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Fortuna Mining Corp (TSE:FVI)
TSX:FVI

Fortuna Mining Corp (FVI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FVI

Fortuna Mining Corp

(TSX:FVI)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$17.50
▲(31.38% Upside)
Fortuna Mining Corp's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust operational metrics and strategic growth initiatives further enhance its outlook. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, while valuation remains attractive.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Conservative leverage and a high equity ratio provide long-term financial flexibility, reducing refinancing and solvency risk through commodity cycles. A strong capital structure supports funding for capex, exploration and acquisitions without stressing liquidity or forcing asset sales.
Cash Generation and Margins
Consistent free cash flow growth and strong operating cash conversion underpin sustainable internal funding for operations and projects. Coupled with solid gross and EBITDA margins, this supports durable profitability and reduces dependency on external capital over a multi-quarter horizon.
High-Quality Growth Pipeline
A high-IRR development project and active exploration across multiple jurisdictions create meaningful medium-term production upside and reserve replacement. Successful delivery would structurally raise output and free cash flow, improving long-term production profile and optionality.
Negative Factors
Revenue Trend Weakness
A recent decline in revenue signals potential headwinds in volume or realized prices that may persist absent new production or higher metal prices. Continued revenue contraction would pressure margins and free cash flow, limiting reinvestment capacity and slowing growth.
Operational Reliability Risk
Mechanical failures at a major mine highlight operational vulnerability that can reduce near- and medium-term output and raise maintenance capex. Recurrent reliability issues increase unit costs, disrupt guidance, and undermine the durability of production-led cash flow.
Rising Mine-Level Costs
Rising cash and sustaining costs at specific operations compress margins and reduce the buffer against lower commodity prices. If cost inflation persists across assets, it will erode free cash flow and impair the company’s ability to self-fund expansion and exploration over several quarters.

Fortuna Mining Corp (FVI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fortuna Mining Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortuna Silver Mines Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and mining of precious and base metal deposits in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d'Ivoire. It holds interest in the Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine located in southern Peru; the San Jose silver and gold mine situated in southern Mexico; the Lindero gold project located in Argentina; Yaramoko gold mine situated in south western Burkina Faso; and Séguéla gold mine located in south western Côte d'Ivoire. The company was formerly known as Fortuna Ventures Inc. and changed its name to Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. in June 2005. Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortuna Mining Corp generates revenue primarily through the sale of extracted precious metals, including gold and silver. The company operates several mining projects, where it extracts these metals and sells them on the open market. Key revenue streams include direct sales from its mining operations, royalties from partnerships with other mining companies, and potential income from metal trading. Fortuna Mining also engages in strategic partnerships, which may include joint ventures or collaborations with other mining firms to optimize resource extraction and reduce operational costs, thereby enhancing its profitability.

Fortuna Mining Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, significant safety achievements, and successful expansion and exploration initiatives, despite some operational and cost challenges at specific mines and a foreign exchange loss.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Safety Milestone
Achieved 318 days or 9.7 million work hours without a lost time injury. Total recordable injury frequency rate improved to 0.86, down from 1.6 a year ago.
Strong Financial Performance
Attributable net income reached $123.6 million or $0.40 per share, driven by a $69 million impairment reversal at the Lindero mine. Adjusted net income was $0.17 per share.
High Gold Prices and Strong Cash Flow
Realized average gold price of $3,467 per ounce, up 5% from the second quarter and up 20% from the first quarter. Strong free cash flow from operations was $73 million, with net cash from operating activities at $114 million.
Expansion and Exploration Success
Progress made in expanding the life of mine and boosting annual gold output in Côte d'Ivoire. Predevelopment stage Diamba Sud project in Senegal shows strong economics with an after-tax internal rate of return of 72%.
Solid Liquidity Position
Liquidity position at the end of the quarter stands at $588 million, with a growing net cash position of $266 million.
Negative Updates
Lindero Mine Operational Challenge
Experienced an unexpected shutdown of the primary crusher at Lindero due to mechanical issues, specifically traced to premature wear of parts.
Caylloma Cost Increase
Cash cost per silver equivalent ounce increased to $17.92 from $15.16 in Q2, with all-in sustaining cost rising to $25.17 from $21.73 in Q2.
Foreign Exchange Loss
Reported a foreign exchange loss of $7.4 million, mostly attributable to the Lindero operations in Argentina due to the peso's sharp 14% devaluation.
Company Guidance
During the Fortuna Mining Corp. Q3 2025 Financial and Operational Results Call, the company reported a series of robust financial and operational metrics. They achieved a record of 318 days or 9.7 million work hours without a lost time injury, with a total recordable injury frequency rate improving to 0.86. Fortuna realized an average gold price of $3,467 per ounce, a significant increase from previous quarters. The attributable net income was $123.6 million, or $0.40 per share, driven by a $69 million impairment reversal at their Lindero mine. Adjusted net income stood at $0.17 per share. The company generated a strong free cash flow from operations of $73 million, with net cash from operating activities before working capital changes amounting to $114 million or $0.37 per share, surpassing analyst consensus. Their liquidity position was solid at $588 million, with a growing net cash position of $266 million. Operationally, Séguéla and Lindero reported significant gold outputs, and the all-in sustaining cost at Séguéla rose to $1,738 per ounce due to capital investments and higher royalty payments, while Lindero's cost decreased significantly to $1,570 per ounce. The company is focused on growth projects such as the Diamba Sud project in Senegal, with a projected annual production of 150,000 ounces of gold, and advancing exploration in multiple regions including Argentina, Mexico, Peru, and West Africa.

