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Nexgen Energy (US) (TSE:NXE)
:NXE

NexGen Energy (NXE) AI Stock Analysis

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NexGen Energy

(NYSE:NXE)

45Neutral
NexGen Energy's overall stock score reflects its financial challenges, with zero revenue and ongoing losses significantly impacting its attractiveness. Despite a strong balance sheet, the company faces persistent cash flow issues. However, positive corporate developments, including regulatory progress and exploration expansion, offer potential upside and strategic positioning in the uranium sector. Technical indicators suggest a bearish momentum, and the valuation appears unattractive, given the negative earnings situation.

NexGen Energy (NXE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

NexGen Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexGen Energy Ltd., an exploration and development stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation and development of uranium properties in Canada. Its principal asset is the Rook I project comprising 32 contiguous mineral claims totaling an area of 35,065 hectares located in the southwestern Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexGen Energy generates revenue primarily through the development and potential future sale of uranium extracted from its mining projects. While the company is still in the exploration and development phase, its revenue model is based on the successful extraction and commercialization of uranium resources. Key revenue streams are expected to include the sale of uranium to nuclear power plants and other entities requiring uranium for energy production. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the successful development of its Rook I project, the global demand for nuclear energy, and partnerships with industry stakeholders that facilitate the advancement and commercialization of its uranium assets.

NexGen Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NexGen Energy shows significant challenges with zero revenue and consistent losses, impacting its income statement. However, a strong balance sheet with good equity and liquidity provides some stability. Cash flow issues persist, reflecting operational and capital expenditure challenges.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
NexGen Energy has reported zero revenue for the Trailing-Twelve-Months, indicating no operational income. The consistent negative EBIT and EBITDA suggest ongoing operational losses. The net profit margin is negative, further reflecting profitability challenges. The company shows no revenue growth, which is concerning for future prospects.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of approximately 71% in the TTM, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Although the debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, reflecting some reliance on debt for financing, the company maintains a substantial cash position, enhancing its liquidity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The operating cash flow is negative, suggesting operational cash burn. Despite significant financing inflows, the free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in covering capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow management issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-1.08M-1.80M-1.81M-2.13M-2.28M-2.38M
EBIT
-17.50M-82.93M-59.86M-125.36M-113.79M-1.92M
EBITDA
-79.23M-83.72M-58.04M-119.71M-97.88M-1.20M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-77.56M80.82M-60.27M-126.95M-114.49M-16.55M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.12M290.74M140.22M211.12M74.02M52.12M
Total Assets
1.12M1.01B554.56M546.56M357.39M313.53M
Total Debt
0.00160.42M82.48M75.18M230.88M122.23M
Net Debt
-1.12M-130.32M-51.96M-126.62M156.86M70.11M
Total Liabilities
17.50K187.41M99.14M85.22M238.14M127.18M
Stockholders Equity
1.10M820.02M417.88M433.61M94.25M164.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-187.66M-168.42M-20.53M-63.70M-28.86M-70.49M
Operating Cash Flow
-24.09M-52.62M-20.18M-16.79M-10.62M-12.81M
Investing Cash Flow
-130.68M-160.14M-68.05M-46.71M-18.24M-57.68M
Financing Cash Flow
349.18M368.89M19.86M191.35M51.23M-1.41M

NexGen Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.20
Price Trends
50DMA
7.20
Negative
100DMA
8.78
Negative
200DMA
9.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Negative
RSI
41.58
Neutral
STOCH
73.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NXE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.47, below the 50-day MA of 7.20, and below the 200-day MA of 9.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NXE.

