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Amerigo Resources (TSE:ARG)
TSX:ARG
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Amerigo Resources (ARG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ARG

Amerigo Resources

(TSX:ARG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(9.17% Upside)
Amerigo Resources' strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the most significant factors driving its score. The earnings call provided positive operational insights, although technical indicators suggest some caution. Overall, the company is well-positioned within the copper industry.
Positive Factors
Capital returns
ARG demonstrated continued capital return efforts in Q2, distributing $7.6M to shareholders through its dividends and buyback program.
Debt management
ARG remains on track for its annual guidance and to pay off its debt by year-end, freeing up additional cashflow.
Financial performance
Amerigo reported strong Q2 financial results, generating revenue of $50.8M.
Negative Factors
Cost management
Cash costs came in at $2.22/lb, above our estimate of $1.88/lb.
Production challenges
Copper produced came in at 15.5Mlbs, lower than expectations due to inclement weather issues and slightly lower copper grade.
Production disruptions
Copper production was lower than estimated due to a scheduled annual maintenance shutdown, affecting operations more than anticipated.

Amerigo Resources (ARG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Amerigo Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerigo Resources Ltd. is a Canadian mining company focused on the production of copper and molybdenum through its operations in Chile. The company primarily processes copper concentrate from the historic El Teniente mine, one of the largest underground copper mines in the world. Amerigo's operations are marked by their commitment to sustainable mining practices and their focus on maximizing value through efficient resource extraction.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerigo Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of copper and molybdenum concentrates. The company enters into long-term contracts with major smelters and refiners, which provides a steady revenue stream. Additionally, Amerigo benefits from the rising prices of copper in the global market, which significantly impacts its profitability. The company also engages in cost management and operational efficiency initiatives to enhance its margins. Partnerships with various stakeholders in the mining sector contribute to its operational success and financial stability.

Amerigo Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong operational and financial performance with significant shareholder returns, despite some communication issues and a decrease in net income compared to the previous year.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Copper Production
Copper production was 15.5 million pounds, accounting for 46% of Amerigo's annual guidance of 62.9 million pounds. This was despite lower production in Q1 due to an annual maintenance shutdown.
Decline in Cash Costs
Cash cost per pound declined to $1.82 in the second quarter, with annual cash cost guidance of $1.93 per pound expected to be met.
Shareholder Returns
A quarterly dividend of CAD 0.03 per share was paid, representing $3.5 million, and 3.1 million common shares were repurchased and canceled during the quarter at a weighted average price of CAD 1.78 per share, representing $4 million.
Increase in Share Price
Amerigo's share price increased from CAD 1.91 to CAD 2.12 during the second quarter, and further to CAD 2.17, representing a 36% year-to-date increase.
Positive Financial Performance
Net income for the second quarter was $7.5 million, with an EBITDA of $17.8 million.
Negative Updates
Connection Issues During Call
Significant communication disruptions occurred during the earnings call, affecting the delivery of key updates on copper market outlooks.
Decrease in Net Income Compared to Previous Year
Net income was $2.2 million lower than in Q2 2024, primarily due to lower positive fair value adjustments to copper revenue receivables.
Working Capital Deficiency
The company had a working capital deficiency of $5.4 million at the end of June 2025, although this was an improvement from $6.5 million on December 31, 2024.
Company Guidance
During Amerigo Resources' second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. Copper production in the first half of 2025 reached 46% of the annual guidance of 62.9 million pounds, despite a lower production in Q1 due to scheduled maintenance. The company maintained its cash cost per pound at $1.82 for the second quarter, with an annual target of $1.93, excluding costs related to MVC's collective bargaining in October. Amerigo reported a revenue of $50.9 million, with an average copper price of $4.42 per pound, and earnings per share of $0.05. A quarterly dividend of CAD 0.03 per share was distributed, totaling $3.5 million, and 3.1 million shares were repurchased at an average price of CAD 1.78 per share. Looking forward, Amerigo anticipates fulfilling its production and cost guidance and highlighted ongoing favorable conditions in the copper market, with a potential market deficit anticipated by year-end.

Amerigo Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amerigo Resources displays strong revenue growth and improved profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio, though a decline in total assets may limit future growth. Cash flow is robust, supporting reinvestment and dividends.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over recent periods, showing a significant recovery in total revenue from 2023 to the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin and net profit margin have improved as well, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively modest, suggesting potential room for further profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Amerigo Resources maintains a strong equity base with a healthy equity ratio, reflecting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage practices. However, the decrease in total assets may pose a risk to future growth potential if not addressed.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company exhibits robust cash flow generation, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow has shown consistent growth, which supports potential reinvestment and dividend distribution. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable, underscoring efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue262.75M294.99M157.46M264.19M300.58M178.38M
Gross Profit42.95M45.41M13.86M28.32M72.09M15.39M
EBITDA53.53M57.61M29.98M45.59M84.16M27.98M
Net Income16.04M19.24M3.38M4.37M39.82M6.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets186.50M205.47M199.56M231.18M269.35M237.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.25M35.86M17.15M38.96M59.79M7.99M
Total Debt0.003.23M20.71M25.91M33.85M59.50M
Total Liabilities83.18M100.68M94.71M112.48M130.55M126.89M
Stockholders Equity103.33M104.79M104.85M118.70M138.79M110.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.23M50.44M3.39M13.82M81.17M16.98M
Operating Cash Flow39.64M59.78M20.28M23.63M93.13M19.78M
Investing Cash Flow-13.01M-9.34M-16.89M-9.81M-8.10M-2.72M
Financing Cash Flow-30.84M-29.40M-24.91M-35.89M-36.82M-10.66M

