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Discovery Silver (TSE:DSV)
TSX:DSV

Discovery Silver (DSV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DSV

Discovery Silver

(TSX:DSV)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$10.00
▲(12.23% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by improved TTM financial performance (strong revenue/margins and positive cash flow) and a clear upward price trend. It is held back by sustainability concerns (negative net/ROE vs strong operating line) and a very high P/E that makes the stock look richly valued.
Positive Factors
Conservative Capital Structure
Zero reported debt materially reduces financial risk for a capital-intensive mining developer. Conservative leverage gives flexibility to fund project studies, permitting and staged construction at Cordero, lowers refinancing and insolvency risk, and supports durable operational execution.
Improved Cash Generation
TTM positive operating and free cash flow demonstrate the company can convert operations into internal funding. This durable cash generation reduces reliance on external financing, supports ongoing capex and exploration spend, and improves the ability to advance Cordero project stages without immediate capital raises.
Revenue and Margin Inflection
A step-change into meaningful revenue with healthy gross and operating margins suggests the operating model is scaling. Durable operating profitability supports sustained cash generation, strengthens project economics, and provides a structural base for reinvestment and reserve conversion if the company maintains production and cost discipline.
Negative Factors
Negative Net Income and ROE
Persistent negative net income and ROE despite stronger operating performance means shareholders have not yet seen returns. This points to non-operating charges, taxes or timing effects that erode reported earnings, complicating long-term return expectations and making durable shareholder value realization uncertain.
Prior Revenue Absence and Burn History
A history of no revenue and recurring cash burn underscores execution and project development risk common in mining. The recent revenue inflection may be project-specific; sustaining production, margins and cashflow depends on ongoing operational execution, permitting and commodity cycles, keeping medium-term uncertainty elevated.
Earnings Quality Mismatch
A material divergence between operating cash flow and reported net income signals earnings quality issues or volatile accounting impacts. Such mismatches reduce confidence in forecasted free cash flow, increase the risk of future write-downs or adjustments, and make durable cash generation and financing plans harder to predict.

Discovery Silver (DSV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Discovery Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDiscovery Silver Corp., a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of polymetallic mineral deposits. The company's flagship property is the Cordero silver project, comprising 26 contiguous claims that covers an area of 34,909 contiguous hectares located in the Chihuahua state, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Discovery Metals Corp. and changed its name to Discovery Silver Corp. Discovery Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDiscovery Silver generates revenue by exploring, developing, and eventually mining silver deposits, primarily from its Cordero project. The company invests in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties to delineate substantial silver resources. Once these resources are confirmed and economically viable, Discovery Silver advances to the mining phase, where it extracts and sells silver to generate income. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining companies to share the costs and risks associated with large-scale mining operations. Revenue is further influenced by global silver prices, which can impact profitability significantly.

Discovery Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM shows a major operational inflection with strong revenue growth and healthy gross/EBITDA/EBIT margins plus positive operating and free cash flow. Offsetting this, net results and ROE remain negative and prior years had no revenue and recurring losses/cash burn, creating uncertainty around earnings quality and sustainability.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a sharp step-change into meaningful revenue ($430.4M; revenue growth +122.5%) with strong gross and operating profitability (gross margin ~48.6%, EBITDA margin ~31.7%, EBIT margin ~22.4%). However, net results are inconsistent versus the operating line (net margin shown negative) and the prior annual periods show no revenue and recurring losses, indicating earnings quality and sustainability still carry elevated uncertainty.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Leverage is very conservative in the latest period (total debt at $0; debt-to-equity 0.0), which materially reduces financial risk. Equity and assets are sizable ($563.4M equity; $1.72B assets). The key drawback is profitability on equity remains negative (return on equity is below zero), suggesting the balance sheet strength has not yet consistently translated into shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash generation is a major improvement, with operating cash flow of $274.3M and positive free cash flow of $137.3M (free cash flow growth strongly positive). That said, cash flow support relative to reported earnings looks uneven (operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income appear low in the latest period), and earlier annual periods show persistent cash burn, highlighting volatility and execution risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue430.39M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit184.70M0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA183.57M-13.33M-15.55M-32.53M-29.24M-14.85M
Net Income59.59M-14.52M-11.86M-30.63M-27.81M-13.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72B85.39M109.98M68.25M84.53M87.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments475.09M20.60M44.63M34.84M55.59M64.93M
Total Debt0.001.02M309.01K409.75K32.22K68.83K
Total Liabilities1.60B7.57M12.53M1.81M1.34M801.64K
Stockholders Equity563.44M77.82M97.44M66.45M83.20M86.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow137.27M-21.25M-26.63M-29.45M-29.27M-12.68M
Operating Cash Flow274.25M-14.42M-1.15M-29.14M-24.65M-12.45M
Investing Cash Flow-394.11M-6.83M-25.42M10.87M-4.62M-11.80M
Financing Cash Flow475.00M715.14K36.78M10.79M18.99M58.40M

Discovery Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.91
Price Trends
50DMA
8.94
Negative
100DMA
7.20
Positive
200DMA
5.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
44.26
Neutral
STOCH
18.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DSV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.00, below the 50-day MA of 8.94, and above the 200-day MA of 5.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:DSV.

