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CGI (TSE:GIB.A)
TSX:GIB.A
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CGI (GIB.A) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GIB.A

CGI

(TSX:GIB.A)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$143.00
▲(7.41% Upside)
CGI's overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. Strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment drive the score, despite technical analysis indicating short-term challenges. The company's strategic focus on growth and AI integration is promising, but operational inefficiencies and regional market softness are concerns.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
GIB recently announced three acquisitions and cited a robust M&A pipeline targeting both tuck-ins and larger deals.
Earnings
CGI reported results that were in line or slightly ahead across all major metrics, reinforcing its reputation as a defensive name.
Negative Factors
Demand Uncertainty
The impact of macro and geopolitical uncertainty is leading clients to slow their decision-making due to frustrations with planning.
Pricing Pressure
There is caution on pricing pressure, particularly in US Federal, due to ongoing headwinds and competitive pressures.

CGI (GIB.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

CGI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCGI Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides information technology (IT) and business process services in Canada; Western, Southern, Central, and Eastern Europe; Australia; Scandinavia; Finland, Poland, and Baltics; the United States; the United Kingdom; and the Asia Pacific. Its services include the management of IT and business outsourcing, systems integration and consulting, and software solutions selling activities. The company also offers application development, integration and maintenance, testing, portfolio management, and modernization services; business consulting; and a suite of business process services designed to address the needs of specific industries, as well as IT infrastructure services. It serves clients operating in government, banking and capital market, health, utility, communication and media, oil and gas, retail, consumer and services, space, manufacturing, insurance, life sciences, retail and consumer service, and transportation and logistics sectors. The company was formerly known as CGI Group Inc. and changed its name to CGI Inc. in January 2019. CGI Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCGI generates revenue primarily through its consulting and IT services, which include project-based and recurring revenue models. The company earns money by providing tailored solutions to clients, often through multi-year contracts that ensure a steady income stream. Key revenue streams include systems integration projects, application management services, and outsourcing services. Additionally, CGI benefits from strategic partnerships with technology leaders that enhance its service offerings and market reach. The company also has a significant presence in the public sector, which provides a consistent source of revenue through government contracts. Overall, CGI's revenue model is supported by its diversified client base and the growing demand for digital transformation services across industries.

CGI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth driven by acquisitions and sectoral momentum, with positive developments in geographic and sectoral growth, robust book-to-bill ratios, and cash generation. However, the impact of mergers on margins, restructuring costs, softness in certain European markets, and challenges in the U.S. federal sector were notable lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
CGI delivered $4.1 billion of revenue, up 11.4% year-over-year, or 7% excluding foreign exchange impacts, driven by recent acquisitions and momentum in the financial services sector.
Geographic and Sectoral Growth
Strong growth in the U.K. and Australia at 37%, and a combined growth of 9% across U.S. segments. Financial services and government sectors led with 9.6% and 8.7% growth, respectively.
Robust Book-to-Bill Ratio
Bookings were over $4 billion for a book-to-bill ratio of 101%, led by U.S. commercial and state government at 121%.
Adjusted EBIT and EPS Growth
Adjusted EBIT was $666 million, up 10.5% year-over-year. Adjusted net earnings were $470 million, up $30 million, with diluted EPS increasing by 10% to $2.10.
Strong Cash Generation and Investments
Generated $487 million in cash from operations, with investments of $105 million into the business, including Gen AI.
Negative Updates
Margin Impact from Mergers
Adjusted EBIT margin was 16.3%, down 10 basis points due to the impact of recent mergers in the process of integration.
Restructuring and Acquisition Costs
Restructuring and acquisition-related costs were $84 million, impacting net earnings and EPS.
Softness in Continental Europe
Continued softness in Continental Europe, particularly in the MRD sector, partially offset growth.
Challenges in U.S. Federal Sector
U.S. federal operations experienced lower procurement volumes and contract values, impacting segment performance.
Company Guidance
During CGI's third quarter fiscal 2025 conference call, the company reported a robust financial performance with revenue reaching $4.1 billion, marking an 11.4% year-over-year increase, or 7% excluding foreign exchange impacts. The growth was driven by business acquisitions and momentum in the financial services sector, with particularly strong performance in the U.K. and Australia, which saw a 37% growth due to the full integration of BJSS. The book-to-bill ratio stood at 101%, supported by U.S. commercial and state government sectors, and the global backlog hit $30.6 billion, equivalent to twice the revenue. Adjusted EBIT was reported at $666 million with a margin of 16.3%, and adjusted net earnings increased by $30 million year-over-year to $470 million, equating to a margin of 11.5%. CGI also highlighted a strong focus on AI and generative AI, with 40% of its IP revenue now AI-driven, and announced the launch of CGI SpeedOps, a platform aimed at optimizing business processes. The company projected ongoing investments in both organic growth and acquisitions, maintaining a strong capital position with $2.7 billion in readily available resources.

