Northern Dynasty Minerals (NDM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.16B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 752.17K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.54
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: -69.70%
• Country: CA
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 63
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): -0.08
• Shares Outstanding: 538,725,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 827,328
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 752,168
• PEG Ratio: 0.13
• Price to Book (P/B): 17.50
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -53.85
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $1.78
• Price Target Upside: -17.11% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Northern Dynasty Minerals faces significant financial challenges with no current revenue and ongoing losses. However, technical indicators show strong upward momentum, and recent positive corporate events could improve future prospects. The negative valuation metrics are a concern, but regulatory support for the Pebble Project could be a catalyst for future growth.

Positive Factors

Investor Awareness

Increased investor awareness is expected due to the ongoing need for improvements to the domestic supply chain for various metals.

Policy Support

The Executive Order to increase America's mineral production is expected to greatly help the Pebble Project.

Regulatory Environment

The Executive Order requests federal agencies to expedite permitting, leasing, and infrastructure projects necessary to develop resources in Alaska.

Negative Factors

Commodity Price Risk

Various risk factors related to the potential development of Pebble include commodity price risk, operating and technical risk, financial risk, and political risk.

Valuation Concerns

Various risk factors related to the potential development of Pebble are accounted for with a high discount rate applied to the valuation model.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NDM) is a Canadian mineral exploration and development company primarily focused on the development of the Pebble Project, a significant copper, gold, and molybdenum mineral deposit located in southwest Alaska. Operating within the mining sector, Northern Dynasty is dedicated to the responsible exploration and potential production of these valuable minerals with a commitment to sustainable development and environmental stewardship.

How the Company Makes Money

Northern Dynasty Minerals makes money primarily through the development and eventual commercialization of its mineral resources, particularly from the Pebble Project. The company's revenue model centers around securing partnerships, joint ventures, or selling stakes in the project to larger mining companies with the capital and expertise to bring the project to production. Additionally, Northern Dynasty may generate income through royalties, licensing fees, or direct sales of extracted minerals in the future. However, as of now, the company is in the exploration and development phase, focusing on obtaining necessary permits and advancing the project to attract investment and partnerships.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Northern Dynasty Minerals is experiencing significant financial difficulties, with no revenue generation and ongoing losses. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but declining equity and high liabilities. Negative cash flows highlight liquidity challenges, indicating the need for improved operational efficiencies and revenue generation strategies.

Income Statement

Northern Dynasty Minerals has consistently reported zero revenue, reflecting challenges in generating sales. The company has negative gross and net profit margins, indicating ongoing operating losses. The company’s EBIT and EBITDA margins are significantly negative, which further highlights the operational inefficiencies and inability to cover fixed costs.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity and increasing liabilities raise concerns about financial stability. The equity ratio is decreasing, impacting the company's long-term solvency position.

Cash Flow

Cash flow sustainability is a concern with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash outflows exceed inflows from operations. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, showing inefficiencies in cash management and net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	-107.00K	-162.00K	-164.00K	-104.00K	-192.00K	-533.00K
EBITDA	-70.10M	-35.10M	-22.33M	-24.07M	-30.70M	-61.47M
Net Income	-71.19M	-36.15M	-21.00M	-24.44M	-31.54M	-63.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	132.62M	137.16M	143.85M	145.22M	159.28M	180.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	11.81M	16.14M	18.20M	14.17M	22.29M	42.46M
Total Debt	3.53M	3.47M	2.66M	613.00K	687.00K	916.00K
Total Liabilities	75.73M	39.96M	20.56M	2.53M	3.79M	8.07M
Stockholders Equity	56.89M	97.20M	123.28M	142.69M	155.49M	172.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-18.51M	-17.14M	-22.11M	-23.99M	-32.48M	-57.82M
Operating Cash Flow	-18.51M	-17.14M	-22.11M	-23.96M	-32.48M	-57.82M
Investing Cash Flow	14.52M	14.59M	2.95M	15.67M	164.00K	130.00K
Financing Cash Flow	198.00K	-123.00K	23.31M	-129.00K	12.19M	87.97M

Northern Dynasty Minerals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.15
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NDM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.80, above the 50-day MA of 1.58, and above the 200-day MA of 1.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.72 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NDM.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AFM	77 Outperform	C$1.04B	7.22	29.84%	14.72%	76.60%	107.92%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$9.95B	9.44	-0.15%	2.99%	1.92%	-35.27%
NDM	48 Neutral	$1.16B	―	-78.20%	―	―	-69.70%
WRN	46 Neutral	$336.01M	―	-3.62%	―	―	-77.62%
PMET	38 Underperform	C$371.60M	5,680.00	-2.43%	―	―	-2226.67%
SFR	18 Underperform	C$260.95M	―	75.60%	―	―	-73.03%

Northern Dynasty Minerals Corporate Events

Northern Dynasty Completes Annual Filings with ‘Going Concern’ Emphasis

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. has completed its annual filings for the year ending December 31, 2024, including audited financial statements and an annual report. The audit report included a ‘going concern’ emphasis, which is a standard requirement and does not indicate any changes to previous filings. This announcement ensures compliance with NYSE American regulations and maintains transparency with stakeholders.

Northern Dynasty Applauds U.S. Executive Order to Boost Mineral Production

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. has commented on a recent executive order signed by President Donald Trump aimed at increasing America’s mineral production. This order underscores the importance of securing a stable supply of essential minerals like copper and gold, which are critical for defense and infrastructure. The executive order directs federal agencies to expedite approvals for domestic mineral production projects, which could positively impact Northern Dynasty’s Pebble Project in Alaska. The Pebble Project, which contains significant resources of copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium, is expected to provide substantial economic benefits to local communities and the broader U.S. economy.

Northern Dynasty Agrees to 90-Day Abeyance for Pebble Project Review

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. announced that it has agreed to a 90-day abeyance requested by the EPA and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers concerning litigation over the Pebble Project. This pause allows new agency leadership time to review the project’s challenges, especially after previous administration vetoes on mining activities. The company views this as an opportunity to renew discussions on permitting with hopes of advancing the Pebble Project, which they consider a strategically significant resource for the U.S.

Northern Dynasty Updates Shareholders on Pebble Project Developments

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. has issued an open letter to shareholders, updating them on recent developments concerning the Pebble Project, which could significantly impact the project’s future. The letter outlines potential implications for the company’s operations and its position within the mineral exploration and development industry, as it navigates regulatory, financial, and operational challenges.