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Dream Impact Trust (TSE:MPCT.UN)
TSX:MPCT.UN

Dream Impact Trust (MPCT.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Dream Impact Trust

(TSX:MPCT.UN)

Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:
Dream Impact Trust's overall stock score reflects substantial financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and liquidity concerns. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the valuation metrics do not offer much appeal due to negative earnings. Despite a strong equity base and reduced debt levels, the company's financial difficulties weigh heavily on its stock performance.

Dream Impact Trust (MPCT.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Dream Impact Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDream Hard Asset Alternatives Trust specializes in hard asset alternative investments including real estate, real estate lending and infrastructure, including renewable power.
How the Company Makes MoneyDream Impact Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. The Trust also earns money from property development activities, including the sale of developed properties and land. Additionally, Dream Impact Trust may engage in joint ventures and partnerships that enhance its development capabilities and revenue potential. Management fees from overseeing property operations and development projects further contribute to the Trust's earnings. By focusing on socially and environmentally responsible projects, the Trust aims to attract tenants and partners aligned with its mission, which can enhance occupancy rates and rental income.

Dream Impact Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -6.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mix of strategic progress in debt management and development projects, alongside challenges in commercial property performance and market conditions affecting project launches. Improvements in financial metrics and successful asset sales are positive, yet offset by difficulties in the office market and occupancy concerns.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Management and Financing Progress
Successfully obtained extensions for approximately $130 million of current debt and working on extending $195 million of debt for 2025. Only $25 million in maturities remain for 2024, which are being addressed.
Improved Financial Performance
Net loss decreased to $7.6 million from $12.4 million in the same period last year, driven by fair value adjustments and a deferred income tax recovery position.
Sale of Assets
Closed on the sale of 10 Lower Spadina and 349 Carlaw for net proceeds of $30.1 million, immediately repaying $7 million on the Trust's credit facility.
Residential Developments and Leasing
Continued progress on Brightwater, Canary Landing, and other residential projects with significant condo occupancies achieved and lease-up phases underway.
Interest Savings
Expected annual savings of $4.5 million due to interest rate cuts in Canada and the U.S.
Negative Updates
Commercial Asset NOI Decline
NOI from commercial assets was $2.2 million compared to $2.7 million in the previous year due to asset sales and lease terminations.
Office Property Challenges
A $5.2 million loss within equity accounted investments on an office property in Ottawa due to discount and cap rate expansion.
Delayed Development Projects
Delays in condo project launches and market apartment developments due to high interest rates, construction costs, and development charges.
Occupancy Issues at Sussex Center
Occupancy decline at Sussex Center due to a tenant downsizing, with no significant changes expected in the near term.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Dream Impact Trust, key financial metrics and strategic guidance were discussed. The Trust ended the quarter with $23.8 million in cash and net proceeds of $30.1 million from asset sales, which were used to repay a $7 million credit facility balance. Despite a net loss of $7.6 million, this marked an improvement from the $12.4 million loss in the previous year, influenced by fair value adjustments and transaction costs. The Trust successfully extended approximately $130 million of current debt and is working on $25 million of 2024 maturities, with $320 million due in 2025. In terms of recurring income, same property NOI from multi-family rental assets increased to $1.7 million, driven by rent growth and lower operating expenses. The commercial asset portfolio saw a decline in NOI to $2.2 million, mainly due to asset sales and lease terminations. The Trust also highlighted significant development activities, including the completion of condo occupancies at Brightwater and the launch of Birch House leasing. Looking ahead, the Trust anticipates substantial NOI growth from lease-ups in multi-family projects and is actively managing its capital commitments to support future development initiatives.

Dream Impact Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dream Impact Trust faces significant financial challenges, particularly in terms of revenue decline and profitability. The balance sheet remains relatively stable due to a strong equity base and reduced debt levels, but the cash flow difficulties raise concerns about liquidity and operational efficiency. The company needs to address these issues to improve its financial health and investor confidence.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
The company has been experiencing a declining revenue trend over the past few years, with significant negative revenue growth rates. Both gross and net profit margins are negative, indicating losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also been negative, showing operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement reflects poor financial performance with a trajectory of declining profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a high equity ratio, indicating sound financial health in terms of asset financing. The company has no total debt as of the latest report, significantly improving its debt-to-equity ratio. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net losses incurred, which weakens the overall financial position.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
The company struggles with negative operating and free cash flows, highlighting liquidity issues. There is a negative free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating inefficiencies in cash generation relative to losses. Despite these challenges, the company has improved its cash position, reducing net debt significantly, but the overall cash flow situation remains concerning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.95M-19.61M-43.51M-31.03M36.49M36.76M
Gross Profit-3.99M-19.61M-53.22M-43.92M23.59M23.38M
EBITDA866.00K1.47M-84.46M-37.58M20.25M0.00
Net Income-24.39M-26.03M-44.14M-43.55M21.45M16.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets680.84M684.42M707.43M724.17M701.70M648.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0019.44M8.71M2.24M8.43M110.67M
Total Debt0.000.00270.06M226.34M133.15M88.19M
Total Liabilities285.19M283.18M278.77M245.44M164.77M108.64M
Stockholders Equity395.64M401.24M428.66M478.73M536.93M539.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.04M-15.23M-23.50M-10.96M13.31M4.14M
Operating Cash Flow-9.84M-12.47M-21.46M-7.42M15.43M6.33M
Investing Cash Flow15.39M21.90M-12.62M-60.71M-128.87M38.99M
Financing Cash Flow-1.39M611.00K38.01M61.95M11.21M-52.44M

Dream Impact Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.56
Price Trends
50DMA
2.77
Negative
100DMA
2.83
Negative
200DMA
3.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
30.65
Neutral
STOCH
12.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MPCT.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.71, below the 50-day MA of 2.77, and below the 200-day MA of 3.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MPCT.UN.

Dream Impact Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
C$220.45M7.769.43%11.85%5.06%43.11%
78
Outperform
C$323.05M8.298.03%11.23%3.34%10.20%
78
Outperform
C$113.08M7.0511.99%6.28%-0.90%9.33%
74
Outperform
C$348.04M12.965.68%7.84%-1.07%684.07%
63
Neutral
$6.87B19.10-1.13%7.17%4.72%-24.75%
56
Neutral
$71.17M-16.65%0.73%-2.12%-287.56%
37
Underperform
C$47.13M-5.93%1.95%-2.06%43.41%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MPCT.UN
Dream Impact Trust
2.56
-0.81
-24.04%
TSE:BTB.UN
BTB REIT
3.67
0.78
26.99%
TSE:FCD.UN
Firm Capital Property
5.97
1.27
27.02%
TSE:NET.UN
Canadian Net Real Estate Investment Trust Trust Units
5.49
0.87
18.83%
TSE:MR.UN
Melcor REIT
5.49
2.88
110.34%
TSE:PRV.UN
PRO Real Estate Investment
5.74
1.28
28.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2025