Amerigo Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.29
Price Trends
50DMA
2.16
Positive
100DMA
1.95
Positive
200DMA
1.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
61.29
Neutral
STOCH
83.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ARG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.17, above the 50-day MA of 2.16, and above the 200-day MA of 1.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ARG.

Amerigo Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$363.36M16.5414.89%7.11%16.16%35.46%
53
Neutral
C$472.77M-5.68%12.55%
48
Neutral
C$314.82M-71.49%-15.57%
44
Neutral
AU$1.54B-7.28-18.84%4.39%-0.73%-40.90%
43
Neutral
C$1.19B-14.89%-104.57%
39
Underperform
C$224.47M36.707.53%
39
Underperform
C$149.53M-0.82%40.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
2.29
0.67
40.92%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
7.60
-0.90
-10.59%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
11.50
7.49
186.78%
TSE:CUU
Copper Fox Metals
0.27
-0.03
-10.00%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
1.28
0.47
58.02%
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
2.75
1.02
58.96%

Amerigo Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Amerigo Resources Resumes Fresh Tailings Processing at MVC
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

Amerigo Resources Ltd. announced that its Minera Valle Central (MVC) operation in Chile has resumed processing fresh tailings from the El Teniente copper mine after a temporary suspension due to a seismic event. While the mine’s operations are not yet fully normalized, Amerigo is mitigating the impact by increasing the processing of historic tailings, although daily throughput is expected to be lower than initially forecasted.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Amerigo Resources Faces Production Challenges Following El Teniente Mine Incident
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

Amerigo Resources Ltd. has announced a temporary suspension of fresh tailings processing at its Minera Valle Central (MVC) operation in Chile due to a seismic event that caused a rockfall at Codelco’s El Teniente mine, resulting in the tragic death of six workers. While MVC continues to process historic tailings, the impact on annual production remains uncertain, with an estimated daily loss of 100,000 pounds of copper production, pending the resumption of operations at El Teniente.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Amerigo Resources Faces Production Challenges After El Teniente Mine Incident
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

Amerigo Resources Ltd. has temporarily suspended the processing of fresh tailings at its Minera Valle Central (MVC) operation in Chile due to a seismic event that caused a rockfall at the El Teniente mine, owned by Codelco. This incident resulted in the tragic death of six workers and led to the suspension of operations at El Teniente, impacting Amerigo’s copper production. The company will continue processing historic tailings, but the effect on annual production remains uncertain and depends on when El Teniente resumes operations. The current estimated daily loss of copper production is 100,000 pounds, highlighting the potential impact on Amerigo’s operations and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Amerigo Resources Reports Strong Q2-2025 Results and Declares Dividend
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Amerigo Resources reported strong financial results for Q2-2025, with a net income of $7.5 million and an EBITDA of $17.8 million. The company declared its sixteenth consecutive quarterly dividend and returned $7.6 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Amerigo’s operations at Minera Valle Central met production and safety targets, and the company is on track to be debt-free by year-end. The rising copper prices and Amerigo’s strategic capital return initiatives position the company favorably in the market, providing a stable investment opportunity for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Amerigo Resources Exceeds Q2-2025 Production Expectations Amid Rising Copper Prices
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

Amerigo Resources reported better-than-expected operational results for Q2-2025, with copper production reaching 15.5 million pounds and molybdenum production at 0.39 million pounds. The company maintained its production and cash cost guidance for the year, benefiting from rising copper prices, which have supported its strategy of reducing debt and returning capital to shareholders. In Q2-2025, Amerigo returned $7.6 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, contributing to a total of $12.1 million returned in the first half of the year. The company’s Capital Return Strategy has been effective since its implementation, providing consistent returns to shareholders and reducing outstanding shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Amerigo Resources Strengthens Board with Ignacio Cruz Appointment
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

Amerigo Resources Ltd. has appointed Ignacio Cruz to its board of directors, bringing over forty years of experience in the Chilean mining, energy, and civil society sectors. Cruz’s extensive background includes leadership roles in major organizations such as TECHO International and Colbún S.A., as well as significant experience in the mining sector with Antofagasta Minerals. His expertise in strategic management, sustainability, and stakeholder engagement is expected to enhance Amerigo’s operations and long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025