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Imperial Metals Corp (TSE:III)
TSX:III

Imperial Metals (III) AI Stock Analysis

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Imperial Metals

(TSX:III)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$5.50
▲(14.11%Upside)
Imperial Metals benefits from strong technical momentum and undervaluation on a P/E basis, leading to a favorable outlook. Financial improvements are significant, but high capital expenditures and leverage warrant caution. The absence of earnings call data does not detract significantly due to positive corporate developments and strong technical indicators.

Imperial Metals (III) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Imperial Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImperial Metals Corporation is a Canadian mining company engaged primarily in the exploration, development, and production of base and precious metals. The company operates several mining properties, primarily focused on copper, gold, and molybdenum. Its core operations include the Red Chris and Mount Polley mines in British Columbia, which are key contributors to its metal production output.
How the Company Makes MoneyImperial Metals makes money through the extraction and sale of metals such as copper, gold, and molybdenum. Revenue is generated by mining these resources from its operational sites and selling them on the global commodities market. The company's earnings are influenced by market prices for these commodities, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships with other mining firms can also play a role in optimizing production and expanding market access, further impacting revenue.

Imperial Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Imperial Metals has shown impressive revenue and profit growth, significantly improving its financial health. The company has managed to turn net losses into net income, demonstrating effective operational improvements. However, high capital expenditures continue to pressure free cash flow, and while leverage is manageable, it has increased. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory, but ongoing cash flow challenges need careful management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Imperial Metals showed strong revenue growth, with a significant increase in total revenue from the previous year. The gross profit margin improved substantially, moving from negative to positive territory, indicating improved operational efficiency. Net profit margin also turned positive, a stark improvement from previous losses, although EBIT margin remains low due to higher operational costs. The EBITDA margin has improved, reflecting better earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio increased slightly, but remains manageable, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on Equity (ROE) improved significantly as the company turned profitable, suggesting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio remains strong, indicating a solid asset base relative to liabilities, although total debt levels have increased.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow remains negative but has improved compared to previous years, indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting good cash conversion from earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains a concern, as high capital expenditures weigh on free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
494.37M344.45M172.80M133.59M148.10M
Gross Profit
161.22M-13.72M-28.72M10.43M20.63M
EBIT
145.20M-17.91M-107.31M-32.89M-7.62M
EBITDA
215.11M22.81M-35.88M14.94M35.54M
Net Income Common Stockholders
106.26M-36.72M-75.97M-26.07M-4.89M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
58.12M24.94M27.54M33.39M34.15M
Total Assets
1.66B1.41B1.30B1.19B1.09B
Total Debt
372.85M319.79M197.79M34.98M2.42M
Net Debt
314.74M294.85M170.25M1.67M-31.60M
Total Liabilities
834.25M695.76M563.97M423.25M362.84M
Stockholders Equity
823.63M716.23M735.73M763.10M728.48M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-26.84M-126.28M-231.26M-87.18M-49.76M
Operating Cash Flow
155.41M-3.81M-86.76M15.02M23.84M
Investing Cash Flow
-161.07M-125.33M-127.82M-102.91M-77.14M
Financing Cash Flow
37.62M126.56M208.27M87.21M-1.50M

Imperial Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.82
Price Trends
50DMA
3.45
Positive
100DMA
2.83
Positive
200DMA
2.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
83.60
Negative
STOCH
97.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:III, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.16, above the 50-day MA of 3.45, and above the 200-day MA of 2.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.60 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:III.

Imperial Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSIII
77
Outperform
C$781.53M4.9819.93%74.34%
TSARG
75
Outperform
$301.93M12.0517.43%8.45%32.13%
53
Neutral
C$298.78M-7.46%1.26%
51
Neutral
$2.01B-1.11-21.16%3.67%2.69%-30.65%
TSFDY
48
Neutral
C$160.30M-85.57%5.34%
43
Neutral
C$472.45M-13.43%-83.79%
TSLA
39
Underperform
C$192.57M29.707.53%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:III
Imperial Metals
5.02
2.76
122.12%
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
1.88
0.29
18.39%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
6.15
-3.65
-37.24%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
5.28
1.44
37.50%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
0.78
-0.02
-2.50%
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
2.00
0.49
32.45%

Imperial Metals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Imperial Metals Announces Successful Election of Directors
Positive
May 22, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation announced the election results for its board of directors at its recent virtual Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders. The nominees listed in the management information circular were successfully elected, with a high percentage of votes in favor. Approximately 71.86% of the company’s issued and outstanding common shares were voted at the meeting. This strong shareholder participation and support for the board nominees reflect confidence in the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Business Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Reports Promising Drilling Results at Mount Polley
Positive
May 22, 2025

Imperial Metals has announced promising initial results from its 2025 exploration program at the Mount Polley mine, with significant mineralization found in the C2 Zone. The drilling results indicate high-grade copper and gold intervals, which could influence future pit designs and potentially extend the mine’s life, reflecting positively on the company’s operational outlook and industry positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 12, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with significant increases in copper and gold production compared to the same period in 2024. The company achieved revenues of $176.6 million and a net income of $41.3 million, driven by higher metal prices and increased concentrate shipments. This performance underscores Imperial’s robust operational capabilities and its positive positioning within the mining sector, benefiting from favorable market conditions and effective management strategies.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Continues Mount Polley Operations Amid Legal Proceedings
Neutral
May 9, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation clarified that no injunction was granted against the construction and operation of the tailings storage facility at its Mount Polley mine, contrary to some reports. The Supreme Court of British Columbia has postponed the decision on an interim injunction application by the Xatśūll First Nation until June 24, 2025. Imperial continues its operations and construction activities as planned, with the four-metre raise of the tailings storage facility not expected to be needed until July 1, 2025. This announcement ensures the continuation of Imperial’s operations without immediate legal hindrance, maintaining its industry position and operational plans.

Legal ProceedingsFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Reports Increased Production Amid Legal Challenge
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported a significant increase in copper and gold production for the first quarter of 2025 at its Mount Polley and Red Chris mines, with copper production up by 28% and gold production up by 33% compared to the same period in 2024. The company also faces a legal challenge from the Xatśūll First Nation, which has filed a petition seeking a judicial review of provincial decisions allowing the increase of the dam height at the Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility, citing concerns over environmental assessments and Indigenous rights.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Achieves Record Revenue in 2024 Amid Higher Production and Prices
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported strong financial results for 2024, driven by increased copper and gold production at its Mount Polley and Red Chris mines, as well as higher metal prices. The company achieved record revenue of $494.4 million and a net income of $106.3 million, marking a significant turnaround from the previous year’s losses. The operational success and favorable market conditions have positioned Imperial Metals for continued growth, with projected production increases for the coming year, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.