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Imperial Metals Corp (TSE:III)
TSX:III
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Imperial Metals (III) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:III

Imperial Metals

(TSX:III)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$5.00
▲(14.94% Upside)
Imperial Metals' strong financial performance and undervaluation are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic positioning and operational execution, as highlighted in recent corporate events, further bolster its outlook. Technical indicators suggest mixed short-term momentum, but the long-term trend remains positive.

Imperial Metals (III) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Imperial Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImperial Metals Corporation, a mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and production of base and precious metals in Canada. It holds 100% interests in the Mount Polley copper-gold mine that includes seven mining leases and 50 mineral claims covering an area of 23,369 hectares located in south-central British Columbia; and the Huckleberry copper mine, which comprises two mining leases and 49 mineral claims covering an area of 25,767 hectares situated in west-central British Columbia. The company also holds a 30% interest in the Red Chris copper-gold mine located in northwest British Columbia. In addition, it holds a 100% interest in the Ruddock Creek lead-zinc property in British Columbia, as well as a portfolio of 23 greenfield exploration properties in British Columbia. Imperial Metals Corporation was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyImperial Metals generates revenue through the extraction and sale of minerals, primarily copper and gold, from its mining operations. The company sells these extracted metals to various smelters and metal traders, who then refine and distribute the metals. The revenue model heavily relies on market prices for metals, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Partnerships and joint ventures, such as the one with Newcrest Mining for the Red Chris mine, also play a significant role in providing capital investment and sharing operational risks, further contributing to the company's earnings.

Imperial Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Imperial Metals has shown strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth in the TTM period. The balance sheet is stable, with moderate leverage and improving return on equity. Cash flow improvements are notable, although historical volatility in cash generation and capital expenditures could present future challenges.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Imperial Metals has demonstrated strong revenue growth and improving profitability. The TTM revenue is up significantly from previous years, indicating a positive growth trajectory. The gross profit margin has improved to 40.54% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. Net profit margin also increased to 26.73% in TTM, showing enhanced operational efficiency. However, historical volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests potential risks in sustaining these levels.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, indicating a manageable level of debt. The equity ratio stands at 50.96% in TTM, showing a solid equity base. Return on equity is robust at 18.11% in TTM, driven by improved net income. However, the accumulation of debt over past periods and fluctuations in equity levels could pose risks.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow metrics have shown improvement, with operating cash flow increasing substantially in TTM. The free cash flow turned positive, indicating better capital management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.18 suggests potential for further improvements in cash generation. However, historical volatility in free cash flow and capital expenditures remain concerns.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue494.37M344.45M172.80M133.59M148.10M
Gross Profit161.22M-13.72M-28.72M10.43M20.63M
EBITDA215.11M22.81M-35.88M14.94M35.54M
Net Income106.26M-36.72M-75.97M-26.07M-4.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.66B1.41B1.30B1.19B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.12M24.94M27.54M33.39M34.15M
Total Debt372.85M319.79M197.79M34.98M2.42M
Total Liabilities834.25M695.76M563.97M423.25M362.84M
Stockholders Equity823.63M716.23M735.73M763.10M728.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.84M-126.28M-231.26M-87.18M-49.76M
Operating Cash Flow155.41M-3.81M-86.76M15.02M23.84M
Investing Cash Flow-161.07M-125.33M-127.82M-102.91M-77.14M
Financing Cash Flow37.62M126.56M208.27M87.21M-1.50M

Imperial Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.35
Price Trends
50DMA
4.71
Negative
100DMA
3.97
Positive
200DMA
3.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
49.20
Neutral
STOCH
59.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:III, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.29, below the 50-day MA of 4.71, and above the 200-day MA of 3.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:III.

Imperial Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$709.23M3.9821.64%64.90%
53
Neutral
C$428.34M-5.68%12.55%
44
Neutral
C$915.00M-8.74-0.23%2.71%20.34%-40.71%
$243.04M15.4814.89%5.72%
48
Neutral
C$289.83M-85.57%-15.81%
43
Neutral
C$1.05B-13.43%-83.79%
39
Underperform
C$218.57M35.737.53%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:III
Imperial Metals
4.35
2.25
107.14%
ARREF
Amerigo Resources
1.50
0.40
36.36%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
1.18
0.41
53.25%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
9.77
5.90
152.45%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
7.20
-1.80
-20.00%
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
2.40
0.78
48.15%

Imperial Metals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Reports Robust Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Imperial Metals reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenue and net income compared to the previous year. The company achieved higher copper and gold production at its Mount Polley and Red Chris mines, aligning with its 2025 guidance. The improved financial performance was driven by increased throughput, favorable metal prices, and a positive revenue revaluation, highlighting Imperial’s solid operational execution and strategic positioning in the mining sector.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Cleared to Proceed with Mount Polley TSF Construction
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

The Supreme Court of British Columbia dismissed a petition by the Xatśūll First Nation against Imperial Metals, allowing the company to proceed with constructing a four-metre lift on the tailings storage facility at the Mount Polley Mine. This decision, supported by the Williams Lake First Nation, underscores the mine’s economic significance in the region, employing over 390 people. However, the mine’s future operations hinge on the timely approval of a pending Mines permit amendment, which, if delayed, could force operational revisions or cessation. The decision is seen as a step towards reducing project risk and uncertainty, emphasizing the importance of regulatory processes and Indigenous engagement.

