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Dream Impact Trust (TSE:MPCT.UN)
TSX:MPCT.UN
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Dream Impact Trust (MPCT.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MPCT.UN

Dream Impact Trust

(TSX:MPCT.UN)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-19.35% Downside)
Dream Impact Trust's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its significant financial challenges, including negative revenue and cash flow difficulties. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the score. Valuation metrics are unfavorable, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. While there are some positive developments in project leasing and debt management, these are overshadowed by the broader financial and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Leasing Performance Improvement
Improved leasing performance indicates effective property management and demand for Dream Impact Trust's developments, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Debt Management Progress
Effective debt management enhances financial flexibility and reduces risk, supporting the company's long-term financial health and operational stability.
Construction and Development
Ongoing construction projects indicate growth potential and commitment to expanding the property portfolio, which can drive future revenue and market position.
Negative Factors
Net Loss Increase
Increasing net losses highlight financial challenges and may hinder the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or improve shareholder returns.
Stagnant Same-Property NOI
Unchanged NOI despite stable occupancy suggests rising costs are eroding profitability, which could impact long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Average Rent Decline
Declining average rents can pressure revenue growth and profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain financial performance in the long term.

Dream Impact Trust (MPCT.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Dream Impact Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDream Hard Asset Alternatives Trust specializes in hard asset alternative investments including real estate, real estate lending and infrastructure, including renewable power.
How the Company Makes MoneyDream Impact Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its real estate assets. The company leases residential units to tenants, providing a steady stream of rental payments, while also leasing commercial spaces to businesses, which contribute to its overall income. Additionally, MPCT.UN may benefit from property appreciation over time, enhancing its asset value. The trust may also engage in strategic partnerships with local organizations and property management firms to optimize its asset management and operational efficiency. These collaborations can lead to enhanced occupancy rates and tenant satisfaction, thus boosting revenue. Furthermore, the company may explore various financing options, including debt financing, to leverage its investments and increase returns on equity.

Dream Impact Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with notable progress in leasing and project advancements, yet offset by challenges such as increased net loss and stagnant same-property NOI. While there are significant achievements in project stabilization and debt management, the financial pressures and market conditions present ongoing challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Leasing Performance
Leasing performance improved significantly over the third quarter, with assets approximately 9% leased, up from 75% last quarter.
Stabilization of Purpose-Built Rentals
Two buildings are approaching stabilization with significant leasing increases. Once stabilized, loans will become nonrecourse, marking a substantial accomplishment.
Progress at 49 Ontario and Quayside
Construction started at 49 Ontario with expectations to finalize CMHC debt soon. Quayside is advancing, with construction expected to start in the second half of next year.
Debt Maturity Management
Reduced outstanding debt by over $119 million, including extensions for $84 million of land loans without repayment.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Increase
The Trust recognized a net loss of $10.3 million compared to a net loss of $7.6 million in the prior year quarter.
Average Rent Decline
Average rents are slightly down quarter-over-quarter due to incentives and increased condo deliveries, reducing expected rents by about 15%.
Stagnant Same-Property NOI
Same-property NOI was unchanged year-over-year, with occupancy stable but offset by higher operating expenses, notably property taxes.
Company Guidance
During the Dream Impact Trust Third Quarter Conference Call held on November 4, 2025, management provided an update on their progress and financial performance. The Trust recognized a net loss of $10.3 million in Q3 2025, compared to a net loss of $7.6 million in the prior year, attributed partly to deferred tax recoveries and condo occupancies. Occupancy remained stable at 95%, with same-property net operating income (NOI) consistent at $1.7 million. For assets in lease-up, leasing performance improved, with occupancy increasing to approximately 9% from 75% in the previous quarter. The Trust completed closings for nearly 400 units at Brightwater over the past 12 months, with construction underway at Cherry House and Odenak, expected to bring nearly 1,500 units to market over the next two years. Debt management included reducing outstanding debt by $119 million, with significant progress on extending land loans and construction loan repayments. The Trust aims to have about 90% of its portfolio as apartments by 2030, focusing on stabilizing cash flows and reducing risk.

Dream Impact Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dream Impact Trust faces significant financial challenges, with negative revenue and profitability metrics in the TTM period. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but negative returns on equity, highlighting profitability issues. Cash flow analysis indicates ongoing cash flow difficulties, with negative operating and free cash flows. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow management to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
The income statement shows significant challenges with negative revenue and margins in the TTM period. The company experienced a drastic revenue decline of 978.69% in the TTM, indicating severe operational difficulties. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue and profitability, with recent years showing negative net income and margins, reflecting ongoing financial struggles.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 in the latest annual report. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing, but the negative ROE highlights profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating cash flow challenges. Historical data shows inconsistent cash flow performance, with recent periods reflecting cash flow deficits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-17.11M17.97M-43.51M-31.03M36.49M36.76M
Gross Profit-20.49M8.68M-53.22M-43.92M23.59M23.38M
EBITDA-1.78M1.47M-84.46M-37.58M20.25M0.00
Net Income-36.14M-26.03M-44.14M-43.55M21.45M16.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets665.64M684.42M707.43M724.17M701.70M648.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.11M19.44M8.71M2.24M8.43M110.67M
Total Debt259.93M272.66M270.06M226.34M133.15M88.19M
Total Liabilities284.85M283.18M278.77M245.44M164.77M108.64M
Stockholders Equity380.79M401.24M428.66M478.73M536.93M539.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.55M-15.23M-23.50M-10.96M13.31M4.14M
Operating Cash Flow-12.74M-12.47M-21.46M-7.42M15.43M6.33M
Investing Cash Flow21.84M21.90M-12.62M-60.71M-128.87M38.99M
Financing Cash Flow-6.04M611.00K38.01M61.95M11.21M-52.44M

Dream Impact Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.24
Price Trends
50DMA
1.68
Negative
100DMA
1.83
Negative
200DMA
2.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
21.64
Positive
STOCH
8.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MPCT.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.42, below the 50-day MA of 1.68, and below the 200-day MA of 2.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.64 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MPCT.UN.

Dream Impact Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$399.16M14.177.24%7.36%2.81%9677.19%
75
Outperform
C$332.77M7.948.60%7.83%0.92%92.93%
75
Outperform
C$222.66M11.766.20%8.88%2.69%-45.80%
75
Outperform
C$112.26M4.7510.16%6.31%3.20%39.37%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
45
Neutral
C$28.36M-0.73-9.99%-25.69%0.12%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MPCT.UN
Dream Impact Trust
1.24
-3.10
-71.43%
TSE:BTB.UN
BTB REIT
4.00
0.68
20.48%
TSE:FCD.UN
Firm Capital Property
6.03
0.70
13.13%
TSE:NET.UN
Canadian Net Real Estate Investment Trust Trust Units
5.50
0.58
11.79%
TSE:PRV.UN
PRO Real Estate Investment
6.17
0.96
18.43%

Dream Impact Trust Corporate Events

Dream Impact Trust’s Earnings Call: Progress Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

The recent earnings call of Dream Impact Trust presented a mixed sentiment, reflecting both significant progress and ongoing challenges. While the company has made notable strides in leasing and project advancements, these achievements are tempered by increased net loss and stagnant same-property net operating income (NOI). The call highlighted the dual nature of the company’s current position, balancing financial pressures and market conditions with strategic accomplishments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025