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Nerds On Site Inc (TSE:NERD)
:NERD

Nerds On Site (NERD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NERD

Nerds On Site

(NERD)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.02
▲(20.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance—persistent losses, negative equity, and negative operating/free cash flow—despite modest revenue growth. Technical indicators also reflect a generally weak trend with negative momentum. Valuation does not provide support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Reported revenue growth (Fundamentals.RevenueGrowth ~19.1%) indicates the business is expanding top-line demand. Durable revenue expansion supports scale, giving the company room over months to leverage fixed costs, invest in recurring services, and potentially improve operating leverage if growth continues.
Stable Gross Margin
A stable gross margin near 26% suggests consistent unit economics across services. Predictable gross margins provide a foundation for margin improvement through operational efficiencies and higher-margin recurring services, supporting a lasting path to improved profitability if fixed costs are controlled.
Recurring & Franchise Model
The mix of recurring managed-service contracts and a franchise/network model creates durable revenue streams and scalable delivery. Recurring contracts drive retention and predictability, while a technician network helps expand coverage with lower incremental investment, aiding steady long-term cash generation if adoption grows.
Negative Factors
Negative Shareholders' Equity
Negative shareholders' equity reflects accumulated losses and weak capitalization. This structural weakness raises refinancing and liquidity risk, limits strategic flexibility for investments or acquisitions, and makes the company more dependent on external financing over the coming months.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Continued negative operating and free cash flow indicate the business is burning cash rather than funding growth internally. This persistent cash burn constrains reinvestment in sales, tech, or expansion, increasing reliance on external capital and raising execution risk for scaling recurring revenue.
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing negative EBIT/EBITDA and net losses show the company has not converted revenue growth into sustainable earnings. Structural cost or pricing issues may be present; until margins flip positive, the firm faces long-term profitability risk and limited internal funds for strategic initiatives.

Nerds On Site (NERD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Nerds On Site Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNerds on Site Inc. provides information technology (IT), hardware, software, and related support services to small to medium-sized enterprises in Canada and the United States. It offers proactive monitoring, disaster recovery and business continuity, managed IT, network security, onsite SMB IT support, Web hosting, and wireless networking services; IT assessment and consulting, outsourcing, and help desk services; Web, application, and database development services; computer, laptop, and PC repair services; and mobility, hosted email, hybrid IP phone solutions. Nerds on Site Inc. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in London, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company makes money primarily by charging fees for IT services delivered to customers, including (1) project and break-fix work billed per job, per hour, or per engagement (e.g., troubleshooting, installations, upgrades, and network setup), and (2) recurring revenue from ongoing support arrangements such as managed services/maintenance-style contracts that provide continuous IT support and monitoring. In addition, Nerds On Site has historically operated with a franchise or license/network model in which technicians pay fees/royalties or similar payments to participate in the Nerds On Site system, use the brand, and receive leads/operational support; the specific fee structure or current mix is null. The company may also earn ancillary revenue tied to technology procurement and implementations (e.g., resale margins, referral/affiliate fees, or partner incentives from third-party software/hardware vendors), but specific partnerships, commission rates, or material partner relationships are null.

Nerds On Site Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing modestly, but profitability is still weak with negative EBIT/EBITDA and ongoing net losses. Financial risk is elevated due to negative shareholders’ equity and continued negative operating and free cash flow (cash burn), despite some improvement versus prior periods.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Revenue is growing, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) up about 5.9% versus the prior period and a steady top-line trend across recent annual reports. However, profitability remains weak: gross margin is stable (~26%), but operating results are still negative (EBIT and EBITDA below zero) and net losses persist in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and the last several annual periods. There is some improvement from earlier, deeper losses, but the company has not yet converted growth into sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet is pressured by negative shareholders’ equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and the last several annual reports, which signals accumulated losses and limits financial flexibility. Debt is present (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) total debt of roughly 1.7M) while the equity base is negative, increasing refinancing and liquidity risk. Total assets are relatively modest, and overall capitalization appears thin for a business still operating at a loss.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is a key weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and across the annual history shown, implying the business is consuming cash rather than funding itself internally. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash burn improved versus the most recent annual period, but free cash flow growth is still negative and cash flow does not yet provide a cushion while profitability remains challenged.
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.36M12.09M10.95M10.53M9.63M10.12M
Gross Profit3.42M3.22M2.80M2.76M2.53M2.63M
EBITDA-76.72K-140.09K-282.37K-586.42K-780.84K-1.27M
Net Income-435.13K-463.47K-443.72K-743.55K-932.83K-1.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.26M1.06M1.31M1.24M1.68M2.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments277.56K160.88K437.37K206.79K279.46K390.65K
Total Debt1.67M1.57M1.25M732.07K500.77K403.96K
Total Liabilities3.45M3.13M2.75M2.23M1.86M1.59M
Stockholders Equity-2.09M-1.95M-1.44M-986.83K-188.75K744.08K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-375.18K-674.98K-435.30K-442.55K-852.64K-298.78K
Operating Cash Flow-375.17K-674.98K-431.06K-429.24K-825.50K-289.86K
Investing Cash Flow178.04K213.79K-81.96K-13.32K-27.13K-8.92K
Financing Cash Flow385.32K394.07K580.89K424.41K741.44K372.64K

Nerds On Site Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Negative
100DMA
0.04
Negative
200DMA
0.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
43.93
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NERD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.05, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NERD.

Nerds On Site Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
C$21.19B15.4916.37%0.48%8.43%0.25%
64
Neutral
C$42.54M10.707.10%-13.43%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
45
Neutral
$129.11M60.68-13.00%3.40%-691.81%
44
Neutral
C$2.75M-4.0213.01%20.00%
44
Neutral
C$104.58M2.69-0.43%-59.23%-100.34%
42
Neutral
C$6.87M-1.20-212.14%-56.02%91.71%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NERD
Nerds On Site
0.03
-0.01
-25.00%
TSE:GIB.A
CGI
99.73
-42.86
-30.06%
TSE:KNR
Kontrol Technologies
2.50
0.00
0.00%
TSE:ALYA
Alithya Group
1.33
-0.57
-30.00%
TSE:DM
Datametrex AI
0.05
-0.04
-43.75%
TSE:PVT
Pivotree
1.62
0.62
61.50%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026