CGI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite operational inefficiencies leading to negative gross and EBIT margins, CGI maintains profitability through effective cost controls and non-operating income benefits. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and high equity, and cash flow generation remains robust, providing resilience against operational weaknesses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) financials reveal a concerning trend with a negative gross profit, leading to substantial operating losses. Despite this, the company maintains a positive net income, indicating effective cost controls or non-operating income benefits. Revenue has shown consistent growth, improving by 3.2% year-over-year in the latest annual report. However, the negative EBIT margin in the TTM period is a significant drawback, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
CGI demonstrates a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, indicating manageable leverage levels. The equity ratio stands at 54.33%, reflecting a stable capital structure. The return on equity is commendable at approximately 17.14%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. These metrics suggest financial stability and a solid foundation despite operational challenges.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statements highlight robust free cash flow generation, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.27. Free cash flow growth remains positive, although it has slightly decreased in the TTM period compared to previous years. This stability in cash flows supports the company's ongoing operations and strategic investments, providing a cushion against operational weaknesses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.56B14.68B14.30B12.87B12.13B12.16B
Gross Profit2.54B2.42B2.31B2.82B2.72B2.74B
EBITDA3.01B2.82B2.81B2.53B2.45B2.42B
Net Income1.71B1.69B1.63B1.47B1.37B1.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.19B16.69B15.80B15.18B15.02B15.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.13B1.46B1.67B1.00B1.72B1.73B
Total Debt4.24B3.31B3.74B3.98B4.18B4.46B
Total Liabilities8.98B7.26B7.49B7.90B8.03B8.29B
Stockholders Equity10.21B9.43B8.31B7.27B6.99B7.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.97B2.10B1.81B1.57B1.88B1.70B
Operating Cash Flow2.20B2.20B2.11B1.86B2.12B1.94B
Investing Cash Flow-2.44B-775.38M-561.86M-911.95M-397.55M-572.45M
Financing Cash Flow400.63M-1.61B-1.19B-1.59B-1.65B94.17M

CGI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price133.14
Price Trends
50DMA
137.27
Negative
100DMA
141.67
Negative
200DMA
149.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.36
Negative
RSI
48.30
Neutral
STOCH
59.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GIB.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 133.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 131.79, below the 50-day MA of 137.27, and below the 200-day MA of 149.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GIB.A.

CGI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$29.05B17.3717.56%0.45%7.13%5.02%
56
Neutral
C$104.58M13.71-10.74%-63.58%-112.17%
54
Neutral
$298.66M3.86-5.40%2.71%9.11%-73.63%
$129.30M46.102.20%
54
Neutral
C$38.81M-4.98%-11.75%74.20%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GIB.A
CGI
133.14
-16.52
-11.04%
TSE:KNR
Kontrol Technologies
2.50
0.00
0.00%
ALYAF
Alithya Group
1.28
-0.13
-9.22%
TSE:PVT
Pivotree
1.51
0.52
52.53%

CGI Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CGI Achieves Strong Q2 Fiscal 2025 Results with Revenue Surpassing $4 Billion
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

CGI reported robust financial results for the second quarter of Fiscal 2025, with revenue surpassing $4 billion, marking a 7.6% increase year-over-year. The company’s strategic execution and financial resilience are evident in its strong bookings of $4.48 billion, reflecting sustained client trust and confidence in CGI’s expertise. Despite a challenging business environment, CGI’s performance underscores its solid market positioning and commitment to supporting clients’ business objectives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025