NexGen Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$864.09M-10.58%105.95%-143.66%
55
Neutral
$7.05B3.47-6.10%6.00%-0.44%-51.04%
TSNXE
45
Neutral
C$3.53B27.25-7.77%-197.27%
TSPTU
31
Underperform
C$13.82M-160.61%15.98%
TSLAM
28
Underperform
C$142.30M-6.64%-34.39%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
6.20
-4.36
-41.29%
CCJ
Cameco
39.61
-7.68
-16.24%
DNN
Denison Mines
1.27
-0.73
-36.50%
UUUU
Energy Fuels
4.49
-0.81
-15.28%
TSE:LAM
Laramide Resources
0.57
-0.12
-17.39%
TSE:PTU
Purepoint Uranium
0.22
-0.18
-45.00%

NexGen Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.66% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong financial health, significant advancements in exploration, and positive community engagement. However, there are concerns about the regulatory approval timeline and market uncertainty. Overall, the call leans positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Highlights
Strong Financial Position
NexGen maintains a strong financial position with approximately CAD 540 million in cash and another CAD 314 million in strategic uranium inventory.
Regulatory Progress on Rook I Project
Substantial progress in the regulatory approval process for the Rook I Project, with the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission nearing the conclusion of the permitting process.
Positive Exploration Results at Patterson Corridor East
Completion of a successful 2024 drilling campaign with over 34,000 meters drilled and exceptional results at Patterson Corridor East, including high-grade uranium discoveries.
Community and Sustainability Initiatives
Expanded community mentorship and education programs, including the Pathways to your Future Career in Mining Program and receiving the 2024 ABEX Community Involvement Award.
Increased Interest from Utilities for Offtake Agreements
Active negotiations with multiple global utilities for offtake agreements, driven by a strong demand for Western world production and diversification.
Lowlights
Regulatory Approval Delays
There are still outstanding issues in the regulatory approval process for the Rook I Project, causing potential delays in starting construction.
Market Uncertainty
Potential slowdown in contracting activity reported by some market participants, though not experienced directly by NexGen.
Company Guidance
During NexGen Energy's Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Leigh Curyer highlighted several critical metrics and developments. Financially, NexGen maintains a robust position with approximately CAD 540 million in cash and an additional CAD 314 million in strategic uranium inventory. The company reported drilling over 34,000 meters at Patterson Corridor East, resulting in a significant new uranium discovery with high-grade intersections. The Rook I Project is advancing well, with the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission nearing the conclusion of the regulatory approval process. NexGen is in advanced negotiations for multiple offtake agreements with global utilities and has forged an exclusive marketing partnership with WMC. On the community front, NexGen expanded its mentorship and education programs, engaging over 365 participants in 2024. The company continues to push forward on project development, sustainability initiatives, and strategic partnerships to meet the growing global demand for nuclear energy amidst a fragile uranium supply landscape.

NexGen Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NexGen Energy Advances Rook I Project with CNSC Hearing Dates
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

NexGen Energy has announced the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission’s proposed hearing dates for its Rook I Project, marking a significant step in the project’s regulatory process. With provincial and federal approvals in place and local community endorsements, the announcement is pivotal for NexGen’s operations and its positioning in the uranium mining industry, potentially offering long-term benefits to Saskatchewan and beyond.

Business Operations and Strategy
NexGen Energy to Host 2024 Year-End Conference Call with Key Project Updates
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

NexGen Energy announced it will host its 2024 year-end conference call on March 5, 2025, where key executives will provide updates on the Rook I Project, including federal approvals, project development, and market dynamics. This call will offer insights into NexGen’s strategic positioning and operational progress, reflecting its commitment to leading the uranium mining industry with sustainable practices and robust economic performance.

Business Operations and Strategy
NexGen Energy Expands Exploration Program at Patterson Corridor East
Positive
Jan 30, 2025

NexGen Energy Ltd. has announced the start of an expanded 43,000-meter drill program at Patterson Corridor East (PCE) in the Athabasca Basin, Saskatchewan, for 2025. This program aims to explore the extents and growth of the uranium mineralization discovered in early 2024, with a significant increase from the previous year’s program. The focus is on testing the mineralized footprint, investigating high-grade zones, and identifying additional mineralization. The expansion reflects NexGen’s strategic focus on addressing the global uranium demand and supply gap. The company is well-funded with over $800 million in cash and liquid assets, ensuring the ongoing development of the Rook I Project and PCE exploration efforts.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.