Fortuna Mining Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fortuna Mining Corp demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with healthy margins and a stable balance sheet. Despite a recent decline in revenue growth, the company maintains solid cash flow metrics, supporting its financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Fortuna Mining Corp's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 37.78% for TTM, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin of 14.36% is healthy, reflecting solid profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -2.15%, suggesting a recent decline in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 29.25% and 51.53%, respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity is 10.91%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 72.26% suggests a strong capital structure with significant equity backing.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 8.16%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.01, suggesting strong cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.55 indicates a solid conversion of earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B1.06B842.43M681.49M599.85M278.97M
Gross Profit460.87M343.61M190.03M146.80M205.48M110.22M
EBITDA620.89M471.21M230.79M59.05M242.05M106.62M
Net Income230.75M128.74M-50.84M-135.91M57.88M21.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.24B2.12B1.97B1.88B2.02B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments444.18M231.33M128.15M80.57M107.51M132.96M
Total Debt213.42M194.01M264.25M240.52M186.89M178.11M
Total Liabilities569.64M649.46M679.74M587.53M592.35M329.57M
Stockholders Equity1.62B1.40B1.24B1.24B1.38B725.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow257.71M161.90M79.59M-56.99M-5.15M-20.94M
Operating Cash Flow454.28M365.68M296.91M194.25M147.14M93.39M
Investing Cash Flow-115.92M-194.44M-216.88M-255.33M-118.50M-113.65M
Financing Cash Flow-86.14M-66.14M-32.72M38.47M-51.42M68.91M

Fortuna Mining Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.32
Price Trends
50DMA
13.81
Positive
100DMA
12.80
Positive
200DMA
10.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
61.97
Neutral
STOCH
53.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FVI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.74, below the 50-day MA of 13.81, and above the 200-day MA of 10.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FVI.

Fortuna Mining Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.55B14.1342.17%33.21%47.22%
76
Outperform
$4.94B14.2215.63%7.61%915.74%
73
Outperform
C$1.87B15.8547.13%21.03%-48.39%
69
Neutral
C$3.82B108.163.54%0.29%37.50%-60.92%
62
Neutral
C$3.97B1,519.050.71%241.04%-80.07%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$693.59M-21.88-26.19%-5.25%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
13.32
5.96
80.98%
TSE:SVM
Silvercorp Metals
13.71
9.18
202.78%
TSE:DV
Dolly Varden Silver
6.36
2.32
57.43%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
22.10
10.42
89.21%
TSE:SCZ
Santacruz Silver Mining
16.32
14.80
973.68%
TSE:APM
Andean Precious Metals
8.72
7.17
462.58%

