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Imperial Metals Corp (TSE:III)
TSX:III
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Imperial Metals (III) AI Stock Analysis

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Imperial Metals

(TSX:III)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$5.00
▲(11.86%Upside)
Imperial Metals presents a compelling investment opportunity with strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The stock's undervaluation and consistent operational improvements are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest short-term caution due to negative momentum, which slightly lowers the overall score.

Imperial Metals (III) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Imperial Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImperial Metals Corporation is a Canadian mining company engaged primarily in the exploration, development, and production of base and precious metals. The company operates several mining properties, primarily focused on copper, gold, and molybdenum. Its core operations include the Red Chris and Mount Polley mines in British Columbia, which are key contributors to its metal production output.
How the Company Makes MoneyImperial Metals makes money through the extraction and sale of metals such as copper, gold, and molybdenum. Revenue is generated by mining these resources from its operational sites and selling them on the global commodities market. The company's earnings are influenced by market prices for these commodities, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships with other mining firms can also play a role in optimizing production and expanding market access, further impacting revenue.

Imperial Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Imperial Metals has shown strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth in the TTM period. The balance sheet is stable, with moderate leverage and improving return on equity. Cash flow improvements are notable, although historical volatility in cash generation and capital expenditures could present future challenges.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Imperial Metals has demonstrated strong revenue growth and improving profitability. The TTM revenue is up significantly from previous years, indicating a positive growth trajectory. The gross profit margin has improved to 40.54% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. Net profit margin also increased to 26.73% in TTM, showing enhanced operational efficiency. However, historical volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests potential risks in sustaining these levels.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, indicating a manageable level of debt. The equity ratio stands at 50.96% in TTM, showing a solid equity base. Return on equity is robust at 18.11% in TTM, driven by improved net income. However, the accumulation of debt over past periods and fluctuations in equity levels could pose risks.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow metrics have shown improvement, with operating cash flow increasing substantially in TTM. The free cash flow turned positive, indicating better capital management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.18 suggests potential for further improvements in cash generation. However, historical volatility in free cash flow and capital expenditures remain concerns.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue494.37M344.45M172.80M133.59M148.10M
Gross Profit161.22M-13.72M-28.72M10.43M20.63M
EBITDA215.11M22.81M-35.88M14.94M35.54M
Net Income106.26M-36.72M-75.97M-26.07M-4.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.66B1.41B1.30B1.19B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.12M24.94M27.54M33.39M34.15M
Total Debt372.85M319.79M197.79M34.98M2.42M
Total Liabilities834.25M695.76M563.97M423.25M362.84M
Stockholders Equity823.63M716.23M735.73M763.10M728.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.84M-126.28M-231.26M-87.18M-49.76M
Operating Cash Flow155.41M-3.81M-86.76M15.02M23.84M
Investing Cash Flow-161.07M-125.33M-127.82M-102.91M-77.14M
Financing Cash Flow37.62M126.56M208.27M87.21M-1.50M

Imperial Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.47
Price Trends
50DMA
4.64
Negative
100DMA
3.70
Positive
200DMA
2.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
36.58
Neutral
STOCH
15.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:III, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.74, below the 50-day MA of 4.64, and above the 200-day MA of 2.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:III.

Imperial Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSARG
78
Outperform
$374.62M15.1917.43%6.90%32.13%
TSIII
70
Outperform
C$728.80M4.6219.93%74.34%
53
Neutral
C$415.62M-7.46%1.26%
TSFDY
48
Neutral
C$250.73M-85.57%5.34%
44
Neutral
C$999.92M-6.64-13.68%1.83%17.55%-32.71%
43
Neutral
C$1.05B-13.43%-83.79%
TSLA
39
Underperform
C$186.08M30.427.53%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:III
Imperial Metals
4.47
2.37
112.86%
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
2.37
0.92
63.79%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
6.30
-3.40
-35.05%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
9.89
5.89
147.25%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
1.21
0.42
53.16%
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
2.48
0.99
66.44%

Imperial Metals Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals to Redeem $47 Million in Convertible Debentures Early
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding Senior Unsecured Convertible Debentures worth $47 million, which were originally due in August 2027, on August 18, 2025. This strategic move allows debenture holders the option to convert their debentures into common shares at a conversion price of $3.20 per share before the redemption date, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and shareholder composition.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Sees Increased Production at Mount Polley Mine in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported an increase in copper and gold production at its Mount Polley mine for the second quarter of 2025, with 9.496 million pounds of copper and 11,061 ounces of gold produced. This represents a slight increase from the same quarter in 2024, attributed to a 2.6% rise in mill throughput. Overall, for the first half of 2025, copper production increased by 10.6% and gold production by 8.3% compared to the previous year, due to improved throughput, grades, and recoveries. The company continues its mining operations in the lower Springer Pit and is preparing for further expansion.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Court Reserves Judgment on Mount Polley Mine Dispute
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

The Supreme Court of British Columbia has reserved judgment on a judicial review petition and injunction application filed by the Xatśūll First Nation, challenging the authorization of a four-metre raise of the tailings storage facility embankment at the Mount Polley mine. Despite this, construction continues under existing permits, with a voluntary pause on tailings deposition until August 7, 2025. Imperial Metals emphasizes its commitment to environmental responsibility and collaboration with Indigenous communities, aiming to align operations with regulatory and community expectations.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Imperial Metals Announces Successful Election of Directors
Positive
May 22, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation announced the election results for its board of directors at its recent virtual Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders. The nominees listed in the management information circular were successfully elected, with a high percentage of votes in favor. Approximately 71.86% of the company’s issued and outstanding common shares were voted at the meeting. This strong shareholder participation and support for the board nominees reflect confidence in the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Business Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Reports Promising Drilling Results at Mount Polley
Positive
May 22, 2025

Imperial Metals has announced promising initial results from its 2025 exploration program at the Mount Polley mine, with significant mineralization found in the C2 Zone. The drilling results indicate high-grade copper and gold intervals, which could influence future pit designs and potentially extend the mine’s life, reflecting positively on the company’s operational outlook and industry positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 12, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with significant increases in copper and gold production compared to the same period in 2024. The company achieved revenues of $176.6 million and a net income of $41.3 million, driven by higher metal prices and increased concentrate shipments. This performance underscores Imperial’s robust operational capabilities and its positive positioning within the mining sector, benefiting from favorable market conditions and effective management strategies.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Continues Mount Polley Operations Amid Legal Proceedings
Neutral
May 9, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation clarified that no injunction was granted against the construction and operation of the tailings storage facility at its Mount Polley mine, contrary to some reports. The Supreme Court of British Columbia has postponed the decision on an interim injunction application by the Xatśūll First Nation until June 24, 2025. Imperial continues its operations and construction activities as planned, with the four-metre raise of the tailings storage facility not expected to be needed until July 1, 2025. This announcement ensures the continuation of Imperial’s operations without immediate legal hindrance, maintaining its industry position and operational plans.

Legal ProceedingsFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Reports Increased Production Amid Legal Challenge
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

Imperial Metals Corporation reported a significant increase in copper and gold production for the first quarter of 2025 at its Mount Polley and Red Chris mines, with copper production up by 28% and gold production up by 33% compared to the same period in 2024. The company also faces a legal challenge from the Xatśūll First Nation, which has filed a petition seeking a judicial review of provincial decisions allowing the increase of the dam height at the Mount Polley Tailings Storage Facility, citing concerns over environmental assessments and Indigenous rights.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025