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Arizona Sonoran Copper Co., Inc. (TSE:ASCU)
TSX:ASCU

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. (ASCU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ASCU

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.

(TSX:ASCU)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(6.38% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by a well-capitalized balance sheet but offset by continued pre-revenue losses and heavy cash outflows. Technicals are favorable with strong trend and momentum, while valuation is weak due to negative earnings and no dividend. Recent financing and Cactus Project PFS updates provide a positive catalyst and help reduce near-term funding pressure.
Positive Factors
Strong Capital Position
The C$10.4 million investment from Hudbay Minerals strengthens Arizona Sonoran's capital position, enabling it to advance development activities and project financing, which is crucial for long-term growth and stability in the copper industry.
Positive Economic Outlook
The pre-feasibility study projects a post-tax NPV of $2.30 billion and an IRR of 22.8%, indicating strong economic returns and positioning the Cactus Project as a significant copper producer, enhancing the company's market position.
Low Debt Levels
The company's low debt levels provide financial flexibility and reduce risk, allowing for strategic investments and development without the burden of high-interest obligations, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Pre-Revenue Status
Operating without revenue and posting net losses increases financial risk and reliance on external funding, which can hinder long-term sustainability and growth until commercial production begins.
High Cash Burn
The high cash burn rate necessitates continuous capital raising, which can dilute existing shareholders and pose challenges in maintaining financial stability if market conditions for financing worsen.
Standalone Project Risks
Advancing the Cactus Project independently after the potential termination of the Nuton JV option increases execution risk, as the company must secure all necessary resources and expertise without a partner's support.

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. (ASCU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc. engages in the identification, acquisition, exploration, development, and production of base metal properties. The company's principal asset is the 100% interest in the Cactus Project located in Pinal County, Arizona. The company was formerly known as Elim Mining Incorporated and changed its name to Arizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc. in July 2021. Arizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyArizona Sonoran Copper Co., Inc. generates revenue primarily through the development and eventual sale of copper extracted from its mining operations. The company focuses on identifying and developing copper deposits, with the potential for future income derived from the sale of copper concentrate to smelters and other industrial customers. ASCU's revenue model is highly dependent on the successful development and production from its mining projects, particularly the Cactus Mine Project. The company may also enter into strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining companies or investors to facilitate capital investment and share operational risks, which can contribute to its financial performance.

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co., Inc. faces significant financial hurdles, with no revenue generation and consistent losses impacting its financial health. While the balance sheet remains relatively strong, the lack of cash flow generation poses a risk to the company's future viability. Strategic shifts may be necessary to improve profitability and operational cash flow.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co., Inc. has reported no revenue over the past periods, indicating a lack of operational income. The negative net income and EBIT margins reflect ongoing losses. The absence of revenue growth further highlights challenges in generating sales, which is critical for the company’s sustainability.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with a favorable equity ratio, indicating a strong capital structure. However, the consistent net losses are a concern. The low debt-to-equity ratio suggests limited leverage, which reduces financial risk. Overall, the balance sheet is stable, yet profitability remains an issue.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Negative operating cash flows and persistently negative free cash flows highlight significant cash outflow challenges. The company relies on financing activities for liquidity, which could be unsustainable long-term. The absence of free cash flow growth is a concern for future operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-30.00K0.000.00-84.00K-75.00K-17.00K
EBITDA-4.21M-5.35K-6.34M-6.96M-8.38M-2.73M
Net Income-7.24M-7.44K-6.99M-7.14M-17.05M-7.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets279.07M135.47M114.08M69.58M54.42M17.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.37M31.74M10.49M19.86M27.31M7.25M
Total Debt16.00K16.00K67.00K115.00K6.88M6.34M
Total Liabilities119.50M30.86M29.53M3.60M10.35M11.00M
Stockholders Equity159.57M104.61M84.55M65.98M44.08M6.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-56.51M-31.60M-38.82M-4.33M-24.89M-14.79M
Operating Cash Flow-2.66M-9.72M-11.52M-3.55M-6.29M-1.48M
Investing Cash Flow-44.50M-21.88M-27.30M-29.80M-18.60M-8.30M
Financing Cash Flow58.15M54.03M29.53M26.09M44.95M16.97M

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.64
Price Trends
50DMA
4.24
Positive
100DMA
3.61
Positive
200DMA
2.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
76.21
Negative
STOCH
94.50
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ASCU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.93, above the 50-day MA of 4.24, and above the 200-day MA of 2.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.21 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.50 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ASCU.