Business Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Reports Successful Rescue of Workers at Red Chris Mine
Positive
Jul 25, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation announced the safe return of three workers who were trapped underground due to a fall of ground incident at the Red Chris mine, which is 30% owned by Imperial. The workers, employed by Hy-Tech Drilling, were safely brought to the surface after being isolated in a refuge chamber with access to food, water, and ventilation. The successful rescue operation was a collaborative effort led by mine operator Newmont, highlighting the importance of safety and technical expertise in mining operations. This incident underscores the company’s commitment to worker safety and operational resilience.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Reports Incident and Production Increase at Red Chris Mine
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported on the fall of ground incidents at the Red Chris mine, where specialized drones and remote-controlled equipment are being used to manage the situation. Production has been paused to focus on rescue efforts and communication restoration. For the second quarter of 2025, Red Chris mine saw a 13% increase in copper production and an 81% increase in gold production compared to the same period in 2024, attributed to higher grades and better recovery rates. The company is also advancing its Block Cave Feasibility Study and related development work.

Business Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Responds to Ground Fall Incidents at Red Chris Mine
Negative
Jul 24, 2025

Imperial Metals reported two fall of ground incidents at the Red Chris Mine in British Columbia, where it holds a 30% interest. The incidents occurred in an underground access way, prompting the relocation of three contractor employees to a refuge station. Operations at the mine have been paused to focus on rescue efforts, with specialist teams being assembled to ensure the safe recovery of the workers. The company emphasizes the priority of safety for both the trapped individuals and the emergency response teams.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals to Redeem $47 Million in Convertible Debentures Early
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding Senior Unsecured Convertible Debentures worth $47 million, which were originally due in August 2027, on August 18, 2025. This strategic move allows debenture holders the option to convert their debentures into common shares at a conversion price of $3.20 per share before the redemption date, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and shareholder composition.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Sees Increased Production at Mount Polley Mine in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported an increase in copper and gold production at its Mount Polley mine for the second quarter of 2025, with 9.496 million pounds of copper and 11,061 ounces of gold produced. This represents a slight increase from the same quarter in 2024, attributed to a 2.6% rise in mill throughput. Overall, for the first half of 2025, copper production increased by 10.6% and gold production by 8.3% compared to the previous year, due to improved throughput, grades, and recoveries. The company continues its mining operations in the lower Springer Pit and is preparing for further expansion.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Court Reserves Judgment on Mount Polley Mine Dispute
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

The Supreme Court of British Columbia has reserved judgment on a judicial review petition and injunction application filed by the Xatśūll First Nation, challenging the authorization of a four-metre raise of the tailings storage facility embankment at the Mount Polley mine. Despite this, construction continues under existing permits, with a voluntary pause on tailings deposition until August 7, 2025. Imperial Metals emphasizes its commitment to environmental responsibility and collaboration with Indigenous communities, aiming to align operations with regulatory and community expectations.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Imperial Metals Announces Successful Election of Directors
Positive
May 22, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation announced the election results for its board of directors at its recent virtual Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders. The nominees listed in the management information circular were successfully elected, with a high percentage of votes in favor. Approximately 71.86% of the company’s issued and outstanding common shares were voted at the meeting. This strong shareholder participation and support for the board nominees reflect confidence in the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Business Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Reports Promising Drilling Results at Mount Polley
Positive
May 22, 2025

Imperial Metals has announced promising initial results from its 2025 exploration program at the Mount Polley mine, with significant mineralization found in the C2 Zone. The drilling results indicate high-grade copper and gold intervals, which could influence future pit designs and potentially extend the mine’s life, reflecting positively on the company’s operational outlook and industry positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 12, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with significant increases in copper and gold production compared to the same period in 2024. The company achieved revenues of $176.6 million and a net income of $41.3 million, driven by higher metal prices and increased concentrate shipments. This performance underscores Imperial’s robust operational capabilities and its positive positioning within the mining sector, benefiting from favorable market conditions and effective management strategies.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Continues Mount Polley Operations Amid Legal Proceedings
Neutral
May 9, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation clarified that no injunction was granted against the construction and operation of the tailings storage facility at its Mount Polley mine, contrary to some reports. The Supreme Court of British Columbia has postponed the decision on an interim injunction application by the Xatśūll First Nation until June 24, 2025. Imperial continues its operations and construction activities as planned, with the four-metre raise of the tailings storage facility not expected to be needed until July 1, 2025. This announcement ensures the continuation of Imperial’s operations without immediate legal hindrance, maintaining its industry position and operational plans.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025