Fortuna Mining Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fortuna Lifts Séguéla Gold Reserves by 31% and Extends Mine Life Beyond Nine Years
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Fortuna Mining Corp has significantly expanded the mineral reserves at its Séguéla Mine in Côte d’Ivoire to 1.54 million ounces of gold, a 31% increase from late 2025, driven largely by the first-time inclusion of 401,000 ounces slated for underground mining at the Sunbird deposit. The updated reserve base, totaling 16 million tonnes at an average grade of 3.01 g/t gold, extends the mine’s life to more than nine years at the current processing rate and is complemented by exploration results showing that mineralization remains open at several key deposits, underpinning further growth potential; concurrently, the company is advancing technical studies on a processing plant expansion that could lift throughput by about 25% to as much as 2.5 million tonnes per year, potentially boosting annual gold output above 200,000 ounces and reinforcing Séguéla’s role as a core long-life asset for Fortuna and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Fortuna Hits 2025 Output Target and Lays Out Growth-Focused 2026 Plan
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Fortuna Mining Corp. met its 2025 production guidance with 317,001 gold equivalent ounces, driven by record output of 152,426 ounces from its Séguéla mine, even as consolidated GEO from ongoing operations declined slightly due to pricing-related calculation impacts at Caylloma and temporary mechanical issues at Lindero. Following the sale of the San Jose and Yaramoko mines and a sharp improvement in safety performance, the company is positioning for growth in 2026 with planned decisions on the Diamba Sud project, a feasibility-level study for expanding the Séguéla processing plant, and guidance for higher GEO production from ongoing operations alongside articulated cash cost and all‑in sustaining cost ranges.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Fortuna Advances Share Buybacks and West African Growth Projects
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Fortuna Mining Corp. has repurchased 1.7 million of its common shares on the NYSE between December 23, 2025, and January 7, 2026, at a weighted-average price of $10.01 per share for a total of about $17 million, canceling the shares and bringing total buybacks to roughly 11% of the amount authorized under its normal course issuer bid. Alongside the capital return program, Fortuna reported continued progress on its West African growth pipeline, advancing early works, engineering, and permitting milestones at the Diamba Sud gold project toward a mid-2026 feasibility study and potential construction decision, while also conducting a feasibility study on expanding the Séguéla processing plant to support longer-term production growth, including potential underground resources at the Sunbird deposit.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Reports Promising Drilling Results at Diamba Sud Project
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp has announced significant exploration drilling results from the Southern Arc deposit at its Diamba Sud Gold Project in Senegal. The results include high-grade intersections, such as 1.7 g/t gold over 29.6 meters and 2.0 g/t gold over 20.0 meters, indicating an expansion of mineralization. These findings are expected to contribute to an updated resource estimate in early 2026, further supporting the project’s progression towards a feasibility study and potential construction decision by the second quarter of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fortuna Mining Initiates Expansion Study for Séguéla Mine
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has awarded Lycopodium Minerals Canada Ltd. the contract to conduct a study for expanding the processing plant at the Séguéla Mine in Côte d’Ivoire. This initiative aims to increase the plant’s throughput by 15 to 40 percent, supporting Fortuna’s growth strategy and potentially enhancing annual gold production to over 200,000 ounces. The expansion is part of Fortuna’s broader objective to achieve 500,000 ounces of annual gold equivalent production within three years, leveraging exploration successes and resource growth, including potential underground mineralization from the Sunbird deposit.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Fortuna Mining Highlights Diamba Sud Gold Project Potential
Positive
Nov 27, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp. has filed a technical report for the Diamba Sud Gold Project in Senegal, highlighting its development potential. This report supports the results of a Preliminary Economic Assessment, indicating promising prospects for the project, which could enhance Fortuna’s operational footprint and influence in the precious metals industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Buy with a C$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Fortuna Mining Corp Expands Gold Reserves at Séguéla Mine
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp has announced an update to its mineral reserves and resources at the Séguéla Mine in Côte d’Ivoire, with a notable increase in gold reserves and resources. The company reports 1.2 million ounces of gold in mineral reserves, a significant increase compared to the previous year, and substantial growth in indicated and inferred resources. This expansion supports a longer mine life and potential plant expansion, enhancing Fortuna’s operational capacity and positioning in the gold mining industry. The company is undertaking aggressive exploration and technical studies to further capitalize on these developments, which could lead to increased annual production and further value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Hold with a C$12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fortuna Mining Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Promising Growth Prospects
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Fortuna Mining Corp reported strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with a significant increase in free cash flow and a strengthened balance sheet. The company remains on track to meet its annual production guidance, benefiting from higher gold prices and consistent mine performance. Key investments at the Lindero and Séguéla mines are expected to support future production growth, while the completion of a Preliminary Economic Assessment for the Diamba Sud Gold Project highlights potential for further expansion. Fortuna’s robust liquidity position allows it to fund growth initiatives, enhancing its industry positioning and offering promising prospects for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FVI) stock is a Hold with a C$10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortuna Mining Corp stock, see the TSE:FVI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025