Discovery Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$4.44B12.2515.63%7.61%915.74%
74
Outperform
C$33.16B32.4711.27%0.88%25.04%
69
Neutral
C$3.20B90.593.54%0.29%37.50%-60.92%
63
Neutral
C$8.13B220.5411.03%
62
Neutral
C$15.04B179.323.44%0.12%88.70%
62
Neutral
C$3.28B1,247.020.71%241.04%-80.07%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DSV
Discovery Silver
8.91
7.33
463.92%
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
27.78
19.48
234.86%
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Mining Corp
13.36
5.76
75.79%
TSE:PAAS
Pan American Silver
71.75
36.81
105.36%
TSE:SVM
Silvercorp Metals
13.16
8.45
179.52%
TSE:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
20.95
8.84
73.00%

Discovery Silver Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Discovery Silver Sets Date for Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results Call
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

Discovery Silver Corp. will release its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 before markets open on February 19, 2026, followed by a conference call and webcast that afternoon to review the performance. The scheduled disclosure and investor call underline the company’s evolution into a diversified precious metals producer, providing stakeholders with an updated view on how its Mexican Cordero silver project and newly acquired Porcupine gold operations in Ontario are shaping its growth trajectory and positioning within the North American mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DSV) stock is a Buy with a C$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Discovery Silver stock, see the TSE:DSV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Discovery Silver Posts Strong Q4 as Porcupine Gold Output Reaches 234,702 Ounces in 2025
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

Discovery Silver reported fourth-quarter 2025 gold production of 66,718 ounces from its Porcupine operations, bringing full-year output from these mines to 234,702 ounces, including production prior to the April acquisition from Newmont. The company highlighted a 6% quarter-on-quarter production increase driven by higher grades at Hoyle Pond and increased tonnes processed from the ramp-up at the Pamour open pit, alongside strong exploration results across Hoyle Pond, Borden, Pamour and the Owl Creek district. Discovery ended 2025 with approximately $410 million in cash, no debt, and an undrawn $250 million revolving credit facility with an additional $100 million accordion, underpinning its growth plans. Management described 2025 as a transformational year in which Discovery evolved from a silver-focused developer into a Canadian gold producer with one of the sector’s more compelling growth profiles, supported by a new Resource Development Agreement with Taykwa Tagamou Nation aimed at facilitating long-term operational support within the First Nation’s traditional territory.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DSV) stock is a Buy with a C$10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Discovery Silver stock, see the TSE:DSV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Discovery Silver Corp. Strengthens Leadership Team with Strategic Appointments
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

Discovery Silver Corp. announced key management appointments, including Raymond Yip as Chief Information Officer, Kara Byrnes as Vice President of Exploration and Geology, Gerry Stinson as Vice President of Environment, and Amanda Kasner as Vice President of Business Optimization. These appointments are aimed at supporting the company’s growth and value creation strategies at its Porcupine and Mexico operations. The new team members bring extensive experience in IT, geology, environmental management, and financial strategy, which are crucial for advancing Discovery’s investment and growth plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DSV) stock is a Buy with a C$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Discovery Silver stock, see the TSE:DSV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Discovery Silver Corp. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Promising Exploration Outcomes
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Discovery Silver Corp. reported strong financial and operational results for Q3 2025, highlighted by a 56% increase in gold sales and a significant rise in cash flow, resulting in a 35% growth in their cash position to $341.5 million. The company is well-capitalized with a new revolving credit facility, enabling further investment in exploration and production growth at the Porcupine Complex, with promising exploration results indicating potential for substantial future production increases.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DSV) stock is a Buy with a C$6.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Discovery Silver stock, see the TSE:DSV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Discovery Silver Reports Promising Drilling Results at Porcupine Complex
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Discovery Silver Corp. announced positive drilling results from its Porcupine Complex, highlighting significant gold mineralization at Hoyle Pond, Borden, Pamour, and Owl Creek. The results indicate potential for resource expansion and increased production, with new drilling programs initiated at the Dome Mine and TVZ Zone. These developments are expected to enhance the company’s operational capabilities and strengthen its position in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DSV) stock is a Buy with a C$6.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Discovery Silver stock, see the TSE:DSV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026