Amerigo Resources (TSE:ARG)
TSX:ARG
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Amerigo Resources (ARG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ARG

Amerigo Resources

(TSX:ARG)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$3.50
▲(7.69% Upside)
Amerigo Resources demonstrates strong financial performance and technical indicators, supported by a positive earnings call. The company's low leverage and consistent profitability are significant strengths. While valuation is moderate, the attractive dividend yield adds appeal. The production impact from the El Teniente accident and increased costs are challenges, but the overall outlook remains positive with stable copper prices and strong operational metrics.
Positive Factors
Debt Elimination
Eliminating debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, allowing Amerigo to allocate more resources towards growth initiatives and shareholder returns.
Increased Dividend
A higher dividend indicates strong cash flow and a commitment to returning value to shareholders, enhancing investor confidence and potentially attracting more income-focused investors.
Stable Financial Performance
Consistent profitability and cash flow generation demonstrate operational efficiency and financial health, supporting long-term business sustainability and growth potential.
Negative Factors
Production Impact from El Teniente Accident
Production disruptions can affect revenue and operational efficiency, highlighting the risks associated with dependency on a single source for raw materials.
Increased Costs
Rising costs can pressure margins and profitability, necessitating effective cost management strategies to maintain financial performance.
Potential for Increased Royalties
Higher royalties could increase operational costs, impacting profitability and cash flow, requiring strategic planning to mitigate financial impact.

Amerigo Resources (ARG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Amerigo Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerigo Resources (ARG) is a Canadian mining company primarily engaged in the production of copper and molybdenum concentrates through its operation of the Minera Valle Central (MVC) project in Chile. The company specializes in processing tailings from the El Teniente mine, one of the largest underground copper mines in the world, utilizing innovative technologies to extract valuable metals while minimizing environmental impact. Amerigo is focused on sustainable mining practices and aims to optimize its resource recovery processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerigo Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of copper and molybdenum concentrates produced at its MVC operation. The company purchases tailings from the El Teniente mine, which contains valuable metals, and processes them to extract copper and molybdenum. The revenue model is based on the volume of concentrates processed and the prevailing market prices for copper and molybdenum. Key revenue streams include contracts with copper smelters and refiners who purchase the produced concentrates. Additionally, fluctuations in global copper prices significantly impact the company's earnings, as the majority of its revenue is linked to these market prices. Strategic partnerships with mining companies and ongoing investments in technology enhance operational efficiency and contribute to revenue stability.

Amerigo Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Amerigo Resources demonstrated strong financial performance in Q3 2025, achieving significant milestones such as debt elimination and a dividend increase. However, challenges such as the production impact from the El Teniente accident and increased costs were noted. Despite these issues, the overall outlook remains positive with stable copper prices and strong operational metrics.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Elimination
On October 27, MVC fully repaid its outstanding debt, which totaled $7.5 million at the end of September. This marks the conclusion of a transformational 10-year period for Amerigo and provides additional free cash flow capacity.
Increased Dividend
The Board of Directors increased the quarterly dividend paid to shareholders to CAD 0.04 per share, a 33% increase from the prior dividend, reflecting the company's financial strength and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Stable Financial Performance
Amerigo reported a net income of $6.7 million and generated operating cash flow of $12.4 million for Q3 2025. The company also maintained a high plant availability of 98% and operated without lost time accidents or environmental incidents.
Strong Revenue and Copper Prices
Total revenue for the third quarter was $52.5 million, supported by stable copper prices and strong molybdenum contributions. The LME copper prices averaged $4.44 per pound in Q3, peaking at $4.51 per pound in September.
Negative Updates
Production Impact from El Teniente Accident
An accident at El Teniente led to MVC ceasing to receive fresh tailings for 10 days, causing a decline in monthly production in August. Copper production guidance had to be adjusted from 62.9 million pounds to a range of 60 million to 61.5 million pounds.
Increased Costs
Tolling and production costs increased by 4% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025. Costs related to lime, inventory adjustments, and DET moly royalties also saw increases.
Potential for Increased Royalties
With copper prices rising, there is the potential for renegotiation of the royalty scale with El Teniente, which could impact financial outcomes.
Company Guidance
During the Amerigo Resources Q3 2025 earnings call, it was announced that the company adjusted its copper production guidance from 62.9 million pounds to a range of 60 million to 61.5 million pounds due to a temporary suspension of fresh tailings at MVC following an accident at El Teniente. Despite this, Amerigo maintained a high plant availability of 98% and reported a strong financial performance with a total revenue of $52.5 million. The company posted a net income of $6.7 million and earnings per share of $0.04, supported by stable LME copper prices averaging $4.44 per pound, up from $4.32 in the previous quarter. Amerigo's operating cash flow was $12.4 million, and it achieved a cash cost of $1.80 per pound, lower than the previous quarter, maintaining its annual cash cost guidance of $1.93 per pound. The company also reported significant developments in October, including the full repayment of $7.5 million in outstanding debt, allowing for a 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to CAD 0.04 per share. Additionally, Amerigo signed a 3-year collective agreement with its operators' union, further strengthening its operational stability.

