payments. The sale allows Fortuna to divest a non-core asset, previously placed on care and maintenance due to high operating costs and depleted reserves, while retaining a net smelter royalty on future production, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and strategic focus.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Corp. Sells Yaramoko Mine to Exit Burkina Faso
Positive
Apr 11, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has announced the sale of its interest in the Yaramoko Mine and associated subsidiaries in Burkina Faso to Soleil Resources International Limited. This strategic move allows Fortuna to exit a challenging market, optimize value, and avoid future liabilities, while providing liquidity to pursue other opportunities aligned with its strategic goals.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fortuna Silver Mines Achieves Strong Q1 2025 Production and Expands Capacity
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

Fortuna Silver Mines reported a solid production of 103,459 gold equivalent ounces for the first quarter of 2025, with gold production at 91,893 ounces. The company completed the Lindero leach pad expansion project on time and within budget, providing an additional 10 years of production capacity. Despite a slight decrease in gold equivalent production compared to previous quarters, Fortuna reiterated its annual production guidance, indicating confidence in meeting its targets. The company also repurchased 916,900 common shares, reflecting a strategic move to enhance shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025