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Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd (TSE:SCZ)
:SCZ

Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SCZ

Santacruz Silver Mining

(SCZ)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$19.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid revenue growth, high profitability, solid cash conversion, and low leverage). Technicals support an uptrend, but overbought momentum signals raise near-term risk. Valuation is moderate (P/E ~18) with no dividend data to enhance the profile.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth & margins
Sustained high revenue growth alongside strong gross, EBIT and net margins indicates the company is scaling productive underground operations while controlling costs. Durable margin expansion improves cash generation and funds reinvestment, lowering reliance on external financing across cycles.
Conservative leverage and high ROE
Very low leverage combined with a high return on equity gives financial flexibility to fund capex or exploration without heavy borrowing. This balance-sheet strength supports resilience through commodity cycles and preserves strategic optionality for long-term development.
Solid cash conversion and FCF growth
Strong operating cash conversion and positive FCF growth demonstrate the business can translate reported profits into spendable cash. Reliable cash generation underpins sustaining capex, exploration budgets and reduces dependence on dilutive equity or costly debt over multi‑quarter horizons.
Negative Factors
Historical volatility in metrics
The firm's past variability in revenue, cash flow and capital structure signals operational and market sensitivity—common in mining. Such volatility complicates multi‑period planning, increases forecasting risk for capital projects, and can strain liquidity during downturns.
Declining EPS growth
A near‑50% drop in EPS despite revenue gains suggests profit per share pressure from dilution, non‑recurring charges, or higher costs. Persistent EPS weakness undermines per‑share returns and can constrain investor confidence and the company’s ability to attract capital on favorable terms.
Geographic concentration & commodity exposure
Concentration in Latin America exposes operations to country‑specific permitting, political and logistic risks, while reliance on silver and by‑product metals ties cash flow to commodity cycles. These structural exposures increase operational and revenue volatility over medium terms.

Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Santacruz Silver Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in Mexico. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It holds interests in the Zimapan Mine that consists of 34 mining concessions covering an area of 5,139 hectares located in Hidalgo, Mexico; and two exploration properties, which include the La Pechuga Property and the Santa Gorgonia Prospect. The company was formerly known as Forte Resources Inc. and changed its name to Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. in April 2012. Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySantacruz Silver Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of silver and other metals from its mining projects in Mexico. The company operates several properties, including the Rosario project and the Veta Grande project, where it extracts valuable minerals and sells them to metal purchasers and refiners. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of silver, gold, and other by-products obtained during the mining process. Additionally, Santacruz may enter into strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining companies or stakeholders to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its market reach. Fluctuations in the global prices of silver and other metals, as well as the efficiency of its mining operations, play significant roles in the company's overall earnings.

Santacruz Silver Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals overall: Income Statement score (85) reflects rapid TTM revenue growth (+57.5%) and robust margins (net 21.20%, EBIT 34.84%). Balance Sheet (75) shows conservative leverage (debt-to-equity 0.14) and strong ROE (44.18%), while Cash Flow (78) indicates solid cash conversion (OCF/net income 0.85) and positive FCF growth (+16.37%). Historical volatility across metrics remains a key risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Santacruz Silver Mining has shown impressive revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase of 57.5%, reflecting strong market demand. The gross profit margin improved to 31.04%, indicating better cost management. The net profit margin at 21.20% and EBIT margin at 34.84% are robust, showcasing operational efficiency. However, past volatility in revenue growth and profitability should be monitored.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.14, suggesting a conservative leverage approach. Return on equity is strong at 44.18%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 45.98% shows a solid equity base. However, historical fluctuations in equity and debt levels pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.85, indicating good cash conversion. Free cash flow growth of 16.37% in the TTM period is a positive sign. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.67 suggests efficient cash generation relative to profits. Past inconsistencies in cash flow growth warrant attention.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue305.27M282.99M251.26M278.59M53.33M33.10M
Gross Profit99.62M76.93M63.98M22.87M10.30M988.00K
EBITDA123.78M52.52M50.70M4.91M-815.00K111.00K
Net Income76.63M164.48M16.15M-18.51M-11.56M-1.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets398.54M374.02M339.04M337.52M60.91M32.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.43M35.72M5.01M7.38M5.04M430.00K
Total Debt34.20M3.35M17.77M22.21M12.34M6.76M
Total Liabilities215.30M242.68M333.62M350.56M58.18M42.25M
Stockholders Equity183.24M131.35M5.42M-13.04M2.74M-9.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.07M31.81M8.10M13.60M-25.07M-6.45M
Operating Cash Flow97.81M54.43M29.77M29.37M-1.47M-4.81M
Investing Cash Flow-100.17M-20.92M-23.13M-2.34M-21.10M-2.63M
Financing Cash Flow25.11M-2.55M-6.30M-23.34M22.90M7.76M

Santacruz Silver Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.00
Price Trends
50DMA
15.74
Negative
100DMA
12.80
Negative
200DMA
9.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Positive
RSI
38.51
Neutral
STOCH
16.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SCZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.62, above the 50-day MA of 15.74, and above the 200-day MA of 9.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SCZ.

