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Imperial Metals Corp (TSE:III)
TSX:III
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Imperial Metals (III) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:III

Imperial Metals

(TSX:III)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$8.00
▼(-11.50% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/03/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability and materially improved leverage) and a low P/E valuation. This is tempered by mixed technicals (negative MACD and price below longer-term moving averages) and signs of cyclicality, including slightly negative TTM revenue growth and uneven free-cash-flow conversion.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio provides lasting financial flexibility: it reduces refinancing and solvency risk across commodity cycles, improves the company’s ability to fund sustaining or growth capex out of operations, and supports steadier capital allocation decisions during downturns.
Negative Factors
Top-line Volatility
A recent decline in revenue amid prior surge signals structural exposure to production variability and commodity-price swings. Persistent top-line volatility makes planning capital-intensive mining projects harder and can translate into uneven earnings and cashflow across 2–6 month horizons.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio provides lasting financial flexibility: it reduces refinancing and solvency risk across commodity cycles, improves the company’s ability to fund sustaining or growth capex out of operations, and supports steadier capital allocation decisions during downturns.
Read all positive factors

Imperial Metals (III) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Imperial Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Imperial Metals Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of base and precious metals in the United States, Switzerland, China, the Philippines, Singapore, and Canada. It explores for copp...
How the Company Makes Money
Imperial Metals makes money primarily by producing and selling mineral concentrates from its mining operations. Revenue is generated when ore is mined and processed into concentrates (typically containing payable copper and, where present, payable...

Imperial Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround to solid profitability (TTM gross margin ~40%, net margin ~19%) and improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.17–0.19) supports a healthy current profile. Offsetting this, revenue growth has turned slightly negative in TTM (~-3%), margins have compressed vs. 2025, and free-cash-flow conversion remains uneven (FCF well below net income), reflecting cyclicality and reinvestment sensitivity.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue669.73M691.78M494.37M344.45M172.80M133.59M
Gross Profit265.84M294.81M161.22M-13.46M-28.72M10.43M
EBITDA351.88M385.68M215.11M22.81M-35.88M14.94M
Net Income126.84M153.78M106.26M-36.72M-75.97M-26.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.92B1.79B1.66B1.41B1.30B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.81M36.82M58.12M24.94M27.54M33.39M
Total Debt196.66M178.79M372.85M319.79M197.79M40.42M
Total Liabilities878.77M766.00M834.25M695.76M563.97M423.25M
Stockholders Equity1.04B1.03B823.63M716.23M735.73M763.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.59M126.90M-26.84M-126.28M-231.26M-87.18M
Operating Cash Flow348.58M348.56M155.41M-3.81M-86.76M15.02M
Investing Cash Flow-215.85M-212.53M-161.07M-125.33M-127.82M-102.91M
Financing Cash Flow-101.64M-156.78M37.62M126.56M208.27M87.21M

Imperial Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.04
Price Trends
50DMA
6.75
Positive
100DMA
7.41
Negative
200DMA
8.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
50.16
Neutral
STOCH
29.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:III, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.85, above the 50-day MA of 6.75, and above the 200-day MA of 8.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:III.

Imperial Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
C$1.14B17.5442.44%4.11%29.10%162.15%
71
Outperform
C$1.23B9.2212.78%14.21%-23.19%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
C$1.52B-42.14-39.74%0.40%
48
Neutral
C$955.66M-18.05-17.73%-107.42%
46
Neutral
C$385.07M-36.60-12.55%-266.01%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:III
Imperial Metals
6.92
2.48
55.86%
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
7.07
4.96
235.55%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
5.20
3.98
326.23%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
7.08
-2.84
-28.63%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
12.67
6.28
98.28%

Imperial Metals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Imperial Metals Posts Steep Drop in Mount Polley Q1 Output as Mine Stripping Advances
Negative
Apr 14, 2026
Imperial Metals reported a sharp year-on-year decline in first-quarter 2026 production at its Mount Polley mine, with copper output down 51% to 4.399 million pounds and gold output down 28% to 7,608 ounces, driven by lower grades, recoveries and t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2026