Amerigo Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amerigo Resources presents a strong financial profile with consistent profitability and prudent financial management. The income statement shows healthy margins and recent revenue growth, while the balance sheet reflects low leverage and strong equity. Cash flow generation is positive, though it has seen some fluctuations. The company is well-positioned in the copper industry, but should focus on stabilizing revenue growth and cash flow consistency to mitigate potential risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Amerigo Resources has demonstrated solid revenue growth in the TTM period with a 2.68% increase, following a challenging year with a slight decline. The company maintains healthy profitability with a gross profit margin of 17.99% and a net profit margin of 7.38%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 13.32% and 21.74%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the revenue growth rate has been inconsistent over the years, which could pose a risk if not stabilized.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.068, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity is robust at 19.03%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 56.04%, highlighting a solid equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the company exhibits financial stability and low leverage risk.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a 9.15% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.72, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the operating cash flow has decreased from previous highs, suggesting potential volatility in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue269.79M294.99M157.46M168.05M199.55M178.38M
Gross Profit48.53M45.41M13.86M27.92M71.68M15.39M
EBITDA58.20M57.61M29.98M45.59M84.16M27.98M
Net Income19.92M19.24M3.38M4.37M39.82M6.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets191.00M205.47M199.56M231.18M269.35M237.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.16M35.86M17.15M38.96M59.79M7.99M
Total Debt7.26M10.70M20.71M25.91M33.85M59.50M
Total Liabilities84.02M100.68M94.71M112.48M130.55M126.89M
Stockholders Equity106.98M104.79M104.85M118.70M138.79M110.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.73M50.44M3.39M13.82M81.17M16.98M
Operating Cash Flow41.02M59.78M20.28M23.63M93.13M19.78M
Investing Cash Flow-11.29M-9.34M-16.89M-9.81M-8.10M-2.72M
Financing Cash Flow-25.52M-29.40M-24.91M-35.89M-36.82M-10.66M

Amerigo Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.25
Price Trends
50DMA
2.72
Positive
100DMA
2.46
Positive
200DMA
2.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
67.77
Neutral
STOCH
86.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ARG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.95, above the 50-day MA of 2.72, and above the 200-day MA of 2.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ARG.

Amerigo Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$482.86M17.5918.67%3.92%10.41%-0.23%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
C$623.84M-49.37-6.09%22.26%
48
Neutral
C$503.61M-16.61-71.49%-15.57%
43
Neutral
C$1.23B-47.42-14.89%-104.57%
39
Underperform
C$223.64M-320.83-0.82%36.84%
39
Underperform
C$252.53M73.524.21%-41.70%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
3.25
1.66
104.92%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
2.02
1.11
121.98%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
12.02
7.33
156.29%
TSE:CUU
Copper Fox Metals
0.39
0.08
26.23%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
8.55
0.65
8.23%
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
3.37
2.13
171.77%

Amerigo Resources Corporate Events

Amerigo Resources’ Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
Nov 6, 2025

Amerigo Resources’ Q3 2025 Earnings Call: A Positive Outlook Amid Challenges

Amerigo Resources Reports Strong Q3-2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Amerigo Resources Ltd. is a copper producer operating in the mining sector, known for its innovative approach to processing tailings from the El Teniente mine in Chile. The company recently announced its Q3-2025 financial results, highlighting a net income of $6.7 million and an EBITDA of $18.7 million. Notably, Amerigo achieved full debt repayment in October 2025 and increased its quarterly dividend by 33%.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Amerigo Resources Achieves Debt-Free Status and Boosts Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Amerigo Resources reported strong financial results for Q3-2025, with a net income of $6.7 million and an EBITDA of $18.7 million. The company achieved a significant milestone by fully repaying its corporate debt, allowing it to increase its quarterly dividend by 33% to Cdn$0.04 per share. This financial strength is attributed to a favorable copper price environment and effective cost management, despite lower than expected production. The company’s strategic focus on debt repayment over the past decade has enabled it to return $93.7 million to shareholders, enhancing its market position as a stable and attractive investment in the copper sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Amerigo Resources Announces Strategic Operational Update
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Amerigo Resources has announced a significant update regarding its operations, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests. The company has made strategic decisions that are expected to enhance its operational efficiency and potentially improve its competitive edge in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Amerigo Resources Secures Three-Year Labor Agreement with MVC Union
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Amerigo Resources Ltd. has announced a new three-year collective labor agreement with the operators’ union at its Minera Valle Central (MVC) operation in Chile. This agreement, effective from October 29, 2025, to October 29, 2028, underscores the company’s commitment to its employees and operational stability, ensuring fair treatment and long-term security for its workforce. The agreement highlights Amerigo’s dedication to maintaining strong, collaborative relationships with its employees, reinforcing its position as an employer of choice in Chile.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Amerigo Resources Reports Q3-2025 Results Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Oct 8, 2025

Amerigo Resources reported its Q3-2025 operational results, highlighting a copper production of 14.6 million pounds. The company faced challenges due to an accident at the El Teniente mine, which affected fresh tailings throughput and led to a projected annual copper production shortfall of 2% to 5% below guidance. Despite these challenges, Amerigo maintained stable daily production and plans to eliminate its remaining debt by the end of 2025. The company returned $3.5 million to shareholders in dividends during the quarter, and its cash cost guidance remains unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Amerigo Resources Resumes Fresh Tailings Processing at MVC
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

Amerigo Resources Ltd. announced that its Minera Valle Central (MVC) operation in Chile has resumed processing fresh tailings from the El Teniente copper mine after a temporary suspension due to a seismic event. While the mine’s operations are not yet fully normalized, Amerigo is mitigating the impact by increasing the processing of historic tailings, although daily throughput is expected to be lower than initially forecasted.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARG) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amerigo Resources stock, see the TSE:ARG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025