Santacruz Silver Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.17B5.0842.17%33.21%47.22%
73
Outperform
C$1.17B10.9149.53%21.03%-48.39%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$483.22M-11.00-25.60%-5.25%
49
Neutral
C$402.12M-43.68-43.69%-175.76%
46
Neutral
C$435.49M-8.58-108.87%5.58%50.96%
44
Neutral
C$218.30M-25.41-130.74%-135.80%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SCZ
Santacruz Silver Mining
12.76
10.68
513.46%
TSE:DV
Dolly Varden Silver
5.26
0.66
14.35%
TSE:SVRS
Silver Storm Mining
0.51
0.36
240.00%
TSE:APGO
Apollo Gold
3.46
1.98
134.40%
TSE:GSVR
Guanajuato Silver Company
0.60
0.40
207.69%
TSE:APM
Andean Precious Metals
7.80
6.10
358.82%

Santacruz Silver Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Santacruz Silver Lifts Q4 Output as Bolívar Mine Recovery Gains Traction
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

Santacruz Silver reported fourth-quarter 2025 production of 3,739,019 silver-equivalent ounces, including 1,343,607 ounces of silver, 23,846 tonnes of zinc, 3,000 tonnes of lead and 287 tonnes of copper, representing a 9% quarter-on-quarter increase in silver-equivalent output on slightly higher mill throughput. The improvement was driven largely by a 34% rebound in silver-equivalent production at the Bolívar mine as access and operating conditions improved at the high-grade Pomabamba and Nané veins after a May 2025 flooding event, while Caballo Blanco, Zimapán and San Lucas delivered consistently strong performance; year-on-year production remained lower due to the earlier disruption at Bolívar, but management highlighted steady quarter-over-quarter gains and ongoing remediation as placing the operation on a defined path to full recovery, underscoring the importance of Bolívar to the group’s production profile and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SCZ) stock is a Hold with a C$23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santacruz Silver Mining stock, see the TSE:SCZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Santacruz Silver Grants RSUs to Director Under Equity Incentive Plan
Neutral
Jan 5, 2026

Santacruz Silver Mining has granted 39,000 restricted share units to one of its directors under its Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, with the awards vesting in equal thirds on each anniversary of the grant and each vested unit convertible into one common share. The RSU issuance, classified as a related-party transaction under Canadian securities rules, proceeds under available exemptions from formal valuation and minority shareholder approval, underscoring the company’s continued use of equity-based compensation to align insider interests with long-term shareholder value as it advances its silver mining operations in Latin America.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SCZ) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santacruz Silver Mining stock, see the TSE:SCZ Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Santacruz Silver Prepares for Nasdaq Listing with Share Consolidation
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. has announced a share consolidation as part of its plan to list on the Nasdaq Capital Market. The consolidation, which will convert four pre-consolidated shares into one post-consolidation share, aims to meet Nasdaq’s listing requirements by increasing the share price. This move is expected to take effect on December 10, 2025, pending final approval from the TSX Venture Exchange. The consolidation is a strategic step to enhance the company’s market presence and potentially attract more investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SCZ) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santacruz Silver Mining stock, see the TSE:SCZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Santacruz Silver Mining Reports Transformative Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 27, 2025

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a transformative period with significant financial improvements. The company achieved a 2% increase in revenue and a 28% rise in gross profit year-over-year, despite a 7% decrease in net income. The quarter was marked by the final payment for the acquisition of Bolivian assets, eliminating a major liability and strengthening the balance sheet. Operationally, production remained steady, with challenges at the Bolívar mine being addressed through remediation efforts. The company is focused on operational efficiency and long-term value creation, despite increased costs due to various factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SCZ) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santacruz Silver Mining stock, see the TSE:SCZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesShareholder Meetings
Santacruz Silver Mining Announces 2025 AGM Results and Nasdaq Listing Plans
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. announced the results of its 2025 Annual General and Special Meeting, where shareholders approved all matters, including the re-election of directors and a proposed consolidation of common shares. This consolidation is aimed at meeting Nasdaq’s listing requirements, signaling a strategic move to enhance the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SCZ) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santacruz Silver Mining stock, see the TSE:SCZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Santacruz Silver Mining Appoints Bruce Wolfson to Board Amid Leadership Transition
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. has announced the appointment of Bruce Wolfson to its board of directors. With over 40 years of experience in international finance and emerging markets, Wolfson is expected to bring valuable insights as Santacruz positions itself for long-term growth. His expertise in Latin America and global investment will be instrumental in advancing the company’s strategic objectives. Concurrently, Roland Löhner will step down from the board after over a decade of service, during which he provided significant guidance and support through transformative periods for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SCZ) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Santacruz Silver Mining stock, see the TSE:SCZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026