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$899.28M32.7118.67%4.11%10.41%-0.23%
62
Neutral
C$1.18B-83.68-6.09%22.26%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
C$756.11M-24.33-48.15%-10.32%
52
Neutral
C$1.41B-39.64-15.90%-104.52%
39
Underperform
C$442.04M-633.33-0.82%36.84%
39
Underperform
C$403.17M117.374.21%-41.70%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
5.64
4.07
259.24%
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
5.56
4.04
265.55%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
2.99
2.25
304.05%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
11.83
6.48
121.12%
TSE:CUU
Copper Fox Metals
0.76
0.50
192.31%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
13.65
6.45
89.58%

Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Arizona Sonoran Unveils Fully Funded 2026 Work Plan to Advance Cactus Copper Project
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

Arizona Sonoran Copper has launched a fully funded US$75 million work program for 2026, backed by an approximately US$105 million cash balance, to move its Cactus Project toward a final investment decision as early as the fourth quarter of 2026 and keep the project on track for first cathode production in the second half of 2029. The plan centers on completing a feasibility study in 2026, advancing key permits, initiating early development and long lead procurement, expanding geological and geotechnical work, arranging project financing, and deepening community engagement, building on 2025 milestones including the entry of Hudbay as a strategic investor, the buy-down of eligible copper royalties, footprint expansion and a pre-feasibility study that confirmed robust project economics and a simplified mine plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Hold with a C$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Arizona Sonoran Secures Dust Permit, Advances Key Approvals for Expanded Cactus Copper Project
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Arizona Sonoran Copper Company has secured a Dust Permit from the Pinal County Air Quality Division for its Cactus Project, marking the first key permit received since its November 2025 pre-feasibility study, which outlined annual production of 113,000 short tons of copper cathode over the first decade of a 22-year mine life. The company is now working to amend its Aquifer Protection, Industrial Air, and Mined Land Reclamation permits to reflect a substantially expanded and simplified production profile that includes both the Cactus and Parks/Salyer open pits, with a goal of having all major permits in place in 2026 ahead of a feasibility study and a potential final investment decision later this year, signaling continued progress toward restarting copper production and strengthening its position as an emerging U.S. copper supplier.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Arizona Sonoran Moves Toward Solo Development of Cactus Project as Nuton JV Option Nears Early Termination
Neutral
Dec 29, 2025

Arizona Sonoran Copper Company and Nuton LLC, a Rio Tinto venture, have agreed to begin talks in January over an amicable early termination of Nuton’s option to form a joint venture on the Cactus Project, after which Arizona Sonoran intends to continue advancing the asset on a standalone basis. Building on a recently completed positive standalone pre-feasibility study, the company plans to progress a definitive feasibility study targeting completion in the second half of 2026, with a potential final investment decision as early as the fourth quarter of 2026, while simultaneously pursuing permitting amendments, project financing and early development work, underscoring its commitment to independently develop Cactus despite the uncertainty surrounding the Nuton negotiations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Arizona Sonoran Secures C$10.4 Million Investment from Hudbay Minerals
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

Arizona Sonoran Copper Company announced the closing of a C$10.4 million private placement with Hudbay Minerals, which exercised its pre-emptive rights to maintain a 9.99% ownership in the company. This financing strengthens Arizona Sonoran’s capital position, enabling it to advance early development activities and project debt financing for 2026, positioning the company for growth in the copper industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Arizona Sonoran Copper Secures C$86.3 Million for Cactus Project Development
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Arizona Sonoran Copper Company has successfully closed a C$86.3 million ‘bought deal’ private placement of common shares, issuing over 25 million shares at C$3.35 each. The proceeds will fund early development activities at the Cactus Project, including permit amendments, a Definitive Feasibility Study, and project financing, positioning the company to advance its operations and potentially enhance its market standing as a future mid-tier copper producer.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Arizona Sonoran Copper Files PFS for Cactus Project with Strong Economic Outlook
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Arizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc. has filed a pre-feasibility study for its Cactus Project, projecting a post-tax NPV of $2.30 billion and an IRR of 22.8%. The project is expected to produce 103,000 tonnes of copper cathode annually over the first decade, positioning it as the third largest cathode producer in the USA. With a focus on cost-effective and conventional mining methods, the project promises strong economic returns and significant benefits to the local Arizona economy, including job creation. The company anticipates making a final investment decision by Q4 2026, with first production targeted for 2029.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Arizona Sonoran Secures C$75 Million for Cactus Project Development
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Arizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc. has announced a C$75 million ‘bought deal’ private placement of common shares, facilitated by Canaccord Genuity Corp. and a syndicate of underwriters. The proceeds will be used for early development activities at the Cactus Project, working capital, and general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening the company’s position in the copper industry and providing robust returns for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Arizona Sonoran Copper’s Cactus Project Promises Major Copper Output
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

Arizona Sonoran Copper Company has announced the results of its Pre-Feasibility Study for the Cactus Project, highlighting its potential as a long-life, low-cost copper production operation in Arizona. The project is expected to produce approximately 103,000 tonnes of copper cathodes annually over the first decade, positioning it as the third-largest cathode producer in the U.S. With strong economic indicators, including a $574 million average annual EBITDA and significant local economic benefits such as the creation of over 600 jobs, the project is poised to enhance the company’s market position and contribute substantially to the U.S. refined copper supply.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ASCU) stock is a Buy with a C$5.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arizona Sonoran Copper Co. stock, see the TSE:ASCU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025