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Imperial Metals Corp (TSE:III)
TSX:III
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Imperial Metals (III) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:III

Imperial Metals

(TSX:III)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$7.50
▼(-17.04% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/16/26
The score is driven by improved financial performance (profitability and cash flow rebound in 2024–2025 and a deleveraging balance sheet) and supportive valuation (low P/E). These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with the stock in a downtrend and negative momentum despite oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Profitability turnaround
The company swung from losses to solid profitability in 2024–2025, indicating operational improvements and higher realized revenue. A sustained profit profile supports reinvestment, reduces reliance on external financing, and meaningfully improves the firm’s ability to fund sustaining and growth projects over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility
Historic swings from losses to profits highlight high earnings cyclicality tied to commodity prices, ore grades and execution. This structural volatility complicates forecasting, capital allocation and credit metrics, making durable earnings visibility limited across commodity cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability turnaround
The company swung from losses to solid profitability in 2024–2025, indicating operational improvements and higher realized revenue. A sustained profit profile supports reinvestment, reduces reliance on external financing, and meaningfully improves the firm’s ability to fund sustaining and growth projects over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Imperial Metals (III) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Imperial Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Imperial Metals (III) is a Canadian mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of mineral resources. The company operates in sectors such as mining and metallurgy, focusing on copper, gold, and silver mining. ...
How the Company Makes Money
Imperial Metals makes money primarily by producing and selling mineral concentrates and/or metals from its mining operations and interests, with revenue driven mainly by copper and gold (and, where applicable, byproduct metals). Key revenue stream...

Imperial Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround in 2024–2025 with solid profitability and improved revenue, alongside sharply better 2025 operating cash flow and strongly positive free cash flow. Balance sheet improved as debt fell and equity rose, but results and cash flows have been volatile in 2022–2023, reflecting cyclicality and execution sensitivity.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue691.78M494.37M344.45M172.80M133.59M
Gross Profit294.81M161.22M-13.46M-28.72M10.43M
EBITDA380.03M215.11M22.81M-35.88M14.94M
Net Income153.78M106.26M-36.72M-75.97M-26.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.79B1.66B1.41B1.30B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.82M58.12M24.94M27.54M33.39M
Total Debt178.79M372.85M319.79M197.79M40.42M
Total Liabilities766.00M834.25M695.76M563.97M423.25M
Stockholders Equity1.03B823.63M716.23M735.73M763.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow126.90M-26.84M-126.28M-231.26M-87.18M
Operating Cash Flow348.56M155.41M-3.81M-86.76M15.02M
Investing Cash Flow-212.53M-161.07M-125.33M-127.82M-102.91M
Financing Cash Flow-156.78M37.62M126.56M208.27M87.21M

Imperial Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.04
Price Trends
50DMA
9.00
Negative
100DMA
9.49
Negative
200DMA
7.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
45.78
Neutral
STOCH
25.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:III, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.90, above the 50-day MA of 9.00, and above the 200-day MA of 7.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:III.

Imperial Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$991.43M14.9333.30%4.11%20.12%91.38%
65
Neutral
C$1.27B10.9416.22%39.93%39.86%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
C$1.68B-124.97-3.01%53.99%
56
Neutral
C$1.43B-22.07-63.51%-5.73%
53
Neutral
C$481.90M-48.09-6.57%-194.27%
46
Neutral
C$1.12B-33.29-17.94%-67.01%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:III
Imperial Metals
6.80
3.31
94.84%
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
5.89
4.28
266.29%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
4.89
4.01
455.68%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
8.18
3.32
68.31%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
16.00
10.19
175.39%
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
7.54
5.40
252.34%

Imperial Metals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Imperial Metals Posts Steep Drop in Mount Polley Q1 Output as Mine Stripping Advances
Negative
Apr 14, 2026
Imperial Metals reported a sharp year-on-year decline in first-quarter 2026 production at its Mount Polley mine, with copper output down 51% to 4.399 million pounds and gold output down 28% to 7,608 ounces, driven by lower grades, recoveries and t...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Delivers Record 2025 Revenue and Sharp Debt Reduction on Strong Copper and Gold Output
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Imperial Metals reported record 2025 revenue of $691.8 million, driven by strong copper and gold production at Mount Polley and Red Chris and higher metal prices, with consolidated copper output reaching about 58.6 million pounds and gold producti...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Beats 2025 Red Chris Guidance but Flags Lower 2026 Output
Neutral
Feb 20, 2026
Imperial Metals reported that 2025 production at the Red Chris mine rose to 93.1 million pounds of copper and 92,429 ounces of gold on a 100% basis, beating guidance and reflecting higher grades and improved gold recovery. Imperial’s 30% sha...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Beats 2025 Mount Polley Targets and Flags Strong C2 Exploration Results
Positive
Feb 11, 2026
Imperial Metals reported that its Mount Polley mine produced 30.7 million pounds of copper and 37,555 ounces of gold in 2025, exceeding copper targets and meeting gold guidance despite year-over-year declines due to lower grades and recoveries as ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 16, 2026